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 Buying Gold As Investment V2, 2011 Gold Rush From Oil Hype

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GoldChan
post Jun 17 2011, 11:04 PM

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QUOTE(joey85 @ Jun 17 2011, 11:41 AM)
i went UOB to open an gold investment account two days ago, when i tell my initiate plan with the sales assistant, he said better put in their unit trust than invest in gold as the price now is quite high, he predict it will drop slight in these few months.. so at the end i put in their OSK-UOB KidSaves Trust which he mentioned to me is greater potential of return... (by calculation)... im still wondering am i doing the right choice now sweat.gif
*
well, maybe the sales assistant can earn commission by selling Unit Trust.


Added on June 17, 2011, 11:10 pm
QUOTE(97th Mobile @ Jun 17 2011, 11:20 AM)
Well do not just look at the RSI to trade or to buy, there is no one perfect indicator.

Agreed with you trading gold is not easy, imho due to the current high price of gold, you should have a least above 100k play the game.

Gold have been in the uptrend since 2001 making it a current 10 years uptrend, so you must know how to play a bull market depending on what stages it is. Should we not have different investment pattern for early, mid and mania phase of a bull market?

I see a lot of forum members going for physical gold purchase, i wonder if it is wise at this period of time. Physical Gold is good during which the country you are living in faces hyperinflation or if your country will be seriously affected by what is happening in the US.

If you have RM1000000 you should be concern with money devaluation, but what if you have RM 10000 or RM 20000? Would not the effect of devaluation be minimal?

I actually will be quite worried for the physical silver holder, wonder how many buyers there are locally? would the spread be good? if sell back internationally what would be the transport and insurance cost? after covering the transport, insurance and buying spread, would be worth it to invest in physical silver?

for me the best investment for RM10,000 to RM1,000,000 in terms of ROI is always as follows 1)Business 2)Property 3)Stocks/Commo/Futures/ETF's.

my first business gave me 90 times return in 6 years, way better than any other investment i know.

just my 1 cents...
*
1. Most businesses will fail in post peak oil environment.
so many of the traditional business like Starbuck, Maddona, franchise - it ;s too late to get in now.
Don;t waste your $capital, just buy a farm land and start planting food.
even that is not guarantee in post peak oil environment, it only going to give U extra opportunity to survive.

2. Most of the property will drop in prices as it cannot sustain itself w/o oil.
will scare U more later part of my life ok. maybe 3-6 mths down the road. got my reason.

3. Stocks etc goes up cause of QE 1 , QE 2. It can go higher but in actual value is lower.
No oil => no business ==> stock jatuh.!
no one can prevent that.!

no oil===> no mining ==> no extra gold and silver.
start with Peak Oil, read Chris Martenson crash course then the rest it pretty easy to understand.

Thus, gold and silver is the only tools to save guard your purchasing power for the time being. The next thing is farm land. and community based sharing.

This post has been edited by GoldChan: Jun 17 2011, 11:14 PM
97th Mobile
post Jun 18 2011, 04:18 AM

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QUOTE(GoldChan @ Jun 17 2011, 11:04 PM)


Added on June 17, 2011, 11:10 pm

1. Most businesses will fail in post peak oil environment.
so many of the traditional business like Starbuck, Maddona, franchise - it ;s too late to get in now.
Don;t waste your $capital, just buy a farm land and start planting food.
even that is not guarantee in post peak oil environment, it only going to give U extra opportunity to survive.

2. Most of the property will drop in prices as it cannot sustain itself w/o oil.
will scare U more later part of my life ok. maybe 3-6 mths down the road. got my reason.

3. Stocks etc goes up cause of QE 1 , QE 2. It can go higher but in actual value is lower.
No oil => no business ==> stock jatuh.!
no one can prevent that.!

no oil===> no mining ==> no extra gold and silver.
start with Peak Oil, read Chris Martenson crash course then the rest it pretty easy to understand.

Thus, gold and silver is the only tools to save guard your purchasing power for the time being. The next thing is farm land. and community based sharing.
*
1. If there is no oil, we humans will find alternatives, we always do. Fortunately we still have horses, camels, cows to pull wagons for us. Business will still be here even though it may have evolved to the world changes. It will still be of value because the business will still generate revenue.

2. The argument can be both ways, if there is no oil for the big machines then we will have to revert back to building wooden house? would a brick house then be of better value? Property price does fluctuate but tell me did gold price drop in the 90's? I think everything of value will fluctuate in price due to demand and supply. What i do know is the human population will keep growing unless there is massive famine or war. So the demand for property will always be there, it's just at what price.

