Welcome Guest ( Log In | Register )

11 Pages < 1 2 3 4 5 > » Bottom

Outline · [ Standard ] · Linear+

 FundSuperMart v18 (FSM) MY : Online UT Platform, UT DIY : Babystep to Investing :D

views
     
lee82gx
post Aug 10 2020, 08:02 PM

I guess I'm special
*******
Senior Member
3,117 posts

Joined: Jul 2005
From: Penang


QUOTE(MUM @ Aug 10 2020, 06:46 PM)
i think,
this IRR value is the value of your actions taken....not the performance of the mgmt port
for it is you that place the amount of money and "timing" of placing it.
your timing of placing it could be at the right or wrong time...thus impact the IRR value
your amount of money placed could also impact the IRR value.

money if placed (if large enough), especially if less than 12 months could adversely impact the IRR value, especially if there is a sharp correction or rally after placing the money...
like for example, if you had just place another >40% of that money in the mgmt portfolio right after March this year...the IRR will be very nice

well, that is what i think,....what do you think?
i am sure you have the IRR tables for your investment....mind playing around and let me know the results?
notworthy.gif
*
I track cumulative IRR, as i believe this is the best gauge on my overall investments, it also is a good comparison vs opportunity cost.

My rojak portfolio is currently doing 6.x% per annum since joining FSM, sometime in 2015.

At the peaks in 2017, it was doing even 10% and I thought I was invincible. However I think I made the mistake of focusing too heavily in Malaysian funds (KGF glory days) while not really understanding macroeconomics.

Before that since 2006 I already started investing via Public mutual, blindly following agent advice that DCA sure can make money. This was my biggest mistake as many funds stagnated.

So now, I have 2 major lessons learnt: Know the macroeconomics and don't focus in Malaysia.

My goal is 8% per annum cumulative IRR.
lee82gx
post Aug 10 2020, 08:17 PM

I guess I'm special
*******
Senior Member
3,117 posts

Joined: Jul 2005
From: Penang


QUOTE(WhitE LighteR @ Aug 10 2020, 08:14 PM)
To be more precise, shouldn't u use XIRR?
*
yes, XIRR(values, dates)
lee82gx
post Aug 10 2020, 08:42 PM

I guess I'm special
*******
Senior Member
3,117 posts

Joined: Jul 2005
From: Penang


QUOTE(yklooi @ Aug 10 2020, 08:18 PM)
i do track my portfolio's IRR initially and till now also.
but now i don't really monitor it,...as the longer the time frame in investment, the IRR value does not impact much with the movement of the mkts.

also since i am DIY from noob status....
i portfolio compositions swinged heavily between funds and sector and classes during the initial few year.
if i had swinged them correctly during those early years, my portfolio's IRR could be very nice.
the problem is i did not swing it correctly to what the markets had performed vmad.gif  ranting.gif

thus if i had to take into the early years of learning curves,...my IRR reading is very low.

as i learned more, i realised i should not focused too much about the IRR value (from start till now), as that reading would have taken into consideration of my earlier DIY learning curves screw ups returns too.

now, i try to focus more to the ROI per calender year for the risk appetite that i want and the expected ROI pa i expected to get....not sure if that is correct.
*
You are not wrong, I too had learning curves that I highlighted myself. What I can say is you can do XIRR from selected times for example you can count from 1 year ago, 2 year ago, etc etc. I also like to count when I change strategies.

I must admit I also blanked out my public mutual years. If I included that it’d be 1 or 2 % lower.

If you only focus ROI then you may not know the opportunity cost, ie what if you invested in other instruments.

