Welcome Guest ( Log In | Register )

7 Pages < 1 2 3 4 5 > » Bottom

Outline · [ Standard ] · Linear+

 BWC

views
     
ChAOoz
post Aug 11 2020, 09:03 PM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
3,495 posts

Joined: Dec 2007
For retailers, its all about a good story and logical story. Charts, Figures & Fact is secondary.

Assuming glove counters don't put bursa into a death spiral but just trade sideways.

The next spinning story ? Economies coming back. Vaccine gonna cure everything.

AirAsia, GenM.

Aircraft flying again, economies opening up = Oil price going up = OIL Counters $__$

I guess that's about it.
ChAOoz
post Aug 12 2020, 09:32 AM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
3,495 posts

Joined: Dec 2007
Hope glove counter did a sideway move instead of a death spiral.

If it did a kyy style exit spiral, the fun days of bursa gonna be over as many new players will be discouraged
ChAOoz
post Aug 12 2020, 10:44 AM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
3,495 posts

Joined: Dec 2007
QUOTE(Boon3 @ Aug 12 2020, 09:37 AM)
Showtime!
*
Haiz its dragging everything through the mud now.

Even defensive counters also dint up as much as i anticipated.
ChAOoz
post Aug 12 2020, 10:50 AM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
3,495 posts

Joined: Dec 2007
QUOTE(Boon3 @ Aug 12 2020, 10:47 AM)
Yup... everything gets sucked right in..... but it should be good for you, no?

smile.gif
*
Good as in i know there is a base of very strong old holders.

Bad cause i feel retailer not so pumped up anymore.

I expect it to bounce more with new buyers, but lets see how todays end.
ChAOoz
post Aug 12 2020, 10:58 AM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
3,495 posts

Joined: Dec 2007
QUOTE(Boon3 @ Aug 12 2020, 10:54 AM)
It 'should' be ok kua... my 3 sen guess ....

anyway, I feel that the market is paying for its 4th Aug exuberance where stocks were going limit up right, left and center .....  sweat.gif
*
By 4pm+- we will know how much excess in the market as margin trades are called up.

But i think most brokers are pretty prudent this round, din't simply give free credit to play like last time.

If we continue this trend till friday, the death spiral will indeed form for those bursa high flyers.

This post has been edited by ChAOoz: Aug 12 2020, 10:59 AM
ChAOoz
post Aug 14 2020, 10:24 AM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
3,495 posts

Joined: Dec 2007
Today might finally break the support for those big gloves.

Not enough buy floor support after that wed big break. But atleast tg founder try to establish a floor, kudos to him.
ChAOoz
post Aug 14 2020, 11:46 AM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
3,495 posts

Joined: Dec 2007
Yeah notice you never put any support /resistance line. But volume indeed going down for all those glove counter.

Sometime luck also, later GDP numbers out. If bad, day end won't see much reversal already.

Your climax top seemed still hold true.
ChAOoz
post Aug 23 2020, 04:52 PM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
3,495 posts

Joined: Dec 2007
QUOTE(Boon3 @ Aug 23 2020, 12:42 PM)
YES... that is so true... sentiments is important.

However, take a step back... dont we need to ask what's causing the bullish sentiments?

Isn't the fact that glove makers are making obscene amount of money?

And with it... comes the higher and higher target prices set by these scientists?

So for TG... for the stock to push say 35 or 40 levels.. wouldn't it require a brand new catalyst to give the stock the oomph?

For me... it's simple. A big, big number is required from TG.

This is what will create an insane bullish market sentiment and push it to beyond 50 bucks... yup, show me 2 billion profit for Q4.
*
Someone already did a comparison between Maybank and Topglove profit for them or with other KLSE top 30. But a growth story is a growth story.

The only problem with glove profit story is the profit growth is not sustainable. The profit growth oomps will fizzle overtime instead of increase over time. Oh well better don't argue with the general market. Win also i get nothing out of it tongue.gif
ChAOoz
post Aug 23 2020, 09:24 PM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
3,495 posts

Joined: Dec 2007
QUOTE(Boon3 @ Aug 23 2020, 07:08 PM)
Ahhh... I was lucky enough to be given some of the notes when our tech rally of MPI and Unisem. That was 2000. Not sure where I put it but to think of it.. it's pretty the same as TG and SM. MPI went up to 60s if iam not mistaken. The balance sheet was far superior too. Clean no debts. But when it collapsed back to 10 plus, the stock pe wasn't high. What was circled for me, was PE cannot be trusted. Lol. No joke. Anyway, the notes told me earnings growth or decline is more decisive. In MPI, when the earnings declined, the stock just got whacked until mummy also cannot recognise. Plus the global crash in tech at that time did not help.