3. i think stocks can jatuh also if there is still oil like 1997, 2008 and 1929 (No QE that time), it is just when to buy that matters.

I am not saying that Gold investment is not the way, in fact i too believe it is the current in trend investment since 2001. I am more worry on how long this trend will last. Will i be able to get out in time.

All investment have it's peak, am i ready for the next bull (whatever it may be)

Since my 1 cents is useless, this is my 1/2 cents (should even be more useless ha ha) rclxms.gif

GoldChan
post Jun 18 2011, 09:08 AM

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1. There is no alternatives other than oil. period. if there is then no IRAQ war, no LIBYA war, no 911.
U name an alternative U 1 I can challenge you. alternatives are very2 expensive, even if there is alternative, U need to cut down 90% of your energy usage.

2. All forest has been taken away U can find no wood but concrete, brick is energy intensive.

3. All human survive today because of oil. period.
there are 2 camps, one is doom day camp, another one is hopeful camp.

4. gold is the alternatives, until society break down.

QUOTE(97th Mobile @ Jun 18 2011, 04:18 AM)
1. If there is no oil, we humans will find alternatives, we always do. Fortunately we still have horses, camels, cows to pull wagons for us. Business will still be here even though it may have evolved to the world changes. It will still be of value because the business will still generate revenue.

2. The argument can be both ways, if there is no oil for the big machines then we will have to revert back to building wooden house? would a brick house then be of better value? Property price does fluctuate but tell me did gold price drop in the 90's? I think everything of value will fluctuate in price due to demand and supply. What i do know is the human population will keep growing unless there is massive famine or war. So the demand for property will always be there, it's just at what price.

3. i think stocks can jatuh also if there is still oil like 1997, 2008 and 1929 (No QE that time), it is just when to buy that matters.

I am not saying that Gold investment is not the way, in fact i too believe it is the current in trend investment since 2001. I am more worry on how long this trend will last. Will i be able to get out in time.

All investment have it's peak, am i ready for the next bull (whatever it may be)

Since my 1 cents is useless, this is my 1/2 cents (should even be more useless ha ha) rclxms.gif
*
This post has been edited by GoldChan: Jun 18 2011, 09:08 AM
joey85
post Jun 18 2011, 09:43 AM

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QUOTE(GoldChan @ Jun 17 2011, 11:04 PM)
well, maybe the sales assistant can earn commission by selling Unit Trust


In fact I'm having the same idea with u, tongue.gif I will open the gold Acc again in next month haha
prophetjul
post Jun 18 2011, 10:47 AM

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QUOTE(97th Mobile @ Jun 18 2011, 04:18 AM)

I am not saying that Gold investment is not the way, in fact i too believe it is the current in trend investment since 2001. I am more worry on how long this trend will last. Will i be able to get out in time.

*
You may not be so much older than me! biggrin.gif

Getting into gold is the same as getting out.............

looking at the signs of the times and not distracted by charts per se.......charts are just charts

The signs of the times are sayin gold's run is far from over rclxms.gif


quackpack
post Jun 18 2011, 11:31 AM

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Monday or Tuesday gold price will be interesting to look at.

Will it be another drop or just another resistant before a drop? biggrin.gif
Jutawan
post Jun 18 2011, 12:33 PM

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"gold and silver is the only tools to save guard your purchasing power for the time being"

I like this statement. Hopefully it is good for the future.
97th Mobile
post Jun 18 2011, 01:16 PM

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QUOTE(GoldChan @ Jun 18 2011, 09:08 AM)
1. There is no alternatives other than oil. period. if there is then no IRAQ war, no LIBYA war, no 911.
U name an alternative U 1 I can challenge you.  alternatives are very2 expensive, even if there is alternative, U need to cut down 90% of your energy usage.

2. All forest has been taken away U can find no wood but concrete, brick is energy intensive.

3. All human survive today because of oil. period.
there are 2 camps, one is doom day camp, another one is hopeful camp.

4. gold is the alternatives, until society break down.
*
1. No need to challenge lah, but you are right petrol price keep on increasing and i will still keep on paying for it until there is no oil or other alternatives then maybe i have to ride donkey or bicycle to work sweat.gif.

2. Our country still have a lot of trees lah, i am just suggesting that brick house would have more value than wooden house.

3. Me not in either camp, i would rate food, water and shelter as the most valuable commodities. if we do not have oil power then we still have steam power, wind power and manual labor power.

