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 US stock discussion v4, Bulls-Bears HUAT AH!! Pigs get slaughter

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danmooncake
post May 24 2013, 07:02 PM

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Premarket futures lowered, nice!

Need another small gap down here for the dive and rise and I can grab another batch for cashing out this long weekend (Monday holiday). biggrin.gif


danmooncake
post May 25 2013, 08:48 AM

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QUOTE(KVReninem @ May 25 2013, 01:40 AM)
Tesla, the next Google. whistling.gif
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See my post last week, TSLA is pretty volatile and actually feels like NFLX than GOOG.
Got lots of shorts, currently being squeezed out. For every dips, they're covering. biggrin.gif

Good money printing machines for longs but do be careful with here at 97 level. nod.gif

Scalped another 2 pts for DIA, out for the long weekend. Market still holding here.
No signs of correction yet. Bulls and bears will be out till next Tuesday. laugh.gif



This post has been edited by danmooncake: May 25 2013, 08:51 AM
danmooncake
post May 28 2013, 09:45 PM

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Rally monkeys are showing again!! biggrin.gif


danmooncake
post May 29 2013, 08:37 PM

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Yesterday open, market gaps up into all time high, and traders sell into the rally, to take advantage of the spike and market tapers off into close.

Tonight, it gaps down, let see if buyers will come in buy into dips, making another wave again. laugh.gif

Watching for opportunity to trade AAPL again (435 seems attractive here). drool.gif
danmooncake
post May 29 2013, 10:46 PM

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QUOTE(countdown @ May 29 2013, 09:16 PM)
watching tsla, today might announce the supercharger, then possible hit 117.8 but will take profit @ 116-117 smile.gif
cabut @ 115 instead ;p
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TSLA 7% pull back tonight to 102.. nice dip, I like a little more dip to 98-99, then I buy some.
danmooncake
post May 30 2013, 01:29 AM

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QUOTE(countdown @ May 29 2013, 11:05 PM)
how do we know that this isn't a reversal or false reversal (bear trap) rather than a dip?
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I don't that's why I look at the support and resistance level to manage risk and
set appropriate stop. If stop out, that's ok, minimal loss.

General market (both DOW and SP500) showing signs of fatigue, so 0.5-to-1% - just a small pull back here.
But, 2% - will be a concern. nod.gif



danmooncake
post May 30 2013, 11:10 AM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ May 30 2013, 03:32 AM)
can FB technical rebound?  hmm.gif
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I'm not touching FB here. Got trailed out 27.. 10 trading sessions ago.
Better wait till FB get back above 25, or just simply short it if it bounces back to up to 24.50 to play bear. wink.gif

danmooncake
post Jun 3 2013, 02:18 AM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Jun 1 2013, 03:24 AM)
Apple's graph looks pretty....has it "really" bottomed? Looking at RSI's chart also very pretty, like draw by computer. The RSI low is moving upwards too. Is it sustainable?    hmm.gif

On the other hand, FB's graph looks bearish to me although it's at oversold category. It seems to go lower soon?  hmm.gif
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AAPL certainly on the bull side for now. Another attempt to test 460 is imminent soon.
danmooncake
post Jun 3 2013, 09:06 PM

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June is here... biggrin.gif

Japan sold off again, so watch that support line for SP500 1625-1630. Bulls better hold otherwise bears
reallly will want to take over.
danmooncake
post Jun 5 2013, 09:46 AM

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Time to raise cash and wait for Dow to break below 15K or SP500 below 1600.
I think opportunity coming... brows.gif
danmooncake
post Jun 5 2013, 11:59 AM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Jun 5 2013, 11:46 AM)
waited for so long!  drool.gif
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Perhaps the mantra 'Sell in May', for this year is going to be 'Sell in June' drool.gif

I can see some fear is coming out already...when market gaps up is met with sell the rally mood into red day, to take money off the table.
Need more bears attack! brows.gif
danmooncake
post Jun 6 2013, 01:06 AM

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QUOTE(countdown @ Jun 6 2013, 12:07 AM)
how come no trigger massive sell off when hits below 150 for DIA? 150 not psychology level?

crap hedged too early..
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I'm seeing BELOW 148.50 is the psych level, not 150. 150 still support.
I got a little PUT earlier, now I'm letting those go here at 150.

