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 Car price reduction, what can we expect?

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stix
post May 10 2013, 11:49 AM

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QUOTE(mystvearn @ May 9 2013, 09:41 PM)
Iskandar is a disaster for locals. Before Iskandar, Singaporeans already buying up houses at JB so price goes up. Locals cannot buy houses down south. Iskandar only accelerates the problem. Aside from houses, food also goes up in that area. Friends in JB say SG is taking over JB. Their money is big. So over here they can live like millionaires, drive on PLUS highway at 180km and get cheaper fuel as well.

That is why I do not agree with Najib and what he is doing. He is trying to Londonise KL with that Tun Razak commercial centre thing, also trying to Monaco Johor with Iskandar.

GST takes from everyone, but the poor will feel the most. Actually, the rich pay less than the poor for their food. People who are rich can afford bulk. If rich and in management sector, you will be invited to dinner, kenduri here there, rasmi this and that. Also get saguhati while doing it. If don't like that saguhati, wrap it up, give it as wedding gift to someone else.

I hate GST. Hated it when it was 17.5% and hate it even more when it is 20% (in UK). 2 years ago, just before the VAT goes from 17.5 to 20% beginning 2012, the Christmas sale was "Beat the VAT". So that time you see people make huge purchases to beat it like household items to get it cheaper. Used to it, yes-nothing you can do.
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OOT, but i wonder why governments rarely tackle the issue of poverty by solving the cause, instead of just assisting them. by all means, more handouts/help makes them lazy unless they are disabled or something. that's what this country has become. throwing money on the people.
stix
post May 10 2013, 11:50 AM

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QUOTE(Nyiwon @ May 10 2013, 10:38 AM)
Haizz, went to Sydney for holiday and saw cars there really damn cheap

Toyota Camry cost AUD 30k

Honda Civic  AUD 21k

Come back see malaysia price really want to cry  cry.gif
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yes but do you know the tax structure there? you barely take back 50% of your income if you are earning high.
Nyiwon
post May 10 2013, 12:13 PM

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QUOTE(stix @ May 10 2013, 12:50 PM)
yes but do you know the tax structure there? you barely take back 50% of your income if you are earning high.
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Need to be high earner then only can buy a AUD 30k Camry? blink.gif

Work as part time waiter there also earns AUD 15 per hour.

Do you see any waiter in Malaysia driving a Camry?




stix
post May 10 2013, 12:34 PM

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QUOTE(Nyiwon @ May 10 2013, 12:13 PM)
Need to be high earner then only can buy a AUD 30k Camry?  blink.gif

Work as part time waiter there also earns AUD 15 per hour. 

Do you see any waiter in Malaysia driving a Camry?
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Clearly you don't know the living cost in Aussie. The after service? You think it will be the usual RM200 service that you have here?
eqmal197
post May 10 2013, 02:38 PM

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QUOTE(stix @ May 10 2013, 12:34 PM)
Clearly you don't know the living cost in Aussie. The after service? You think it will be the usual RM200 service that you have here?
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just for share

http://ielanguages.com/blog/cost-of-living-in-australia/
stix
post May 10 2013, 03:22 PM

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QUOTE(eqmal197 @ May 10 2013, 02:38 PM)
Not to be an ass but the lifestyle the author's living aint pretty. Back in my uni days, 1.5k aud were barely enough. Thats like what, 7 years ago. Then there's the rent, petrol, service and maintenance and bills etc.

Some may argue cars are cheaper and yes its true but if you think that you can live a lavish lifestyle and get a m3, then you're wrong. Unless you have a good position and earning big bucks. The grass is always greener at the other side.

This post has been edited by stix: May 10 2013, 03:26 PM
BravoZeroTwo
post May 10 2013, 09:23 PM

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QUOTE(mystvearn @ May 9 2013, 03:09 PM)

