FINALLY I CAN CLOSE MY POSITIONS WHICH BEEN HOLDING SINCE SEP 2011
once dog jones hit 12344 & 11744, time to load up more calls option
& ride the dog jones, all the way to 13999 or when obama loses the presidency (whichever cums first)

http://forum.lowyat.net/topic/668917/+20 Post #34
DIA $127.29 Options Expiring Friday, January 18, 2013
strike $110, call $10.90 put $14.65
now, strike $110, call $21.55 +97%

BA $60.51, now $72.43 +19%
CAT $73.84, now $106.22 +43%
CVX $92.59, now $108.52 +17%
DD $39.97, now $50.16 +25%
DIS $30.16, now $41.91 +39%
JPM $30.12, now $39.25 +30%
MMM $71.79, now $85.25 +18%
PFE $17.68, now $21.25 +20%
TRV $48.73, now $57.06 +17%
UTX $70.36, now $81.26 +16%
XOM $72.63, now $85.68 +18%
IBM $185, now $197.26 +6%
MCD $90, now $100.07 +11%

KFT $38.40 Options Expiring Friday, January 18, 2013
strike $35, call $2.74 put $4.95
now, strike $35, call $4.50 +64%

KO $68.855 Options Expiring Friday, January 18, 2013
strike $67.50, call $6.50, put $7.50
now, strike $67.5, call $3.95 -64% (lousy moat theory)

MMM $85.28 Options Expiring Friday, January 18, 2013
strike $72.50, call $11.00, put $10.55
now, strike $72.50, call $15.50 +40%

MRK $37.55 Options Expiring Friday, January 18, 2013
strike $35, call $2.66, put $6.10
now, strike $35, call $3.95 +48%

MSFT $31.63 Options Expiring Friday, January 18, 2013
strike $25, call $3.15, put $4
now, strike $25, call $3.80 +202%

PFE $21.28 Options Expiring Friday, January 18, 2013
strike $17.50, call $2.39, put $2.83
now, strike $17.50, call $4.30 +79%

PG $66.87 Options Expiring Friday, January 18, 2013
strike $62.50, call $5.35, put $6.20
now, strike $62.50, call $6.05 +13%

individually, the performance SUX
but overall, its time to cash out & enjoy the fruits of my labour 758%

if u were bullish & takut kena margin call, playing bolehland futures
if playing options in usa, the call option would giv u return of 128% and within 6 months

http://finance.yahoo.com/q/os?s=EWM&m=2012-04
u will notice now the Options Expiring Friday, April 20, 2012
strike $12, call $2.40, put $0.30

http://forum.lowyat.net/topic/2042861/+1660 Post #1671
at tat time the Options Expiring Friday, April 20, 2012
strike $12, call $1.05, put $0.50

I will enter puts options, once there is a technical rebound on 50ma with doji (expecting it within a month or so)
momo hav to make sure the ikan bilis dun panic & sell together with them
OTHERWISE, who is gonna be the bag holder at such high level
200ma, HERE WE CUM
& patience is virtue

JESSE LIVERMORE SAYS BUY HIGH, SELL HIGHER
but dog jones at this level still no minor pullback yet
earnings season is next month & expect not much movement until earnings begin
expecting superb earnings, otherwise, longkang lo for my gambling time with call options

disca $2.80


bwld $7.10


sxci $10


lulu $19.20


dltr $12.16

what do we buy? any recommendation to be post here is helpful & and how deep is the incoming downturn

Sister, what the undervalue stocks in your watchlist
dog jones yesterday dip below 13k, enter call options dia 11.60 to gamble up again


I go for future growth/value, not past growth/value the 5 share gambling position still looking goodie
base on your blog, u would know wat is overhead resistance
those undervalue stock will take a real loooooooooooooooooooooooooonnggg time to go above resistance
http://macdailynews.com/2012/01/16/conserv...e-growth-story/
eg. Conservative analyst estimates are missing Apple’s incredible growth story

of coz dog jones will hav occasional dips here & there, but I expecting a bull run until year 2014
http://seekingalpha.com/article/296865-201...ice-projections
The high of S&P projection is 1515

if u really want to short or prepare cash for deep downturn. watch year 2016, fed cumulatives inc int rate effect
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-official...-224332893.html
Federal Open Market Committee expects rates to remain near zero until at least late 2014.

