QUOTE(cloudwan0 @ Apr 8 2010, 10:04 AM)
us mortgage rate going up 0.3%, government want investor move their $ into market share. estimate will increase to 6% by early next year.
any news that saying malaysia will increase brl in future, after the increase of 0.25%.
http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/U/US_...EMPLATE=DEFAULTThere is nothing that supports US RE is going anywhere but down.
55M Mortgages in US today
8M Mortgages 90 days behind (98% will foreclose)
12M Mortgages Underwater (85%+ will foreclose)
Values now to 2003 levels
Transactions same as 2000 level
RE investors are begining to buy only locational opps = good rental returns but bottom is about 10%-15% more down if you are looking to buy.
Major asset purchases have fallen off a cliff (ie. RE purchases)
Commercial RE over a TRILLION have been put on 3-5 terms that just wont be able to renew.
It doesnt matter how low RE goes, it’s the cost of servicing the debt that will make the difference. You cannot do so in high income and property tax destinations.
You cannot do so if you loose your job or take a pay cut moving forward. Your jobs are going offshore forever!
There is NO BOTTOM IN RE until unemployment hits 4-5%. There is NO BOTTOM IN RE until interest rates reach 5-7%.
Look to the US for further bad news and limited imports to hurt Malaysia along with the other western destinations. Look to a revisit or double dip OR longer muddle through where the pain is prolonged for 8-10 years.
Look for some correction in Malaysia also from pending RE bubble in CHINA.
This is not major but minor by global standards including depressed RE values with every point of interest rate rises.
Be grateful you live in Malaysia though where the cost of living is one of the lowest in the world, unemployment reasonable, lifestyle very good and a growing consumer along with all SE Asian destinations.