When mandatory airbags for new cars was introduced, car makers complain need to charge RM3k more for airbag. Now all settled. Truth is, car makers want to make most profit with least amount of stuff. That is why the vios tin milo edition is still selling very well. Actually it cost lest to put airbag than that especially if you are a huge car manufacturer that buys in bulk. Good thing is that, people are now getting picky with their cars. Those who don't want a Preve CFE (c-segment) are happy with their Kia Rio/Ford Fiesta (b-segment) car. Smaller car, similar price-better brand, better fit and finish. Proton is heading for trouble if do not see this. The trend now is actually small luxury rather than big luxury car. Fiat 500, mini cooper are selling well because they are small and sort of luxurious. Price/car size no longer holds true in future. At the end of the day, unless you use your D-segment Camry's rear seat all the time, chances are the rear seats are in great condition, as most of the time the car is used for getting to work. The only time you will need a big car is balik kg with those kuih raya and a trip to IKEA. If you have family, then yes you will use the rear seats more often. Even then for a working family with 2 kids <12 years, with 2 cars, is better to get an A-segment and C-segment car. The A-segment is the one you use everyday. C-segment only for balik kg, supermarket. Those who can't afford 2 cars, are better off with settling with a B-segment car. Those who can afford may also want the same cars. Husband and wife edition ford fiesta. Can be done. Not sure why it has not been done. My wife and I both use SGS2 (different colours)  laugh.gif  D-segment cars are unnecessary now especially the general trend with each car generation is to grow bigger in size. The only use I can find a D-segment car is to impose yourself onto others. You'd be surprise that people are more willing to give way when they see a D-segment car going fast on highway. Also, another reason of using a D-segment car is to show to others I'm rich.
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What do you recommend to accomodate 4 persons with 3 are 6' feet ? Thanks.
fadzly
post May 10 2013, 09:47 PM

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QUOTE(mystvearn @ May 8 2013, 12:41 AM)
Like I said in paultan. This will be a very long reply...sorry. You only need to understand this once.

Car sales will be like normal-car prices gradually slash-by not much. Lets say that 20-30% removed over 5 years. You will not feel it immediately as newer models of the same make will go up with each model (except for the VW Golf Mk 7 which is the same price mk6-mk7). Price goes up with inflation. Unavoidable. So gomen remove that 20-30%, so the newer model will actually cost about the same as the model it replaces.

It is actually worse in UK. I've been there 7 years.
Car cheap. Petrol £1.40/liter with the gomen there increase petrol prices twice every year by few pence. Then, labour, parts cost expensive. That is why people there, normal service all DIY. Even change broken light also DIY. This is because normal service ~£300. Over here RM300. Our labour is cheap. Who the hell wants to pay RM1.5k for routine service. Also, in UK, there is a 20% VAT on almost every item you buy. However, in UK you can survive with public transport alone. Cannot be done here.

We actually have it way better compared to them. Sure car expensive, but our purchasing power was never big to begin with. £1 = RM4.7x. Rafizi's statement is a populist move. Can be done, but gomen need to be ultra efficient/no corruption. Even if PR come in, Bank Negara will step in if budgets not balanced. PR wants to balance both cashflow and make cars cheap the same time.

Even if PR come in, Proton will survive. There are more than 10k people working in Proton. They have family members. Overall you got at least 30k people working from parts to SC. If you close Proton, who are going to give them jobs. 30k is a lot of people that can vote. Plus that with their sedara mara, any gomen that comes in cannot just close shop.

Rather than wishing "Proton Just Die" better bring in people like DSZ. DSZ was going somewhere. Now it is DRB's problem. Problem is, my sources inside Proton now a lot quit, DRB has a ruthless culture. That is why you see Proton Motorsports fb and Gomen fb website have opening places for Proton. I think I saw that last week. At least 30 vacant places, including senior level jobs. If you are qualified, better apply there. At least now you can help make it better rather than just talk: "Proton just die".

For the next 5 years, maybe current BN can copy the PR manifesto, say we will abolish 70% tax, after increasing fuel price, GST. Bank Negara as the safekeeper non-political organisation will make sure that if car taxes are removed, the nation does not go bankrupt. If PR comes in, and Bank Negara does not agree, the 70% will not be done. Bank Negara already come out with a ruling to for car purchase. Loan based on NET income, not GROSS income. This is done to protect the Malaysian consumer in order not to be in too much debt.

So, a cikgu sekolah, can no longer buy a RM300k Merc/BMW based on the Gross income of RM3k but must minus expenses. So now can only qualify at most a RM 70k car.

