QUOTE(icemanfx @ May 4 2017, 01:09 PM)
haha sounds contradictory, but i was surprised too when it was bought at the price. valuation can be off, but at this price... the seller must have been desperateMultiple Signs of Malaysia Property Bubble V20
Multiple Signs of Malaysia Property Bubble V20
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May 4 2017, 02:52 PM
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#1
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6,562 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Kuala Lumpur |
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May 8 2017, 10:44 AM
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#2
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As a broker who handles multiple cases each day for the past 7 years (I was a banker too)... house price have definitely droppped in many areas.. it used to be that getting the MV to match the selling price was almost impossible unless I beg beg beg hahaha...
now the MV is actually HIGHER than the selling price. GOod luck guys, you keep on buying and selling ya. hehe |
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May 8 2017, 11:38 AM
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#3
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QUOTE(alchmiya @ May 8 2017, 11:18 AM) Do you mean during hot time, you were begging the banks to give the required MV to match the selling price? Not the banks, but the valuers. The banks empanel the valuers which are different entities to the banks, to get a 3-rd party valuation of the properties, within reason. Usually they will use past transactions, but during hot times, the prices went up up and up (!!!) that the rencet transactions did not catch up fast enough..so people were like "well last month someone bought it at RM500k, how come I can't get RM520k valuation for this property?!" If the valuation doesnt match the selling price, that is fine, the house can still be sold/bought but the loan will be based on which ever is lower, either the MV or the selling price... so if the property was sold at RM520k, but the MV was only RM500k, loan would be given based on the RM500k.. there will be a shortfall and the buyer will have to fork out more cash... This is the dangers of subprime cirisis. That is why I love it when Zeti made it difficult to borrow money, because the easy of credit will only make the house price go uncontrolably higher. I'm a good broker, I don't need speculation to drive sales because my services are tip-top. I would find it more difficult to run the business if the market crashes, than if the market is being tightened. |
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May 8 2017, 12:29 PM
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#4
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QUOTE(alchmiya @ May 8 2017, 11:56 AM) Since, you need to "beg", I'm guessing not many are willing to top up the differences even during hot times? Topping out is difficult, since not many have cash in hand, all they are doing is investing using other people's money. And when the credit is easy to get for everyone, you get an inflation. That's why sub-prime crisis leads to a bubble and everyone bought - except for TAN SRI ZETI the heroine.If not, you won't need to beg as buyers will just willingly buy above MV as they think there will be further appreciation. Is my assumption correct? Buyers would still need to pay the 10% of the price, so they actually believe that the price is "right" but they simply dont have the money to top up, and rely on the bank's money - and my begging the valuers to match the price. |
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May 8 2017, 02:49 PM
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#5
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QUOTE(kurtkob78 @ May 8 2017, 01:04 PM) its unprofessional for valuer to increase the price for sales. Indirectly, valuer also help to speculate the house price higher. Yes, this is true, the many valuers face sanctions during my time... some were delisted by the banks for giving out outrageous valuation (if bank needs to lelong the property and the valuation did not match the previous valuation, the banks will kena lah)The valuer agency need to be monitored closely to avoid this thing from happening. Impose heavy fines to them Nowadays, such a thing isnt an issue, MV is usually higher than the selling price - but that bring about a different set of issues, some of which you smart gentlement ca probably figure out. |
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May 15 2017, 12:41 PM
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#6
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6,562 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Kuala Lumpur |
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May 15 2017, 01:14 PM
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#7
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QUOTE(axisresidence17 @ May 15 2017, 12:47 PM) I fully agree, and this is because of BNM's and the ministry's having taken the steps to cool off the market in the past few years with the (re)introduction of the RPGT, the 70% MOF limit on the 3rd residential property loan, the minimum price for the foreigners to purchase their properties, the use of the net income to calculate eligibility vs gross as per previous etc. When the lending is made more difficult, the market will cool down, and in a way this is good, because better to deflate than to burst. |
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May 15 2017, 02:23 PM
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#8
