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 Investing in US stocks, Does anyone know how?

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ozak
post Nov 23 2009, 09:38 AM

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Some weekly report for you guys. smile.gif

QUOTE
The Weekly Report For November 23rd - November 27th, 2009

Commentary: The bulls managed to send the major financial indexes higher in the early part of the week, but unfortunately, the momentum was unable to continue as mixed economic data caused traders to question the conviction of the market recovery.

As you can see from the chart for the S&P 500, as represented by the S&P 500 SPDRS (NYSE:SPY) ETF, the 111.30 level acted as a strong level of resistance and many are now wondering if the index is heading for a deeper correction. The S&P is still trading within an established uptrend and technical traders will continue to hold a bullish outlook on the market until the index closes below the support of the ascending trendline near the 106 level.

Attached Image

The Diamonds Trust Series 1 (NYSE:DIA) hit resistance near 104.60 and the newly-formed doji candle is suggesting that the short-term pullback could continue. Traders will watch for the 101 level to act as support.

[attachmentid=1318434]

The iShares Russell 2000 Index (NYSE:IWM) ETF continues to look relatively unhealthy. IWM recently set a lower high, and it couldn't muster enough strength to move above its October higher like its larger-cap counterparts. Many traders will watch for the index to find support at its long-term moving averages. The bad news for bullish traders is that there are not many support levels between the current level and the 200-day moving average, which is currently near $52. This chart suggests that the pullback could end up being much sharper than many were anticipating.

[attachmentid=1318436]

The Powershares QQQ ETF (Nasdaq:QQQQ) was hit hard in the second half of the week. The lackluster earnings report from Dell Inc. (NYSE:DELL) didn't help the case for a move higher. However, the diverging moving averages shown on the chart are a clear indication that the long-term uptrend in technology stocks is still intact.

[attachmentid=1318439]

Bottom Line
The action this past week clearly shows that the conviction of the bulls and the strength of the market rally continue to be in question. The late-week pullback has caused many to wonder if the rally is running out of steam or if this is a brief period of consolidation before another leg higher. The small-cap stocks are still underperforming their larger counterparts, but in general, the long-term pressure still seems to be to the upside.
sulifeisgreat
post Nov 23 2009, 12:04 PM

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QUOTE(ozak @ Nov 23 2009, 09:18 AM)
Yes the stock is massive. For me, every stock look like good to me.  drool.gif That is why I prefer sifu here choose one. But I didn't simply follow. I still will read up thier history and trading chart of thier past.
*
suggest, base on ur experience currently, pick 10 onli to monitor / paper trade over 6 months
it would be best, if u consider to upgrade knowledge & skill, if u wan to. otherwise, no prob staying where u r rolleyes.gif

then, monitor those 100 stocks, imagine u r fun manager & can hold 10000 units of each of them
since all FA info available in TA chart, at tis moment, tis r the top stocks in usa
also u need be update by urself, on its news via yahoo finance, be hardworking a bit la, if u wan to... shakehead.gif
after 6 months, report to tis thread & lemme know bruce.gif tq

a- which stock do roket
b- which go longkang
c- which allows u do a lot of swing trade
d- which tidur
sulifeisgreat
post Nov 23 2009, 08:08 PM

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here we go again, roller coaster ride cool2.gif since cheap dollar is stil hanging around, u know wat to do nod.gif

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/do-weaker...ling-2009-11-22

http://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politic...endars/economic

Attached Image

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) -- After several months of improvement in housing, manufacturing and sales, the U.S. economic recovery appeared to sputter in October, leading investors and analysts to re-evaluate whether their forecasts were too rosy.

The economic data to be released in the holiday-shortened week ahead could provide a few more "what-were-we-thinking?" moments. All in all, though, the data shouldn't kill hopes for modest growth while we wait for the private sector to start hiring again.

Last week, a "reality check" rippled through the markets following weak data on housing starts and industrial production, said Nigel Gault and Brian Bethune, U.S. economists for IHS Global Insight. They expect further "mixed and somewhat ambiguous" reports in the coming week, but, on whole, they say "the evidence is still positive and continues to point to a nascent recovery" that will need "strong policy support" for some time.

Housing
Even four years after the peak, the state of the housing market remains central to the medium-term outlook.

Construction, sales and prices picked up over recent months after hitting generational lows, boosted in part by federal policies and in part by improvement in some of the fundamentals. But the weakening in the October data ahead of the anticipated expiration of the federal home-buying subsidy has put the strength of those fundamentals to the test.

