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 US stock discussion v4, Bulls-Bears HUAT AH!! Pigs get slaughter

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Myoswee
post Feb 29 2012, 11:04 PM

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Beware, uncle Ben opening his big mouth tonight laugh.gif
danmooncake
post Feb 29 2012, 11:53 PM

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Picked up some YOKU Mar 26 PUTs around 2.15
Going to cash out when near oversold condition for quick daytrade scalp.


Added on March 1, 2012, 12:14 amUpdate: Out of YOKU PUTs for 2.55.. 15c x 1000 = $400 minus commissions..
That's it for tonight quick scalp. tongue.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Mar 1 2012, 12:14 AM
zamans98
post Mar 1 2012, 05:04 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Feb 29 2012, 11:53 PM)
Picked up some YOKU Mar 26 PUTs around 2.15
Going to cash out when near oversold condition for quick daytrade scalp.


Added on March 1, 2012, 12:14 amUpdate: Out of YOKU PUTs for 2.55..  15c x 1000 = $400 minus commissions..
That's it for tonight quick scalp.  tongue.gif
*
woot, daring move. Me no touching yet YOKU Options.

GOLD down biggggggg time, thanks to Uncle Ben.
danmooncake
post Mar 1 2012, 06:53 AM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Mar 1 2012, 05:04 AM)
woot, daring move. Me no touching yet YOKU Options.

GOLD down biggggggg time, thanks to Uncle Ben.
*
Yeah, same goes for FCX..(thank goodness for PUTs). All commodities got hit after Ben hinted possible no more easing or back off his plan to hold lower interest rate of US economy showing signs of moderate growth.

Gotta to see how's things going to be by Friday. Looks like top is pretty much here..


Added on March 1, 2012, 10:39 pmMore shorts in play for YOKU tonight. nod.gif


Added on March 1, 2012, 10:59 pmIn some LVS March calls @ 1.85.. too strong to ignore. nod.gif


Added on March 2, 2012, 2:30 amOut of March LVS calls.. 2.60. (up 44%) laugh.gif.
That's it for this week. No more for me.

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Mar 2 2012, 02:31 AM
learn2earn8
post Mar 7 2012, 04:18 AM

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FINALLY I CAN CLOSE MY POSITIONS WHICH BEEN HOLDING SINCE SEP 2011 wub.gif
once dog jones hit 12344 & 11744, time to load up more calls option rclxm9.gif
& ride the dog jones, all the way to 13999 or when obama loses the presidency (whichever cums first) brows.gif

http://forum.lowyat.net/topic/668917/+20 Post #34
DIA $127.29 Options Expiring Friday, January 18, 2013
strike $110, call $10.90 put $14.65
now, strike $110, call $21.55 +97%

BA $60.51, now $72.43 +19%
CAT $73.84, now $106.22 +43%
CVX $92.59, now $108.52 +17%
DD $39.97, now $50.16 +25%
DIS $30.16, now $41.91 +39%
JPM $30.12, now $39.25 +30%
MMM $71.79, now $85.25 +18%
PFE $17.68, now $21.25 +20%
TRV $48.73, now $57.06 +17%
UTX $70.36, now $81.26 +16%
XOM $72.63, now $85.68 +18%
IBM $185, now $197.26 +6%
MCD $90, now $100.07 +11%

KFT $38.40 Options Expiring Friday, January 18, 2013
strike $35, call $2.74 put $4.95
now, strike $35, call $4.50 +64%

KO $68.855 Options Expiring Friday, January 18, 2013
strike $67.50, call $6.50, put $7.50
now, strike $67.5, call $3.95 -64% (lousy moat theory)

MMM $85.28 Options Expiring Friday, January 18, 2013
strike $72.50, call $11.00, put $10.55
now, strike $72.50, call $15.50 +40%

MRK $37.55 Options Expiring Friday, January 18, 2013
strike $35, call $2.66, put $6.10
now, strike $35, call $3.95 +48%

