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 USA Stock Discussion v8, Brexit: What happens now?

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xander2k8
post Mar 18 2023, 04:45 AM

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QUOTE(ozak @ Mar 17 2023, 09:09 PM)
$2 trillion could be injected into the US banking system by the Federal reserve’s emergency loan prg.

You know what that mean.  brows.gif
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Wait for next week when Fed announcement as I am sure they will reveal as well their latest bank sheet whether it is going up again πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ
xander2k8
post Mar 18 2023, 08:26 AM

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QUOTE(Cubalagi @ Mar 18 2023, 06:49 AM)
Market was red. Still not enough?
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Not as red as back in Oct πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ

Still another 10% down to go
xander2k8
post Mar 18 2023, 04:52 PM

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QUOTE(TOS @ Mar 18 2023, 08:52 AM)
UBS in talks to acquire CS.

https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/ub...-ft-2023-03-17/

This weekend will be pretty important for Credit Suisse.
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Likely SNB will force UBS to takeover consumer banking for CS while investment banking stays at CS

UBS wouldn’t want to hold bag of losses of CS

QUOTE(Hansel @ Mar 18 2023, 09:03 AM)
Looks like it's going back to QE days again with liquidity needing to be injected back into the mkt... IT's going to look silly when Feds need to incarese interest rate,.. then 'at the back', needs to inject money into the mkt..
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Even Biden now is at odds with Powell on raising rates πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ

QUOTE(Boon3 @ Mar 18 2023, 11:52 AM)
but yeah .... raising rates will solve raising energy prices?  rolleyes.gif  rolleyes.gif  hmm.gif  hmm.gif

and why is food prices rocketing ?
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Yes by tampering demand on big ticket items like cars and plane tickets

Food prices are now not determined by commodities but actual pass through cost from production to actual delivery costs to consumers which has to be multiple pass through hence every level now is inflated too many times πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ
xander2k8
post Mar 18 2023, 07:48 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Mar 18 2023, 05:41 PM)
All gomen don't like high interest rate. For reasons, why central bank need to be independent else inflation rate risk out of control.
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Remember some central banks are not independent πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ unlike major FX currencies which are more central bank independence
xander2k8
post Mar 20 2023, 03:28 AM

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QUOTE(TOS @ Mar 20 2023, 12:24 AM)
UBS offers to buy Credit Suisse for up to 1 billion USD, all but wiping out CS' shareholder values...

https://www.cnbc.com/2023/03/19/ubs-offers-...es-reports.html

FT reports.
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In fact more now at 3.25billion πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ with 100billion backstop liquidity from SNB expect gold price to fall from here now

https://www.ft.com/content/9fe40e6a-f01f-42...85-7771d305721e

This post has been edited by xander2k8: Mar 20 2023, 03:29 AM
xander2k8
post Mar 20 2023, 01:54 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Mar 20 2023, 09:12 AM)
... and the odds of Powell/Yellen leaving office?  bye.gif

rolleyes.gif
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Yellen for sure soon this year πŸ‘

Powell might be still around until 2025

QUOTE(virulence @ Mar 20 2023, 10:21 AM)
They will win the Pullitzer prize next year  tongue.gif
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Unlikely πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ
xander2k8
post Mar 22 2023, 02:48 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Mar 22 2023, 05:29 AM)
One more day to go for the rates announcement.

What's going to be?
25bps  hmm.gif
50bps  brows.gif
75bps  devil.gif

or they're so afraid of more banks run..

0 bps (skip this time around)  sweat.gif
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25bps for sure

QUOTE(Boon3 @ Mar 22 2023, 07:40 AM)
The have already printed so much moola this past couple of weeks. And who were they actually bailing out in SVB and Signature? Privileged bailout of the rich?

Boden, Yell, Pow all have to go. 

Can I burn some papers and bet on this trifecta? drool.gif
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Biden and Yell has to go for sure πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ but Powell has to stay no matter what

QUOTE(ozak @ Mar 22 2023, 09:18 AM)
Buy buy buy

70% - Pause hike tongue.gif
30% - 25bps
0% - 50bps

Inflation is sticky and takes a longer time. Inflation is not urgent anymore but the Bank run. 