Like your own example on managed portfolio by FSM, looks nice on ROI but absolutely unremarkable compared to FD or EPF.
lee82gx
post Aug 10 2020, 08:46 PM

I guess I'm special
*******
Senior Member
3,117 posts

Joined: Jul 2005
From: Penang


QUOTE(vanitas @ Aug 10 2020, 08:34 PM)
I think the major lessons to be,
1. Past performance is no guarantee of future results (Malaysia bull run for around 10 years during KGF glory days, US also bull run for around 10 years ago from now, which is why I saw many people heavy or interested on US stocks / ETFs due to past performance).
2. Diversified (unless you want greater risk and greater reward, diversify into different regions might helped you if certain region underperformed).
*
Diversification was generally a hindrance to me....FSM always advise this and made me buy so damn many funds. In the end neither here nor there.
lee82gx
post Aug 11 2020, 11:17 AM

I guess I'm special
*******
Senior Member
3,117 posts

Joined: Jul 2005
From: Penang


QUOTE(xuzen @ Aug 11 2020, 11:14 AM)
Satu minggu bola dah kecut...

Wanna play daily swing? UTF is the wrong game. Main direct lah friend. Somemore, foreign mkt can play short & long.

Is like a someone wants to fight MMA style but entered into a Tai Chi push hand competition instead.

Xuzen
*
lol. you should add, what if cool off refunded, then the fund go up ? bangwall.gif
lee82gx
post Aug 20 2020, 04:10 PM

I guess I'm special
*******
Senior Member
3,117 posts

Joined: Jul 2005
From: Penang


QUOTE(yklooi @ Aug 19 2020, 07:19 PM)
if you use IRR to compare your DIY UT portfolio investment returns with the returns of other investment vehicles such as FD rate, EPF returns, ASNB fund returns, property rental returns etc which is more annualised in....
you are comparing YOUR own performance in selection and % of allocation for your UT portfolio against the performance FD rate, EPF returns, ASNB fund returns,
and this own performance is your own only, for one should not compare with others too as the composition of asset in a portfolio can varies alot

unless you are comparing individual fund(s) with the returns of other investment vehicles such as FD rate, EPF returns, ASNB fund returns, property rental returns etc which is more annualised in.....then one can see which is "better.".....
and this "better" is also part of the story; for

if in a 10 yrs IRR track,....if an investment for the the last 8 calendar years had been giving only 3% ROI pa, but only 2 yrs giving 12% each in the early year,.... the IRR value would look nice,....
if you just looked at the IRR it show better than 5% 4%, but if you looked at the calendar year ROI, you will noticed 12, 12, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3,  (total 48)......
will you take this one or another one that has this  1, 2, 3, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, (total 48), thus same IRR value but if one did not capture and monitor the YoY value, one will no notice that 1 has been stagnant for 8 yrs while the other one is having continuous improvement

and also do take into consideration, the value of IRR does not change much in relation to the returns if the tracking years is long (like > 10 yrs) and the poor returns is short (like 1 or 2 yrs),...IRR smoothen the volatility...

thus i am now using YoY (ROI per calendar year) to see how my own DIY portfolio performed with my target returns for that year.
for i may shift my port allocation and asset composition to suit my risk appetite when the time come be it due to market sentiments or sudden market event during the year.....
and these shifting of my port composition and allocation is only reflecting own performance for that particular year .

in the end,...if my DIY portfolio ROI or IRR is 5% and yours is 10%,....
it just shows that you have a 10%  and i have a 5% returns for our portfolio selected
it does not shows what is inside the composition in my port or your port.
if one is too focused in trying to get a higher numbers, one may have lost their focus in allocating a portfolio that is suitable to their risk appetite and risk capacity too.
*
I also track the xirr of each fund and over time periods. So for example if a fund has been performImg poorly especially vs it’s own benchmark then it’s time for me to shift.

In the end of the day, all I know for sure is if I hit 8% to 10% cumulative XIRR then I achieved my goal.

(It has fluctuated between 10 to 4.xx)

lee82gx
post Sep 3 2020, 01:38 PM

I guess I'm special
*******
Senior Member
3,117 posts

Joined: Jul 2005
From: Penang


Any of you still holding on the KGF, Eastspring Investment Small Cap, Principal Asia Pacific Dynamic Income Fund?