MSFT $31.63 Options Expiring Friday, January 18, 2013
strike $25, call $3.15, put $4
now, strike $25, call $3.80 +202%

PFE $21.28 Options Expiring Friday, January 18, 2013
strike $17.50, call $2.39, put $2.83
now, strike $17.50, call $4.30 +79%

PG $66.87 Options Expiring Friday, January 18, 2013
strike $62.50, call $5.35, put $6.20
now, strike $62.50, call $6.05 +13%

individually, the performance SUX laugh.gif
but overall, its time to cash out & enjoy the fruits of my labour 758% icon_rolleyes.gif

if u were bullish & takut kena margin call, playing bolehland futures
if playing options in usa, the call option would giv u return of 128% nod.gif and within 6 months

http://finance.yahoo.com/q/os?s=EWM&m=2012-04
u will notice now the Options Expiring Friday, April 20, 2012
strike $12, call $2.40, put $0.30

http://forum.lowyat.net/topic/2042861/+1660 Post #1671
at tat time the Options Expiring Friday, April 20, 2012
strike $12, call $1.05, put $0.50

» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «
danmooncake
post Mar 7 2012, 04:28 AM

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QUOTE(learn2earn8 @ Mar 7 2012, 04:18 AM)
individually, the performance SUX  laugh.gif
but overall, its time to cash out & enjoy the fruits of my labour 758%  icon_rolleyes.gif

if u were bullish & takut kena margin call, playing bolehland futures
if playing options in usa, the call option would giv u return of 128%  nod.gif and within 6 months

http://finance.yahoo.com/q/os?s=EWM&m=2012-04
u will notice now the Options Expiring Friday, April 20, 2012
strike $12, call $2.40, put $0.30

http://forum.lowyat.net/topic/2042861/+1660 Post #1671
at tat time the Options Expiring Friday, April 20, 2012
strike $12, call $1.05, put $0.50

*
Nice play on those options leaps. rclxms.gif
Unfortunately, I don't have that kind of time horizon for position trade.

Indeed time to book profits and be cautious here.

But, I watching that 50MA like a hawk.. will add more shorts if Dow or SP500 breaks 50MA.
Going to be a long way drop to 200MA.

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Mar 7 2012, 04:29 AM
Myoswee
post Mar 7 2012, 08:42 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Mar 7 2012, 04:28 AM)
Nice play on those options leaps.  rclxms.gif
Unfortunately, I don't have that kind of time horizon for position trade.

Indeed time to book profits and be cautious here.

But, I watching that 50MA like a hawk.. will add more shorts if Dow or SP500 breaks 50MA.
Going to be a long way drop to 200MA.
*
Russell 2000 already breaks 50MA

Dow and SP500 please follow brows.gif brows.gif
learn2earn8
post Mar 7 2012, 10:54 AM

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Attached Image

I will enter puts options, once there is a technical rebound on 50ma with doji (expecting it within a month or so) cool2.gif
momo hav to make sure the ikan bilis dun panic & sell together with them nod.gif
OTHERWISE, who is gonna be the bag holder at such high level brows.gif
200ma, HERE WE CUM rclxm9.gif
& patience is virtue cool2.gif

Attached Image

QUOTE(danmooncake @ Mar 7 2012, 04:28 AM)
Nice play on those options leaps.  rclxms.gif
Unfortunately, I don't have that kind of time horizon for position trade.

Indeed time to book profits and be cautious here.

But, I watching that 50MA like a hawk.. will add more shorts if Dow or SP500 breaks 50MA.
Going to be a long way drop to 200MA.
*
danmooncake
post Mar 7 2012, 10:17 PM

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They will be shooting off the 50MA tonight..bulls aren't letting this drop due to better than expected ADP report.