Fed balance sheet is up >8.6m since the beginning march. Pump money back into the market. Bonds to the moon. Banks save.

Dollar down. Gold and crypto are up. Stocks still in interest high feeling. Weighing it down.
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Gold dropped already πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ signalling a hike is imminent at 25bps
xander2k8
post Mar 23 2023, 12:49 PM

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QUOTE(thkent91 @ Mar 23 2023, 08:17 AM)
Wah. So many sifu here
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No sifu but the current Fed voting members are predictable except 2 of the members

QUOTE(Cubalagi @ Mar 23 2023, 11:34 AM)
Even last night can see Fed seriousness goyang already.

Just early this month, Powel was talking tough like want to hike 50bps. Now only do 25bps.
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A lot of change in the language and the tone as well

In fact QnA this round shorter than before

QUOTE(Boon3 @ Mar 23 2023, 11:37 AM)
Bungkus lah.

On the brighter side, Yell made him look good....!!!

So can raising rates bring down the soaring energy prices?
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Yes by tampering expectations on high and big purchases

QUOTE(Boon3 @ Mar 23 2023, 12:12 PM)
And I wonder ... if stopping the war in Ukraine will have any impact on inflation?

wink.gif
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Stopping the war is one thing πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ the bigger problems is supply chain mismatch and expectations

Even after stopping the war more money is needed to rebuild so it that it will take time to recover

Best example after WW2 it took America until after the Korean War then the economy start booming then
xander2k8
post Mar 24 2023, 05:24 PM

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QUOTE(bcombat @ Mar 24 2023, 08:12 AM)
Expectation only πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ and inflation can still go higher from here

QUOTE(virulence @ Mar 24 2023, 10:27 AM)
Fed Res is close to a pause and that's when the market will crash & official recession.
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Not as close as what you think as disinflation hasn’t even started yet πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ
xander2k8
post Mar 24 2023, 07:28 PM

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QUOTE(Cubalagi @ Mar 24 2023, 07:22 PM)
European banks are very red today.

Financial crisis continuing?
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Yes now Deutsche Bank affected with AT1s drawdown again πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ

Wait for the weekend to see the actual impact
xander2k8
post Mar 25 2023, 05:15 AM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Mar 24 2023, 08:09 PM)
And not forgetting MaGa. biggrin.gif

Create a financial crisis and recession, just to battle inflation?

MaGa for the win! SCREW the world.

LOL!
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MaGa not relevant now

Biden is the idiot who dared Russia to start a war and they did cause inflation because of it πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ
xander2k8
post Mar 25 2023, 06:37 PM

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QUOTE(Cubalagi @ Mar 25 2023, 02:10 PM)
They can try things like reduce govt spending

Or maybe push for less conflict?

But I guess these are impossible
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Not possible with the current govt πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ

They will just spend to protect their interests and remember why they are pushing for conflicts because American govt is broke now hence they are pushing for conflicts and arms abroad by extracting more money from their Allies in NATO+ in order for their war machine and their defence contractors funded by them ranging from missiles to submarines
xander2k8
post Mar 26 2023, 02:16 AM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Mar 26 2023, 01:28 AM)
The objective of NATO is to deter USSR and Warsaw pact. It is Russia aggressiveness that push previously neutral Sweden and Finland to join NATO. It is NATO countries interest to support Ukraine.

U.s  is one of the few countries in the world that could benefit from war effort. Hence,  u.s is not hesitate to engage in or support war against adversary. For certain, u.s gomen is not broke. U.s fed qe showed, u.s could literally print any amount USD it's desire.

Russia GDP is about the size of Italy or California. Russia resources will likely deplete faster than the u.s. and e.u.
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US is broke as they will never be able to repay the debt πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ

The only thing they have is the war and money printing machine hence will make use of it whenever is possible

The war only benefits those private contractors who manufacture the war machine hence USA will force the conflict and when is done they will take advantage later to get Ukraine to repay as to why they started sanctions on Russian offshore assets to make use of it while leaving pity excess to Ukraine πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ

Btw California is the 5th largest economy behind Germany and ahead of India while Russia is ninth ahead just slightly of Italy
xander2k8
post Apr 3 2023, 02:51 PM

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QUOTE(Davidtcf @ Apr 3 2023, 11:31 AM)
should I buy some stocks now like S&P500, Amazon etc or wait?

