QUOTE(sampool @ Jul 27 2011, 12:20 PM)
I don't know for sure. Let's just say they still can continue living their lifestyle even after the purchase.
QUOTE(Nikmon @ Jul 27 2011, 12:40 PM)
based on ur fren case
stretching in second half 2011,
over-stretching in first half 2012
over-stretching to the limit in second half 2012
boom at 1st half of 2013......so market will crash in 2013......haha
actually i got a fren also putting himself in the risk, he play bursa, buy few new propertys and new car...brave heart.....optimistic view.
Unless money supply drops drastically next year, otherwise the market will still be flushed with liquidity. As long as there is still a large amount of cash floating in the market, many people, like your friend will continue to dabble in risks. Banks need to loan out the cash, risk takers will borrow and dabble in stocks, properties, etc. The recent SRR increase doesn't really affect banks hoarding of cash. M-3 supply has grown another RM106B from July last year till May this year.
I really don't see how property market will crash in the short to mid term as long as the money keeps rolling in (thanks to US anyway for their quantitative easing).
Moderation of property prices in the short term maybe, as no. of barriers increase for property buyer. Many ppl will pause to see see look look what is the next development. Then after awhile, ppl will think "What is my money doing in the banks earning less than the inflation rate?" And then the property price graph start to continue upwards movement...
Of course, I am not saying a crash won't happen, it is just that I don't see the signs yet.
Something for reading, which is a good piece from BNM:
bnm_eng.pdf ( 1.67mb )
Number of downloads: 79