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 Multiple Signs of Malaysia Property Bubble V20

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TSicemanfx
post Sep 4 2018, 04:44 PM

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QUOTE(New Klang @ Sep 4 2018, 04:26 PM)
How to read the data?

How to know what is up or down?
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Enroll statistics class.


TSicemanfx
post Sep 5 2018, 04:05 PM

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QUOTE(AskarPerang @ Sep 5 2018, 03:55 PM)
Already got confirm auction date for this unit. 250k below launching S&P price!!!

A-15-08, Lake Park Residence @ KL North, Residensi 1 Utara
Reserve price 🔥🔥RM408,300🔥🔥
1125 sqft, 2 CP
Leasehold until 2113
Auction: 25-Sep-2018 (Tue)
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QUOTE(AskarPerang @ Sep 5 2018, 04:19 PM)
No taker!!! Drop to below 300k next. First time in lelong history I guess price of this place drop to below launching price.
Wow.  sweat.gif

A-03-13, Block A, One Damansara
Reserve price 🔥🔥RM 283,500🔥🔥
Market Value RM400K

Leasehold till 2103
986sqft, 3R2B, 1CP
Auction date estimated in 1 to 3 months time (can be as long as 6 months time as this bank got no urgency to offload this unit it seems).
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QUOTE(AskarPerang @ Sep 5 2018, 05:10 PM)
Well, can add in another unit here. Trully a lelong house!!!

B-26-03, Suria Sungai Besi, No. 366, Jalan Sungai Besi
Reserve price🔥🔥RM 393,660🔥🔥
Freehold
1089sqft (KLCC view, floor with pocket garden)
Auction: 22-Sep-2018 (Sat)

A-23-08, Level 23, Block A, Central Residence @ Suria
Reserve price🔥🔥RM 276,000🔥🔥
Freehold
731sqft
Auction: 19-Sep-2018 (Wed)

B-16-11, Central Residence @ Suria Sungai Besi, No. 366, Jalan Sungai Besi
Reserve price🔥🔥RM 445,500🔥🔥
Freehold
1058sqft (KLCC view, floor with pocket garden)
Auction: 08-Sep-2018 (Sat)
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This post has been edited by icemanfx: Sep 5 2018, 06:00 PM
TSicemanfx
post Sep 8 2018, 02:24 AM

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QUOTE(AskarPerang @ Sep 7 2018, 11:43 PM)
No taker yet again. Now at 60% cheaper than launching price???  rclxub.gif

C-01-01, Block C, Sawtelle Suites, Jalan Cyber Heights, Cyber Heights Villa
Reserve price 🔥🔥RM 236,160🔥🔥
Freehold
753 sqft (duplex, end lot unit)
Auction: 29 Sep 18 (Sat)
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Timespace
post Sep 8 2018, 03:33 AM

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I think and hope new Malaysia would be more strict, some flippers might not be able jaggle eventually...
staticxtreme
post Sep 8 2018, 03:59 AM

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Gg
azmanadnan
post Sep 8 2018, 05:38 AM

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Monitoring landed new launches in cyber. Landed is stagnant but not going down. If any landed in cyber going down can pm me, keen to have a look and maybe take a few units. If any klang valley landed good buy roger me, I need to buy
azmanadnan
post Sep 8 2018, 05:39 AM

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Anyway if house price keeps dropping bad for us as a whole as well. When will house prices start appreciating again
TSicemanfx
post Sep 8 2018, 05:47 AM

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QUOTE(azmanadnan @ Sep 8 2018, 05:39 AM)
Anyway if house price keeps dropping bad for us as a whole as well. When will house prices start appreciating again
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House price dropped mean become affordable, buyers will leave with more disposable income, which is beneficial to aggregate economy and quality lifestyle.

azmanadnan
post Sep 8 2018, 06:20 AM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Sep 8 2018, 05:47 AM)
House price dropped mean become affordable, buyers will leave with more disposable income, which is beneficial to aggregate economy and quality lifestyle.
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By right when economy recovers house prices will be uptrend right
wild_card_my
post Sep 8 2018, 01:00 PM

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QUOTE(Timespace @ Sep 8 2018, 03:33 AM)
I think and hope new Malaysia would be more strict, some flippers might not be able jaggle eventually...
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From what I noticed flippers are already having a hard time. Due to government initiatives like PRIMA, RumaWIP, and SelangorKu, lower-middle end buyers are having an easier time to secure a roof on their head.

As it is, they may be contend with what they have (800 sq ft close to the city with good access), and may spend their money else where.

QUOTE(azmanadnan @ Sep 8 2018, 06:20 AM)
By right when economy recovers house prices will be uptrend right
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Not necessarily. Demand and supply plays a role. A house is a necessity, but in people's opinion, an 800sq ft. may be sufficient - and there are plenty of supplies for these types of houses now. Despite economic recoveries, people may turn to other things to spend their money on, like children's education, retirement, insurances; and other lifestyle choices like travelling, food/dining. Those with excess cash may invest in properties but it has such a high entry-cost (10% deposit, legal fees) as well as hidden-costs (agent fees, insurances, maintenance, bad tenant) that they may turn many away

Can you believe it? I myself prefer to put my money into more liquid funds like UT and stocks.

