QUOTE(Mai189 @ Jun 20 2021, 08:43 PM)
^ Reports online indicate that these are not contracts per se but Letters of Intents! This is because the funding has not been resolved.
It is the same thing again and again. You hear grandiose announcements (usually from military commentators or vendors eager to have any good news) about Indonesia buying something but nothing is really bought and built e.g. the contract to buy/build the KFX. The Ivers has been in the news for years - you do not take years to decide on a variant design when the baseline design is ready.
At the end of the day, Indonesia does not have the funding to buy or maintain these equipment. Hence, the scramble for foreign loans.
I will be happy to be proven wrong. But at this point of time, there is just announcements; like the rest.
Im calling their (the vendors and reports) bluff - as in there is no way forward unless there is money.
Let me know when construction actually starts. Because I do not think it will be anytime soon i.e. even if it happens, it will be years later and stretched over many more years.
Meanwhile, the Indonesian armed forces is as it has always been.
Forumners should know by now how Indonesia operates.
ID is a democracy not a dictatorship one party state. So their plans just like with other democracy are fluids. One didn't care what their citizens think and thus can have long term acquisition schedule, It is the same thing again and again. You hear grandiose announcements (usually from military commentators or vendors eager to have any good news) about Indonesia buying something but nothing is really bought and built e.g. the contract to buy/build the KFX. The Ivers has been in the news for years - you do not take years to decide on a variant design when the baseline design is ready.
At the end of the day, Indonesia does not have the funding to buy or maintain these equipment. Hence, the scramble for foreign loans.
I will be happy to be proven wrong. But at this point of time, there is just announcements; like the rest.
Im calling their (the vendors and reports) bluff - as in there is no way forward unless there is money.
Let me know when construction actually starts. Because I do not think it will be anytime soon i.e. even if it happens, it will be years later and stretched over many more years.
Meanwhile, the Indonesian armed forces is as it has always been.
Forumners should know by now how Indonesia operates.
To say they can't afford it isn't true. They can afford it without increasing defense spending by just modernizing aka downsizing the size of their military personnel. PLA had downsize their army decades ago while US marine corps are doing it now.
Though having said that, all of their recent announcement seems to directed for domestic consumption rather than as a response to a changing security threats. If anything these whole announcement are just Probowo starting his 2024 presidential campaigns.
Scrambling for foreign loans particularly in foreign notes is pretty dangerous due to the instability of rupiah. The Rafale & fremm would likely involved local assembly which would shoot Probowo popularity (and wealth) through the roofs
Highly unlikely to get approval by MOF who herself might throw her hat into the presidential contest ring. Nor she would likely agree to increase defense spending at the cost of infrastructure development.
So next step for Probowo would likely to rallies up the public opinion to pressure MOF to do what he wants.
Jun 20 2021, 10:37 PM

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