QUOTE(elvinj @ Sep 4 2012, 02:08 PM)
Nice write up. I have seen a lot of dev in Cyb in the recent year or two. But I am worried with the oversupply of service apartments, SOHO and the likes. I have seen even at 450sq there are 3 rooms! Like what some guys/girls (and also you) have said ... must be able to hold. I think in 3 years time, there might be tons of apartments to choose from for rental. Where the students/young adults choose is as good as anyone's guess. I would think the nearest to their college/work place. But even that is not that true. Neo/Vita/D'Pulze/S'bury/GP/Pangea/Place all coming "online" about the same time. Not sure if the buildings that comes "online" later i.e 4-5 years time, would be a better buy (skypark)? What you guys think?
I personally think this oversupply concern is a chicken and egg situation... there are actually quite a lot of people working in Cyberjaya but most live outside Cyberjaya (ie day population >> night population). Most people tends to live near their workplace but we all know why most employees in Cyberjaya don't - mainly because there is not enough 'lifestyle' (shopping malls, restaurants, cafes, entertainment outlets etc).
There is currently about only 10,000 people living in Cyberjaya with 3200 residential units (that's average of 3 person per unit). That definately sounds to me as shortage of residential properties in Cyberjaya, for NOW.
By 2016, there will be 14,000 residentail units available. The current daytime population is about 54,000 people and is expect to grow to 100,000 by 2016 when more companies and new tertiary institutions opened in Cyberjaya (already in the pipeline).
Simple mathematics tells me that even only 20% of the 100,000 people by 2016 choose to live in Cyberjaya, there will still be a resident population of 20,000. Divide that by the 14,000 residential units available by 2016 gives you 1.4 person per unit. Remember 20% is very conversative as we would expect a higher percentage of daytime population to choose to live in Cyberjaya by 2016 when the 'lifestyle' is made available then.
I did not simply come out with the numbers above - picked it from the following sources (unless the numbers in the sources are not correct la)
http://www.mmail.com.my/story/cyberjaya-quiet-no-morehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/CyberjayaSo will there be an oversupply? Answer is yes and no depending on how confident you are with Cyberjaya having it's own 'lifestyle' by 2016. If you drive around and look at the type of projects going on there, you'll know the answer. One thing is for sure, there ARE a lot of people already working in Cyberjaya - just a question of whether they will choose to live there.
By the way, I'm not attached to any organisation, and not promoting Cyberjaya. I also started being very doubtful about Cyberjaya but the facts are interesting - I'm just a normal joe who is keen with property investments and love crunching numbers to look at the facts. At the end of the day, numbers are only guidelines