QUOTE(AVFAN @ Apr 1 2020, 09:53 PM)
why AA is not 10 sen? here we go...
Wild speculations... imo.
Not to say never or not possible but some thoughts...
1.Khazanah owns major stake in MAS. Over 69%. Khazanah owns nothing in AirAsia.
Can Khazanah bail out both airlines? Why should it bailout out AA when it has such a huge stake in MAS?
2.Tony and side kick alone owns 60%+ in AirAsia. 60% plus.
Think about it. All the speculators is hoping that the gov bailout 2 person while many in the country, esp the small business are collapsing?
To make matters worse is when one thinks about it. Especially how Tony and his sidekick enlarged their shareholding because of that one private placement recently. And after that special privileged placement of shares, AirAsia gave out obscene special dividends. Think about it...
3. Most of the planes had been sold to the lessor company. So what kind of assets does AA have really? Lease liability is over 12 billion.... Well they used to owe banks in similar amounts...
4. Rest of the stakes are ikan bilis size. EPF is no longer a substantial shareholder.... Again a bailout makes no sense the country is basically bailing out 2 person..... Anyone ok with this?
5. Rights issue... this is probably the logical way to go. But then... is this the way? Would Tony say this is the way. He and his sidekick owns more than 60%... Would they and could they afford to do the rights way?
Rights issue is different meat. It requires topping up more money for a badly managed company. If a speculator bets say 10 million on AA. The rights issue might require the speculator to double their bet to 20 million... And the obvious question is could they afford it and would they be OK betting 20 million in it, more so the rights issue would require the speculator to be committed to the bet for a much longer period of time?
Side note... witnessed occasions where local investors lost mega millions due to rights issue! Cavaet.
6. The other option of course is to placed out a new block of shares. Any takers?
7. The area of focus is really their hedging. Said it to many times already.....
This post has been edited by Boon3: Apr 2 2020, 10:47 AM