4. No comments, anything can happen when society break down.

Just my humble opinion. Now i respect your opinion too, i believe how we think makes us what we are and what we going to be in the future.

faber est quisque fortunae suae




This post has been edited by 97th Mobile: Jun 18 2011, 01:18 PM
GoldChan
post Jun 18 2011, 01:35 PM

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QUOTE(97th Mobile @ Jun 18 2011, 01:16 PM)
1. No need to challenge lah, but you are right petrol price keep on increasing and i will still keep on paying for it until there is no oil or other alternatives then maybe i have to ride donkey or bicycle to work sweat.gif.

2. Our country still have a lot of trees lah, i am just suggesting that brick house would have more value than wooden house.

3. Me not in either camp, i would rate food, water and shelter as the most valuable commodities. if we do not have oil power then we still have steam power, wind power and manual labor power.

4. No comments, anything can happen when society break down.

Just my humble opinion. Now i respect your opinion too, i believe how we think makes us what we are and what we going to be in the future.

faber est quisque fortunae suae

*
U don;t understand the scale of the problem we face. biggrin.gif
your responds suggested that you are not a believer in peak oil and belong to hopeful camp. Hopefully it will not be too late by the time you figure it out.
97th Mobile
post Jun 18 2011, 01:53 PM

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QUOTE(prophetjul @ Jun 18 2011, 10:47 AM)
You may not be so much older than me!   biggrin.gif

Getting into gold is the same as getting out.............

looking at the signs of the times and not distracted by charts per se.......charts are just charts

The signs of the times are sayin gold's run is far from over    rclxms.gif
*
Greed is my weakness when it comes to getting out.

Agreed that the gold bull run is still on, the challenge to me is to find the next bull because i plan 5-6 years ahead.

That is how i was taught to invest, buy it when it is low and sell it when it is high and never chase the bull.

I wonder, did you double up or triple up your gold in terms of value over the years? thumbup.gif

Did you bet all in into gold?


Added on June 18, 2011, 2:12 pm
QUOTE(GoldChan @ Jun 18 2011, 01:35 PM)
U don;t understand the scale of the problem we face.   biggrin.gif
your responds suggested that you are not a believer in peak oil and belong to hopeful camp. Hopefully it will not be too late by the time you figure it out.
*
Ok, let see life without electricity, no internet, no petrol base cars.... no at lot of things.

So please please enlighten me and teach me, would we revert back to the early industrial age (steam power), Renaissance age or middle ages or post-apocalyptic scenario? icon_question.gif

How would you prepare for peak oil, just gold? need any parang to defend yourself, your food and your gold?

This post has been edited by 97th Mobile: Jun 18 2011, 02:30 PM
FrancescoTop8
post Jun 18 2011, 03:08 PM

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QUOTE(joey85 @ Jun 17 2011, 11:41 AM)
i went UOB to open an gold investment account two days ago, when i tell my initiate plan with the sales assistant, he said better put in their unit trust than invest in gold as the price now is quite high, he predict it will drop slight in these few months.. so at the end i put in their OSK-UOB KidSaves Trust which he mentioned to me is greater potential of return... (by calculation)... im still wondering am i doing the right choice now sweat.gif
*
In unit trust, you will pay an initial charge (5% - 6%) and an annual management charge (1% - 1.75%)
It means u have to pay ur initial charge. But, the worst of it is annual management charge, before u start the race EVERY YEAR.
Imagine ur Skyline GTR34 have to wait at pit stop(to clear the ANNUAL management fee) while rival`s Skyline GTR34 already speeding at will.

In gold investment, u do have Spread, but no annual management charge at all.
It means u only need to clear ur spread and u were right in the race.
Imagine ur Skyline GTR34 allowed to speeding while rival`s Skyline GTR34 still idle in pit stop. whistling.gif


joey85
post Jun 18 2011, 08:46 PM

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QUOTE(FrancescoTop8 @ Jun 18 2011, 03:08 PM)
In unit trust, you will pay an initial charge (5% - 6%) and an annual management charge (1% - 1.75%)
It means u have to pay ur initial charge. But, the worst of it is annual management charge, before u start the race EVERY YEAR. 
Imagine ur Skyline GTR34 have to wait at pit stop(to clear the ANNUAL management fee) while rival`s Skyline GTR34 already speeding at will. 