my bull view remains the same, coz if co can't beat the 3.2% analyst expected growth, then its
furthermore, with the pro-business republican mitt romney expected to win nomination & knock out obama in nov2012
and zero chance of war with iran, what other bears could lurk around the camp
oh well, best of luck to all gamblers at both bull & bear side & HUAT AH!

pinkdevil88 some points u brought up is valid and it seems u hav got some idea on what makes a share moves
well then, betting so much on call options when the market is at new high is a bit on the risky side
if its monies u r willing to lose, then its no problemo
do post other shares in your watchlist here to make this thread lively its good to giv ur guidance on buy, hold & sell view



Q1 S&P 500 Profits Seen Up Just 3.2%, Or 1.8% Ex Apple
Commodity costs pinch margins, but Wall Street upbeat on rest of 2012
Slow international growth and stubbornly high commodity prices are expected to keep a lid on corporate earnings growth for a second straight quarter. Analysts now see 3.2% Q1 profit growth from S&P 500 firms, according toThomson Reuters data.

That’s down from 5.5% on Jan. 1 and hopes for 12.8% six months before that. Exclude Apple AAPL, and profit may rise just 1.8%. “The bar for Q1 is set pretty low,” said Jeremy Zirin, UBS Wealth Management’s chief equity strategist. Ongoing sluggishness in Europe and a lower growth target in
China are pressuring margins for global industrial and materials companies, Zirin says.

There were still some easier comparisons last year, Lawrence Creatura, a portfolio manager at Federated Investors, said. “That’s not the case this year, and earnings growth is going to be tough to come by,” he said. Q4 earnings rose 9.2%, the first single-digit rate in two years, and
the lowest since corporate America vaulted out of the recession.

Without Apple — which more than doubled its massive profit—earnings growth was just 6.2%. Overall, S&P 500 technology companies are expected to report 6.3% earnings growth, one of just two sectors that have seen Q1 forecasts raised from Jan. 1, according to Thomson Reuters. Backing out Apple, which reports April 24, the tech earnings estimate is for a 1.6% decline. That’s overly pessimistic, Zirin says, given the rapid adoption of
smartphones, tablets and cloud computing, and nearly insatiable hunger for more bandwidth.

S&P 500 industrials earnings likely rose 10.6%, with consumer discretionary firms up 6.6%. About 5% of the S&P 500 have already posted Q1 results, but the unofficial season opener comes Tuesday with aluminum giant Alcoa AA. Internet search giant Google GOOG reports Thursday.
A slew of financials follow, with JPMorgan Chase JPM and Wells Fargo WFC out next Friday, Citigroup C reporting April 16 and Bank of America BAC April 19. Analysts expect 6.5% earnings growth from the financial sector, down from 7.3% on Jan. 1.

Financials and consumer discretionary stocks likely did well in Q1, Zirin says, thanks to some modestly positive U.S. job gains and housing market recovery. Analysts typically start with high hopes, only to lower expectations as results near. Q1 views came down more than usual, says Greg Harrison, a corporate earnings research analyst with ThomsonReuters.

Companies too will lower the bar, allowing them to post upside surprises. But a below-average 62% of S&P500 firms beat in Q4. “Costs are going up for a lot of companies, as far as commodities and other inputs go, so that’s putting the squeeze on earnings growth,” said Harrison. Earnings growth is expected to pick up later this year in part on hopes of easing commodity costs.

Company guidance could quash that enthusiasm. “Forward-looking guidance has been fairly cautious,” Zirin said. “That will likely be a continuing
theme.” But results so far give some reason for optimism, Harrison says. About 75% have beaten analysts’ modest expectations. Early reports
usually set the tone for the rest of the season, he says.

aisay, tis ue numbers create 'buy the dip' situation
cum on bulls, u can do it, maintain the support at 12900 & squeeze those bears balls
do not give them their 12k
BUY BUY BUY

the race is on, will dog jones go to 14k or 12k as per all bull journey, minor hiccups r normal to shakeout weakholders
wil the bull eat 'medium rare' bear steak along with cake as appetizer & apple as dessert
I m not a super short term trader, I do not short today nor buy back 1 minit later nor tomorrow & vice versa
if forward earnings r really horrendously bad, then I may consider camping with bears

to any newbies out there

http://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/shorts...p#axzz1sJBoTrWD

Investopedia explains 'Short Squeeze'
If a stock starts to rise rapidly, the trend may continue to escalate because the short sellers will likely want out. For example, if a stock rises 15% in one day, those with short positions may be forced to liquidate and cover their position by purchasing the stock. If enough short sellers buy back the stock, the price is pushed even higher.