Bank Negara also needs to monitor cash outflow, currency levels, attack against currency (forex speculation), market trends. That is why, even though the gomen banyak hutang, as long as the hutang is done in RM, gomen will never go bankrupt. If Malaysia hutang China with RM, Malaysia will never be out of pocket, because Bank Negara can just print more money. The problem is when Malaysia hutang in €, $, £. Now, Malaysia cannot just go print those currencies. Most easy example: Go wiki Hyperinflation, specifically Zimbabwe. That country kena hentam kaw-kaw by UK (mostly) and forex traders, currency worthless-but the country is still working. In fact, if you noticed, from 1 bil Zimbabwe : 1usd, now 10k zimbabwe : 1 USD. That currency fluctuates too much for it to be considered stable. Once Zimbabwe currency is in freefall, the forex traders will buy it back. So the currency will have value again.

This is the same problem faced when Malaysia economic crisis. Tun M go ask people to spend. Logic behind this is if money is not circulated, it is worthless. You got money, simpan under bantal, it does not generate income. At least money in bank, bank can use for investment. Using money during an economic crisis to buy stuff actually is one method to make currency stable. Other methods include devaluing currency. Right now, if you notice, RM is quite strong against USD, GBP, but our currency is actually pegged by Bank Negara. Bank Negara now primarily follows the China Renmibi. I think it is at RM1 : 2 Renmibi or somewhere there. USD not a stable currency to peg on. Renmibi is artificially devalued. US, UK all dah ask China to increase currency. The economic crisis in UK, US is partly caused by China. China keeping its currency worthless, so outflow of currency from UK, US as they import China made items. Now China use it to buy gold reserves, and not importing stuff from UK/US block. So what happens is you see the Mat salleh so poor now. The € currency so bad. China also use the money to develop stuff inside its country, further alienating the Mat sallehs.

Bank Negara sees this, and decides, we will follow China at a 2:1 ratio. Why 2:1? It seems that Malaysia's manufacturing/output/export capacity is worth twice as much as China. That is in simple terms. So we are worth twice compared to China labour. Also, it protects the RM from the Forex speculators quite nicely. So you see that even though our RM: Renmibi may change, it will not be drastic. Of course, we based the currency on the gold reserves, but Bank Negara kind of binned that idea after our currency was attacked. Go wiki Malaysia currency. Malaysia was a key player in Forex exchange. Before the econ crisis, the country was the top 5 player in world currency manipulation. That was how maintained RM value.

If we followed DSAI, borrow IMF, Malaysia will surrender its RM sovereignty to a foreign body. IMF will bail out the country, but RM will no longer ours to control. See the € now. Its more of Germany dominating currency against Greece, Spain, Ireland, Italy, Cyprus. Those countries kna tibai with Germany. Why Germany ok, the rest KO? Germany is a net exporter. IT makes stuff people want to buy. VW AG, BMW AG, Merc AG, all from Germany. China also want German cars don't want some Cherry.

The problem with not borrowing from IMF: our RM reserves was wiped out. More like the Forex speculation Malaysia was happily doing before got wiped off. IMF, and matsalleh say currency pegging is cheating. Actually it is sort of cheating. That time RM was pegged to USD at rate of 1USD: RM4, then lowered to RM 3.8, then RM3.5. After that we pegged to Renmibi. That is why now you see we have better currency to USD/GBP. I went to UK at a time when £1 was RM 7.2. Now it is RM 4.7. Before crisis it was RM 3.8 (best). How is this pegging possible? By controlling outflow of RM. That is why, if you got kids studying overseas, you want to hantar more than RM10k, need to get Bank Negara approval.

I suspect that the US/UK currency will devalue more and Malaysia will remain relatively stable with China. The matsalehs UK/EU/US cannot do anything with China. China allows daily currency trade. At the end of the day, the currency resets to a rate determined by the central bank. Also, China already bought USD 20 trillion of US bonds, at least. That time when USD was before crisis. That Meryl Lynch, Lehman Brothers crisis. Now, China is buying up all the gold it can get. Your wedding ring included. Last I read, China has the 6th highest gold reserves in the world. 1st - still US. Within 20 years, the gold reserves should be on par or surpass US.

So, how is this related to cars?
A lot. RM strength determines how much you pay for the overseas car. Will not matter a thing if you buy Proton. Its local, so foreign exchange means nothing. A stronger RM will allow Proton to source parts at a cheaper price based on exchange rates. Higher RM value=cheaper BMW. Recently, Japan devalued its Yen because its car, even PS3/Nintendo cost too much to make in Japan for it to make a profit overseas. This was allowed by the G8 which Japan was in. Japan purposely devalued its currency in order to make its exports more attractive. If not, it cannot compete with Koreans/China. What does this mean to the Jap people, they noticed that in order to stay competitive, take a currency hit. So making currency worth less, means they need more Yen to import that BMW. Also, the cost of daily goods goes up, if its imported.