In gold investment, u do have Spread, but no annual management charge at all.
It means u only need to clear ur spread and u were right in the race.
Imagine ur Skyline GTR34 allowed to speeding while rival`s Skyline GTR34 still idle in pit stop.  whistling.gif
*
I know that y bit regret to place that trust, however, nvm la since already place then just wish that it will earn.. And will place another investment in gold account in coming weeks or month smile.gif thanks for the advice above thumbup.gif
FrancescoTop8
post Jun 18 2011, 10:53 PM

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QUOTE(joey85 @ Jun 18 2011, 08:46 PM)
I know that y bit regret to place that trust, however, nvm la since already place then just wish that it will earn.. And will place another investment in gold account in coming weeks or month smile.gif thanks for the advice above thumbup.gif
*
Unit trust has a cooling-off period.
Investor can enforce this condition if he/she doesn`t want to continue the investment.

I also encounter the similar situation like yours.
The bank executive AKA unit trust agent try to divert >30% of my planned gold capital into unit trusts, of her recommendation.
I do realised that i`m noob in financial things, but by promoting unit trust like there`s no tomorrow, it just insult of intelligence.




joey85
post Jun 19 2011, 01:18 PM

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QUOTE(FrancescoTop8 @ Jun 18 2011, 10:53 PM)
Unit trust has a cooling-off period.
Investor can enforce this condition if he/she doesn`t want to continue the investment.

I also encounter the similar situation like yours.
The bank executive AKA unit trust agent try to divert  >30% of my planned gold capital into unit trusts, of her recommendation.
I do realised that i`m noob in financial things, but by promoting unit trust like there`s no tomorrow, it just insult of intelligence.
*
Hmmm u r right in the sense that we r brimg manipulated by the bank agent hahaha nvm.. Just treat it as experience, so that next time I will stand firm on my own planning and decision smile.gif

pubmut
post Jun 19 2011, 01:29 PM

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Boys and Girls

For those interested in ETFs as an option to physicals, you might want to take a look at Eric Sprott's Trust Funds (US and Canada traded).

Sprott Physical Gold Trust
Sprott Physical Silver Trust

Read the details at the respective sites and check out the price per share listed there.

It is preferable if you can invest via the Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX) just in case the NYSE can't hold its end when the meltdown starts.

The challenge is that there aren't any local agents here that deal with the TSX, not to mention charges with forex and broker fees.

Regards
sapapa
post Jun 19 2011, 01:56 PM

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News : This year E3, Gold price will shoot up tremendously! Don't buy paper gold, buy physical.
prophetjul
post Jun 19 2011, 02:48 PM

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QUOTE(97th Mobile @ Jun 18 2011, 01:53 PM)
Greed is my weakness when it comes to getting out.

Agreed that the gold bull run is still on, the challenge to me is to find the next bull because i plan 5-6 years ahead.

That is how i was taught to invest, buy it when it is low and sell it when it is high and never chase the bull.

I wonder, did you double up or triple up your gold in terms of value over the years? thumbup.gif

Did you bet all in into gold?
First law of investing- do NOT put ALL eggs in ONE basket! thumbup.gif

i started buying in 2001 when Kijnags was around Rm1,100p oz
Haven't sold a single oz yet! biggrin.gif

The times were just starting to gear up up for a fall then.............the fall is falling
into place presently............
ahmadtarmizi88
post Jun 19 2011, 08:14 PM

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QUOTE(sapapa @ Jun 19 2011, 01:56 PM)
News : This year E3, Gold price will shoot up tremendously! Don't buy paper gold, buy physical.
*
hehe gud
cherroy
post Jun 19 2011, 08:20 PM

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QUOTE(sapapa @ Jun 19 2011, 01:56 PM)
News : This year E3, Gold price will shoot up tremendously! Don't buy paper gold, buy physical.
*
If physical gold goes up, so does paper gold. Little difference.
Unless one is saying banks go under (very very unlikely, almost near impossible), then different story.


cherroy
post Jun 19 2011, 08:22 PM

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QUOTE(sapapa @ Jun 17 2011, 11:55 AM)
For me, gold is not my choice of investment because the return is TOO slow. Yea, I said TOO SLOW. Even slower than mutual funds. One good thing about gold is that it WILL increase and will NEVER decrease in the long-run. So you will have a 100% assured gain when you invest in gold BUT the return p/a is LOW compared to mutual funds.

Eg:Gold +2 - 12%return(FIX) Mutual Funds -10 - 40% return(Unstable)
*
QUOTE(sapapa @ Jun 19 2011, 01:56 PM)
News : This year E3, Gold price will shoot up tremendously! Don't buy paper gold, buy physical.
*
Wait...
A person said gold is too slow, now saying gold price will shoot up tremendously. rclxub.gif laugh.gif

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