AIYOYO pls read & understand basics before losing hard earned money

http://forum.lowyat.net/topic/2106439/+1420 Post #1427

buy tsco coz new high


buy hlf coz swing trade


current gambling call options position +65% and earnings season aint' over yet, still holding positions
disca $2.80 now $4.6 +64%
bwld $7.10 now $5.9 -17%
sxci $10 now $12.5 +25%
lulu $19.20 now $16.6 -14%
dltr $12.16 now $13.1 +7%

gee, I hope no one was killed buying aapl


overall, its a great day the 'dips pullback trap works out quite fine for now. the bears here MUST work triple hard with overtime too

beeeeaaarrrrssss, where r u? we need another 1000 points to hit the magic 12000 dow jones. pls work overtime on tis or majority here very upset




Attached image(s)

current gambling call options position +138% and not even 1 month
disca $2.80 now $4.6 +64% forward PE 15.58
bwld $7.10 now $6.8 -4% forward PE 21.72
sxci $10 now $17.3 +73% forward PE 28.74
lulu $19.20 now $16.9 -12% forward PE 35.82
dltr $12.16 now $14.1 +15% forward PE 17.42
tsco $98.50 now $99.29 +0% forward PE 23.37
hlf $68.74 now $70.25 +2% forward PE 17.01

single digit forward pe means not enough roket fuel & I love gap up
wil the bull eat 'medium rare' bear steak along with cake as appetizer & apple as dessert stay tuned, I also no idea

since dog jones not above 13300, means the bull not yet fully eaten & digest 'medium rare' bear steak
whether cake become crumbs or apple become freshly squeeze juice? it depends how hard the bears work overtime come on bears the majority forumers here support u guys its ok as long as all is making duit

My current gambling positions +222% & not selling for s/t gains. stay tuned as the bears hope it crash
disca $2.80 now $4.6 +64%
bwld $7.10 now $6.2 -12%
sxci $10 now $25.9 +159%
lulu $19.20 now $15.8 -18%
dltr $12.16 now $15.1 +24%
tsco $98.50 now $99.46 +0%
hlf $68.74 now $72.32 +5%

anyway, for those newbies wondering why the 13k still holding
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/earnings-fed...-215428335.html
Nearly 180 of the S&P 500's components will report earnings next week, and heading into a seasonally weak period, the market will need strong reports to offset the perception that there's no more room to rally.

Analysts see double-digit earnings growth for the S&P's financial and consumer discretionary sectors in 2012, with industrials close behind. All three are cyclical growth sectors, while sectors that tend to lead at the end of a growth cycle and before corrections are expected to slow.

Kenneth Fisher, the billionaire investor who oversees $43 billion at Woodside, California-based Fisher Investments Inc, said the current economic environment was "as beautiful as I have ever seen it," and that 2012 would be "a super big year" for equities.

So far, with 23 percent of S&P 500 companies having reported results, more than four-fifths have beaten expectations, topping consensus forecasts with an average surprise factor of 8.8 percent. Profit growth in this quarter has been up 6.2 percent, according to Thomson Reuters Proprietary Research.

this is neither a buy, hold, sell nor short recommendation on aapl

those who uses 50dma or 200 dma as support or resistance line. u can see where aapl stands, no need explanation


here is some lesson for any newbies out there

1) http://kurtishemmerling.suite101.com/how-t...selling-a170092

How to Spot Institutional Buying and Selling
The Secret of Timing Trades With Institutions

Nov 15, 2009 Kurtis Hemmerling

Most investors would love to trade with Warren Buffet. By following changes in institutional ownership a trader can do just that. Here are the steps how...

It makes sense to time stock purchases and sales with the ‘big money.' These financial giants have heavy financial clout! Hitching a ride on their trading bumper will generally translate into dollars and cents.