You know the oldies, but not so goldy anymore recently?
lee82gx
post Sep 3 2020, 02:02 PM

I guess I'm special
*******
Senior Member
3,117 posts

Joined: Jul 2005
From: Penang


QUOTE(GrumpyNooby @ Sep 3 2020, 01:44 PM)
I have Principal Asia Pacific Dynamic Income Fund and its ROI is 14% since 2017.
Not a star performer but recoup early of this year losses I believe.
*
QUOTE(citymetro @ Sep 3 2020, 01:48 PM)
blink.gif  Mine is 26.87% since 2017 as well. Entered back in April. Quite a difference there...
*
Attached Image

What do you think, if you are looking at 3 year performance, I think ponzi 2 (our old nickname) is outperforming MSCI Asia Ex Japan but barely, and definitely less than China focused funds, and less than its competitors....14% ROI over 3 years is 5% annualized, no? Worst than EPF perhaps?

QUOTE(citymetro @ Sep 3 2020, 01:45 PM)
Switched KGF to KGOF but still holding on to Eastspring Investment Small Cap and Principal Asia Pacific Dynamic Income Fund.
They are both still looking good to me ... steady ... so why the not so goldy anymore statement ya?
I still have Asnita and Nomura as well, haha ....
*
KGOF and Eastspring small cap are correlated and similar, so, meaning no other better than KGF in the more general Malaysian Equities?

QUOTE(GrumpyNooby @ Sep 3 2020, 01:47 PM)
Isn't KGOF and Eastspring Investment Small Cap are investing in the same small cap space? hmm.gif
*
Ya lo..



lee82gx
post Sep 3 2020, 04:06 PM

I guess I'm special
*******
Senior Member
3,117 posts

Joined: Jul 2005
From: Penang


QUOTE(GrumpyNooby @ Sep 3 2020, 02:07 PM)
If you follow Principal funds closely, actually Principal has changed Principal Asia Pacific Dynamic Income Fund mandate to become less aggressive by introducing Principal Asia Pacific Dynamic Growth Fund.
Therefore, you may want to lower the expecation for Principal Asia Pacific Dynamic Income Fund as it has now becomes like a dividend fund instead of growth fund whereby it pays out distribution almost every quarter.

Correct me if I'm wrong.
*
Thanks for pointing this out...for me, regardless dividend or capital gains, to me is still returns....I still track the returns vs time and its even over 3 yrs, meaning plenty of dividend has been paid out. Still losing out.

Actually after you point out this, I see that the Dynamic income fund has already grown to MYR3billion in fund size, and feels like the manager is no longer able or willing to rock the boat. Same like KGF.

Meanwhile the "growth fund" is only MYR0.3billion.
lee82gx
post Sep 3 2020, 04:24 PM

I guess I'm special
*******
Senior Member
3,117 posts

Joined: Jul 2005
From: Penang


QUOTE(GrumpyNooby @ Sep 3 2020, 04:16 PM)
The large fund size could be also due to the fact this fund is a feeder fund for its PRS fund: Principal PRS Plus Asia Pacific Ex Japan Equity
*
but this fund is only MYR70million...a drop in the bucket compared to 3billion.
lee82gx
post Sep 3 2020, 04:35 PM

I guess I'm special
*******
Senior Member
3,117 posts

Joined: Jul 2005
From: Penang


QUOTE(GrumpyNooby @ Sep 3 2020, 04:25 PM)
Principal PRS Plus Asia Pacific Ex Japan Equity has 3 classes.
*
Edit - 3 feeder funds totalling around 200million...so, its not a big amount compared to the total fund size.