Anyway, back to gloves. Declining earnings is something to dread about. Yes, if in the future, if earnings fall back to just 700m per quarter, I feel the first reaction is declining earnings, which means the stock will face correction pressure.
*
thumbsup.gif thumbsup.gif

Those char koay teow fryer never inform public what they did to a stock once the growth story end and they cannot push it further anymore.

Later you angry again, but i must mentioned uncle Koon as he is one of those chef. Perfectly good company let him ruin due to over fried.
ChAOoz
post Aug 25 2020, 02:13 PM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
3,495 posts

Joined: Dec 2007
QUOTE(Boon3 @ Aug 25 2020, 02:06 PM)
Loved such setups ... smile.gif



user posted image

probably a decent time to consider selling for a profit ....  thumbup.gif
*
Yeah man, luck don't come twice.

Pharma overall still a shitty company , if i hold past today and this goreng stop i doubt i can ever escape from my high rise sweat.gif sweat.gif
ChAOoz
post Aug 25 2020, 02:43 PM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
3,495 posts

Joined: Dec 2007
QUOTE(Boon3 @ Aug 25 2020, 02:23 PM)
lol ... this time... it's different .... unlike UWC.

remember UWC ?... guess what?  same breakout la.... laugh.gif

if I was aware of UWC .... I would have bought..... and probably would still be sitting on the trade. tongue.gif
anyway .... it's not bad an idea to sell for a profit (either today or tomorrow) cos clearly such vertical movement is unsustainable....  laugh.gif  laugh.gif
*
Yeahlo, i mess up on the UWC one. You know the mega June sell off in US, that one got me scared. I liquidated many of my march position, thinking history will repeat itself.

Then everything hit all time high. What la.... doh.gif

But nvm, market always open. With this euphoria i can confirm there will be a sharp drop. I have not seen so much interest in Bursa in a very long long time.
ChAOoz
post Aug 25 2020, 03:04 PM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
3,495 posts

Joined: Dec 2007
QUOTE(Boon3 @ Aug 25 2020, 02:51 PM)
What I liked about it ... was what was written in the notes.... company operated at only half capacity but yet delivered pretty good numbers....
and the b/s looks good too.

and the charts... I noted ... or imo ... the chart was actually have a decent uptrend .... it consolidated in Feb after the earnings (perhaps the market was expecting much more) ..... but then C19 March correction hit ..... which brought the stock tumbling down.... if I was aware of the stock... I would have gone in big on this fella.
*
Yup yup it's a good company. Young and fresh, good growth. Chart was uptrend all the way since IPO, only downside is their holders base is weak.

This round people is expecting blow out quarters, i believe it will deliver. The growth with start to flatten out by next year first half, as main customer having some prob.

Usually all this tech stock like that, grow big and then growth slow, then cannot meet expectation people start to throw.

ChAOoz
post Aug 27 2020, 08:29 AM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
3,495 posts

Joined: Dec 2007
QUOTE(hehe86 @ Aug 27 2020, 12:54 AM)
May i know what is b/s yea? Tagging ChAOoz in case Boon miss this post and if you happen to know what is b/s.

Thanks in advance.
*
Balance sheet i believe
ChAOoz
post Sep 3 2020, 11:38 AM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
3,495 posts

Joined: Dec 2007
QUOTE(Boon3 @ Sep 3 2020, 11:28 AM)
Chart of the day....

USD to MYR ....

user posted image
loans in USD  smile.gif
sales in USD  rclxub.gif
*
Wah you fast. I feel this will be the next catalyst. A long term weakening of USD seemed inevitable.

Need go do some hunting, see who benefit from this shift. Last time it's always the other way around.
ChAOoz
post Sep 9 2020, 06:22 PM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
3,495 posts

Joined: Dec 2007
QUOTE(Boon3 @ Sep 9 2020, 03:17 PM)
Better post something else this thread gets .... err .... quarantined....  sweat.gif  sweat.gif

Someone just shafted CIMB leng chai report on TG ....

user posted image
that rather says it all for me............
*
Hahaha atleast they honest. tongue.gif
ChAOoz
post Sep 10 2020, 10:01 AM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
3,495 posts

Joined: Dec 2007
QUOTE(Boon3 @ Sep 10 2020, 09:58 AM)
laugh.gif

Dunno how to play at the moment.....  sweat.gif  sweat.gif  sweat.gif
*
Next time i wanna call this run up bust down the kyy effect already. Gotta trademark it hahah
ChAOoz
post Sep 10 2020, 10:53 AM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
3,495 posts

Joined: Dec 2007
QUOTE(Boon3 @ Sep 10 2020, 10:17 AM)
I still have no idea what you folks are talking about....

