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 Public Mutual, PM/PB series fund

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Jordy
post Jun 15 2008, 03:42 PM

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QUOTE(outsider @ Jun 15 2008, 09:13 AM)
pm changing their new form again....nia mah.....i damn hate this....always need to buy a new form....buy nvm, but scare ask my client sign the old form and then cannot submit it.....nia sing..... they should inform us by email saying that their form cant be used. at least we all this inactivate agent know what the new form mah....kaninia
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Hi, please mind your language in public forums smile.gif
The company did in fact sent out email informing the ACTIVE agents about the change of forms.
Actually, you can't blame the company in this case, because you did not take the initiative to find out what is happening. You did not bother to know what is happening.

I hope I do not start a flame by stating the facts smile.gif
Jordy
post Jun 18 2008, 01:20 AM

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QUOTE(David83 @ Jun 17 2008, 09:35 PM)
leekk8, what's the signifcant of knowing those top 5 holdings?
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There is no great significance, because those were for the past quarter (ie 2008Q1).
It is done to have a better transparency basically, so that investors know at least what their funds are holding.
It is also a requirement by SC that the portfolio be exposed in the annual reports for each funds.
The main reason consultants show this is to give investors the confidence because they know what they're investing in.
But as I said, those holdings were for the previous quarter, so things change after the reports were printed.
So all in all, they're kind of "Sejarah" type of thing for us smile.gif
Jordy
post Jun 19 2008, 12:05 AM

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QUOTE(leekk8 @ Jun 18 2008, 02:15 PM)
As an investors, we need to monitor our investment. By having this info, actually we can know if the fund manager really invest our money according to the investment strategies. Although this info is a bit outdated, this info is the latest info available and normally unit trust funds do not change their portfolio very frequent. I never see any equity/balanced fund which have totally different top 5 holdings in 2 consecutive months. If yes, this is another indicator to investors, fund managers may not do homework before they invest earlier.

Anyway, if most of you feel that it's useless, I will not post again to save the space of the forum.
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leekk8, sorry if my previous post sounded offensive. I was just explaining to David the reason this data is published.
I do agree with what you're saying in the first sentence of your post. Not many investors will fully understand unit trust, because a lot of them just rely on their agents for information and recommendations. That is where agents get their money smile.gif
I apologise for not using the proper wordings, as I was just trying to get my opinion through.
Jordy
post Jun 28 2008, 12:03 AM

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http://forum.lowyat.net/index.php?showtopi...l=public+mutual

Please post everything related to Public Mutual here.
Where did you get the information that agents "need" to recruit every year? Is it something new that I have not heard of? wink.gif
Jordy
post Jun 28 2008, 09:38 PM

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QUOTE(hk_gg @ Jun 28 2008, 07:14 PM)
oh ya..10q 4urs info lah..
actually i decide 2join my friend as PM UTC..but he said tat need recuit ppl leh every year....tis made me blur ady..haiz...
Another ques is: if i joined under him, but i also dun even recuit ppl..then he also can do anything on me lo..is it?
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Well, as an upline myself, I also hope all my downlines can grow their business and be successful, but we know there is NOTHING we can do to force anyone. Success is determined ONLY by yourself. Failing to plan is planning to fail, so make sure before you embark on any business, make sure you plan on your journey.
Also, as a recruiter, I think your friend is somewhat too "fresh" in this business. So, depending only on him might be a problem as well. I suggest that you find out who his immediate upline is, and try to learn as much from him/her (if his upline is experienced).
If you want to be a professional consultant, you must have the right knowledge from the right people. Impression is important, and if you strike it right, recruit or not is yet another question.
Jordy
post Jul 2 2008, 08:42 AM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Jul 1 2008, 11:14 PM)
Has anyone heard of Corporate Unit Trust Adviser or CUTA ?

Marketing unit trusts from multiple find managers  vs one channel.
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Yes I have heard of CUTA. You will need to be a qualified FP to set up a CUTA.
Each CUTA should consists of at least 2 qualified FP to start the business.
Well, it is good especially when you have the qualifications, people would tend to trust you more.
Since you are not tied to just one company, you can get a larger customer base for different companies.

This post has been edited by Jordy: Jul 2 2008, 08:44 AM
Jordy
post Jul 2 2008, 09:16 AM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Jul 2 2008, 09:08 AM)
Thank you for sharing.

I do have CFP and RFP, but practising only partially.