The home-buyer tax credit, of course, has now been extended and even expanded. But buyers and builders didn't know that in October.

Last week, we found out that builders cut back on permits and starts on single-family homes in October, in anticipation that the tax credit would expire on Nov. 30.

This week, we'll get October data on sales of new and existing homes.

Economists surveyed by MarketWatch expect sales of existing homes to rise about 3% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.74 million. It would be the highest sales rate since June 2007. And it would reflect some sales of buyers rushing to get in ahead of the Nov. 30 deadline. Existing-home sales are recorded at closing.

By contrast, sales of new homes are recorded when the contract is signed, which is at least a month and often much more before the sale closes. To close on a sale before Nov. 30, a buyer would have had to sign contract in September or early October at the latest.

In part because the deadline would have passed for most buyers in October, sales of new homes are projected to have declined about 3% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 390,000, the survey says. Sales of new homes have underperformed compared with existing homes, probably because buyers can get a better deal on a foreclosed home or on a home owned by someone who needs to sell, fast.

Federal policies are clearly supporting the market, but there is uncertainty about how strong it would be without the support. Economists for Barclays Capital say that sales of existing homes would have risen 10% without the tax credit, instead of the 24% that has been recorded with it.

Although home prices have fallen and mortgage rates are very low, the housing market faces considerable problems. Foreclosures continue to rise and vacancy rates are at record levels, which mean prices could fall another 5% to 10% by the middle of 2010, according to Jan Hatzius, chief economist for Goldman Sachs.

If prices, sales and construction do sag, banks are likely keep credit extremely tight, which in turn could weigh on the pace of recovery, Hatzius said.

GDP revisions
The other big story for the week could be the revision to third-quarter growth figures. Last month, the Commerce Department said real gross domestic product grew at a 3.5% annualized rate, the first gain in a year. On Tuesday, that figure is likely to be revised to about 2.8%.

The revision comes from more complete data. In the first go-around, the government statisticians must estimate many of the key inputs for September, including foreign trade, inventories and construction spending. Now that those data have been released, it's clear the first estimates were too big.

The largest source of revisions will come from nonresidential construction spending and net exports. Spending on nonresidential structures was weaker than first thought, while imports were stronger than believed, suggesting that more of the gains from increased sales in the third quarter accrued to foreign producers, rather than domestic companies. Inventories will be revised lower.

"Despite the likely downward revision, we still believe that the third quarter will prove to be the first quarter of recovery and that it demonstrates a decisive turn in the economy," wrote economists for Barclays Capital.

Economists see the economy growing at a pace just above its long-term trend. They expect GDP to grow 2.5% in the fourth quarter, 3% in the first quarter of 2010 and 3.5% in the second quarter. That's a far cry from the 6% growth seen in typical V-shaped recoveries, but it's better than a poke in the eye with a sharp stick.

Of course, those are just forecasts. No one really knows for sure how the economy will do over the next 12 to 18 months.

danmooncake
post Nov 23 2009, 09:48 PM

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Dunno about others, but I'm enjoying this roller coaster ride.

So as long as stocks move, I'm making money. biggrin.gif



This post has been edited by danmooncake: Nov 23 2009, 09:50 PM
honglun
post Nov 23 2009, 09:50 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Nov 23 2009, 09:48 PM)
Dunno about others, but I'm enjoying this roller coaster ride.

So as long as stocks move, I'm making money.  biggrin.gif
*
Dan,
What positions u have currently? I think money's in financials today.
syong
post Nov 23 2009, 09:57 PM

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can anyone comments on RBS?
tot of entering...
Tks

danmooncake
post Nov 23 2009, 10:00 PM

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QUOTE(honglun @ Nov 23 2009, 09:50 PM)
Dan,
What positions u have currently? I think money's in financials today.
*
Currently holding 200 ERX @ 38.50 for swing trade.
No short or bear positions at this time.


