I think we shouldn’t assume that all buyers are purely buying for rental yield only (ie there would still be a proportion of buyers buying for own stay).
This development I believe will attract a fairly sizeable proportion of own stay buyers due to its fairly big layouts (considering it’s so central), affordable price psf, affordable net price, reasonable maintenance fee (eg. 35 cents per sqft so for a 3 bed 2 bath unit works out just under RM400), 2 carparks for 3 bedrooms and above (perfect for family of 3/4), nice facilities, good schools, close proximity to big firms for city workers, security and monorail for the occasional trips. I can see this sort of plus points appeal to the current trend with lifestyle living on the rise. Not everyone wants/need to live in a big mansion and would rather save commuting time. Time is money afterall.
I for one wouldn’t want a development that attracts Airbnb operators as it tends to affect the facilities more than a typical residential development.
So with a good proportion of own stay buyers and landlords, the risk of low occupancy is reduced and less competition between landlords. Higher proportion of own stay buyers would also translate to better upkeep of the property which in turn increases the appeal/value.
Nevertheless, everyone loves numbers so let’s do some projections below in case you’re considering to buy as an investment:
Rental RM2800 a month (for 3 bed 2 room unit - I think this isn’t unreasonable considering central KL location and on-going OPUS rates. Also we are talking at least 4 years down the line so who knows what the demand will be when the economy picks up again)
The above rental translates to about 2.7psf, which personally I think it’s a fairly conservative estimate. If anything, 3psf isn’t entirely impossible also.
Maintenance 0.35psf
Average price 700-750psf (depending on your unit selection)
Gross yield (3psf rental, 725psf mid-point unit price, 0.35psf) = ~3.66%
Similarly, on a conservative 2.7psf rental, gross yield is ~3.25%.
Not bad at all considering current FD rates is like what, 2.5%? And FD doesn’t benefit from any capital appreciation.
You’re most likely not buying in cash so the gross yield above will have to be adjusted based on the amount you have invested with your own cash (ie downpayment, fees, etc.).
You may argue that hey, Tesla stocks surged x5-6 this year alone but would you ever apply for a housing loan to invest in Tesla?
Maybe yes if you’re extremely hungry for risk but the majority probably wouldn’t due to stock market volatile. Properties on the other hand are meant to be a slow burner, benefiting from inflation (ie you don’t pay cash in advance to benefit from time value of money - the later you pay up, the better because value of money decreases over time due to inflation).
And the above is only based on rental yield so you may also benefit from capital appreciation. But let’s be real - condos/service apartments asset classes don’t usually appreciate as much compared to landed. Landed on the other hand aren’t the best for rental. So it really depends on what exactly you are aiming for - build a portfolio of income producing assets or a portfolio for capital growth, just like dividend vs. growth stocks.
At 700-750psf, I would think there’s still room for appreciation given all the > 1000psf developments around the city. Even if it stays at this level, you’re still in the money due to inflation. At such an entry price, I think the downside risk is low and manageable.
Interest rates charged by banks are low at the moment too and along with HOC perks, I don’t think it’s such a bad time to consider such a property.
There are macroeconomic concerns of course but this is anyone’s guess. Economies go in cycle so as long as you only buy if you can afford to hold, I don’t think you can go terribly wrong with this. There are also concerns re supply (though personally I think KL freehold properties in decent location aren’t exactly in excess) which shouldn’t be disregarded but again, this is where you need to do some work to your unit to standout from the crowd. Nevertheless, when economies recover, demand will naturally tick up again.
And this property will only be ready in 4 years time at the earliest I reckon, and do you think the post-Covid economy will recover in 4 years time? That’s up to you to decide but I think the odds are higher for a recovery in my view.
For most of Malaysians out there, once reach certain price, they would rather buy landed for own stayers. And this is not exactly a low-medium density development. For a 3bedrooms here, it will cost easily >rm750k nett. most wouldn't buy 788sqft for own stay, which will cost Rm600k. And if they need to drive to everywhere, they might as well buy further away and enjoy better amenities, bigger space, lower density etc at elsewhere.
Based on your Conservative rental figure, it is very obvious that this is not a buy for rental. Frankly speaking, we do not know what will happen in future but if u r banking on future ecpmony recovery, it is a gambling as it is not within your control. Good for you if your gamble pay off. Otherwise... I only can wish you all the best.