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 EPF DIVIDEND, EPF

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Cubalagi
post Dec 30 2022, 10:51 AM

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Epf dividend topic starting to become property topic.
Cubalagi
post Jan 3 2023, 03:59 PM

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QUOTE(Ankle @ Jan 3 2023, 03:21 PM)
Might be I hv overlooked this part. not sure about difference between
early of month and end of month.

Can someone workout what is the difference? Lol
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My understanding is that for new deposits, dividend is only calculated at last day of the month. So if you deposit early in the month, the deposit get 0 interest for all the days of the month except for the last.

This post has been edited by Cubalagi: Jan 3 2023, 03:59 PM
Cubalagi
post Jan 9 2023, 10:34 PM

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QUOTE(Chrono-Trigger @ Jan 9 2023, 10:07 PM)
out of 15 million working  + retired  adults.

that is roughly 0.5% of working adults + retired adults.
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So can call them T0.50?
Cubalagi
post Jan 10 2023, 05:00 PM

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QUOTE(Wedchar2912 @ Jan 10 2023, 02:57 PM)
But EPF should not be the only "savings" one has.... we again fell for the same mistake.

For a prudent persons, EPF is just part of one's portfolio.

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For my retirement fund, I target 50% EPF n 50% outside DIY managed.
Cubalagi
post Jan 10 2023, 10:35 PM

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QUOTE(Wedchar2912 @ Jan 10 2023, 05:40 PM)
I had been wondering about this for a while, but unable to find any stats or public info with regards to proportion of one's networth is in EPF. This would be a great benchmark for reality check.

Of course mathematically, assuming one contribute 11+16% into EPF and in same time, you put in same 27% savings and earn the same type of returns as EPF, one would have 50-50 proportions in EPF vs DIY.

that would be a great overall savings number to achieve: about 50% savings of gross income.
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If you are talking about net worth, then you must include real estate. I imagine thats where the bulk of middle+ age Malaysians assets are.

On your second point, if you have been contributing continously since young adult and never withdraw a single sen, then I think it will be very difficult to beat the size of your EPF portfolio by the time you are in, say 40/50s. Its the effect of the employer contribution and the compounding over long periods of time.

In my case, Im not thrifty enough to save half of my gross salary. I save about the same as my EPF contribution, about 10-15% extra monthly. However, the reason I can get my DIY funds as high as EPF is due to not contributing to epf for a few years as I was working abroad. I also withdrew one time.

This post has been edited by Cubalagi: Jan 10 2023, 10:35 PM
Cubalagi
post Jan 10 2023, 10:45 PM

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QUOTE(prophetjul @ Jan 10 2023, 05:42 PM)
Generally, i am in that portion too.
The DIY part being totally in foreign currency assets, especially SGD and USD.
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You also have a big portion in Gold IIRC?

I do maintain 25-50% in Malaysian investments for my DIY portfolio. Mostly in Bursa. I can switch in and out of MYR if I see opportunities.

This post has been edited by Cubalagi: Jan 10 2023, 10:46 PM
Cubalagi
post Jan 11 2023, 11:39 AM

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QUOTE(prophetjul @ Jan 11 2023, 09:03 AM)
Yes. Gold essentially is USD.
I have been out of Bursa for some time. In a serious manner. I hold some Maybank shares since they were Rm3.
But that's about it.
I trade a bit when the conditions are right. Better than FD.  laugh.gif
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I consider Gold a different currency. It tend to more inverse to the dollar.

Last year was one of the exceptions, as there was downward push due to US rate hikes and upward push due to geopolitical conflict, which resulted in Gold ending the year flat to the dollar. Its still good vs MYR last year, with 6% return, highly likely going to be better than EPF 2022 dividends.



Cubalagi
post Jan 12 2023, 12:07 AM

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QUOTE(guy3288 @ Jan 11 2023, 09:31 PM)
my saving is more than 50% of my gross.
I cant foresee how my EPF can go near 50% proportion.

i  like to believe if one has RM5 million in EPF he cant just be having total of only RM10M.