Going to see if it can recover the 20MA first.
epalbee3
post Mar 7 2012, 11:08 PM

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my hope back tomorrow.. i think CI going to 1600+.. this is my bet..

most dips followed by a rebounce.. so tomorrow most probably CI will shot up..

finally europe also green.. same to tokyo..
see u tomorrow..smile.gif
zamans98
post Mar 13 2012, 01:58 AM

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YOKU buy TUDO

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-03-12/y...-only-deal.html

TUDO 38.40 +23.01 (149.51%)
YOKU 32.15 +7.14 (28.55%)


danmooncake
post Mar 13 2012, 04:38 AM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Mar 13 2012, 01:58 AM)
YOKU buy TUDO

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-03-12/y...-only-deal.html

TUDO 38.40 +23.01 (149.51%)
YOKU  32.15 +7.14 (28.55%)
*
Holy molly for TUDO shot off like a rocket.. shakehead.gif

But, YOKU -> Baffling.. acquirer also goes up. hmm.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Mar 13 2012, 04:38 AM
zamans98
post Mar 13 2012, 10:39 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Mar 13 2012, 04:38 AM)
Holy molly for TUDO  shot off like a rocket..  shakehead.gif

But, YOKU -> Baffling.. acquirer also goes up.  hmm.gif
*
Weird is not a new word for China based stocks.
Did you noticed the movement in YOKU stock for the last 2 weeks? Perhaps some news leaked. hmm
Alvan86
post Mar 13 2012, 12:01 PM

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I have just realised that AAPL has been up from less than $100 to $550 nowadays in just 5 years time...
Myoswee
post Mar 13 2012, 12:12 PM

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QUOTE(Alvan86 @ Mar 13 2012, 12:01 PM)
I have just realised that AAPL has been up from less than $100 to $550 nowadays in just 5 years time...
*
Welcome to earth

Nowadays a lot of human buying Iphone in earth

I guess that explain why laugh.gif
danmooncake
post Mar 13 2012, 11:29 PM

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Time to buy some PUTs.. $VIX too low. biggrin.gif
zamans98
post Mar 14 2012, 12:14 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Mar 13 2012, 11:29 PM)
Time to buy some PUTs.. $VIX too low.  biggrin.gif
*
market catapulted up and higher.

wait until Uncle Ben open his mouth today (not sure if he will)
yok70
post Mar 15 2012, 12:25 AM

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Why so many US banks desperately applying to increase dividend payout and share buy back? Does this mean they see their share price very much undemanding? And they have too much cash already? If they have too much cash, why some of them (citibank) not doing good on stress test? Thank you sifus! notworthy.gif
foofoosasa
post Mar 15 2012, 11:35 AM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Mar 15 2012, 12:25 AM)
Why so many US banks desperately applying to increase dividend payout and share buy back? Does this mean they see their share price very much undemanding? And they have too much cash already? If they have too much cash, why some of them (citibank) not doing good on stress test? Thank you sifus!  notworthy.gif
*
Not sifu,
but my opinion is they want to increase the confidence from investor. A lot of banks in Us in these years since 2007/08 cut out their dividend by large amount. well most of the US bank if you noticed all still stuck in the level of 2009.
The regulation in US had set tougher rule for bank through volcker rule and Basel III to increase the reserve requirement from banks. Beside they also some of the business used to be generating profit for bank.

Too much cash doesn't mean they wont fail the stress test. The purpose of stress test is to test whether bank can withstand with financial shock. They key question what capital is used to withstand those financial shock. some of the capital may NOT BE QUALIFIED since the new rules have been imposed. For example, Hybrid equity which compose of equity and debt always ambiguous for the purpose of reserve capital. Increase equity from investor in order to meet those stress test is a huge cost since investor see DIVIDEND as compulsory (which is very costly in perspective of bank) consistently.

my 2 cents correct me if I am wrong

This post has been edited by foofoosasa: Mar 15 2012, 11:35 AM
zamans98
post Mar 16 2012, 04:04 PM

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Look at the banking stocks.

Take BAC, about $6 in January, now approaching $10.



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