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QUOTE(icemanfx @ May 15 2017, 01:53 PM) Problem is, properties are usually invested with a loan.. if the price deflates, even for a little, may cause issues for the investor. The bank may even do a margin call and ask for a payment, you don't need to wait for the price to bottom up like shares to face issues. |
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May 17 2017, 07:57 PM
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#9
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QUOTE(kurtkob78 @ May 17 2017, 07:41 PM) I just had to deal with 2 of them recently... 1 was a newbie, the other a seniorFor the senior one the property price was 900k, my client ended up not buying at all. He lost out.. the property was on listing since January. Dumb. |
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May 27 2017, 09:47 AM
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#10
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QUOTE(Jliew168 @ May 27 2017, 09:38 AM) bearbearwong bz with something else now.. I actually like Zeti's initiative to control the credit - mortgages, credit cards, etc. Now there is a limit to the maximum cc limit you can get, about 2x of your gross perhaps?Mostly kena credit card now is gen y n gen x.. Good to serve them a lesson don't spend future money . Credit card debt no big deal la, they credit limit normally won't that high and bank can't sue them for bankruptcy. They should contact akpk or bank to restructure the payment to keep a good record |
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Jun 7 2017, 10:43 AM
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#11
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QUOTE(kurtkob78 @ Jun 5 2017, 10:26 AM) sales of property in primary and secondary market decreasing in double digits Property game is so illiquid... Im sure plenty ex-owners of the properties that got auctioned off actually wanted to let them go at cheaper prices, but couldn't due to the slow nature of getting a buyer, the mortgage approvals, and the process of transfer.while sales of auction properties increase in double digits. soon. sales of auction properties is more than all Eventhough im in the industry I would not recommend buying properties just for the sake of it. |
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Jul 11 2017, 01:41 AM
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#12
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QUOTE(scorptim @ Jul 10 2017, 03:37 PM) Like I said before, aside from 2011 to 2014 property has had bull runs way before that even without us qe, it's just the rise in property prices was not as crazy as it was in 2011-2014. Btw, how is prima able to sell at 20% discount compared to other developers? Im in mortgage but I dont know much about properties at all - there are too many of them and I couldnt be botheredThe only difference right now is the over supply. But if you look at it, it's not like there's not enough people to consume the excess supply in kv, it's just that people can't afford or are not willing to pay at current price tags. Look at pr1ma launches and how fast it gets taken up...even those 400k prima units which are in kv are taken up really fast. Now currently property in kv average is around 500k for a 1000+ sq feet 3r2b property (not landed), a 20% drop in price would bring a lot of property to pr1ma property prices. By then, people would start to buy the properties just like how people are Applying for pr1ma property. Needless to say by the time those properties drop to pr1ma prices, a lot of people who applied for prima but didnt qualify will just buy the other properties. Heck even those who already bought prima would regret by then. You're looking at things too purely from a macro perspective, sometimes you need to look at it from a micro perspective as well. |
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Jul 11 2017, 12:31 PM
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#13
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QUOTE(OPT @ Jul 10 2017, 10:55 PM) Amboi...tak habis habis lagi its an on going topic, properties are usually bought using a long-term commitment, so this topic will always need revisioning... I'm not sure how many of you guys are in the workforce...many many got laid off, so things are not so bright in the near future. 2019/2020? What things will brighten and push up Msia economy in this 1-2 yrs? I don't think Msia is in the radar of investors... Lets say really economy pick up in the next 1-2 yrs, even those that got employed/still working dare to take the plunge? Dream on My 2cents. QUOTE(party @ Jul 11 2017, 11:32 AM) I am in workforce - there are lots of ppl in my company (including my crush Sime Darby just had their MSS recently. a few other big companies too that I have heard of.Regardless my wife just moved a job and got a big increment, so i guess we are just hearing random noises? |
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Jul 11 2017, 04:43 PM
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QUOTE(party @ Jul 11 2017, 04:33 PM) At least she is ur wife. LOL the company doing MSS i was talking about was sime darby.. as you know, SD is restructuring, splitting up. plantation will be on their own (i think?) but property will leave the group and join other property companies to make a mega property company.. hence the MSS since there will be redundancy.. so the split and rejoin thing is probably to maximize the strengths of each company in the market. instead of integrating non-related companies (what does property has to do with industry and plantation? some la but not much)... maybe has something to do with the economy (if the companies are strong they dont need to band together ma) I am nt economic expert but if there is few companies doing mss n vss but yet ppl still can find jobs with higher pay its hard to say economic doing no good. Granted the inflation and alot of thgs are bad currently but downturn??crash??? Its abit farfetched. kesian, nasib baik I work on my own hahhahahaha. This post has been edited by wild_card_my: Jul 11 2017, 04:45 PM |
