I have been wanting to get into S REIT but have not. Will push the button soon. 

Nice, i guess you more heavy vested in reits.

My stock fund

1)Keep buying US stocks like Facebook, alphabet, coke, Disney etc etc

2) some blue chips in hk like insurance company, banks and etc

3) bursa counter like genting, igbreits and some plantation stocks.

4)still reluctant to cut loss my only OnG counter valesto. Luckily i not heavy weighted with this stock. Instead i am a bet oil gonna rebound in few months by buying oil etf listes on US.

I just rralise i only have only reit, which is Igbreit in my portfolio

All stock money vested hmm... But havent unlock warchest sitted in my bank. 

Thanks for sharing. Still holding hsbc? Lol

By soon, I meant in the next 6 - 12 months. If we are still like this after 12 months, then we are most likely in a depression.

Let me know when you see the green light at the end of this tunnel! Ha.

Yes, like I said before, I don't mind getting in at 10-20% from the bottom. Get in on the confirmed up trend is my target. Then hopefully I will have less worry and can SWAN.

Next crisis so soon? Maybe x years after my purchase.

Thank you for the opinions, bros,... There are just too many ways that we can take this thing. The final motive of wanting to predict this outcome is to be able to make the best decision on when to go in.

For myself,... I have started going back in to the mkt since mid-March, and am still buying-in after every day or thereabout.

Fair point.

My fall back is to get in, if there is no 2nd dip, when all my 5 flags are green (counter, local index, international index, 2 of copper, PMI, Baltic, x, y).

Copper, PMI etc are still in red.

Then the price would have increased beyond my 20%. For my peace of mind, that is the opportunity cost I need to pay. 

Luckily to me (some may feel contrary), I do not have the urge to buy, buy. 2 of my friends have been buying consistently before Feb 2020. I think they feel that money is wasted and must be invested, thinking that buying = investing. Not saying they are wrong, it is their money and maybe they feel better after buying. And yes, they would be making money if the Feb crash did not happen.

Good video I got in the email last night. About US$ and oil. More than 30 mns long. Yes, this is a marketing video about his club. Nonetheless, still worth watching it to learn more about the $ and oil.

If I have one of the 7 oil US companies, I will get out now. Why? A quick one, if US$ is no longer the global currency, interest there will shoot up, those companies with high debts will be in the frying pan. Ditto for non oil companies with high debts. Many oil companies are now not that healthy even with US$ as reserve currency on their side.

Think airlines will survive and a necessity in the coming decades and the strong ones are worth buying especially during this lockdown period.

Few words of caution, don't just follow what other people say. Due diligence is on yourself to do your own analysis.

If anyone here subscribes to it, please share some tips with me. Thanks. Ha.

Reserve parking... tell me when is the good time to enter again.

[attachmentid=10484786]
When I saw this graph, I hit myself on the head. Why?

So time to buy gold?
Can sifu teach how to buy gold?

Interesting discussion for me, a beginner taking the first nano step in gold! Ha.

I am a firm believer in numbers. Will do some mathematical analysis once I get the gold + other data. Numbers can really tell you more than what you see on the surface. Watch this movie - A Beautiful Mind for those mathematical minded.

Having done that so many times, I already have the immunity for this "analysis paralysis" virus. Ha.

Saw this in my email today, from DailyWealth.

[attachmentid=10498522]

For starters, buy gold when the ratio is >15 and sell gold when it is <5 sounds good to me looking at historical data as a guide.

Your view?

Cheerio.

I think the 15 and 5 are the author's benchmarks. I will analyse and come up with my own numbers if I adopted that approach. A good and simple idea, I have to say.
Oh dear, Sifu says not a good idea!

Too much noise in the trend. Noise can be reduced. Imagine seeing that graph with a smoother line going up and then down. Adopting what I used in recession analysis, moving averages (15, 30, 45, 60 etc days) crossover with daily data can be used as the alert, for the top and bottom turning points. Yes, I will then miss the real top and bottom. Not a concern to me as I am not after maximum profits. Just plan to get in the after the new wave has started, either up or down.

Instead of just Dow and gold data, adding volume analysis will further strengthen the alerts, I think.

By the way, I tried to get some Dow/gold ratio historical data. Saw a few graphs, I want actual numbers. One site has it but I need to pay for it. Anyone here has that numerical data?

Thanks.

We tend to follow others and thus to me, important that others are also recovering as one of my green traffic lights.

Already got a green shoot. Rather a tree by now, i.e., SP500!  Ha. Thus never rely on 1 data. Preferably a few independent data to confirm.
Best to clarify with a simple example.

Before crash = 100

Crash = 60  i.e. 40% drop.

10-20% recovery entry indication = 10% * 60 or 20% * 60 i.e., when at 66-72. Still ave many ang pows to collect. Ha.

Mind to share your position now?

% of share vs cash hmm.

I still 100% on shares exclude my warchesf

how much has KLCI recovered?

Tot FD is lower than inflation rate??

What is the current projected inflation rate for this year?

I guess in the end, the real winner is consistently staying in the market.

Eg DCA all the way, regardless peak or low. You will come out ahead after a long term horizon, eg 10 - 20 years.

Have been waiting the longest time for Apple stock to correct, but it never came. I guess it won't happen this round as well.