QUOTE(vanitas @ Aug 12 2020, 10:13 PM)
You talk on too much theories.
Reality:
1. You might have high salary increase or business went big in short term, or windfall money suddenly. Do you still want to let your money idle and slowly DCA? Or vice versa lose job and no money to feed family, still DCA?
2. The economy is down for several years (more than 3 years), even FD beat your DCA, do you still have the diligence to DCA?
3. US having long term war suddenly with some big countries, you still believe S&P 500 and keep DCA?
4. You saw good opportunity (market is really down) to lump sum, do you still insist to DCA?
5. There is newer fintech that can claimed can beat robo advisor or ETF, still DCA?
Human is not robot, if you still able to keep DCA despite any change in reality, then congratulations to you. I think I will quit half way, or do lump sum here and there, maybe I am not a good investor then.
i have some further thoughts to your questions:
1. If I have more to invest - I will split to 3 buckets still.
- Bucket 1 - FI like Bonds / FD / Housing Loan
- Bucket 2 - Increase my insurance coverage so that if anything happens the increase in income (if steady) is covered by increase in coverage
- Bucket 3 - Invest. In this case I will review my portfolio and invest in those that can give me good returns, usually those that outperforms or match their benchmarks. Even in this case I will still diversify a little.
2. I will not let the investment go to 3rd year if the returns lose to FD, especially if the instrument lose to the benchmark. This is where rebalancing is necessary and also in the limited scope of Stashaway they will do it, if not ppl will pull out and they eat grass.
3. Unless its world war 3 (during which Nukes will launch), US Economy will remain strong. My take is that ever since there is internet and technology, the cycles of down will not be as long as last time. This is because every Mutu, Ah Kau and Ali can easily plop money into any market worldwide. Last time it really depended on US people doing it. People will want to invest in the US market as long as it is attractive.
4. Same as situation 1. I will usually DCA more for short period of time.
5. Refer situation 2. as long as stashaway match or outperforms the benchmark, I will keep and diversify if new methods arise. I also have fundsupermart, public mutual etc.