Long on C, TCK, CSCO, GE, FXI, GLD and VTI.


epalbee3
post Nov 23 2009, 10:21 PM

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Putting to buy 43 MGM at market rate.
danmooncake
post Nov 23 2009, 10:32 PM

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Looks like my pre-market queue for 200 TNA 36.80 got executed. smile.gif
mIssfROGY
post Nov 23 2009, 10:55 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Nov 23 2009, 10:32 PM)
Looks like my pre-market queue for 200 TNA 36.80 got executed.  smile.gif
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u r the best...becoz of u....i m too following TNA....lurve it! rclxms.gif
danmooncake
post Nov 23 2009, 11:18 PM

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QUOTE(ozak @ Nov 23 2009, 09:38 AM)
Some weekly report for you guys.  smile.gif
QUOTE

The Weekly Report For November 23rd - November 27th, 2009

Commentary: The bulls managed to send the major financial indexes higher in the early part of the week,
but unfortunately, the momentum was unable to continue as mixed economic data caused traders to question
the conviction of the market recovery.
*
So much for "the momentum was unable to continue" part. biggrin.gif

This market is all about the Fed and the Dollar. Let face the truth,
Dollar is spiraling down. Unless the Fed turns about on interest rates,
nothing bad about the economy is going to stop this bull train. nod.gif

3 steps forward, 2 steps back. Let's continue this dance. Shall we? biggrin.gif
epalbee3
post Nov 23 2009, 11:19 PM

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QUOTE(epalbee3 @ Nov 23 2009, 10:21 PM)
Putting to buy 43 MGM at market rate.
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bought 43 shares of MGM at 7.00
bought 5 shares of LVS at 16.24

small play.. waiting to recover.
honglun
post Nov 23 2009, 11:21 PM

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QUOTE(epalbee3 @ Nov 23 2009, 11:19 PM)
bought 43 shares of MGM at 7.00
bought 5 shares of LVS at 16.24

small play.. waiting to recover.
*
How did u manage to get MGM at 7$?
epalbee3
post Nov 23 2009, 11:22 PM

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QUOTE(honglun @ Nov 23 2009, 11:21 PM)
How did u manage to get MGM at 7$?
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it is 11.00.. mistype.

still waiting to recover..
honglun
post Nov 23 2009, 11:24 PM

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QUOTE(epalbee3 @ Nov 23 2009, 11:22 PM)
it is 11.00.. mistype.

still waiting to recover..
*


Same entry here. Let's hope for the best

miuk
post Nov 23 2009, 11:57 PM

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Me too enter MGM @ 11, was a bit too hasty i guess considering the price is hovering about at 10.80 now. Looks like the thread is more like a casino stocks thread already, hehehe
danmooncake
post Nov 23 2009, 11:59 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Nov 23 2009, 10:32 PM)
Looks like my pre-market queue for 200 TNA 36.80 got executed.  smile.gif
*
Trailing stop got me out..38 LOL!! biggrin.gif

Looking for better re-entry at lower 37.

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Nov 24 2009, 12:01 AM
epalbee3
post Nov 24 2009, 12:06 AM

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ai.. trapped at MGM and LVS. My free trades will expire tomorrow. have to sell the stock tomorrow also.
sulifeisgreat
post Nov 24 2009, 12:59 AM

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the momentum unable to continue thingy, was jus a way of sharing, to let us see what the analyst r thinking flex.gif
its ok to continue posting it, as we have more article to read in this thread tongue.gif

how come, buying those gambling counters today? concept - buy the dip was last week & sell the rally is today laugh.gif
seems lvs got a much better chance, than mgm to move upwards, under their current tight trading range (i'm not in either position shakehead.gif )

swing trade time - lqdt, vclk, epax & kppc bruce.gif
look at the gold sector stocks new high with gap up - ego, svm, iag & kgn (wonder wil there be a pullback soon, for me to reenter sad.gif )

u guys / gals better ensure ur ac allows shorting, buying of put & call options thumbup.gif
coz when fed raise int rate, whenever it will be in the future, must not miss the longkang party invitation rclxm9.gif
danmooncake
post Nov 24 2009, 01:52 AM

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Let's face it.. the so-called analysts just don't get it.

Thank you USA and China! Thank you Bernanke!
You're making me rich.. tongue.gif If China gets out.. then I'm out. brows.gif

Update: 3:10am
Trailing stop to save profit on ERX@40.50 got executed.

Closing update: 5:08am
Dow 10450.95 +135.79 +1.29
Nasdaq 2176.01 +29.97 +1.40%
S&P 500 1106.24 +14.86 +1.36%

Are the bulls back? Or is this a bear trick? laugh.gif

Update: 7:38am
Back into TNA: 36.98 after hours. tongue.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Nov 24 2009, 07:39 AM

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