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Jul 12 2017, 06:51 PM
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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Jul 11 2017, 05:55 PM) Understand many of mss is from sime Darby property division. A indicator on how developer view the property market for next few years. MSS from one company, not even a top developer is too small a sample size. If we want to talk about sample size, I know of an earth work engineer working one of the biggest property developers, who is getting 8 months bonus on his 8k income for the past 3 yearsDuring economic recession, there will still be some people getting promotion and pay rise e.g gomen servants and glc. It is a matter of relativity. With high household debt, the squeeze will come after bank interest rate has risen. Also, last year, petronas employees are not getting bonuses, this year, they are getting ~4 months bonuses, even in the current economic/oil-price conditions. Im not saying you are wrong or I am right, we got to look at the bigger picture. I thought you'd be the first person to know that. |
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Jul 17 2017, 01:39 PM
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#16
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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Jul 17 2017, 01:34 PM) With developer selling at 4 years ago price, many flippers hoping for a quick profit are in for a fix. We are not in the cyberjaya thread are we?I am being asked if I would like to buy 2 properties in one of the serviced apartments there for the owners loan outstanding.. the property was bought more than 5 years ago, no more RPGT, and the owner still doesnt mind letting it go for nothing (he's getting nothing, after 5 years) |
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Jul 17 2017, 04:18 PM
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#17
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QUOTE(axisresidence17 @ Jul 17 2017, 02:24 PM) Sorry I am behind the acronyms a little. What isUUU and BBBb? WI do not know what you guys ar etalking about since I am not an investorQUOTE(advocado @ Jul 17 2017, 03:11 PM) you need to tell us the location/property type/size/built quality at least. we can't tell you should or shouldn't without more info. Well, it is one of the many serviced-residents there. 500+ sq ft, won't mention the exact place though.Also, I dont plan on buying any property in CyberJaya, no offence to them. But I prefer Putrajaya, there is much more food and leisure variety there. The water feature is much more vast, the people are more relatable (if you know what I mean), and as such the food is more appealing to me thatn Cyber's. I got a very cheap rent in Cyber, which is the reason we took it, wife works in Putrajaya which is just 10 minutes away; if I had the choice though, I would have stayed in Putrajaya instead. |
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Jul 19 2017, 07:00 PM
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#18
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6,562 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Kuala Lumpur |
QUOTE(aaron1717 @ Jul 19 2017, 05:05 PM) your concept on the area is too personal already bro.... if you looking a house to own stay... anywhere u think is happy will do for you... haha.... from investment point of view.... its all together a different strategy... having said so... if really wanna invest in property.... cyber or putrajaya will not be part of my option as investment opportunity.... haha.... the population is growing very slow at that location.... hence why it is a very calm and peaceful township... where residents enjoy their peace and serenity and cycling around all day.... isnt that why we buy/rent houses, to live in it? so personal choice is important when it comes to choosing where to stay.Putrajaya > Cyberjaya personally, but both are leagues above Puchon, Saujana Putra, Bangi, Kajang, etc. which are also nearby. Investment properties are a whole different game compared to personal location choice, but one thing for sure is that there are too many empty properties here in Cyberjaya which may make it unappealing to some investors - short and long term. But it is funny how there are still properties being launched here, angled for the investor market, while the population density is still very low and very slowly climbing |
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Jul 20 2017, 05:40 PM
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QUOTE(Veda @ Jul 20 2017, 05:20 PM) Hahaha, where have you been? Shares performed very well this year. I plan to buy more if there's a correction. Would you say it is currently a bear or a bull market? You Property Negotiator also play shares meh? Got burned by shares is it? Sorry noob question, I am not invested into shares. |
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Jul 21 2017, 01:05 PM
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#20
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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Jul 21 2017, 12:59 PM) For your reading pleasure. So much primary sources to read when reading your replies... which is good because you back your assertions and arguments up.http://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/ifrs...nsive-borrowers https://home.kpmg.com/content/dam/kpmg/my/i...BroadImport.jpg https://www.pressreader.com/malaysia/the-st...281496455794170 |
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