There is a seminar going tomorrow, and my schedule is quite tight, otherwise I would go with an opened minded,

The other set back is the agency system of recruiting people ( advantages ) under us might not work under CUTA ( need to know more ). And set up cost could be quite  high ( like getting licence from SC)
Anyway, just exploring other ways to enhance our incomes, and not doing any promotion here.
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If I remember correctly, CUTA is not eligible to do recruitment. They have the responsibility to advise the clients themselves.
Since you have CFP, then you could get another CFP to jointly set up a CUTA.
I read about the seminar too just recently in The Star. Not a bad seminar I should say.
Anyway, maybe you could set up a small financial planning firm to get some income?
At times like this where inflation is on the rise, a lot of people would need such services.
Jordy
post Jul 8 2008, 12:08 AM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Jul 7 2008, 08:30 AM)
Yes, I agree with you.

With high inflation and high  building material costs, investing in Far East  share markets is never been  easy.

And yet this fund is  sector specific that requires high capital expenditures, normally taking longer time to break even for new projects,  like the case of 3 or 3.5G.

It is my personal opinion that the timing is not very right ( though not right to time the market  ) , taking longer period to see the real results. And as you say, it could be very profitable too in good times.
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I would like to state my opinion here, if you don't mind me quoting you smile.gif
The fund should be investing in established telco and construction corporations in the Far East.
One example of this is China Mobile, CCCC or China Railway.
The advantage of this is that these corporations have the infrastructure and service in place, and they are growing.
So, investing in these corporations would mean getting fruits from the matured trees.
Telco companies don't really need a lot of capex once their infrastructure is completed, but just need maintenance expenses.
So, they have the ability to pay out high dividend in good times or expand their businesses in bad times.

This is my 2 cents on this fund, and a brief run-through of the fund gave me a good impression.
I still have yet to go deep into the details, but there is still time for it now smile.gif
Jordy
post Jul 8 2008, 01:23 AM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Jul 8 2008, 01:01 AM)
For the purpose of sharing knowledge. could be wrong anyway.

Telcos in Europe are in serious troubles now bcos they are rushing into 3G with massive debts, but losing money. According to CEO of DIGI.

Likewise, in Malaysia, Telcos are making money on the older tech i.e 2 or 2.5 G, losing money on 3G. HK telco is losing ton of money on 3G too. While in Japan, one big Telco nearly collapsed bcos of 3G years  back.

In fact 3G was launched many years back, and yet many telcos are still losing money. How long can they last ?  Or when you expect 3G to bear fruits ? The trees are getting old also. 4G tech  is on the way.

The other problem is steel price in Malaysia is valid for 3 days. So how are you going to tender for projects. Same could happen in Far East.

You still to plant new trees for the next gen, right ? So who bear the costs ?
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You might be right on the 3G and steel part, but as I said I still have yet to go into so much details smile.gif
I just returned from outstation and just got to know about this fund from newspaper today tongue.gif
The fund might be a good hedge against inflation as it invests in basic materials as well.
Telco in China might be losing money in 3G, but they are gaining more from the 2G or 2.5G.
Unless 3G get more subsribers, or we will not see any huge growth in profits from telcos.
What we can bet on is stable income from these telco giants smile.gif
Jordy
post Jul 8 2008, 12:32 PM

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Well, what we're saying is that from now up to the next 10 years, we could still see increasing number of phone users. So, there is still opportunity for a "short" long term investment into telco. The only worry is that with the earthquake in Sichuan, telcos there might need to spend some chunk of money to rebuild the lost infrastructures there.

Just my 2 cents for discussion purposes.
Jordy
post Jul 10 2008, 10:21 AM

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QUOTE(kokanchai @ Jul 10 2008, 10:18 AM)
i had invest 10k on itikian public mutual..

since last year till now..not even 1 year..from 2.5 standart drop till 1.9 now..

crazy..!!
anyone have such feeling so?
feeling told me.. public mutual will be launch a new fund..withhin 2-3month
how abt those old one?they just like put aside didnt pay much attention on it..
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This scenario is common wherever you go, not only Public Mutual. Try investing in other unit trust houses, they are still the same. It is a global problem, so it is unfair to put Public Mutual into blame.

Timing is very important when investing. The market has been in a bull run from 2005-2007, so you have invested during the peak. Late last year, the market globally crashed because of US subprime. Public Mutual has nothing to do with it and cannot do anything but just to keep the portfolio.