So before you hentam the gomen, say UK cheap cars. UK people are paying the price for free trade. The rich people in UK are not affected. Even middle class, slightly affected. Those poor people in UK are worse hit. Oh, about that 70% tax thing. That is just a method used to balanced the prices. Rakyat dok complain memanjang, nanti gomen buat like UK terus ada yang kecut perut. Put GST, let petrol prices be determined by market value. Soon, you will need insurance to enter hospital in Malaysia. Malaysia has one of the best healthcare in the world. Go google UN report. In 2015, there will be no places for Doctors. No automatic places. Need to take test. We have reached developed world status on Doctor:population ratio.

The well off will be ok. The middle class will become the just above poverty level, and those worse off will be merempat if the gomen totally lepas tangan like UK/US. Not subsidising eggs, flour, oil, and essential foods.

This is not my view. This is the world economy.
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Where is the like button?
Ive never come across any comment near as good as this. The nearest would be zweimmk and kadajawi.
This comment should be pinned at the front page. LOL
mystvearn
post May 10 2013, 09:52 PM

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QUOTE(fadzly @ May 10 2013, 09:47 PM)
Where is the like button?
Ive never come across any comment near as good as this. The nearest would be zweimmk and kadajawi.
This comment should be pinned at the front page. LOL
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A bit too much I think sweat.gif

Hope it helps explain about car prices. If anyone ask just give them that.
jayraptor
post May 10 2013, 10:06 PM

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QUOTE(stix @ May 10 2013, 11:49 AM)
OOT, but i wonder why governments rarely tackle the issue of poverty by solving the cause, instead of just assisting them. by all means, more handouts/help makes them lazy unless they are disabled or something. that's what this country has become. throwing money on the people.
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Poverty happens because there is no business opportunity and job opportunities for the people. Also, low salary but high direct and indirect tax through sales of necessity goods and services caused people have not much remaining cash left even with very careful spending.

Since no change of new management, the old usual policy stays and car price will keep increase on every facelift and new replacement model.

Else, we would be getting:
- Camry, Mazda6, K5, Sonata 2.0L at RM90k for D-segment
- Altis, K3, Elantra 1.8L at RM70k
- Vios 1.5, Rio 1.6, Fiesta 1.6 at RM40-50k

Other countries, new FL and new replacement do not increase selling price. Unless model 2005 is low quality substandard model but in 2010 upgraded to quality model on par with Japanese/Conti for quality premium made category.
eqmal197
post May 10 2013, 11:04 PM

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to mystvearn

the comment you post here is the very best i ever read. this should give clear picture how does it effect to related parties about getting the car price lower

by the way, now im copying all of your comment for my friends to read. ask your permission to copyright. hehehehe notworthy.gif

sorry ya
kadajawi
post May 11 2013, 12:10 AM

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QUOTE(jayraptor @ May 10 2013, 10:06 PM)
Poverty happens because there is no business opportunity and job opportunities for the people. Also, low salary but high direct and indirect tax through sales of necessity goods and services caused people have not much remaining cash left even with very careful spending.

Since no change of new management, the old usual policy stays and car price will keep increase on every facelift and new replacement model.

Else, we would be getting:
- Camry, Mazda6, K5, Sonata 2.0L at RM90k for D-segment
- Altis, K3, Elantra 1.8L at RM70k
- Vios 1.5, Rio 1.6, Fiesta 1.6 at RM40-50k

Other countries, new FL and new replacement do not increase selling price. Unless model 2005 is low quality substandard model but in 2010 upgraded to quality model on par with Japanese/Conti for quality premium made category.
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The Fiesta with 120 HP and DSG is around 20k Euro in Germany, with the lowest specs possible. Our Fiesta is higher spec and costs about the same. Admittedly 20k/80k is list price, you can expect around 20% discount. But similar prices.

However you CAN get a Fiesta for maybe 50k, other B segmenters too, but then it will be empty (maybe not even central locking or aircon) and has 60 HP.

There is another occasional poster who writes excellent stuff, but his name currently eludes me.

