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 STOCK MARKET DISCUSSION V150

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SGSuser
post Jan 8 2021, 12:56 PM

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tg 3.50 topic to be continued on another day laugh.gif
Rinth
post Jan 8 2021, 12:58 PM

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QUOTE(skty @ Jan 8 2021, 12:41 PM)
got. I already say don't need to worry about RSS ma...

those are good catalyst for price surge...

there is no one can manipulate the price forever... no one can fight against free market... not even government...

you can see those who can calculate the value of the business, will start coming in already as the margin of safety has surfaced.

bare in mind there is only 4% quota for RSS. How long can they keep doing RSS before they concede to losses?  brows.gif

there is no way to see they reduce the SS. We can only see it when SS happen.

this need to have experience to see the way they do SS. Foreign and local fund managers big difference.
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not worrying at RSS.....just want to learn along the way and when the RSS/PSS reduced to minimum level like last month, the stock price at what level...


squarepilot
post Jan 8 2021, 01:00 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Jan 8 2021, 12:56 PM)
MYR devaluation will likely lead to consumer price inflation.
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Malaysians like to syok sendiri

every tom dick and harry earning 20K as admin clerk and grab driver

high income nation achieved

if turkey is on this direction, why malaysia won't follow? especially with the deprived oil price that will further dampen petronas revenue
squarepilot
post Jan 8 2021, 01:03 PM

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QUOTE(SGSuser @ Jan 8 2021, 12:56 PM)
tg 3.50 topic to be continued on another day laugh.gif
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Frankly speaking. do you think it will reach 3.50?

if you want to buy a double story terrace in KL, for sure you will low ball the seller first right?

but doesn't mean 2nd liner price will remain strong whistling.gif
annoymous1234
post Jan 8 2021, 01:06 PM

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QUOTE(MedElite23 @ Jan 8 2021, 12:44 PM)
Hello uncle, I’m still holding tight tight with both ears closed to filter out the noises haha.. maybe some of us are talking less about it now because we’re tired of justifying our investment decision,time will tell if we’ve made the right decision, at the end we either earn money or learn experience  rclxm9.gif

On the side note, it does suck to see the division between glove holders vs glove haters vs side liners. I mean..if you don’t buy the story you don’t have to rub salt on ppl’s wound, apparently that’s what some people like to do..deriving joy from seeing ppl lose money  biggrin.gif
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glove haters hate it when u call them haters. Although they do hate it.
HereToLearn
post Jan 8 2021, 01:08 PM

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QUOTE(Syie9^_^ @ Jan 8 2021, 11:48 AM)
need a 70% crash...be it stock, other assets then can feel the impact on property.

only 1/3 to the game.  laugh.gif

(drain the swamp- DT), destruct the cashflow...everywhere.

You`ll see some running naked already.
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Malaysia property already dropping without needing the stock market to crash
icemanfx
post Jan 8 2021, 01:15 PM

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QUOTE(squarepilot @ Jan 8 2021, 01:00 PM)
Malaysians like to syok sendiri

every tom dick and harry earning 20K as admin clerk and grab driver

high income nation achieved

if turkey is on this direction, why malaysia won't follow? especially with the deprived oil price that will further dampen petronas revenue
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malaysian is bestest in syok sendiri.

many may not be earning 20k but live or behave like earning 20k. for reasons, household debts is at elevated level.

for reasons, myr devalued against usd, sgd, hkd, jpy, chy, thb, etc for >30 years and continue.

icemanfx
post Jan 8 2021, 01:17 PM

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QUOTE(annoymous1234 @ Jan 8 2021, 01:06 PM)
glove haters hate it when u call them haters. Although they do hate it.
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logically, gloves haters should be those are trapped at high level and under water, not bystander.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Jan 8 2021, 02:09 PM
Boon3
post Jan 8 2021, 01:18 PM

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We have CIMB and TA Securities already valuing based on FY22 numbers already, which isn't surprising considering the next quarter, TG is already reporting its Q2 FY 2021 numbers already.

Now the numbers used in the table are from TG's own table...

user posted image

Now using the fy 2022 estimates profits from TG table, we have the following table....