Launching new fund doesn't mean they will just leave the old fund. They launched new fund to get a new set of portfolio and to buy more stocks at times like this. It is wise to launch more funds during market downturn than launching more funds during a bull run.

By the way, you have invested in Public China Ittikal Fund if I am not mistaken. China is too risky last year as the market has been booming the most, almost 100% in a year. So, it has become a bubble waiting to burst. When the US subprime emerged, obviously China market will be badly hit, thus making the largest lost. Who is to be blamed? Speculators that have been pushing up the market there and dumping the shares when glabal crisis arises.

This post has been edited by Jordy: Jul 10 2008, 10:25 AM
Jordy
post Jul 29 2008, 11:03 PM

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QUOTE(David83 @ Jul 29 2008, 11:00 PM)
Public Capital Protected Select Portfolio Fund (PCPSPF) should be the second capital protected fund from Public Mutual.
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Yeah, that is right. The first is PB Capital Protected Dragon Fund (PBCPDF).
So it is one for PB and one for Public laugh.gif
Jordy
post Aug 1 2008, 08:08 PM

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QUOTE(David83 @ Aug 1 2008, 07:43 PM)
Public Mutual declares distributions for 4 funds

Public Bank’s wholly-owned subsidiary, Public Mutual declares distributions for four of its funds. The total gross distributions declared for the financial year ended 31 July 2008 are as follows:

Public Growth Fund 10.00 sen

Public Bond Fund 5.00 sen

Public Islamic Opportunities Fund 4.00 sen

Public Islamic Select Bond Fund 1.50 sen


Public Mutual’s Chairman Tan Sri Dato’ Sri Dr. Teh Hong Piow said Public Growth Fund and Public Bond Fund which are the winners of The Morningstar 2007 Fund Awards (Malaysia), have generated five-year returns of 85.14% and 24.41% respectively for the period ended 11 July 2008, according to The Edge-Lipper Fund Table dated 21 July 2008. Public Bond Fund is also the winner of The Edge-Lipper Malaysia Fund Awards 2008.

Meanwhile, Public Islamic Opportunities Fund which was ranked No. 1 for its three-year returns has generated a return of 59.70% for the same period in its category. Public Islamic Opportunities Fund was launched in 2005 while Public Islamic Select Bond Fund was launched last year.

Public Mutual is the largest private unit trust company in Malaysia, and it manages 64 funds for more than 1,800,000 accountholders. As at 30 May 2008, the total fund size managed by the company was RM28.4 billion.

URL: http://www.publicmutual.com.my/page.aspx?name=prs_rls_080731
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Cool, I am going into PBOND on Monday.
Looks like the ex price would be below RM0.90 smile.gif
Jordy
post Aug 1 2008, 10:33 PM

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QUOTE(David83 @ Aug 1 2008, 08:35 PM)
Why specifically this bond fund and not the rest like PISBF?
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PBOND has been launched earlier, so there's a track record at least.
PBOND is conventional bond, so it can have PB's bond in its portfolio.
That should stabilise the fund a bit more in the long run.
Jordy
post Aug 1 2008, 11:01 PM

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QUOTE(howszat @ Aug 1 2008, 10:48 PM)
Bond funds are sensitive to the possibility of interest rate rises. Recently, they all dropped 3-4%. Considering they took 1 year to rise about 3%, the drop is huge, and it means that all(?) the bond funds are now about minus 1-2%.

I have some bond funds, and as soon as they recover a bit, I am going to switch them to cash management funds. But I may have to wait a while.
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Not really, if you see PBOND's historical returns, it has been well above 5% for 8 years, with the exception of 2004 and 2006, which were just below 3%. PB's bond has 2 tenures, the first will expire in 2016 and the second in 2036. RHB Capital's bond will last to 2011 with a coupon rate of 7.20%, and Malakoff Corporation's tenure will expire in 2022 with coupon rate of 6.68%.
Jordy
post Aug 2 2008, 12:29 AM

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QUOTE(howszat @ Aug 1 2008, 11:41 PM)
Past performance is no indication of future performance. In particular, if you look at the performance over the past 10 years, it has never dropped like it has done over the past month or so. The conditions/assumptions are no longer the same. High oil prices, and hence inflation and the possibility of increases in IR is not going to go away.

On the other hand, if you stick with bond funds out to the maturity dates, you will be less exposed to the fluctuations in between. Then again, if you have a long term view, I was told equities would outperform bonds.

