QUOTE(Mercy Shadows @ Feb 21 2014, 01:45 AM)
I think what will get most investors worried is how WhatsApp is able to make back that money.
For what I understand Whatsapp charge 0.99 cents on their per pay service,
which current 300million users only they might make 300million dollars, but 19billion?
There is no adds or anything like that in whatsapp from what I understand.
They might develop it further since Mark Zuckerberg fail to purchase SnapChat
What I hear from bloomberg this afternoon is that Only 2% of americans uses Whatsapp, most of them just prefer to use text messages. But in Europe, South East Asia, users are up to about 80++%
China on the other hand has a very low user rate as well due to WeChat , and Korean they have their own Chat App as well.
So based on the 2% of Americans and with FB's publicity on Whatsapp, there is a very high chance it can grow.
The valuation is 1 year ahead. At current growth rate of above 1m new uers a day, their estimation is reaching 1b active users in 12 months time. So the income is 1b, and so the PE is 19x.
For me, I won't see it as expensive, really, even if it couldn't give back any profit. Now there is profit, that's a bonus actually. The buying is most benefit from users base protection (if not increment). The highest value on any social network platform is user base, only that can give advertising/trading etc. value to the company.
However, as I said before, I still couldn't understand FB's business model and find this business very high risk since any day when a new cool platform emerge, people will just dump you and switch over to that one because they have nothing to lose and it's easy to switch system since the learning curve is very small, unlike smartphone (many loyal android/iphone users prefer to keep to the same system when they upgrade their phone). So FB is only good for traders, not good for investors (cannot sleep at night).
This post has been edited by yok70: Feb 21 2014, 02:53 AM