NOSH used here is 8.2 billion shares

user posted image

so for example... IF we think/assume the boys/gals from CLSA has always the most consistent/most fair estimates then using CSLA estimate profit of 4.135 billion will equate to an eps of 50.43 sen.


Now we can use the table ... maybe in the following way...

1. Now if we think TG should trade based on a 17x PE, then based on CLSA numbers, TG should be worth ..... 6.05 sweat.gif sweat.gif

2. Or if we say... we wanna go fishing ... we think a 10x fy21 eps is a good fising price... then we should fish TG when it's around 5.00 as suggested by the table....

3. Or based on current price ... we want to know based on fy 22 eps, what's the current PE? well, the table suggests 11.9x ..

4. Fart this nonsense table.... now is 2021.... TG should be valued based on 2021 numbers. laugh.gif


icon_rolleyes.gif




*** bookmark TG FY21 estimate tables ***

ChAOoz .... comments? smile.gif

This post has been edited by Boon3: Jan 8 2021, 06:51 PM
squarepilot
post Jan 8 2021, 01:25 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jan 8 2021, 01:18 PM)
» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «
Top glove PE before Covid was around 25-35

Harta was around 35-50
ry8128
post Jan 8 2021, 01:27 PM

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The tech stock that I go in big last month is slowly climbing smile.gif

Value investing still is the best!
Boon3
post Jan 8 2021, 01:27 PM

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QUOTE(squarepilot @ Jan 8 2021, 01:25 PM)
Top glove PE before Covid was around 25-35

Harta was around 35-50
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Then multiple by 23x lo

If you like 30x...also can what.

50x also can.


I draw picture... do your own colouring lo
Sherman Kong
post Jan 8 2021, 01:28 PM

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Any Sifus kind to explain what is short selling in plain words?

( tried google but sill confused)
Syie9^_^
post Jan 8 2021, 01:32 PM

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QUOTE(HereToLearn @ Jan 8 2021, 02:38 PM)
Malaysia property already dropping without needing the stock market to crash
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need to rub more salt to the main steak icon_idea.gif
Syie9^_^
post Jan 8 2021, 01:37 PM

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QUOTE(Sherman Kong @ Jan 8 2021, 02:58 PM)
Any Sifus kind to explain what is short selling in plain words?

( tried google but sill confused)
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In BM, you pendekan, lepas tu jual. biggrin.gif

Nothing will go up forever, and this trick better thought by your brokerage firm OR very experience proven trader. Sifu, is overexaggerated titled given in Southeast Asian to mesmerizing the intelligence of others, but when all failed like KYY it became Arsehole.

» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «


This post has been edited by Syie9^_^: Jan 8 2021, 01:38 PM
Syie9^_^
post Jan 8 2021, 01:38 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jan 8 2021, 02:57 PM)
Then multiple by 23x lo

If you like 30x...also can what.

50x also can.
I draw picture... do your own colouring lo
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i like 1000X tongue.gif Can draw the line? brows.gif
Syie9^_^
post Jan 8 2021, 01:39 PM

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QUOTE(ry8128 @ Jan 8 2021, 02:57 PM)
The tech stock that I go in big last month is slowly climbing smile.gif

Value investing still is the best!
*
JCY? confused.gif
prophetjul
post Jan 8 2021, 01:40 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jan 8 2021, 01:27 PM)
Then multiple by 23x lo

If you like 30x...also can what.

50x also can.
I draw picture... do your own colouring lo
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laugh.gif

P/E is shiok sendiri.
ry8128
post Jan 8 2021, 01:40 PM

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QUOTE(Syie9^_^ @ Jan 8 2021, 01:39 PM)
JCY? :confused:
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Jcy is stale oledi, and I didn't go in big cos I am using ta. And I am suffering losses now, lol

The stock I go in now is based on fa brows.gif
infested_ysy
post Jan 8 2021, 01:40 PM

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QUOTE(Sherman Kong @ Jan 8 2021, 01:28 PM)
Any Sifus kind to explain what is short selling in plain words?

( tried google but sill confused)
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QUOTE
Short selling is a fairly simple concept—an investor borrows a stock, sells the stock, and then buys the stock back to return it to the lender. Short sellers are betting that the stock they sell will drop in price.


Which part of this paragraph do you not understand?

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