No right or wrong. Just a different perspective.
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Past performance is no indication of the future, that is true for equity. Bond funds are generally safer investments, which do not really give a negative return because of the coupons. It gives some degree of secutiry, unless for troubled companies like Transmile, which would then default on the payment. If there is no default, then bond is still relatively safe. For the 3 companies I mentioned just now, they are quite stable companies, namely PB, RHB Capital and Malakoff.

No doubt that equity could outperform bonds in the longer term, but the volatility of equity makes it very much riskier than bonds, thus making that slight outperformance not really worth it. Lets take a look at some of the strongest fund and compare.

10-years period (Annualised):

Public Savings Fund - 10%
Public Growth Fund - 10%
Public Index Fund - 9.6%
Public Aggressive Growth Fund - 11%
Public Industry Fund - 10.5%
Public Regular Savings Fund - 10%
Public Ittikal Fund (Best performer) - 12.5%

Against Public Bond Fund 10-year annualised - 8.5%

So as you can see, all the other equity funds have just outperformed PBOND by only 2% - 3%, but their risks are MUCH higher compared to bonds.
Since we are in a very volatile market situation now, most of the funds have been dropping by 20% - 30% from their highs, compared to PBOND's 3% drop. The returns are relatively lower compared to the risks, unless of course if we see another bull run like in 2007, but I doubt we would be seeing that in the next 5 years.

"if you look at the performance over the past 10 years, it has never dropped like it has done over the past month or so"

Perhaps it has never dropped around 3% - 4% before in its 12 years of launch, but it did drop quite significantly in the years 2003 and 2006, but after these huge drops, it made some hefty gains as well. I do not deny the fact that the fund has been more volatile these few months, but it should not drop that much, unless something is really wrong with those bond issuers.

Well, I hope I did not confuse you or anyone else with my explaination. I am not very good at explaining these bonds stuffs though tongue.gif
Anyway, this is just my 2 cents worth, and I aware that I bear my own risks with this fund smile.gif Just a sharing of what I thought.
Jordy
post Aug 2 2008, 02:57 AM

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QUOTE(howszat @ Aug 2 2008, 01:08 AM)
I'm no expert on bond funds either, but if you look at the returns chart for the past year, all the PM and PB series of bonds funds are showing negative returns. This is not just PM either - bond funds by other Fund managers are showing the same thing. Generally safer yes, but they can also go negative.

Not sure how you got the performance figures. From the 10-year charts, they show:

Public Ittikal Fund: 246% = 24.6% per year.
Public Bond Fund: 106% = 10.6% per year.

Which is a bit more than 2-3% per year?
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Bro, that is where you do not really understand investment. The greatest measure in calculating investment returns is its annual COMPOUNDING returns. What you just shown there were simple returns. Another question though, do you see more volatility in equity markets in the coming months (or years), or less volatility?

To make a simple comparison again, lets take a look at the total returns for the funds mentioned for the past 1 year:

Public Savings Fund: -8.4%
Public Growth Fund: -7.8%
Public Index Fund: -13%
Public Aggressive Growth Fund: -9.3%
Public Industry Fund: -16.8%
Public Regular Savings Fund: -9.5%
Public Ittikal Fund (Best performer) - 12.5%

Against Public Bond Fund 10-year annualised: -1.2%

It is clear that PBOND is still able to hold itself amid such high volatility period while most equity funds are in deeper negative figures. I never denied that bond funds can have negative returns as well, but for 12 years since PBOND has been launched, I am proud to say that it has NEVER made any negative returns for the full financial year. But please be reminded that past performance is not an indication of future performances, but such a track record has quite proven that bond funds will hold up over the long term, although a little less return than equity funds smile.gif

For your information, PBOND is the only bond fund that I am investing into for the moment, and I still have my other equity funds. This is just for diversification purpose to lower my risk exposure in unit trust though smile.gif Not everyone can be fully invested in equity funds at situations like this and still expect for positive returns. I am not making any assurance or guarantee, but I am just sharing for discussion purpose.
Jordy
post Aug 3 2008, 02:36 AM

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QUOTE(howszat @ Aug 2 2008, 05:38 PM)
So you were talking about before-compounding figures. I wasn't sure because they were not correct. But I take your point about equities being a 2-3% higher than bonds.