Like you have 20% in EPF now, i dont see how it can  keep increasing to 50%
as your other 80% money surely cant lose out to what that 20% EPF can earn right?
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Wow..you save more than 50% of your gross salary? Then you should beat EPF.

After EPF and PCB (dont know your tax rate), means u spend only 20-30% of your salary incl for housing, car.

QUOTE(Wedchar2912 @ Jan 11 2023, 10:44 PM)

btw, 50% savings rate is very high... because that leaves only like 20% of one's pay for spending. In this example, it is like 2K monthly spending on a salary of 10K.  Super impressive really.
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2k sounds only possible if no mortgage/rent and single.

This post has been edited by Cubalagi: Jan 12 2023, 12:29 AM
Cubalagi
post Jan 12 2023, 08:07 AM

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QUOTE(guy3288 @ Jan 12 2023, 02:16 AM)
you missed the main point,
sure i know the exact reason why my EPF portion so low
i only dont know why others  EPF portion so high.

what do you think about the saying if you have  RM1 Million in EPF, you  would have many more
millions else where

so more interesting to show some calculations how high income earners
would end up with  EPF money  as 50% of his total asset.

u gimme only rm2k to spend very cruel.
Big saving amount does not mean can beat EPF  return.

Smaller saving amount doesnt mean people cant beat EPF 6% return.

ask Ramjade i am sure he
will tell  you what is  EPF return only 6-7%...too low for him.
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If you can save 50% of your gross income since you start work and regularly beat EPF returns, then of course you can have bigger portfolio outside EPF. Its just simple maths.

Most people cant do that.

During my younger days it was very hard to save at all.student loan, buy car, buy house, save to get married, raise a family. Luckily didnt get into too much debt and didnt withdraw any EPF. Only around mid 30s start to seriously save extra for retirement and learn to invest, with its starting trials and errors. By then , EPF already has a big head start.

Now in my late 40s, my assets are roughly 30% EPF, 30% DIY investments and 40% real estate. Since I dont plan to add any more properties till retire, the property % should shrink.



Cubalagi
post Jan 12 2023, 11:38 AM

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QUOTE(qse6236 @ Jan 12 2023, 11:16 AM)
How likely 2022 epf dividend would be? With the withdrawal allowed during covid pandemic, will it benefit for those stay put one?
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Market was quite bad in 2022 and EPF revenue was affected. I expect low 5s dividend..between 5% to 5.5. %

Cubalagi
post Jan 15 2023, 09:22 AM

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QUOTE(ikanbilis @ Jan 14 2023, 05:41 PM)
It’s just a yardstick for my decision. RM60k whether put in EPF, ASNB or FD is not going to change my financial position significantly.
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You only use these 3 options?

Cubalagi
post Jan 16 2023, 12:22 AM

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QUOTE(gooroojee @ Jan 15 2023, 09:50 PM)

So what's next? Ask to withdraw money from Tabung Haji?
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Tabung Haji is quite easy to withdraw. Just ljke a savings account.
Cubalagi
post Jan 16 2023, 05:15 PM

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QUOTE(Unkerpanjang @ Jan 16 2023, 03:57 PM)
Bro Wedchair,

If USD dumps...I think kwsp dividends will oso drop. 25% in USA denominated funds? But, the dollar milkshake guy, Brent of Santiago Fund n Jim Rickards says many more years b4 it happens.

But how come we only hear Ang moh cakap, we Asians really need to step up le...maybe, it's language barrier.

I beginning to think Jakarta has inclusive culture le....maybe, open roti shop there. Shud be great travel opportunity, big country.....or even Sarawak.
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If USD drops say 10%, but S&P500 up 20%, then it should still be net gain for EPF.


Cubalagi
post Jan 16 2023, 06:53 PM

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QUOTE(Wedchar2912 @ Jan 16 2023, 06:11 PM)
But the problem is S&P dropped almost 20% in 2022
while our ringgit weakened about 6% in 2022. net effect is down 14% almost.

i guess that is financial planners always say that income and expenditure should be in same currency to remove currency risk.
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Yes last year SnP weakened and USD strenghtened..net loss.

So, if.its opposite?




