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 USA Stock Discussion v8, Brexit: What happens now?

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xander2k8
post Jan 23 2024, 05:23 AM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Jan 22 2024, 11:05 PM)
Wordless, really wordless, the same thing as 1 or 2 years back when it went down to 120-140, I bought there but couldn't bear the negative news and then sold before the huge rebound. This bloody stock is ALWAYS OVERVALUED! I guess my valuation judgement has been really BAD BAD BAD!  laugh.gif
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Not your judgement πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ but your risk tolerance whether you can take it or not

Top up some Broadcom, TSMC and NVIDIA early this year when it is was high but yet hitting all higher highs almost every week but you should see SuperMicro Computer already 60% YTD before this morning fall
xander2k8
post Jan 23 2024, 02:14 PM

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QUOTE(oe_kintaro @ Jan 23 2024, 09:07 AM)
The AI server market is growing, and NVDA AI chips dominate but in 2024, I think AMD will also make gains. There's room to grow for both.
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Now I looking more to buy on software side on AI but the options are very limited at the moment so the hype will on hardware side and this year might be going up but still not as fast as what 2023 upside is

QUOTE(ozak @ Jan 23 2024, 10:26 AM)
I brought NVDA in 2020 after the dip. And never border about all this stupid news.

I read into their business, product and competitors. Since this company is FAANG too (now Mag 7), nothing to worry about. Short term up/down is pretty normal.

When 2022 all time high, I took principal out. Now run on profit+profit.

I never care about overvalue or the stupid news cause this is a repeat history for I go through of All time high again. Nothing to loose either if it dip to 0.

Early last yrs I already ask here "why you guys so early sell away when the AI just start." 
AI still has many yrs to run. Like dotcom before burst.

AMD will take 2nd seat after NVDA. Of course, some competitors will come in looking at so good profit. But NVDA will continue dominate the market for sometime.

GPU chips are still in shortage. Data centers are booming and existing systems are upgrading. Just look at Malaysia now.

Foresee the stock split coming in this yrs if the price keeps going up. Save some bullets after the split if want to buy at a lower price.
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Not just NVIDIA even Broadcom might even split because price action too high at the moment

Just be patient and wait few weeks after split to buy because it might be too volatile when splits happen which opens up all a lot of oppurtunity to buy then
xander2k8
post Jan 23 2024, 02:51 PM

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QUOTE(oe_kintaro @ Jan 23 2024, 02:48 PM)
A rising tide lifts all boats. Between NVDA and AMD, AMD has the lower entry price point atm. I read a recent analyst report that AMD's share for AI chips will increase this year. Certainly last few weeks AMD has given some good returns. Plan to enter on dips.
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Don’t read too much analysts report πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ as they can be wrong as AMD is already overvalued and priced in

If I were betting man I rather put in the beaten and expanding factories of Intel instead as they will undercut AMD easily
xander2k8
post Jan 23 2024, 03:15 PM

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QUOTE(oe_kintaro @ Jan 23 2024, 03:06 PM)
I don't read stock analyst reports only HW and tech analysts to understand the tech landscape.
Intel doesn't have much skin in the AI game yet AFAICT. AMD's advantage is its fab lite approach right now because the game is evolving so fast and implementers may look for a second source to nvda.AI based servers are still a small part of the market only so plenty of room to grow imho. Looking at AI chips plenty of competition from the likes of Meta, Goog etc in designing their own chips, but one common factor underpinning them is they are most probably gonna rely on the same foundry. There's another investment idea there...
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That is why you buy Intel πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ because they have manufacturing facilities as many will flock to them because majority of the chip designers are too reliant on the same manufacturer which will clogging up the manufacturing

In fact the problems is not the demand on the chips but rather the supply chain backlogs which are already happening even before the war in the sea

If you wanna read analysts report you need to read on stock analysts report on the valuation and markets demands while hw and tech analysts reports are only the technological advancement and future roadmaps

But the better the bet on AI would be the shares on the semiconductors equipment as not many of them are supplying at the moment
xander2k8
post Jan 23 2024, 05:25 PM

