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 Singapore REITS, S-REITS

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davidcch07
post Jun 5 2015, 03:06 PM

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M1 | BUY


YIELD BACK ABOVE 5%

-20% pullback from high
-Still positive about outlook
-Valuations are more reasonable

M1 Ltd recently saw a sharp sell-down in its share price, dropping nearly 20% from its 52-week high of S$3.99 to its current price around S$3.21; investors likely spooked by rising interest concerns as well as talks of the emergence of a fourth telco in Singapore. M1 – being the smallest here – is seen to be most at risk of losing market share. Having said that, we note that the company’s outlook for 2015 still happens to be the most optimistic among its peers. In the wake of the recent sell-off, we note that M1’s forecast dividend yield is back up to around 5.8% - the highest among its peers (StarHub would be second around 5%). And while rising interest rates is probably a given, the extent of the rate hikes remains uncertain, given the still splotchy pace of economic recovery in the US. And as the current share price also offers a decent 14% capital appreciation to our unchanged S$3.66 fair value, we upgrade our call to BUY.

elea88
post Jun 5 2015, 03:42 PM

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QUOTE(davidcch07 @ Jun 5 2015, 03:06 PM)
M1 | BUY
YIELD BACK ABOVE 5%

-20% pullback from high
-Still positive about outlook
-Valuations are more reasonable

M1 Ltd recently saw a sharp sell-down in its share price, dropping nearly 20% from its 52-week high of S$3.99 to its current price around S$3.21; investors likely spooked by rising interest concerns as well as talks of the emergence of a fourth telco in Singapore. M1 – being the smallest here – is seen to be most at risk of losing market share. Having said that, we note that the company’s outlook for 2015 still happens to be the most optimistic among its peers. In the wake of the recent sell-off, we note that M1’s forecast dividend yield is back up to around 5.8% - the highest among its peers (StarHub would be second around 5%). And while rising interest rates is probably a given, the extent of the rate hikes remains uncertain, given the still splotchy pace of economic recovery in the US. And as the current share price also offers a decent 14% capital appreciation to our unchanged S$3.66 fair value, we upgrade our call to BUY.
*
yeap.. i bought M1 for the div yield...
Showtime747
post Jun 6 2015, 01:11 PM

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Some business or rich people/family must be dumping RM for SGD in a hurry. For some reasons, they need to convert their money very very quick irregardless of exchange rate.

Only BNM, MAS, the banks handling the transfer and themselves know the story. While we all were left puzzling why it went from 2.69 to 2.78 (almost 3.5%) in a week
AVFAN
post Jun 6 2015, 06:57 PM

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QUOTE(Showtime747 @ Jun 6 2015, 01:11 PM)
Some business or rich people/family must be dumping RM for SGD in a hurry. For some reasons, they need to convert their money very very quick irregardless of exchange rate.

Only BNM, MAS, the banks handling the transfer and themselves know the story. While we all were left puzzling why it went from 2.69 to 2.78 (almost 3.5%) in a week
*
take a look too at usd/myr:
http://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?from=USD&to=MYR&view=1W
myr/thb:
http://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?from=MYR&to=THB&view=1W
myr/idr:
http://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?from=IDR&to=MYR&view=1W
aud/myr:
http://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?from=AUD&to=MYR&view=1W

u will see that rm has lost ground to all of them in the last 1 week, incl rupiah, not just sgd.


Showtime747
post Jun 6 2015, 08:02 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Jun 6 2015, 06:57 PM)
Ya, it is broad base. Not only USD. For USD drop I understand. But the drop vs SGD is more than USD over the past week. That's why my "conspiracy theory" is that the business / rich people knew something is happening and taking quick steps to preserve their wealth. When I made my transfer over the last few weeks bit by bit, my bankers are telling me such transactions are getting more and more.

Just that the sudden surge over this week caught me by surprise. I am too slow my RM kena stucked that's why I butthurt tongue.gif
AVFAN
post Jun 7 2015, 07:57 AM

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QUOTE(Showtime747 @ Jun 6 2015, 08:02 PM)
Just that the sudden surge over this week caught me by surprise. I am too slow my RM kena stucked that's why I butthurt  tongue.gif
*
now, that i can understand.
same surprise for parents remitting college fees for their kids in usa, uk, etc. sweat.gif

anway, not to hijack this sgreits thread, can continue in this rm/fx thread:
https://forum.lowyat.net/topic/3461956/+320
elea88
post Jun 9 2015, 02:41 PM

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today can shopping SGX.
very red.

anyone got KEPPEL REIT?
AVFAN
post Jun 9 2015, 03:59 PM

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QUOTE(elea88 @ Jun 9 2015, 02:41 PM)
today can shopping SGX.
very red.