Cubalagi
post Jan 22 2023, 07:39 PM

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QUOTE(contestchris @ Jan 22 2023, 07:04 PM)
Guys what's the expected dividend for Y2022? Can we top 6.0% or are we looking at something closer to 5.5%, or even lower?
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If can touch 5.5%, then its amazing level already.

Cubalagi
post Jan 25 2023, 12:11 PM

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QUOTE(prophetjul @ Jan 25 2023, 11:31 AM)
You should tell that to the capitalist system that you are actively investing in.
That they are abusing the capital markets with their billions.
Hypocritical.
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EPF has a government guarantee, so its not so capitalist actually.

This post has been edited by Cubalagi: Jan 25 2023, 12:11 PM
Cubalagi
post Jan 25 2023, 10:53 PM

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QUOTE(Wedchar2912 @ Jan 25 2023, 10:48 PM)
friend... I understand what you mean. But no way u can get 7.5% just by screwing those above 1 million, even if you set the rate to 0%. There is just not enough funds belonging to those above 1 million.

using the stats of active members (I can't find the stats for all members), funds belonging to those with more than 1 million rm is around 110 billion rm. Funds belonging to all active members below 1 milion is around 616 billion.
how is the div of 110 billion going to double the div of the 616 billion cohort?

have to aim much lower limit.

I think the edge also tried to do so and the difference of dividend is just 2% and that article had to set the limit to like 50 to 100K below and screwing everyone above that. If someone remembers the article, appreciate including it here.

edit: in a way, that's why pyramid scheme can only benefit the top... no "reverse" pyramid scheme can work for long term
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Also can expect the excess to disappear very fast when those above RM1 million withdraw their excess savings.

Cubalagi
post Jan 26 2023, 01:25 PM

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QUOTE(BboyDora @ Jan 26 2023, 12:55 PM)
The difference between rich and poor is the rich has very rich grandfather, grand ma , father and mother or inheritance from the past generations.  Asset producing asset like land, properties, biz etc etc.  The poor...they don't . they have poor grandparents or parents, even worse...they have to bear their parents or grandparents debt . or liabilities of their parents such as medical bills , insurance etc etc.
I may be struck by lighting if i say poor parents will cause their children or their next generation remain as b40. that's what Robert Kiyosaki in Rich Dad Poor Dad try to point out.

https://www.thestar.com.my/news/nation/2023...f-life-or-death

“This (the withdrawals) will burden the next generation if there is not enough money for retirement – especially those in the middle- to low-income group, where children will become the ‘sandwich class’,” said the chief executive officer of Areca Capital Sdn Bhd.
i still stick to EPF thread where the rich can easily have few millions in EPF below 30 years old. House.... bought by parents....car bought by parents...university education....fully paid by parents. so, 1 million in EPF quite easy to achieve right? No? .

yes. No doubt there are high income earners or successful businessman or business woman out there without rich parents. Onlyfans is the way (this is joking k.)  biggrin.gif  biggrin.gif
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Its actually very doable to achieve RM1 million EPF, not by 30 of course, but by 55. Someone here has done the calculations before. U dont need rich parents or even high salary.


Cubalagi
post Jan 31 2023, 10:00 AM

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QUOTE(prophetjul @ Jan 31 2023, 09:20 AM)
Those who think EPF's performance is proportional to the dividend better RETHINK.
It has never been like that.
New government will want to invoke a feel good start for the rakyat.
What better way?
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U have data to back what u say?


Cubalagi
post Jan 31 2023, 10:48 AM

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QUOTE(prophetjul @ Jan 31 2023, 10:04 AM)
Look. There were some obvious great years of earnings. Yet the dividend given is not reflective.
Vice versa, some bad years and yet.
We have discussed this before.
Surely there is some retained earnings in the accounts to smoothen the awards through the years.

EPF is not apolitical. Obviously.
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Well, your statement was so strong that i thought that u have studied their annual reports over several years and can give concrete numbers.

We do know that they tend to give a bit less than their earnings as dividends, putting some in reserve.

However, Im quite interested to know which years they gave out more dividends than their earnings i.e. when they tapped their reserves, if ever. Actual data, not conjecture.



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