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Are property prices going to up further? V3
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TSsampool
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Sep 7 2011, 07:37 AM
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QUOTE(cranx @ Sep 7 2011, 01:53 AM) speculators say why is the rule of thumb 5 times income? we are preaching 8 to 10 times income now. Why? we are not competing among ourselves only, there are a lot of foreigners with better purchasing power buying up all of our properties.RM5k income is now buying RM400k ~ RM500k properties. RM10k income going for RM800k ~ RM1million already. dont buy now means forever homeless. the developer will like U!!! hehe... a lot of foreigners? That is problem... are their children willing to stay here... too many thing need to consider... Just prepare... Added on September 7, 2011, 7:56 amQUOTE(chgan98 @ Sep 7 2011, 12:14 AM) @debtismoney - while historically the facts shows a down trend, one must also understand the fundamentals that causes it... while there're similarity there're also differences... anyway thanks for the heeds. @kidmad - cool...  believed everyone has own opinions... owning or renting...choices is in the hand of beholder... there are nothing wrong or right.. just prepare.. Nothing is GUARANTEE, included our job tomorrow... This post has been edited by sampool: Sep 7 2011, 07:56 AM
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TSsampool
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Sep 7 2011, 09:53 AM
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QUOTE(prody @ Sep 7 2011, 10:39 AM) A house near to mine has been on sale for a few years already. The asking price keeps on increasing (I think they are asking about 10% above selling prices here) and it remains unsold. It will be difficult for them to sell it if prices start to drop. many owner is waiting for good price.. good luck to them too. i already go thru few cases like u mention recently... just prepare.. This post has been edited by sampool: Sep 7 2011, 09:54 AM
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TSsampool
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Sep 7 2011, 12:32 PM
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yg penting jangan sampai nak gadai underwear cukup... untuk memberi rumah... tiada apa yang boleh menghalang impian seseorang...
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TSsampool
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Sep 7 2011, 03:01 PM
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QUOTE(prody @ Sep 7 2011, 03:55 PM) tq.. I personally felt .... our trend in KV is very much similar to below chart.... http://www.jparsons.net/housingbubble/new_york.pngand it will stilll dropping another 20% for prop market..... according to reseach.... could go till $300k - $350k... This post has been edited by sampool: Sep 7 2011, 03:04 PM
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TSsampool
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Sep 7 2011, 03:47 PM
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yg penting jangan sampai nak gadai underwear dah...
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TSsampool
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Sep 7 2011, 11:42 PM
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QUOTE(nkhong @ Sep 8 2011, 12:16 AM) So stock and property which one do you think is safer investment? both are risky... depend on ur entry point... Buy dividend stock when market crash... if maybank down to rm2 go and buy.... dun buy it now.... lost ur underwear... Buy rental house when market crash... if house down 40% and buy.. dun buy it now ... lost ur underwear...
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TSsampool
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Sep 8 2011, 10:27 AM
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QUOTE(lch78 @ Sep 8 2011, 11:04 AM) That is the trend now in KL/PJ when land is getting increasingly scarce for development... Regretted didn't buy the Empire Subang SOHO when it was selling at RM250k back then....  too many thing to regret in our life.... regret not born in uncle lim family.. regret not born in li kasing family.. regret not born in robert family.... obama.. so and so.. hehe...
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TSsampool
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Sep 8 2011, 11:11 AM
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QUOTE(Yukieliow @ Sep 8 2011, 12:07 PM) even rawang my fren bought at 200+ few years back but now the value is 400+ will it goes back to 200+? burst or not burst u can think basically who bought b4 2009 is safer..
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TSsampool
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Sep 8 2011, 11:23 AM
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QUOTE(kh8668 @ Sep 8 2011, 12:14 PM) after 3 years, u will say the same thing again. safer mean the rental at least can cover 50% of the loan.... that is all... at 500k prop how much u can rent... how many year u can support to topup the balance for bank.... hehe...
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TSsampool
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Sep 8 2011, 11:46 AM
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QUOTE(kh8668 @ Sep 8 2011, 12:32 PM) this you have to wait until the time everyone lost their jobs, you will only start to scare.  yes exactly u get the point.. but not need everyone lost job... just 3 ppl out of 10 executives lost their jobs and the others 7 ppl salary never increase for continue 3 yrs.. will do already...
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TSsampool
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Sep 8 2011, 01:22 PM
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this forum is as hot as the coming GE......
2012 bubble is predicted by economist 10 yrs ago....... it is not predicted after 2008 crisis...... it is y us economist not agreed there is double dip global recession going to happen... but a series of bubble going and waiting to bust in coming yrs.... another reason is gap between 2008 and 2012 is too wide till it cannot call double dip...
This post has been edited by sampool: Sep 8 2011, 01:26 PM
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TSsampool
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Sep 8 2011, 01:42 PM
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QUOTE(debtismoney @ Sep 8 2011, 02:09 PM) The west is borrowing more to consume, the east is selling their products to the west and has got trade surplus for decades. Now the east has been lending this surplus money to the west to consume more. It is unsustainable in long run. This rebalancing will take time, we Asian cannot consume all products we produce overnight. If the west slows down now, so does us. yes... us ppl still need the product... but small amount and cheap... this will bring the the commodity market... CRASH...
