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 Malaysian Estimated Weekly RON95/RON97 Price, RON95 ◆, RON97 ◆ on 7/3 (Estimation)

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TSisr25
post Feb 11 2021, 06:53 AM

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Edit: Happy Chinese New Year to our Chinese friends and Happy Holidays to all - Have a great weekend ahead!

Calculation and table of estimated prices can be found at this link: https://goo.gl/cpYiBN

If calculating 4/2 to 10/2 cycle (Thursday to Wednesday - weekends are using Friday prices), the actual retail price for RON95 & RON97 should be RM2.03 and RM2.33 respectively (±1 sen).

If we follow the Automatic Pricing Mechanism and Sales Tax Act, the government is allowed to "tax" us higher by 60sen per litre for petrol products sold.

Thus, I estimate that RON95 and RON97 would go up by 10 sen from last week at RM2.03 and RM2.33 respectively (±1 sen).

Note: RON95 will be capped at RM2.05/l & Diesel at RM2.15/l source

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This post has been edited by isr25: Feb 11 2021, 04:03 PM
drmadey
post Feb 11 2021, 06:58 PM

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This post has been edited by drmadey: Dec 1 2023, 02:23 PM
IamAHuman
post Feb 12 2021, 05:31 PM

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3 cents increase for petrol and 4 cents for diesel.
Angpow from govt
muhammadb
post Feb 12 2021, 08:54 PM

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QUOTE(IamAHuman @ Feb 12 2021, 05:31 PM)
3 cents increase for petrol and 4 cents for diesel.
Angpow from govt
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Does this mean a 7c subsidy from the real price to avoid a sudden big jump.


TSisr25
post Feb 18 2021, 08:33 AM

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Calculation and table of estimated prices can be found at this link: https://goo.gl/cpYiBN

If calculating 11/2 to 17/2 cycle (Thursday to Wednesday - weekends are using Friday prices), the actual retail price for RON95 & RON97 should be RM2.07 and RM2.37 respectively (±1 sen).

Thus, I estimate that RON95 will be capped at RM2.05 and RON97 would go up by 11 sen from last week at RM2.37 (±1 sen).

Note: RON95 will be capped at RM2.05/l & Diesel at RM2.15/l source

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dinozilla
post Feb 18 2021, 09:03 AM

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Almost reaching “ceiling” price for ron95
6UE5T
post Feb 18 2021, 04:21 PM

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Whoa up so much!
muhammadb
post Feb 19 2021, 03:41 PM

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Probably another 3c only up - with another 7c subsidy again. They won't want to risk a sudden increase that will cause spike up of food prices and logistical cost.
dannyw
post Feb 19 2021, 05:01 PM

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Announced already. Luckily 4 cents. sweat.gif
-PuPu^ZaPruD3r-
post Feb 19 2021, 05:31 PM

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Luckily 4 cents only for now smile.gif
coolguy_0925
post Feb 19 2021, 06:41 PM

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Thanks TS for weekly updates

Guess next week will hit RM2.05 and maintaining there liao cry.gif
Mrsaitama
post Feb 25 2021, 08:41 AM

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Any predictions today? Upp upp or down?
TSisr25
post Feb 25 2021, 08:52 AM

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Calculation and table of estimated prices can be found at this link: https://goo.gl/cpYiBN

If calculating 18/2 to 24/2 cycle (Thursday to Wednesday - weekends are using Friday prices), the actual retail price for RON95 & RON97 should be RM2.15 and RM2.45 respectively (±1 sen).

Thus, I estimate that RON95 will be capped at RM2.05 and RON97 would go up by 15 sen from last week at RM2.45 (±1 sen).

Note: RON95 will be capped at RM2.05/l & Diesel at RM2.15/l source

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Part-time Rice Farmer
post Feb 25 2021, 10:19 AM

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TSisr25
post Feb 25 2021, 10:35 AM

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QUOTE(Part-time Rice Farmer @ Feb 25 2021, 10:19 AM)
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Thanks! It's interesting to find out whether the weekly calculation would be from (1) Wednesday to Tuesday or (2) Thursday to Wednesday. If it's (1), then fine, I can estimate, but if it's (2), I would not be able to estimate properly anymore.
Chrix
post Feb 25 2021, 10:47 AM

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QUOTE(isr25 @ Feb 25 2021, 10:35 AM)
Thanks! It's interesting to find out whether the weekly calculation would be from (1) Wednesday to Tuesday or (2) Thursday to Wednesday. If it's (1), then fine, I can estimate, but if it's (2), I would not be able to estimate properly anymore.
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What do you think is the reasoning behind the change of cut off day?
TSisr25
post Feb 25 2021, 11:03 AM

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QUOTE(Chrix @ Feb 25 2021, 10:47 AM)
What do you think is the reasoning behind the change of cut off day?
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IMHO, it's 1 day too long now anyway since they are using Thursday-Wednesday closing figures for their weekly calculation, but only announce it on Friday and takes effect on Saturday. I'm quite sure they're already paying for the service to know the current MOGAS prices on a daily basis, it doesn't make sense to delay the fuel pricing any longer than necessary as this affects the profit/loss for petrol companies & govt.

If it's (1) Wednesday to Tuesday closing price, announced on Wednesday afternoon & take effect on Thursday 12:01am
I can estimate the price on Wednesday morning from the AIP graph for MOGAS95 Wednesday-Tuesday closing price. This would usually be ±1 sen from the announced RON95/97 price.

If it's (2) Thursday to Wednesday closing price, announced on Wednesday afternoon & take effect on Thursday 12:01am
I can estimate the price on Wednesday morning from the AIP graph for MOGAS95 Thursday-Tuesday closing price but this would not be as accurate as I lack the Wednesday closing price before they announce it.

I can only try to estimate for the next few weeks and see if it's accurate.
Lone Wolf X
post Feb 25 2021, 11:10 AM

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Logistics mainly from my view.

Fleet management, load volume and movement.
Better for the oilco books basically

QUOTE(Chrix @ Feb 25 2021, 10:47 AM)
What do you think is the reasoning behind the change of cut off day?
*
-PuPu^ZaPruD3r-
post Feb 26 2021, 06:13 PM

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Petrol up 5 cents only smile.gif
TSisr25
post Feb 26 2021, 06:36 PM

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QUOTE(-PuPu^ZaPruD3r- @ Feb 26 2021, 06:13 PM)
Petrol up 5 cents only smile.gif
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Looks like they’re capping any changes to 5 sen weekly - good for consumers and business owners as govt is absorbing / subsidizing quite a bit - including RON97 users

This post has been edited by isr25: Feb 26 2021, 06:36 PM

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