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 USA Stock Discussion v8, Brexit: What happens now?

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xander2k8
post Feb 14 2023, 11:43 PM

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QUOTE(ozak @ Feb 14 2023, 09:40 PM)
BREAKING: US January CPI +6.4% y/y vs +6.2% expected

Good or bad?

Price changes over last year:

Fuel oil: +27.7%
Gas utilities: +26.7%
Transportation: +14.6%
Electricity: +11.9%
Food at home: +11.3%
Food away from home: +8.2%
Shelter: +7.9%
Overall CPI: +6.4%
New cars: +5.8%
Gasoline: +1.5%
Used cars: -11.6%
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Bad in terms of Core CPI πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ

I already expected this will happen for January after the Dec numbers was announced πŸ‘

QUOTE(ChAOoz @ Feb 14 2023, 09:43 PM)
Seemed like inflation is persistent. So probably more or longer tightening is required. Not good but also not super bad.
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That is why don’t be so confident going down so soon as today numbers has suggested

So now another 3 rounds of raising rate is expected instead of 2 πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ

xander2k8
post Feb 15 2023, 03:49 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Feb 15 2023, 02:10 PM)
https://www.theedgemarkets.com/node/655296

The Omaha-based conglomerate cut its holdings of TSMC’s American depositary receipts by 86% last quarter to 8.29 million, valued at US$617.7 million, according to the latest 13F filing.

** for those keeping track: Last Nov: Warren Buffett’s company buys $4 billion stake in Taiwanese chip giant TSMC **

Not bad eh?

Brka buys, ppl follow, stock goes up, brka sells...  rolleyes.gif

but yeah....

user posted image

I guess not many will complain .... for now  laugh.gif
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Those who copy will get burnt faster because 13f is delay filling while news are lagged because by then the buying price will be higher and selling will be lower πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ as most news are post market

Instead of copying buy BRK.B would be a better choice
xander2k8
post Feb 16 2023, 09:40 AM

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QUOTE(greyPJ @ Feb 16 2023, 09:30 AM)
this kind of decision 99% we ll get it wrong.
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Not wrong if you average it out πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ
xander2k8
post Feb 16 2023, 05:48 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Feb 16 2023, 01:28 PM)
And my 3 sen question: For a 3 month scorecard, buying 3 selling 8, whatever happened to his Warren Buffett's own advice of not over trading?

rolleyes.gif
https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/01/15/t...in-2023-accord/

user posted image
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Consider it is small trade since last year only been buying more Oxy then otherwise the whole year it is been quiet πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ

Why sell TSMC because he is worried about China going to war with Taiwan πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ
xander2k8
post Feb 17 2023, 02:38 PM

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QUOTE(ozak @ Feb 17 2023, 09:17 AM)
Producer Price Index (PPI) +0.7% above the +0.4% expected.

Market down.

People still spending. Destroy FED mission.  sweat.gif
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Old news from last night πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ

Wait for March meeting for another 50bps Fed hike
xander2k8
post Feb 18 2023, 06:17 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Feb 17 2023, 11:09 PM)
It's finally pulling back..I guess no bulls want to park their money over the long weekend.

General market now pulling back down since the last CPI announcement. It's been quite resilient sucking all the FOMO money in.
But, I don't think it's enough yet.

Need to see another 5~10% down till next month numbers before the FOMC meeting again.

I want to see if Fed will still go with 25bps or perhaps even... 50bps to shock 'em.  devil.gif
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Confirm 25bps already priced in πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ from the plot graph already tells you

50bps camp are all none voting members hence markets read into too much

The market will go back where we started for the year before March meeting
xander2k8
post Feb 22 2023, 04:07 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Feb 21 2023, 11:37 PM)
Walmart and Home Depot outlook not quite good...

We're going down for sure..  tongue.gif
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Already going down since last week πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ until March Fed meeting then we will know
xander2k8
post Feb 25 2023, 03:29 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Feb 24 2023, 11:08 PM)
Finally, end of week, option expiration! 
Bears are powerful again!  flex.gif
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The floodgates has started now and the buying window is getting nearer now πŸ‘
xander2k8
post Mar 1 2023, 11:13 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Mar 1 2023, 05:00 AM)
These 2 days, pretty low volatility... -0.5 to +0.5%.  hmm.gif
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End of month and waiting for market impacting data this week
xander2k8
post Mar 2 2023, 05:19 PM

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QUOTE(Lon3Rang3r00 @ Mar 2 2023, 12:20 PM)
What to expect next? for falls?
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Of course πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ low volatility because no market moving data until Friday

We are in holding pattern till March 22
xander2k8
post Mar 4 2023, 04:35 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Mar 4 2023, 04:59 AM)
Very bullish tonight for end of the week... long engulfing green candles,
and it erased the week loss but is this a trap for next week?  sweat.gif
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Confirm trap as next week is back to data week

QUOTE(adam1190 @ Mar 4 2023, 02:01 PM)
Looks like it will be bull market from now on
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Don’t be so confident because this week is no market moving data week wait for next week and the next 2 weeks for it to go down again πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ
xander2k8
post Mar 5 2023, 01:11 AM