Institutions are Accumulating Which Stocks?

Institutions need to keep their purchases quiet so as to quietly accumulate shares at the best possible price. One tactic to maintain a good share price is to buy shares on market down days. Or they may buy a certain amount of shares and then sell a portion to drive the price back down. Once they have accumulated the desired amount, the institution may quickly drive the price up with a large purchase to notify other investors that it is time to trade.

A reduced float with increased buying will lift the stock nicely. To find out which publicly traded companies institutions have been heavily investing into last month, investors can use the MoneyCentral link

Selecting the Right Stock

Illiquid and low capitalization stocks usually have increased volatility which raises risk. Among the stocks listed at MoneyCentral as having increased institutional support, traders should generally pick the ones with 100 million market capitalization or more. Also, many will choose to weed out the stocks that are below five dollars per share.

Following Institutional Trading with Precision Timing

If an investor simply bought shares based on the provided institutional ownership list, he may be disappointed. Buying wantonly even with good stock picks is not recommended because the profit boat may have already left the dock. Purchasing shares at inflated prices is not a wise strategy even when following the market giants.

These are simple Do Not Buy If rules:

• The boat may have left if the stock rocketed up 20% or more in the last few trading days.

• Share price should be within 20 to 25% of the 50 day moving average.

By using this link and entering in the desired stock from the MoneyCentral institutional ownership list, investors will be able to see if the share price is close to the 50 day moving average. The red line is the 50 day moving average and the blue lines represent a 20% envelope above and below the average. When the price is far above the upper blue line, a wise trader will wait for a better entry point.

Sell the Shares When This Happens

There are a few different signals to bail on a trade. These are some easy to follow exit rules:

• When the share price drops ten percent from his purchase point, the investor should sell.

• If net institutional selling occurs, the investor should likewise liquidate his position.

• For a profit point, the trader could have a trailing stop-loss of five to ten percent.
Trading With the Institutional Giants Strategy

The investor who follows institutional support can profit from having a heavy hitter on his side, without the liquidity problems large firms may have. The key is to pick the right stock early on, and expertly time the purchase and sell orders to maximize gains. As is true with all strategies, problems do occur, and having a stop-loss in place will keep wise investors trading for a very long time to come.

2) http://finance.yahoo.com/q/it?s=AAPL+Insider+Transactions
izit increasing or decreasing
Net Institutional Purchases - Prior Qtr to Latest Qtr Shares
Net Shares Purchased (Sold) 110,648
% Change in Institutional Shares Held 0.02%

3) http://finance.yahoo.com/q/mh?s=AAPL+Major+Holders
are their reported date consider quite new or many moons ago?

come on zamans98, heat up this fight with short or puts option. the market, cake & apple is on your side

http://www.bloomberg.com/markets/stocks/futures/ since many news will be out in this few weeks

we are here not to ask for proof of records or whatever
but it is highly unethical to state you short or bought last week
u should just have posted it last week, then it would have been more credible

might as well I say and posted now, I also shorted dow and apple on friday just before closing
its not shouting or whatsoever, but its more for the newbies to pick up & learn some skills
for the aapl fight, I am with pinkdevil88. but reentry points should be at 50dma, in between them or at 200dma itself

anything below 200dma is a bonus. we'll see how its blowout earnings pit itself against the trend of the market

My current gambling positions +174% bulls make money, bears make money, only pigs get slaughter
disca $2.80 now $4.7 +67%
bwld $7.10 now $5.4 -24%
sxci $10 now $22.6 +126%
lulu $19.20 now $15.2 -20%
dltr $12.16 now $14.7 +20%
tsco $98.50 now $99.41 +0%
hlf $68.74 now $72.69 +5%

zamans98 aapl, bac, dell, mu gonna be a quick swing trade (not suitable for options) to resistance level

aapl $600 can exit. if u shorted, prepared to be shortsqueeze & I just watching the fighting movie between u two