anyone got KEPPEL REIT?
*
Thought of that, but no more sgd.
All available put in Singtel already, looking fine. wink.gif
elea88
post Jun 9 2015, 05:46 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Jun 9 2015, 03:59 PM)
Thought of that, but no more sgd.
All available put in Singtel already, looking fine. wink.gif
*
i holding keppel reit from 1.20. now at 1.15 tot add in.
I still hv SGD...

today SGX so so RED....
AVFAN
post Jun 9 2015, 06:06 PM

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QUOTE(elea88 @ Jun 9 2015, 05:46 PM)
i holding keppel reit from 1.20. now at 1.15 tot add in.
I still hv SGD...

today SGX so so RED....
*
if u take a look since jan 1 until now, 6 months or so:

sgx, usa flat, gave up all gains.
klci negative, losses.
dax, ftse, nikkei hv gains.
china, hk - party goes on.

gotta be watchful...
Havoc Knightmare
post Jun 9 2015, 06:27 PM

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Picked up Parkway Life at 2.28 today biggrin.gif
Vector88
post Jun 9 2015, 07:45 PM

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wow... banyak red today ....
still hold on to my limited SGD bullets and wait .... smile.gif

This post has been edited by Vector88: Jun 9 2015, 07:45 PM
AVFAN
post Jun 10 2015, 01:28 PM

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reit prices under pressure becos of the on-going bond rout.

us 10yr yield been rising everyday, now >2.45%.

good read about current bonds and currencies situation:
http://www.theedgemarkets.com/my/article/o...trong-greenback
Havoc Knightmare
post Jun 11 2015, 12:57 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Jun 10 2015, 01:28 PM)
reit prices under pressure becos of the on-going bond rout.

us 10yr yield been rising everyday, now >2.45%.

good read about current bonds and currencies situation:
http://www.theedgemarkets.com/my/article/o...trong-greenback
*
The bond sell off should be bottoming out soon. I'm accumulating SREITs now biggrin.gif
davidcch07
post Jun 11 2015, 01:46 PM

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calling SREITS kakis,

any undervalued to buy now? i got spare cash ....
AVFAN
post Jun 11 2015, 06:01 PM

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QUOTE(davidcch07 @ Jun 11 2015, 01:46 PM)
calling SREITS kakis,

any undervalued to buy now? i got spare cash ....
*
undervalued... meaning?

those nav higher than price, plenty... sabana, lippo, saizen... all high yields, price dropping... u want?! biggrin.gif

personally, i suggest u hold until the bond story is over. i think it is far from over, volatility before stability.



u could hv bought div stocks like singtel like some of us were discussing a week or so ago! tongue.gif
davidcch07
post Jun 11 2015, 06:05 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Jun 11 2015, 07:01 PM)
undervalued... meaning?

those nav higher than price, plenty... sabana, lippo, saizen... all high yields, price dropping... u want?! biggrin.gif

personally, i suggest u hold until the bond story is over. i think it is far from over, volatility before stability.
u could hv bought div stocks like singtel like some of us were discussing a week or so ago! tongue.gif
*
hahaha.... i;m not cry.gif because my photo copier machine just repaired.(Salary in) tongue.gif


look like i shall aim for Starhill or something else? hmm.gif
AVFAN
post Jun 11 2015, 06:07 PM

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QUOTE(davidcch07 @ Jun 11 2015, 06:05 PM)
hahaha.... i;m not  cry.gif  because my photo copier machine just repaired.(Salary in) tongue.gif
look like i shall aim for Starhill or something else?  hmm.gif
*
starhill is probably among the top sgreit choices at this time, imo.

like soilbuildbiz, it does not fly but stable, steady, good yield.
davidcch07
post Jun 11 2015, 06:10 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Jun 11 2015, 07:07 PM)
starhill is probably among the top sgreit choices at this time, imo.

like soilbuildbiz, it does not fly but stable, steady, good yield.
*
cannot agreed more on Soild.... this is slow but steady.... rclxms.gif

Starhill is the best i can see a lot people... perhaps is a sch term holidays.... biggrin.gif

Sheng Siong and Yu ren seng can play during CNY time.... personal think... blush.gif
AVFAN
post Jun 12 2015, 10:53 AM

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QUOTE(Vector88 @ Jun 2 2015, 11:34 AM)
seems like there is a resistence at 4 dollars...
if it breaks that level, probably can accumulate more ...
*

QUOTE(elea88 @ Jun 3 2015, 12:13 PM)
i key in 3.80..and wait.
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did u guys grab more singtel then?

now 4.24. rclxms.gif

missed the lowest... my average 4.07, happy enough. smile.gif

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