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 USD/MYR drop, V2

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Showtime747
post Oct 28 2015, 10:30 PM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Oct 28 2015, 10:07 PM)
I see oil price already up a bit..

USD43/bbl to USD47/bbl  rolleyes.gif
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Past week oil price come down from ~48 to ~43, but RM still around the same

3 weeks ago oil ~50, RM was up back to 4.0xxx
SUSWhoCaresMyName
post Oct 28 2015, 11:48 PM

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QUOTE(Showtime747 @ Oct 28 2015, 10:30 PM)
Past week oil price come down from ~48 to ~43, but RM still around the same

3 weeks ago oil ~50, RM was up back to 4.0xxx
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rm correlation to oil always delay, unlike cad correlation always real time match. maybe next week can see usd myr down to 4.0

This post has been edited by WhoCaresMyName: Oct 28 2015, 11:48 PM
SUSWhoCaresMyName
post Oct 28 2015, 11:52 PM

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midnight 2am

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SUSWhoCaresMyName
post Oct 28 2015, 11:55 PM

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Crude Oil Inventories

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prody
post Oct 29 2015, 08:33 AM

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QUOTE(prody @ Oct 13 2015, 03:19 PM)
An oil price of around 50 US$ has seen exchange rates all the way from 3.6 RM/US$ to 4.4 RM/US$.

I would say it was a clear factor in the drop in exchange rate (3.1 to 3.5) when it dropped from 100 to 60 US$/ barrel.

But not so much after that.
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Repost smile.gif
prophetjul
post Oct 29 2015, 08:50 AM

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1.00 USD = 4.29856 MYR
SUSWhoCaresMyName
post Oct 29 2015, 09:19 AM

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usd strengthened after fed maintain rate, need wait until dec 17 again. but usdmyr maintain at good rate.
prophetjul
post Oct 29 2015, 09:22 AM

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Fed has a fetish on a rate hike. However, its all crystal ball gazing.........if they are so shite sure, they would have tightened already.
cherroy
post Oct 29 2015, 09:39 AM

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QUOTE(prophetjul @ Oct 29 2015, 09:22 AM)
Fed has a fetish on a rate hike. However, its all crystal ball gazing.........if they are so shite sure, they would have tightened already.
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There is a bit "over-hype" the rate raised issue.

It sounds like end of world... laugh.gif
prophetjul
post Oct 29 2015, 09:54 AM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Oct 29 2015, 09:39 AM)
There is a bit "over-hype" the rate raised issue.

It sounds like end of world...  laugh.gif
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CNBC likes to hype up events. Stories sells......hyping them up sells better.

Of course they will hike......2016,2017,2018?

Yanks!
TSwil-i-am
post Oct 29 2015, 10:03 AM

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‘Ringgit could stabilise within 4.20-4.30 range by year end’
http://www.theedgemarkets.com/my/article/%...ar-end%E2%80%99

AVFAN
post Oct 29 2015, 10:41 AM

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QUOTE(Showtime747 @ Oct 28 2015, 10:30 PM)
Past week oil price come down from ~48 to ~43, but RM still around the same

3 weeks ago oil ~50, RM was up back to 4.0xxx
*
yesterday, crude went down but rm fell modestly only, not tracking it as closely as it does at times.

today, rm falls when crude went up (due to reports of significant usa distillates draw despite crude stock buildup).

becos there was a major event - fed statement - no hike, few clues but interpretation was "jan 2016".

it was evident that within minutes, usd index spiked against euro and others.

my observation is the usd/rm-crude correlation has been tight, to the minute, if there are no other major events moving the usd.

fed, china, ecb - when these major factors come in, crude becomes a secondary driver.

now that fed is done with "no hike" until dec at least, rm should track crude closely again.

now 4.296, crude 45.80. let's see what happens in the coming days!

This post has been edited by AVFAN: Oct 29 2015, 10:46 AM
TSwil-i-am
post Oct 29 2015, 11:48 AM

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28 Oct 2015 03:40 UTC - 29 Oct 2015 03:43 UTC
USD/MYR close:4.28569 low:4.24716 high:4.32133

Still stubborn to cross 4.30
Hansel
post Oct 29 2015, 02:27 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Oct 29 2015, 10:41 AM)
yesterday, crude went down but rm fell modestly only, not tracking it as closely as it does at times.

today, rm falls when crude went up (due to reports of significant usa distillates draw despite crude stock buildup).

becos there was a major event - fed statement - no hike, few clues but interpretation was "jan 2016".

it was evident that within minutes, usd index spiked against euro and others.

my observation is the usd/rm-crude correlation has been tight, to the minute, if there are no other major events moving the usd.

fed, china, ecb - when these major factors come in, crude becomes a secondary driver.

now that fed is done with "no hike" until dec at least, rm should track crude closely again.

now 4.296, crude 45.80. let's see what happens in the coming days!
*
As of this moment, and from what I was told by my RM since this morning, the world press is now detecting that : The feds are hinting of a December hike.

What I watched and detected early this morning at 2+am was : January 2016. The reading of the hint has since evolved to December now.

Getting a bit tired of this,....

This post has been edited by Hansel: Oct 29 2015, 02:27 PM
SUSlowya
post Oct 29 2015, 02:28 PM

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the topic of concern should be

USD/MYR go up

and not USD/MYR drop
prophetjul
post Oct 29 2015, 03:25 PM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Oct 29 2015, 02:27 PM)
As of this moment, and from what I was told by my RM since this morning, the world press is now detecting that : The feds are hinting of a December hike.

What I watched and detected early this morning at 2+am was : January 2016. The reading of the hint has since evolved to December now.

Getting a bit tired of this,....
*
A hike won't be coming soon. End of.

Patience- Yellen
nexona88
post Oct 29 2015, 06:17 PM

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Bank Negara Malaysia started to take interbank dollar deposits for the first time in September, according to people familiar with the matter.

The central bank is accepting deposits in small amounts, according to one of the people, who asked not to be identified because of company policy. The move will help build up the country’s foreign-exchange reserves, two of the people said.
Hansel
post Oct 29 2015, 06:17 PM

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QUOTE(prophetjul @ Oct 29 2015, 03:25 PM)
A hike won't be coming soon.  End of. 

Patience- Yellen
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Tq, prophetjul.... I have not much to comment anymore except for some observations.... I have been infected with investor lethargy. smile.gif
AVFAN
post Oct 29 2015, 06:38 PM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Oct 29 2015, 02:27 PM)
As of this moment, and from what I was told by my RM since this morning, the world press is now detecting that : The feds are hinting of a December hike.

What I watched and detected early this morning at 2+am was : January 2016. The reading of the hint has since evolved to December now.

Getting a bit tired of this,....
*
yes, more reports now quoting "dec".

tired? the whole world is! laugh.gif

AVFAN
post Oct 29 2015, 06:40 PM

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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Oct 29 2015, 11:48 AM)
28 Oct 2015 03:40 UTC - 29 Oct 2015 03:43 UTC
USD/MYR close:4.28569 low:4.24716 high:4.32133

Still stubborn to cross 4.30
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should get there tmrw.

dow-crude looks like set to give up some gains tonite.

rm should weaken tmrw.

28 Oct 2015 10:30 UTC - 29 Oct 2015 10:36 UTC
USD/MYR close:4.31527 low:4.24716 high:4.32133


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