At university in Germany RM 1500 was enough for one month. Just. But that's as student, so you get a ton of discounts, free public transport, cheaper food (usually 3 to 4 times as expensive), no car, cheap accommodation with free 100 Mbit internet. It would be impossible to even survive on this little.

AFAIK the car with the most legroom is the Skoda Superb. But it might be a bit excessive.

This post has been edited by kadajawi: May 11 2013, 12:12 AM
SoZa
post May 11 2013, 12:34 AM

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Damn mystvearn! You should got an elite tag for that!

Your post is so informative and I learnt a lot about economics!
6UE5T
post May 11 2013, 12:44 AM

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QUOTE(stix @ May 10 2013, 12:34 PM)
Clearly you don't know the living cost in Aussie. The after service? You think it will be the usual RM200 service that you have here?
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And also insurance, it costs the bomb over there especially for guys at certain age bracket and for more powerful cars.
mystvearn
post May 11 2013, 08:15 AM

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QUOTE(eqmal197 @ May 10 2013, 11:04 PM)
to mystvearn

the comment you post here is the very best i ever read. this should give clear picture how does it effect to related parties about getting the car price lower

by the way, now im copying all of your comment for my friends to read. ask your permission to copyright. hehehehe  notworthy.gif

sorry ya
*
Feel free to do so. Sorry if got minor errors. I think I covered the major parts laugh.gif

QUOTE(SoZa @ May 11 2013, 12:34 AM)
Damn mystvearn! You should got an elite tag for that!

Your post is so informative and I learnt a lot about economics!
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blush.gif

Credit has to be given to my socialist friend when I was in UK. I was also ignorant about this. After talking to this guy few hours over the space of 3 years, then I manage to get my head around this currency thing. Another thing about currency to remember is, it is based on something-usually gold. Currency was invented because people got fedup of barter trade, which is not practical. I want A's wheat, B's rice, C's woods. I got a cow. Slightly hard to divide that. So currency was invented. However, barter trade is sort of making a comeback in Greece (which in the € zone) as they have no € to spend.
Read more here:
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2013/jan/0...-poverty-crisis

You cannot say German asses worth more than Greece asses as they use the same currency. The problem with Greece, olive oil/fruits/tourism is not as expensive as that BMW laugh.gif
Trade is essential, if no trade is done, society will just collapse and go back to the prehistoric age. No one can do everything by themselves.
kadajawi
post May 11 2013, 11:44 AM

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A big problem with Greece was an insane amount of corruption and bad politicians who only cared about their own pockets. There is a German saying... After me the floods (as in the Biblical one that erased almost all life on earth). Meaning I don't care what happens once I have left office/am dead.

Basically Greece has money, but it is on the foreign bank accounts of a few croonies etc. People who also refused to pay taxes etc.

This post has been edited by kadajawi: May 11 2013, 04:38 PM
BravoZeroTwo
post May 11 2013, 04:24 PM

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QUOTE(BravoZeroTwo @ May 10 2013, 10:23 PM)
What do you recommend to accomodate 4 persons with 3 are 6' feet ? Thanks.
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mystvearn,
Am awaiting for your suggestion ? Thanks.
kadajawi
post May 11 2013, 04:40 PM

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QUOTE(BravoZeroTwo @ May 11 2013, 04:24 PM)
mystvearn,
Am awaiting for your suggestion ? Thanks.
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@BravoZeroTwo: As I mentioned, the Skoda Superb offers the most space below 200k. Otherwise Polo Sedan and Almera offer a lot of legroom AFAIK (in the B segment, if you need to stay below 100k). Depends on what you need, really. Also, in the Alza you can push back the 2nd row, so maybe then it has enough space?
BravoZeroTwo
post May 11 2013, 06:17 PM

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QUOTE(kadajawi @ May 11 2013, 05:40 PM)
@BravoZeroTwo: As I mentioned, the Skoda Superb offers the most space below 200k. Otherwise Polo Sedan and Almera offer a lot of legroom AFAIK (in the B segment, if you need to stay below 100k). Depends on what you need, really. Also, in the Alza you can push back the 2nd row, so maybe then it has enough space?
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Thanks kadajawi. What do you think of truck ?
kadajawi
post May 11 2013, 06:25 PM

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As in pickups? Isn't the priority there to offer as much space at the back (on the bed) as possible?

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