I am sure there are gems out there, but it isn't as easy and sure-fire as it was in pre-2010 where you can just throw any stone and buy that property the stone hits and it would have appreciated a few tens percentage points.
azmanadnan
post Sep 8 2018, 01:29 PM

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QUOTE(wild_card_my @ Sep 8 2018, 01:00 PM)
From what I noticed flippers are already having a hard time. Due to government initiatives like PRIMA, RumaWIP, and SelangorKu, lower-middle end buyers are having an easier time to secure a roof on their head.

As it is, they may be contend with what they have (800 sq ft close to the city with good access), and may spend their money else where.
Not necessarily. Demand and supply plays a role. A house is a necessity, but in people's opinion, an 800sq ft. may be sufficient - and there are plenty of supplies for these types of houses now. Despite economic recoveries, people may turn to other things to spend their money on, like children's education, retirement, insurances; and other lifestyle choices like travelling, food/dining. Those with excess cash may invest in properties but it has such a high entry-cost (10% deposit, legal fees) as well as hidden-costs (agent fees, insurances, maintenance, bad tenant) that they may turn many away

Can you believe it? I myself prefer to put my money into more liquid funds like UT and stocks.

I am sure there are gems out there, but it isn't as easy and sure-fire as it was in pre-2010 where you can just throw any stone and buy that property the stone hits and it would have appreciated a few tens percentage points.
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True that for now I do have cash in Asnb. Probably keep it in first? But I prefer new landed rather than sub sales. Scared landed new launches will be further n further away from kl
TSicemanfx
post Sep 8 2018, 07:14 PM

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According to the Malaysian Human Development report, 53% of Malaysian households have no financial assets while 88% of households reported zero savings. Further, income levels of Malaysian consumers are low. According to Khazanah Research Institute, for individuals, the median salary is RM1,700 per month. Further, 62% of active Employees Provident Fund (EPF) members earn less than RM2,000 while 25% of EPF members earn a monthly salary below the poverty line of RM930.

n their study, the Asian Institute of Finance (AIF) found that 75% of consumers aged 20 to 33 had at least one long-term debt and 37% had more than one long-term debt. To offset this, respondents were relying on high cost borrowings that 47% were engaged in expensive credit card borrowing while 38% reported taking personal loans.

https://www.freemalaysiatoday.com/category/...e-doing-enough/

Reasons why overpriced property is unsustainable.
TSicemanfx
post Sep 9 2018, 09:44 AM

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QUOTE(AskarPerang @ Sep 9 2018, 08:25 AM)
Here I share with everyone the best real case example of loan compression / multiple loan submission.

4 units buy sekaligus with 4 different banks.
Now all 4 units in lelong market. All under the same owner.


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Many of demand during property bull run was created from "loan compression", basically cheating the system and subprime. Wonder how many of these remain in the Eco system?

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Sep 9 2018, 11:48 AM
wild_card_my
post Sep 11 2018, 12:21 PM

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QUOTE(azmanadnan @ Sep 8 2018, 01:29 PM)
True that  for now I do have cash in Asnb. Probably keep it in first? But I prefer new landed rather than sub sales. Scared landed new launches will be further n further away from kl
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For those who are not sure about the property market going forward, of have done very little studies, and if the are able to, to invest in ASB and holding out for the time being, this is because ASB and/or ASB-financing can be redeemed at a moment's notice (well, takes about a month for the ASB-financed units to be redeemed). But it is liquid in that sense, better than your money sitting and not doing anything.

Since, you have bought properties and I am sure that you are aware of the hidden fees, upfront charges, and lack of liquidity of these properties. I know people who are in a limbo, whereby their property MV is now lower than their O/S, meaning they cannot sell without topping up to pay the differences. And their rentals are significantly lower than their costs of maintaining the property (installments, maintenance, taxes, insurance, damages), and not to mention the rental gaps between renters

Now they are stuck forever. This is why I hate the mantra "accumulate wealth by buying properties". Every investment vehicles have their pros and cons, its just that people tend to be conned into buying properties - thank you real estate agents.

Just so you know, I work for all 3 - mortgage, asb-f, and am a REN

And yet my advice is always to study your needs, will-power, investment horizon, before making a life-changing decision like buying a property or insurance. These decisions last forever even if you get to refinance/sell the property due to the upfront charges and missed opportunities.

QUOTE(icemanfx @ Sep 9 2018, 09:44 AM)
Many of demand during property bull run was created from "loan compression", basically cheating the system and subprime. Wonder how many of these remain in the Eco system?
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Yeah, loan compression is subprime. When the bank deems you unworthy to get those financing buy you did anyways by cheating the system, you are a subprime. This is illegal but sometimes the bankers would not know because the applicants would be doing this on their own by making multiple submissions with different banks and bankers on their own. When I see multiple applications in their CCRIS and inquire them about it, they would sometimes admit to it, but those who didn't I would not know.