But that's the thing you see - per annum before compounding, the difference may seem rather small, but since we are talking about 10 years, the difference is magnified and you can easily see that by looking at the "simple" returns:

Public Ittikal Fund total for 10-yrs: 246%
Public Bond Fund total for 10-yrs: 106%

The few percent per year has turned into 246-106 = 140%. So you were actually thinking backwards into the before compounding effect, when the correct approach should be to look at the after compounding effect.
My UT consultant tells me to take a long term view when it comes to equites, and not just look at the past 1 year. Your consulting advice wherever it came from must be telling you something different.
To say "NEVER made any negative returns for the full financial year" is just marketing hype. They are currently showing negative returns for the past year. There is nothing to suggest that when the financial year comes around, things are going to magically change.

So, if bond funds can go negative, and under-perform equites for the long term, why not just put your funds into FD (or cash-management/money-market funds) for the short term, and equity funds for the long term? Not expecting an answer here, because it is going to depend on personal circumstances.
Hey, ultimately it is up to each individual to make up their own mind. Good luck with your investments. smile.gif
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howszat,
Prior to 2007, how were equity funds faring? Lets take a look and compare PAGF and PBOND.

Period from 5 August 1996 - 3 August 2006

PAGF - 37%
PBOND - 130.5%

Your numbers shown earlier were taking into account the "super" bull in 2007. Since this was an "exceptional" case, we should not take this period into consideration. So I took the numbers from 1996 to 2006, which should roughly reflect our current market situation. The most recent "super" bulls happened in 1993, and then only happened about 14 years later in end-2006. We would not see another run like this until at least the next decade.

Hence, it is only fair if we take a period that reflects our current market to compare. Now we do not see a catalyst that would trigger such "super" bull in these 5 years period. So do you still think equity funds would still make returns like those in 2007?

"My UT consultant tells me to take a long term view when it comes to equites, and not just look at the past 1 year. Your consulting advice wherever it came from must be telling you something different."

All consultants would say the similar stuff. This is the "marketing hype". Why was I looking at the past one year? I was just responding to your earlier statement that "they are currently showing negative returns for the past year". Again, I did not deny the fact that bond funds can make negative returns too, but in a slow market like now, I am just showing you that the negative returns on equity funds are even more. Would you rather see a return of -3% or a return of -15% in your portfolio? I think a lot would agree that we would not see a strong recovery in our market for the next 2-3 years. For this period of time, it would be "enough" for bond funds to outperform equity funds.

"Hey, ultimately it is up to each individual to make up their own mind. Good luck with your investments"

You are so right bro and thank you. By the way, it would not harm to have a bond fund in your portfolio as well to act as a "cushion". Please do not just follow the words of your consultant, because ALL consultants would want to push equity funds more than bond funds because the difference in commission is 10x. This is just my honest advice to you smile.gif
Jordy
post Aug 3 2008, 12:56 PM

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QUOTE(howszat @ Aug 3 2008, 12:39 PM)
Past performance is no indication of future performance. Which means, you can't selectively pick a period as being more "reflective" of the future than any other period. As well, things have changed, in particular China and India were not significant factors in the past as they are today and will be tomorrow. And if I were to throw buzzwords around, I should also include Brazil and Russia as in BRIC.
Let's try another question, shall we? "Would you rather see a return of +3.7% (in FD) or a return of -3% in your portfolio?".
I do take your previous points about bond funds, and how they have a role to play in an individual's portfolio. And don't worry, I  am also familiar with blardy consultants marketing hype. Thanks for your concern. smile.gif
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"Past performance is no indication of future performance"

That is correct, so whatever outperforming returns for equity funds you showed might not happen again, so who knows, maybe we would see bond funds outperforming equity funds for the coming 2-3 years? smile.gif

"Would you rather see a return of +3.7% (in FD) or a return of -3% in your portfolio?"

I think we're discussing about equity funds and bond funds? Hehe.

"I do take your previous points about bond funds, and how they have a role to play in an individual's portfolio"

Yeah, that is good. So as this is my FIRST bond fund, I am glad to have it in my portfolio as my "cushion".

And lastly,
"blardy consultants"

I am a consultant *gulp* tongue.gif
Jordy
post Aug 4 2008, 09:50 PM

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Latest price on PBOND after distribution. There is a sudden rise from 0.8992 to 0.9001 (+0.10%).
Now, I think the bond market is suddenly getting attention with equity turned bearish.
One main concern on PBOND's portfolio is Malakoff. I hope the windfall tax does not affect its ability to pay up the bondholders wink.gif
I am still waiting for PBOND's latest annual report so that I could make better evaluation of the portfolio. Still have to wait.

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