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jun 6 2013, 01:06 AM
danmooncake
post Jun 6 2013, 04:17 AM

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June 5th overnight close

Dow 14,960.59 -216.95 -1.43%
S&P 500 1,608.90 -22.48 -1.38%

Nice!!! drool.gif

If you buy here, hold that stop slightly below at the 50ma line. nod.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jun 6 2013, 04:18 AM
danmooncake
post Jun 6 2013, 06:51 PM

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I'm expecting a little bounce tonight.. we're close to 5% minor correction.
Sp500 support: 1600-1605, resistance: 1620-1625.

Need a little up before the next wave down. brows.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jun 6 2013, 06:52 PM
danmooncake
post Jun 6 2013, 09:08 PM

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QUOTE(Myoswee @ Jun 6 2013, 08:42 PM)
Don't so fast bounce lar.

At least 10% correction mah

Nikkei also 20% drop oledi  brows.gif
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Sometimes, if goes straight down 10% also means very fast bounce..

If step down 5%, up 2%, down again 5%, then, it got more momentum.. brows.gif

Eventually, it needs to get to -10% or more for healthy pull back.

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jun 6 2013, 09:08 PM
danmooncake
post Jun 6 2013, 11:32 PM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Jun 6 2013, 09:57 PM)
Funny thing is, this morning Asian market opened green and then turns red later.
Then, Euro market opened green and turns red til now.
Now, US market opened green also. So....repeat same style?  biggrin.gif
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Maybe not red too much, I think the US market will take off some the green and stay flat or so because
investors don't want to bet too much on either side when the big job numbers coming out tomorrow.

Tomorrow, the market will move big. I bet downside. laugh.gif
danmooncake
post Jun 7 2013, 07:56 AM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Jun 7 2013, 03:37 AM)
strong bull....impressive.
bears are just too weak.
looks like investors don't even care about tomorrow's number. they just buy on dips.   hmm.gif
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It's not too much, some didn't want to be left out.

But, I took some off and ready to plow into bear side tomorrow.
So, I hoping for a really good job numbers, and we'll sell off to ride this down. brows.gif

Good numbers, sell.
Bad numbers, buy. wink.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jun 7 2013, 07:57 AM
danmooncake
post Jun 7 2013, 03:21 PM

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QUOTE(sylar111 @ Jun 7 2013, 12:16 PM)
DamoonCake, Can you tell me what is the average yield for Vanguard each year? When I check on yahoo it was 2.7%. What is the actual dividend yield can you educate me on that?
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It depends on which one. Vanguard gots lots of funds. Different funds, different yield. For the one that you were chatting with Dreamer, VWELX (Wellington),
at its current price 37, it is yielding 2.69%. Yahoo is correct.

Others...

VBTLX = 2.57%
VTSAX = 2.00%
VFWAX = 3.21%
VTSAX = 2%







danmooncake
post Jun 7 2013, 03:38 PM

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QUOTE(sylar111 @ Jun 7 2013, 03:30 PM)
But that isn't fantastic right. Many stocks give better yield. So why would you buy this one.
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It's diversification and less risky than just one stock. This type of ETF got a fund manager that manage it and their cost is low.
They tend to match or outperform the general market.

Yes, there are stocks that got better yield .. 5%, 6% and some of them even as high as 15%.. but they tend to be volatile
and if earnings drop, all divi are cut, price goes down at same time. Unless you're a good stock picker (and know the company business inside out),
this may be a less risky way to invest. nod.gif




danmooncake
post Jun 7 2013, 03:53 PM

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QUOTE(sylar111 @ Jun 7 2013, 03:46 PM)
I know. Of course 15% is too much. But 5-7 % is good. Even say 3-4%. Those kind of yields are no problem for companies with good fundamentals. Yields are important not just because of inflation but because it proofs that the management is at least good enough to provide a net return. Correct me if I am wrong. 2% is below inflation rate I think. Banks over here can even give 3%.
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It depends which country lah.. 2% is just right in US because it is better than Treasury (1%). US inflation also low.
But, in Malaysia, yeah 2% is consider low. Malaysia inter-bank loan rate also higher and as does inflation.

If you can find companies with good fundamentals with 4%-5% yield and can consistently deliver good earnings - that's good.
Business environment also change over time.. so don't just rely one type of company or one sector only when investing.

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