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QUOTE(oe_kintaro @ Jan 23 2024, 03:58 PM)
In my experience, vertical integrated design and manufacturing is like an albatross. Either you do both in a somewhat mediocre manner or you do either design or manufacturing very well. Integrated manufacturers like INTC are last century. It's very difficult for them to adapt to a fast changing landscape. The days of predictable duopolies with ticktock milestone execution like Wintel are long gone. Wall Street these days prefer one trick ponies that do one thing very well quickly and efficiently rather all in one players. If you are looking for fast gains, i think fab lite is a better stock pick despite the obvious risks, at least in the current environment.
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I am not talking about fan lite πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ but semiconductor machinery provider like ASML or KLA which are better bets than the manufacturer itself

If you own either a combo of NVIDIA and ASML during its low safe to say just keep it ride on the Revolution of this decade
xander2k8
post Jan 23 2024, 05:53 PM

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QUOTE(oe_kintaro @ Jan 23 2024, 05:46 PM)
I was referencing the part where you said why buy intel.

But equipment makers are another good long term play for sure
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Intel if you are willing to gamble because low valuations atm and several factories are finishing soon to cater for AI manufacturing

The best play I did early on was to buy ASML and LAM at very low price pre pandemic and now sitting on the rise and I will just keep on holding until emergency rises

Equipment makers and buying some SMH is good enough for you because you are very risk adverse as SMH movement is not as volatile as buying directly the companies
xander2k8
post Jan 29 2024, 02:18 AM

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QUOTE(ozak @ Jan 26 2024, 09:05 AM)
TSLA price down looks attractive.

Time to load up.
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Still got a way down till cybertruck numbers comes up

QUOTE(swiss228 @ Jan 27 2024, 04:06 PM)
US stocks are extremely volatile, not for the faint hearted or those with funds earmarked for retirement. Why not invest in US S&P etfs? I think they make a better proposition compared to gold. Just asked Daim.
Recently, I started investing in SPLG: apparently a s&p index etf with one of the lowest exp ratio.
Anyone here invest in s&p etf? Or any other US index etf? Please share your experience. Thank you.
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It is not as volatile as you think πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ if you buy the right stocks

Why bother putting US index ETF as you get tax πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ while there is so many Irish domiciled which are lower in tax
xander2k8
post Jan 29 2024, 12:43 PM

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QUOTE(swiss228 @ Jan 29 2024, 08:47 AM)
The tax you referred to: is it capital gains tax or dividends tax? I trade CSPX as well, but the US domiciled s&p etfs trading fees are lower. So, if one is a trader, that would be an advantage.
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Dividends tax and why on earth trading ETF πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ when ETF are instruments to buy and hold

If you wanna trade on the actual stocks itself

QUOTE(ozak @ Jan 29 2024, 12:29 PM)
I don't have the price and don't time the market.

The market now is top and might pull down anytime. With the TSLA dip now, if S&P pull down it will go down further. ~10%.

But this week also alot of important companies announced earnings. The market might go up further if positive earnings.

Let's wait for the clear sign.
If you compare to Bursa.

I get use to US market. So no feeling about volatile.

AAPL is not volatile while TSLA is. 
Kidding? Depend CT?

CT production is still very low and unprofitable even this yrs. But is almost sell out for this yrs production as what TSLA said. But TSLA didn't tell the number.
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You will be suprised with cybertruck gross profit πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ even production numbers are small and given it is even sold out for next year which will be the year they are ramping cybertruck and 25k affordable Tesla which most likely will go up to 30k once IRA monies dried out
xander2k8
post Jan 30 2024, 11:26 AM

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QUOTE(ChAOoz @ Jan 29 2024, 08:09 PM)
user posted image

What an underperforming year  shakehead.gif , especially against the benchmark.

Lucky have to be accountable for no one but myself, if not i would have suffer same fate as all those china bull managers.
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Of course you underperform πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ you are still buying at KWEB lows for almost 2 years going into the 3rd year soon

QUOTE(ozak @ Jan 29 2024, 09:57 PM)
Elon said during Q3, Tesla might dig his own grave with CT.
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Said only πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ remember Elon always wrong since the days he started buying Twitter till now
xander2k8
post Jan 30 2024, 02:51 PM

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QUOTE(ozak @ Jan 30 2024, 11:36 AM)
Didn't adjust your portfolio?  Probably you're hardcore China stock.

Recently I read some fund sifu experience and investment managers like BlackRock already abandoned the china market. Most are frustrated by their tune.
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Look at the past year how many major funds has already closed their office started with Vanguard

The fund outflow is real unlikely to change πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ unless CCP President is pro economy like Jiang Ziamin

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