This post has been edited by wild_card_my: Sep 11 2018, 12:31 PM
TSicemanfx
post Sep 11 2018, 07:26 PM

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QUOTE(ATKH @ Sep 11 2018, 12:05 PM)
Yeap...some projects even give additional X% cash back on top of the 7-9% early rebate. Happy hunting..
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QUOTE(AskarPerang @ Sep 11 2018, 12:13 PM)
Yes just like M City. Very good example. Big rebate given now after project completed for 2 years. And similar to those early bird buyers who bought 7 years ago.
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QUOTE(Hunakadoo @ Sep 11 2018, 04:51 PM)
it depends

i remember mahsing burung awal price is at 9% discount
and later on there's some period they doing big promo for CNY and make it 9% + Cash RM18888 something , with same price tag on their unit .

for Mahsing project need to beware , when they desperate they'll launch very good package to attract customer . so doenst matter burung awal or burung lambat biggrin.gif  biggrin.gif
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QUOTE(ATKH @ Sep 11 2018, 05:15 PM)
Current package for the remaining units also very attractive.😬
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QUOTE(AskarPerang @ Sep 11 2018, 10:27 PM)
Real case study:

D'Sara Sentral by Mah Sing. Late buyer got throw in 25% rebate while early bird only got 9% rebate.
You can read it yourself here: https://forum.lowyat.net/index.php?showtopi...post&p=86920761
Continuation part 2 (with typical alasan): https://forum.lowyat.net/index.php?showtopi...post&p=86969476
Paper loss 100k stated but 1 of the buyer himself: https://forum.lowyat.net/index.php?showtopi...post&p=86978041
and can read from that post onwards......
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QUOTE(AskarPerang @ Sep 11 2018, 10:32 PM)
Real case study #2:

No need to guess is from the same developer again!!!
M City, Jalan Ampang.
Project completed 2 years ago. But developer units still fail to sell out. (How to sell when got so many units end up cheaper price in auction?)
So what to do? Throw in big rebate to sell.
Unit dispose same like 7 years ago early bird pricing. If count progressive interest, and 7 years of lost opportunity. Late buyer actually got big advantage. 
Read: https://forum.lowyat.net/index.php?showtopi...post&p=89879928
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This post has been edited by icemanfx: Sep 11 2018, 10:38 PM
TSicemanfx
post Sep 17 2018, 10:52 AM

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The housing boom was fated to implode. Home buyers had paid too much on the (false) assumption that prices would rise indefinitely. As real estate valuations crested in 2006, homeowners had to divert more of their income to repaying their mortgages and home-equity loans. Other consumer spending suffered. By itself, this might have triggered a recession, possibly a severe one.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/a-w...m=.44e450bcd5a4

Experience something similar in kv?

SUSNew Klang
post Sep 17 2018, 11:23 AM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Sep 17 2018, 10:52 AM)
The housing boom was fated to implode. Home buyers had paid too much on the (false) assumption that prices would rise indefinitely. As real estate valuations crested in 2006, homeowners had to divert more of their income to repaying their mortgages and home-equity loans. Other consumer spending suffered. By itself, this might have triggered a recession, possibly a severe one.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/a-w...m=.44e450bcd5a4

Experience something similar in kv?
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Let it implode. I need to buy low now.

You need to buy low too as you already sold all your units in 2012 albeit it was too early then.
TSicemanfx
post Sep 17 2018, 11:27 AM

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QUOTE(New Klang @ Sep 17 2018, 11:23 AM)
Let it implode. I need to buy low now.

You need to buy low too as you already sold all your units in 2012 albeit it was too early then.
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Only if you realize how much certain stocks have risen since 2012. Hints fb.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Sep 17 2018, 11:29 AM
bearbearwong
post Sep 19 2018, 02:33 AM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Sep 17 2018, 11:27 AM)
Only if you realize how much certain stocks have risen since 2012. Hints fb.
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few years ago.. we started speculating about the property bubble would struck... and we never lose hope and our belief after seeing all factors that come forward and today what we believe happen..despite so many were against us.. trust yourself

this would be the sweetest moment of life.... where truth arise and those whom uttered those comments in d past now were and are as silence as grace.. the government finally comes to change when ppl says no..

keep fighting ... but never forget to grab the chance... buy one yourself .. that will be sweet too..

jolokia
TSicemanfx
post Sep 19 2018, 10:51 AM

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QUOTE(AskarPerang @ Sep 19 2018, 10:46 AM)
Take this:
I believe 99% of the units in this list here will be virgin condition

user posted image

user posted image

user posted image
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QUOTE(AskarPerang @ Sep 19 2018, 01:03 PM)
All units unsold. 3 units in the market now:
More to come?

user posted image
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Opportunity to buy at below launch price.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Sep 19 2018, 01:22 PM

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