Welcome Guest ( Log In | Register )

Bump Topic Topic Closed RSS Feed
123 Pages « < 88 89 90 91 92 > » Bottom

Outline · [ Standard ] · Linear+

 USD/MYR drop, V2

views
     
AVFAN
post Oct 25 2015, 02:02 PM

20k VIP Club
*********
All Stars
24,454 posts

Joined: Nov 2010
QUOTE(Ramjade @ Oct 25 2015, 01:57 PM)
So they are indirectly trying to prevent US from raising rates?
*
more like can't wait for them to raise.

the way i see it, china knows its economy is slowing, feels urgent enough.

will be happy if fed raised rates so that the rmb will be relatively weaker.

but fed dragged its feet for so long, and now ecb wants to do more qe.

no choice but to move first before it gets too bad.

that's how i read it.


TSwil-i-am
post Oct 25 2015, 03:43 PM

10k Club
********
Senior Member
10,001 posts

Joined: May 2013
QUOTE(hazard_puppet @ Oct 25 2015, 12:13 PM)
this monday i expect rm4.4 biggrin.gif

china lowered their interest rate again really do affect other major currency, what to expect from rm?
*
QUOTE(enticing188 @ Oct 25 2015, 12:24 PM)
4.5 at least i'd reckon
*
If can hit 4.33, m happy alredy icon_idea.gif
SUSenticing188
post Oct 25 2015, 05:37 PM

Getting Started
**
Junior Member
97 posts

Joined: Oct 2015


QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Oct 25 2015, 03:43 PM)
If can hit 4.33, m happy alredy  icon_idea.gif
*
must be earning lots of profit huh? hehe
AVFAN
post Oct 25 2015, 05:57 PM

20k VIP Club
*********
All Stars
24,454 posts

Joined: Nov 2010
QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Oct 25 2015, 03:43 PM)
If can hit 4.33, m happy alredy  icon_idea.gif
*
I think you will be more than happy by tues!



Need to watch out for dev in early dec... That's when market will be very cautious about whether fed will finally raise rates or not and if ecb and Japan confirms new round of QE. And then we watch China again.

The currency wars continue. The oil game continues.

While the big boys play, the small ones get knocked aside.

So, "undervalue", "strong fundamentals" may mean nothing. tongue.gif
TSwil-i-am
post Oct 25 2015, 08:10 PM

10k Club
********
Senior Member
10,001 posts

Joined: May 2013
QUOTE(enticing188 @ Oct 25 2015, 05:37 PM)
must be earning lots of profit huh? hehe
*
Just earn set lunch ony brows.gif
chiongchiong888
post Oct 26 2015, 11:11 AM

Getting Started
**
Junior Member
61 posts

Joined: Aug 2014
Hello sifus! If I change myr to usd lets say when myr is strong and exchange back when myr is weak against usd at money changer counter, can i earn some profits? Or it's negligible unless the difference is very big?
nexona88
post Oct 26 2015, 12:54 PM

The Royal Club Member
*********
All Stars
48,447 posts

Joined: Sep 2014
From: REality
1.00 USD = 4.25007 MYR

1.00 SGD = 3.04686 MYR
nexona88
post Oct 26 2015, 12:55 PM

The Royal Club Member
*********
All Stars
48,447 posts

Joined: Sep 2014
From: REality
QUOTE(chiongchiong888 @ Oct 26 2015, 11:11 AM)
Hello sifus! If I change myr to usd lets say when myr is strong and exchange back when myr is weak against usd at money changer counter, can i earn some profits? Or it's negligible unless the difference is very big?
*
it's depend on how much u change. if juz few k, then it's negligible sweat.gif
chiongchiong888
post Oct 26 2015, 01:43 PM

Getting Started
**
Junior Member
61 posts

Joined: Aug 2014
QUOTE(nexona88 @ Oct 26 2015, 12:55 PM)
it's depend on how much u change. if juz few k, then it's negligible  sweat.gif
*
Thanks sifu!
prophetjul
post Oct 26 2015, 02:12 PM

10k Club
********
All Stars
12,268 posts

Joined: Oct 2010

Malaysian five-year credit- default swaps (CDS) have risen to the fourth-fastest in the world year-to-date as traders bet on the country’s possible default rate.

The cost of compensating Malaysia’s creditors in the event of a default has jumped 118.18 basis points (bps) over the last 12 months, surpassed by only Brazil (+289bps), Greece (+333.59bps), and Venezuela (+2548.28 bps), according to a Bloomberg data.

Data also show Malaysia’s five-year CDS spread was traded at 209bps at 8.46pm last Friday, the fifth-highest in the world after Turkey (253.62 bps), Brazil (460bps), Greece (1,063.98bps) and Venezuela (4,512.5bps).

Brazil is grappling with a corruption scandal embroiling state-run Petrobras as well as accusations that President Dilma Rousseff doctored fiscal accounts, while Venezuela’s fundamental has been rocked after crude oil prices dropped 60% and impacted the country’s revenue.

CDS insuring Malaysia’s local currency bonds rose to its highest since the 2009 financial crisis, with the 10-year government bond yields increasing as high as 4.3% this quarter.

About RM166.1 billion of Malaysia’s foreign-owned debt is in Malaysian Government Securities and Government Investment Issues, making up around 30.4% of the government’s total debt.

Negative news have caused speculators to hedge bets on Malaysia’s default rate, said Lee Tien Xiang, an analyst at Fundsupermart.com, an international retail investment advisory.

“CDS traders are speculating on an increased probability that Malaysia will default,” said Lee. The situation is exacerbated by the drop in ringgit’s value and high fund outflows from the equity market, the analyst said.

