QUOTE(mois @ May 17 2011, 07:08 PM)
Do u mind to share more about your own entry/exit rules? I think you mean switch to bond fund right? If there is rally in equity market, do u switch over bond fund? And switch back during market correction? Or let it withstand the volatility of the market?
Hey Mois. I've posted the holistic view of my approach in Post #414 at
http://forum.lowyat.net/topic/1577849/+400 (it's a ZIP file with Excel & Power Point) in the PowerPoint file.
In summary, i use 2 methodologies for mutual funds:
1. Programmatic Methodology (no fear, no greed)a. Plan
Based on my own Asset Allocation & Foreign/Local coverage, I'll filter for funds to start a "TwinVest" program (a DCA (25%) + VCA (75%) approach).
Example for EPF funded funds, I went with PIX then changed the program to PAGF as it can do up to 30% foreign stocks & PSSF
Example for cash funded funds, I went with PFES, PRSEC & PFEPRF
Then i'll calculate the amount of $ to ALLOCATE to this TwinVest program EVERY PERIOD.
Example: PAGF $5K every qtr. Note that 1 fund for 1 TwinVest program which i intend to run at least 3 years
b. Entry
Based on 1a plan, every 3 months, i punch the NAV of the fund into the program's spreadsheet to find how much $ to buy.
The spreadsheet will automatically advise to use at least 25% of the allocated per period + depending on the NAV, none or MORE THAN 75% of the allocated per period if there are unused capital from previous period.
U may need to download the ZIP file with the PowerPoint to "see" this easier - i've detailed out DCA vs TwinVest by per transaction basis.
c. Exits
I'll take profit by switching to a bond fund, the transaction COST + 10%pa of expected net profit, and leave the rest to run
IF a transaction hits more than 50% net profit within < 1yr
IF a transaction hits more than 25%pa net profit >= 1yr
For reasonings on why these two % - checkout the ZIP files with statistical data of 10yrs, 5yrs, 3yrs & 1yr performances ended 20110512, 20101231, 20091231, 20081231 & 20071231 posted somewhere in the fund corner
http://forum.lowyat.net/topic/690951/+11802. Value Methodologya. Entry
When the NAV of the funds i've filtered based on my own Asset Allocation & Foreign/Local coverage is <= 3yrs NAV * (56% to 66% dependent on the fund), I'll use up about 30% of my unused funds earmarked for Value Investing in Equities.
b. Exits
Similar to 1c
Hehhe - i hope U find the above useful and not

. I may be a bit too detailed in my approach
This post has been edited by wongmunkeong: May 18 2011, 11:01 AM