dell $16.75 can exit, maybe I buy shares to gamble up when the market opens


bac $9 can exit, maybe I buy shares to gamble up when the market opens


mu $7.5 can exit, maybe I buy shares to gamble up when the market opens

My current gambling positions +97% no more 100% gain, can't win them all and shit do happens
disca $2.80 now $4.1 +46%
bwld $7.10 now $3.1 -57%
sxci $10 now $22.1 +121%
lulu $19.20 now $14.05 -27% cut loss liao
dltr $12.16 now $14 +15% exited with puny gains
tsco $98.50 now $96.93 -1%
hlf $68.74 now $69.10 +0%
aapl $560 have to hold it a while as a shortsqueeze really can squeeze, maybe exit when sighted next doji
dell $16.18
bac $8.2
mu $6.52

zamans98, have to agree that options are for gambling, but with duit that one is willing to lose
I took up buy swing trades as per your position. but if it tidur for a long time, I will cut it rather than waste time
http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=aapl&ql=1 Apple Inc. (AAPL) After Hours: 603.81 Up 43.53 (7.77%)

I so happy with my performance for year 2012 and its not even june yet

My current gambling positions +204% back to more than 100% gain
disca $2.80 now $5.4 +93%
bwld $7.10 now $5.8 -18%
sxci $10 now $22.7 +127%
lulu $19.20 now $14.05 -27% cut loss liao, opportunity lost gone, now $16.05 -16%
dltr $12.16 now $14 +15% exited with puny gains, opportunity cost gone, now $15.2 +25%
tsco $98.50 now $97.52 -1%
hlf $68.74 now $72.23 +5%
aapl $560 now $607.70 +8%
dell $16.18 now $16.53 target exit $16.75 +2% enter for volume buying due to cheap, but not expect it to up much
bac $8.2 now $8.27 target exit $9 +0% enter for volume buying due to cheap, but not expect it to up much
mu $6.52 now $6.6 target exit $7.5 +0% enter for volume buying due to cheap, but not expect it to up much
dia $11.60 now $11.5 +0% http://forum.lowyat.net/topic/2027841/+700 Post #701

I am so sadding dltr $12.16 now $16.70 +37% gone coz I exited for puny gains 15% now break out to new high sumore



this thread has its own resident tok guru and his trusty assistant, of coz fights are healthy for this thread to grow
I also have losses, but the trick is to keep it to a minimum. so there is no reason for them to hide in bunker
now we have a newcomer, pinkdevil88 that challenge tok guru trusty assistant welcome aboard and thanx for sharing ur fundamental analisis

for those newbies, the dog jones is almost at new high and caution is required. be careful and be willing to lose what u can afford to lose
many moons ago, zamans98 asked how i can find many new stocks to be in watchlist?
but whether you guys know how to use it or not is another ballgame altogether

Jesse Livermore is a prerequisite reading, understand emotions, stocks and its sector. if using warren buffet style, do ignore link
http://www.barchart.com/stocks/sectors/-TOP
http://www.barchart.com/stocks/sectors/change.php

zamans98, any idea what propel aapl/ lvs to new high? pinkdevil88 has already given some guidelines on stock fundamental selection liao
you guys should come out with some selection of stocks. debate/ fight it to death via TA & FA or whatever
eg. put the watchlist here of say 10 stocks and discard those non performing and replace it with the better performing stocks on a regular basis

but will you guys be able to share ideas and work together to earn moolahs in this thread or this thread revert to its old style

My current gambling positions +214% dog jones at new high, wonder wat happens to those who shorted? no pain no gain
disca $2.80 now $6.2 +121%
bwld $7.10 now $6.6 -7%
sxci $10 now $21.8 +118%
lulu $19.20 now $14.05 -27% cut loss liao, opportunity cost gone, now $17.35 -9%
dltr $12.16 now $14 +15% exited with puny gains, opportunity lost gone, now $17.3 +42%
tsco $98.50 now $99.02 +0%
hlf $68.74 now $56.02 -19% http://finance.yahoo.com/news/herbalife-dr...-155727610.html
aapl $560 now $588.04 +5%
dell $16.18 now $16.55 target exit $16.75 +2% enter for volume buying due to cheap, but not expect it to up much
bac $8.2 now $8.37 target exit $9 +2% enter for volume buying due to cheap, but not expect it to up much
mu $6.52 now $6.71 target exit $7.5 +2% enter for volume buying due to cheap, but not expect it to up much
dia $11.60 now $11.9 +2%
dltr $102.83

danmooncake, the gordon gekko says greed is good otherwise, might as well invest in unit trust or reits