Like I said... I don't follow what he farts...tongue.gif
*
Not related to him la. Just whatever he touches has an inverse V pattern "^" .

So many round liao, i think this round he trapped the most people nod.gif
ChAOoz
post Sep 10 2020, 10:58 AM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
3,495 posts

Joined: Dec 2007
QUOTE(Boon3 @ Sep 10 2020, 10:55 AM)
Well... every single time.... nothing good happens.

So this time, what's the story? Last I know, his 100 price for Top Glove......
*
He sold all last week, and wrote blog post say price will rebound don't worry. Really standard SOP


ChAOoz
post Sep 12 2020, 11:49 AM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
3,495 posts

Joined: Dec 2007
Harlo Boon, RPT bailout is back on menu for genting doh.gif doh.gif

https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/gent...-empire-resorts

I'm part of the Lim family bailout fund now. I wonder this round is it buy rubbish back again or got potential hmm
ChAOoz
post Sep 13 2020, 01:50 PM

Look at all my stars!!
*******
Senior Member
3,495 posts

Joined: Dec 2007
QUOTE(Boon3 @ Sep 13 2020, 10:29 AM)
Went Sunday morning. Got some time to talk some ayam. laugh.gif

Ok, my main focus always is making good trade on a good setup. There's got to be a plan.
I would rather lose a well planned trade then simply trade and win... tongue.gif

This was Top Glove chart on the 9th.

user posted image

As noted several days b4, I mentioned the point that 'top top' for TG... ie Double Top was formed....
and there we were on the 9th... TG is right where the neckline is for Double Top.... and most of all, it was already trading with the uptrend channel being breached... and technically the stock was already weak since the correction in July (yes, it did reached a new high after the correction but the signs were there (via the lower traded volume) that the big boys weren't interested in participating in the rally at THAT point (do they not believe the stock go could much higher?) ....and most important, the down days kept on increasing... the clearest sign that the rally doesn't have legs no more... it needs a good correction.

and oh.... the volume.... the volume looked better on the 8th and 9th.... (increase volume on down days?  rolleyes.gif ) .... but the one thing that needs to be mentioned is..... we need to remember that TG is now 3 times bigger.  sweat.gif  so whatever volume we see now.... we need to remember that TG is now a stock which is 3 times bigger!

That was where we were on the 9th...

So clearly, it wouldn't be good trade in my books to go in on the 10th... and when I saw the message.... it was starting to trade below the neckline already....

the thing I asked...

Aren't I clearly betting against the market? If the stock decline started gathering momentum, do I even know where the exit door is? ( yeah... I could guess where the so called support is (hate such trading) or I could use % as my cut loss ... but nah, I fancied neither... tongue.gif )

and yeah.... what's the catalyst to enter the trade? Catch the rebound? Nah....

Everything else.... still the same for me. There's nothing new! Still waiting for TG to show me their big earnings... which is at least 1.5 B for the coming quarter...
Any earnings else is technically very, very good but we need to remember... it's already as expected by the market.... which is a joke really. TG could report 1 billion in profits.... which will be very, very good ...... 1 billion profit wo.... but then..... those marker scientist had already spoiled it lo cos such profit numbers was already as expected......

So I really dunno how to trade TG on the 10th.... and so TG closed on the 10th like this...

user posted image
and btw the buyback is reckless.... laugh.gif
But for now... nobody will care .... cos the stock rebounded nicely.... dragging the whole market up....  thumbup.gif
*
Well it could possibly be a bull trap.

The rationale of going on tv right before qr report is out and the large buyback would certainly lure in many new holder to ensure a strong base or either allow the existing holders to realized their profit.

If this is true, kinda shocked to believe the owner will do this kinda move. Top glove has always been the slow and steady kind.

7 Pages < 1 2 3 4 5 > » Top
 

Change to:
| Lo-Fi Version
0.2119sec    0.58    7 queries    GZIP Disabled
Time is now: 25th November 2025 - 03:56 PM