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TSsampool
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Sep 8 2011, 02:01 PM
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If government lift the AP going to crony today. You will have enough money for your down payment today. Unnecessary Toll, under table money going out and back to ones pocket. If those issues being tackled properly everyone will have a significant income boost.
Added on September 8, 2011, 1:38 pm
....wat next if after lift all these... but still unable to cover the big hole....then, everyone will die also....
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TSsampool
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Sep 9 2011, 07:36 AM
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QUOTE(sunzi69 @ Sep 9 2011, 01:38 AM) i think highly it is becoz after 2008 global financial crisis, we have too much of "liquidity" in the market... where all the money goes????? most of the $$ do not exist or yet to exist, some go to speculator / bank / prop agent / gomen... it is the big hole need to fill up later from the earning income... Added on September 9, 2011, 8:53 amQUOTE(hazairi @ Sep 8 2011, 09:20 PM) Of course a high household debt affects everyone. When it's high, bank will find a way to reduce lending. The point is, our home prices is increased mainly becoz of cheap loans, not because of our GDP per capita or our disposable income. And keep in mind that around 60% of household debt is property loan. If you take a look on our household debt vs disposable income, u can see it's a worrying trend. When banks are starting to restrict lending, doesn't matter where u live, the demand on housing will definitely lower than usual because of the restrictions. Of course the effect would not be equal in KV and rural. u think ppl will let go their car first or house first if crisis hit (with assumption IF happen in 1 year time)?? This post has been edited by sampool: Sep 9 2011, 08:54 AM
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TSsampool
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Sep 9 2011, 10:06 AM
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QUOTE(katijar @ Sep 9 2011, 10:23 AM) you can rent a house/room but not car for long term... yes... house let go chances is higher... think for example a honda city (100k) with 10% downpayment loan 90k and a house (500k) with 10% loan 450k... obviously owner will let go loan 450k instead of 90k... why? because the house is inflate much more compare to car in this 5 yrs times.. car... important in bolehsia... no car less income/extra income... still remind as reliable transportation even in next 3 yrs... house as said can rent or cut down prop investment porfoliao.... 2 houses... let go 1 house is normal.. This post has been edited by sampool: Sep 9 2011, 10:09 AM
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TSsampool
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Sep 9 2011, 10:48 AM
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QUOTE(obiey @ Sep 9 2011, 11:44 AM) Are property prices going to up further? based on my 10 years experience - Yes based on my brother's 20 years experience - Yes based on my farther's 30-40 years experince - Yes and he wished he had bought more lands.. but he's no fortune teller.. I suppose the current property price bubble will burst but don't know when and property price will come down during that turmoil.. but 10 years after that.. my youngest brother will reply the same as me... this may only reflect to strategic location.. but I'm no fortune teller.. today maybe waste land.. 10~20 years after become gold mine.. and vice versa.. please don't shoot me.. i just want to share my experince..  just 1 question 10 years ago... wat is the monthly salary a fresh graduate from uni? and wat is the monthly salary for a fresh graduate now?
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TSsampool
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Sep 9 2011, 10:57 AM
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QUOTE(kh8668 @ Sep 9 2011, 11:52 AM) This question sounds from politician. no need to ask for the fresh grad. I am just interested to know your first year working incomeĀ vs your current income will do. LOL or you can compare with other countries fresh grd. How much salary 10 years ago vs current one. I trust that the answer will be the same. and the fact also the same, globally. because 10 yrs ago my basic is 2k... after 1 yr working i manage to bought a landed prop cost me 150k... now the value is 280k... now the freash gradute with 2.2k-2.5k unable to bought my house at value 280k after working for 1 yrs... .. except with help from parent...or grand parent... how about house with 500k and above... hehe.. This post has been edited by sampool: Sep 9 2011, 10:58 AM
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TSsampool
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Sep 9 2011, 11:12 AM
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QUOTE(kh8668 @ Sep 9 2011, 12:09 PM) you made a good decision at that time to purchase a property (new of subsale). LOL...otherwise, you will not get a 280k worth property now. (please calculate how much in total you pay for the house include interests, just curious to know). Property price increases for sure, salary increases also for sure, just the growth rate different. Different people will get different offer for his/her pay, also depend on different field. Just ask how much money if he/she can help the company make? More revenue - more profit - more income - more bonuses. come back to property and other living costs. INFLATION - I emphasize again that make the issue. 10 years ago, you bought your house maybe in the outskirt for 150k. Now also got choices of property below 200k in KL city, but just high-rise and old building. LOL. from developer.. a new house... i manage to settle the house in 8 yrs times.. because it is cheap.... hehe...
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TSsampool
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Sep 9 2011, 11:54 AM
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QUOTE(nkhong @ Sep 9 2011, 12:45 PM) People are saying fresh grad salary didnt increase for last ten years. What happened surrouding me it is true that freshie still get same pay start like 10 years ago, but once they get two or three years experience. They are getting at least double, or triple their initial pay.need about 10 yrs.......
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TSsampool
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Sep 9 2011, 01:06 PM
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QUOTE(kidmad @ Sep 9 2011, 01:07 PM) Well this tied to few factors. 1) whether you willing to take up new challenges 2) whether you are willing to move on 3) whether you are willing accept new changes 4) your flexibility to new environment. fact...i dedicated my times for biz.. which i earn about equavalent with my current sal... This post has been edited by sampool: Sep 9 2011, 01:35 PM
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