QUOTE(wayne84 @ May 20 2013, 09:13 PM)
Yea...I dont think Europe will be on track so fast, US market quite rely on data as well, Emerging Market...Inflation heating, slow GDP growth. Asia too hot now, keep on up, up, up...Japan, playing fire. Only left China are in the process of slowly transforming and silently getting stronger. Malaysia, Indonesia, Philippine and Thailand..What if US stop QE 3 ?? Kapom Kapom....so better keep cash.

yes, what if US stop the EQ3?......that would not be in 2017/18 i think....
those big foreign investment institution would have the data/tips to see this....
pay attention to the trading volume, who bought/sell them....and use some of the analyis tool
as quoted by kimyee on page 100; dated May 15 2013, 04:16 PM
"There are a number of ways to get the signal(s), some complex and some simple. I'm not going to mention the complex way as I'm not interested in them. I'm a trend follower, so I just look at price action. A simple one is using monthly moving average (MMA) of the US stock market. I like to use SPY ETF as I trade this regularly. SPY is the ETF for SPDR S&P 500 index. If the 10MMA cross below 20MMA, the market is in trouble. Looking at 2008, it cross in June 2008. There are other indicators to confirm this or even provide early warning such as MACD and Slow Stochastic (SS). SS even provide early warning as early as Jan 08."
eventhough i dun really understand much of the above, but i think that is a more scienctific method.
i believe that if one is always stayed in a locked home because one is always afraid of getting robbed in the streets.....he/she would have missed the world.
never be too safe,...just take some calculated risk.....have some back up plan.
even the best fund managers are never 90% right all the time....where 70% is considered good