These developments, however, are making Malaysian government debt papers more attractive to foreign investors, who are betting on a ringgit rebound. “The ringgit is undervalued,” said Gerald Ambrose, who oversees some US$3.6 billion (RM15.57 billion) in assets as CEO of Aberdeen Islamic Asset Management Bhd in Kuala Lumpur.

Aberdeen holds Malaysian Government Securities within its regional funds, Ambrose said.

“Malaysian government debts are an attractive investment for the long term and current yields might go up a bit higher,” said Ambrose, adding that short-term investors could lock in profit from the exchange rate.

The ringgit has dropped about 16% this year alone. The ringgit rose 1.06% to 4.2382 against the US dollar last Friday as Prime Minister Datuk Seri Mohd Najib Razak announced measures to combat declining oil revenues through the introduction of increased “rich taxes” on individuals with annual incomes of more than RM600,000.

http://www.themalaysianreserve.com/new/sto...h-fastest-world

AVFAN
post Oct 26 2015, 02:21 PM

20k VIP Club
*********
All Stars
24,454 posts

Joined: Nov 2010
QUOTE(prophetjul @ Oct 26 2015, 02:12 PM)
The cost of compensating Malaysia’s creditors in the event of a default has jumped 118.18 basis points (bps) over the last 12 months, surpassed by only Brazil (+289bps), Greece (+333.59bps), and Venezuela (+2548.28 bps), according to a Bloomberg data.

Data also show Malaysia’s five-year CDS spread was traded at 209bps at 8.46pm last Friday, the fifth-highest in the world after Turkey (253.62 bps), Brazil (460bps), Greece (1,063.98bps) and Venezuela (4,512.5bps).
our new peers.

the outstanding one in all asia. rolleyes.gif
AVFAN
post Oct 26 2015, 06:25 PM

20k VIP Club
*********
All Stars
24,454 posts

Joined: Nov 2010
QUOTE(Hansel @ Oct 26 2015, 02:50 PM)
Personally, I am not really in favour for the RM to plunge too low. I still have assets denom in the RM. The confidence level for the RM was at, if in the USD, a resistance of 4.40.

Now there is a default bet against the RM,... if a default takes place, say,... in the middle of next year, the RM will plunge all the way down.
*
of course.

we all have interests here, will be disastrous one way or another if it goes to 5.0, 6.0! laugh.gif

just that we do what we hv to do to protect ourselves and not get robbed by bandits.

and.. it is not default... that won't happen so soon but the fear of a possibility of a default. analysts, bankers, traders, insurers all have a way of measuring and assigning a probability and a value to everything these days. biggrin.gif




usd weak today, crude gains, rm 4.22...

TSwil-i-am
post Oct 26 2015, 09:40 PM

10k Club
********
Senior Member
10,001 posts

Joined: May 2013
Foreign workers also feel the pinch with ringgit’s slide
http://www.theedgemarkets.com/my/article/f...E2%80%99s-slide

Will migrant leave M'sia?
TSwil-i-am
post Oct 26 2015, 10:08 PM

10k Club
********
Senior Member
10,001 posts

Joined: May 2013
Ringgit risks falling further if 1MDB issue unresolved
http://www.theedgemarkets.com/my/article/%...solved%E2%80%99

V can expect RM4.50 by year end?
SUSsupersound
post Oct 26 2015, 11:01 PM

10k Club
********
Senior Member
11,554 posts

Joined: Aug 2009
QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Oct 26 2015, 10:08 PM)
Ringgit risks falling further if 1MDB issue unresolved
http://www.theedgemarkets.com/my/article/%...solved%E2%80%99

V can expect RM4.50 by year end?
*
People with no vision will only boast on rm4.50, people with vision will be expecting somewhere like rm4.90-5.20 whistling.gif
nexona88
post Oct 26 2015, 11:05 PM

The Royal Club Member
*********
All Stars
48,447 posts

Joined: Sep 2014
From: REality
QUOTE(supersound @ Oct 26 2015, 11:01 PM)
People with no vision will only boast on rm4.50, people with vision will be expecting somewhere like rm4.90-5.20 whistling.gif
*
seriously ohmy.gif shocking.gif
!@#$%^
post Oct 26 2015, 11:06 PM

Safe Trader
********
All Stars
17,499 posts

Joined: Feb 2006
From: KL
QUOTE(supersound @ Oct 26 2015, 11:01 PM)
People with no vision will only boast on rm4.50, people with vision will be expecting somewhere like rm4.90-5.20 whistling.gif
*
lol. 4.9 - 5.2 is more like ppl who's hoping for big windfall
AVFAN
post Oct 27 2015, 10:02 AM

20k VIP Club
*********
All Stars
24,454 posts

Joined: Nov 2010
QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Oct 25 2015, 03:43 PM)
If can hit 4.33, m happy alredy  icon_idea.gif
*
crude started to resume fall, now at 43.70.

4.33... maybe not today but next couple of days...
Hansel
post Oct 27 2015, 11:54 AM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
9,361 posts

Joined: Aug 2010
QUOTE(AVFAN @ Oct 27 2015, 10:02 AM)
crude started to resume fall, now at 43.70.

4.33... maybe not today but next couple of days...
*
AV,... reached 43.39 now !!

nexona88
post Oct 27 2015, 12:08 PM

The Royal Club Member
*********
All Stars
48,447 posts

Joined: Sep 2014
From: REality
what happen to my reply? blink.gif got deleted wor sad.gif

123 Pages « < 88 89 90 91 92 > » Top
Topic ClosedOptions
 

Change to:
| Lo-Fi Version
0.0364sec    0.59    6 queries    GZIP Disabled
Time is now: 8th December 2025 - 03:19 PM