Prices keep going up these few days. Feel they will crash back down again soon. Due to this news:
https://www.barchart.com/story/news/1559468...-pressures-ease
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Why on earth you buy based on reading the news πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ and by the time you read the news you already missed the boat

QUOTE(Ramjade @ Apr 3 2023, 12:21 PM)
One simple question why are you not buying when it's down and why do you want to buy now when it's on the way up?

Only you can answer the question. I was buying on the way down and now I enjoy the ride up and continue collecting cash on the sidelines.
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Agreed πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ even the Oct down not many willing to buy as ppl will tend to buy and FOMO when it is up buying to the upside
xander2k8
post Apr 3 2023, 08:37 PM

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QUOTE(Davidtcf @ Apr 3 2023, 06:58 PM)
Now suddenly got extra cash.. Earlier don't have. Nvm I'll wait a while and see. This bullrun won't last imo. Just a short burst before dropping again.
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If you start timing the market πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ good luck to you as we know when the bull run

You will be allocating and fixed a price to buy rather than wait πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ
xander2k8
post Apr 4 2023, 03:33 PM

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QUOTE(ivanpei @ Apr 4 2023, 09:14 AM)
If it looks cheap, just buy IMO. 30% percent below intrinsic value for bluechips can buy already. If it drops more, it's just an opportunity to buy more. Long term will be ok one. Waiting for it to drop even more is just being greedy.
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How you determine blue chips? Some blue chips can fell more than that as shown recently πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ
xander2k8
post Apr 5 2023, 04:27 AM

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QUOTE(bcombat @ Apr 4 2023, 10:18 PM)
user posted image
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What’s going on with the GLD upside now πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ

Bought too little yesterday πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ
xander2k8
post Apr 5 2023, 02:06 PM

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QUOTE(Davidtcf @ Apr 5 2023, 09:45 AM)
lucky I waited, end of month/beginning of month usually pumped up by big wallstreet players.

job report lower than expect. Recession fears now inbound:
https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market...bs-data-3048442
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Nothing to do with pumping by market makers πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ as they can pump whenever they want to play the market

It is more due to job numbers and inflation data plus Fed balance sheet report release πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ

QUOTE(Boon3 @ Apr 5 2023, 11:01 AM)
Funniest thing in Msia is that I see a lot of ev owners talking and talking how cheap to drive outstation...

Mind blowing for me.... Cos these cars aren't cheap in the first.... All these savings.. for even 10 years... does it justify the price they paid for their fancy cars?
... but yeah....lots of squeezes here and there... playing them squeezes might be an idea for u....

Cheers
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It is more silent whistling around while paying more imported tax and depreciation to themselves instead πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ
xander2k8
post Apr 6 2023, 11:27 AM

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QUOTE(Davidtcf @ Apr 6 2023, 09:43 AM)
hope China is not stupid not to launch a war against Taiwan.
US will definitely help out Taiwan which results in a big war. Maybe other countries will join in too.
Whole world economy will go haywire that time if this happens.
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China will definitely launch a soft war 1st against Taiwan and matter is when

Any war happens the world will go haywire πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ just like now with inflation
xander2k8
post Apr 7 2023, 05:43 AM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Apr 6 2023, 08:44 PM)
Historically, CCP will not hesitate to engage in foreign conflict when facing domestic discontent.
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What domestic discontent πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ Last years protest shows that Xi is weakening and look at what Taiwan did now but no response unlike Pelosi visit within an hour fighter jets were scrambling around Taiwan πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ

If Xi can’t fix the economy this term expect him hung down even by his loyalists πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ

QUOTE(square2 @ Apr 7 2023, 12:25 AM)
too many B40 and M40 already started to live a comfortable life in china. who wants to go war except cccp party? most of the world, patriotism is dead

any war between them, asean will benefit the most
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ASEAN won’t benefit πŸ€¦β€β™€οΈ India is the biggest beneficiary even before ASEAN

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