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QUOTE(adam1190 @ Mar 5 2023, 12:06 AM)
I think February inflation data will be good for the market as oil price did come down during February.:
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Not necessary true because oil price is only covers 1/8 roughly on CPI data whereby housing, food, communications and medical care covers close to 65% of the CPI hence oil doesn’t impact as what you think before in this inflationary environment πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ

Most likely the reading will show stable inflation numbers with no signs of disinflation yet even though the trend is starting to show
xander2k8
post Mar 6 2023, 06:22 PM

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QUOTE(ozak @ Mar 6 2023, 04:10 PM)
It been bull market since early Jan. Higher high and higher low. Bunce off at 200ma.
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Yeah and sideaways with 200DMA slight breach last week

This week gonna be messy once market moving data is back in action
xander2k8
post Mar 7 2023, 04:44 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Mar 7 2023, 04:23 AM)
INTC finally gets a sell call by JP Morgan. They finally decided to give up on it.

https://www.barrons.com/articles/intel-stoc...ing-51668173488
It's crazy, sometimes dunno what these analysts are drinking. Only have the stock has dropped over 50%,
then, they telling their investors to sell.  It had a price target of 64.. now 25.
Like that anybody can do it..how to lose your shirts fast. doh.gif
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Those who holding since pandemic time would be crying now πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ
xander2k8
post Mar 8 2023, 02:19 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Mar 8 2023, 12:26 AM)
user posted image

Powell in hot seat with Congress for 2 days...
If market sense anything wrong coming from him, it could mean bears will be free to roam.  biggrin.gif
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Very good because my buying window is this week for a few defensive shares πŸ‘
xander2k8
post Mar 10 2023, 07:31 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Mar 10 2023, 04:46 AM)
Wow... Bears are ferocious tonight!  sweat.gif
Glad to escape the traps!

Gotta to watch for the jobs numbers tomorrow. Will get more opportunity after that.
US mortgage rates spiked to 7%.
I think we're going go back to 50bps this month, maybe can get  5.25%-5.5% for Fixed Deposits.  brows.gif
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Just manage to sell off my gains early this week and now my window to buy again πŸ‘

QUOTE(adam1190 @ Mar 10 2023, 05:44 AM)
Yea it was a rally during the beginning of the session before I went to sleep, really unpredictable for
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SVB news was out in the afternoon hence affected the banks and a lot growth tech stocks

QUOTE(ChAOoz @ Mar 10 2023, 08:39 AM)
Im looking for another 10 - 15% index discount first. See will that be possible. Pushing the limits trying to time a bottom.

Still frothy in terms of earning valuations imo.
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Wait till March 22 possible another 10% easily but 15% will be difficult

3700 is the key to hold now

QUOTE(danmooncake @ Mar 10 2023, 01:08 PM)
Holy moly!    SVIB lost over 60%

https://www.cnbc.com/2023/03/09/svb-financi...-more-cash.html

No wonder all small caps showing early signs of weakness since early this week. This bank has a lot of money from venture capitalists for small caps companies but they're pulling out now because they fear this bank won't be able to meet their withdrawals obligation.  Hopefully, this won't spill over.
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Spilling over already but oversold reaction πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ

QUOTE(swiss228 @ Mar 10 2023, 01:33 PM)
Hi guys: would you prefer to buy the dip or stay out of the mkt? Actually, I am looking to short SE, as it has a good run up last week. According to a post on Stocktwit, one guy suggested it's $40 billion overvalued. I will short around $78.50. Any opinions?
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Buy the dip if you are long and hold otherwise wait

Short at 80 and then wait for quarter earnings next

Mostly likely will still be around 50-80 range by then
xander2k8
post Mar 11 2023, 05:16 AM

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QUOTE(ozak @ Mar 10 2023, 10:20 PM)

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Wait for next week change πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ

The voting members still undecided
xander2k8
post Mar 11 2023, 11:22 AM

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QUOTE(ozak @ Mar 11 2023, 09:10 AM)
The CEO sell his share few day before.
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He sold it off back in early Feb when the market was roaring at 300+ πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ

QUOTE(Cubalagi @ Mar 11 2023, 09:43 AM)
Lets see if Powell dares to raise 50bps now.
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It would have happened with jobs number in mind but yesterday afternoon when FDIC steps in it would have change his mind
xander2k8
post Mar 11 2023, 12:10 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Mar 11 2023, 11:33 AM)
This one is for the scrapbook....

user posted image
the downtrend ...... pretty darn clear wink.gif
2021 high was more than 750 .....  shocking.gif
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Remember this bank is for startups, VC, tech and biotechs hence why it is similar to tech stocks prices

Compared it with ARKK
xander2k8
post Mar 12 2023, 05:45 PM

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QUOTE(ChAOoz @ Mar 12 2023, 11:14 AM)
I think mostly learn the hard way. Or got burnt and stayed away.

How many active posters from the bull run era left ? Now mostly are all the oldfags that are posting.
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All gone and burnt now πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ

QUOTE(AthrunIJ @ Mar 12 2023, 11:30 AM)
Please lower.

Maneh ready to buy

πŸ‘€πŸ·πŸΏπŸ€€
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Not this week

Wait next week will be even more volatile

If this week can hold 3900 then it will be different but should be in the range of 3880 to 3950

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