This post has been edited by lee82gx: Sep 3 2020, 04:42 PM
lee82gx
post Sep 3 2020, 04:48 PM

I guess I'm special
*******
Senior Member
3,117 posts

Joined: Jul 2005
From: Penang


QUOTE(GrumpyNooby @ Sep 3 2020, 04:42 PM)
Principal PRS Plus Asia Pacific Ex Japan Equity is not shahriah compliant according to FSM Fund Info page.
https://www.fundsupermart.com.my/fsmone/fun...-Equity-Class-C

Well, before Principal Asia Pacific Dynamic Income Fund becomes feeder fund for its PRS fund, the fund size was already exceeded RM 1 bil.
It is a very big size fund to begin with.
I won't bother much about the finer details.

If you're looking for growth centric, perhaps you should consider Principal Asia Pacific Dynamic Growth Fund.

Another point, since it has become part of the PRS portfolio/offering, the fund manager could take a less aggressive stance (just decent return of sustaining 8% pa benchmark).
*
yeah sorry bro, i saw the wrong fund...I corrected myself edi...

Back when it grew like a ponzi scheme, I had so much dumped until it was like 30% of my portfolio. Now it is barely 10%. I am switching and that's why I asked for your valuable opinions. the Growth fund looks better to me, better sharpe ratio. Will switch soon...
lee82gx
post Sep 11 2020, 10:50 AM

I guess I'm special
*******
Senior Member
3,117 posts

Joined: Jul 2005
From: Penang


QUOTE(adele123 @ Sep 11 2020, 01:00 AM)
1 week late. But your question intriguing...

KGF 4.4% IRR since oct 2014. It was negative in march 2020, or close to negative.
EI small cap IRR 6.3% since dec 2016
Dynamic AP IRR >8% since 2014. About the same return for both prs version and mother fund version.

Your question got me thinking i should sell off KGF. 4.4%. I can do it with less risk. Sighhhhh.
*
Mine is doing about the same as you. Except my Dynamic AP income fund was doing more like 6%, since I started DCA'ing in 2016 instead of 2014.

I'm still having some KGF, and my intention is to convert it to Kenanga OnePRS growth fund. Since I don't have much PRS funds anyway this year.

EI small cap, having a good run due to our Covid moratorium perhaps gonna end soon. Nothing excites me from the Eastspring overall portfolio these days.

Sold or am in process of selling my Dynamic AP funds. My personal conclusion here is no funds should be held more than 5 years (Malaysian active managed funds that don't feed to super large funds). Just feels like once they reach a peak momentum (IRR>10%) and cap size (close to or above 500mil) then they will shrink balls and just ride the market benchmark. Really hoping that others can chime in on my sentiment and prove me wrong...haha.

Oh yeah, one more thing. I find that once the funds are linked to PRS, you can expect it to follow market benchmark eventually. (And no index is greater than SP 500 lol)

This post has been edited by lee82gx: Sep 11 2020, 10:59 AM
lee82gx
post Sep 11 2020, 11:25 AM

I guess I'm special
*******
Senior Member
3,117 posts

Joined: Jul 2005
From: Penang


QUOTE(GrumpyNooby @ Sep 11 2020, 11:00 AM)
So, you're going to target relatively young funds to invest?  hmm.gif
*
Actually, I'm concentrating fresh funds into Stashaway, and also funds feeding into those large mega funds focused on US (my last statement on SP500 is the motivation).

Example TA Global Tech, United Global Quality Equity, Principal Greater China (still watching this one).

I mean, this is what I experience. Like cooking I just try some recipes online and tailor to my taste.
lee82gx
post Sep 13 2020, 10:52 AM

I guess I'm special
*******
Senior Member
3,117 posts

Joined: Jul 2005
From: Penang


QUOTE(adele123 @ Sep 13 2020, 12:34 AM)
I have not made much new investment. Only DCA small cap, 200 per month and 3k a year for prs cimb ap version. Mother fund stopped basically. KGF lacklustre performance has discourage me from new money.

I somehow agree with you, the bigger they get, the slower they are. By slow i mean low return. It could be own observation bias.

But i somehow feel cimb ap is not the case... No doubt the return is influence by weakness of myr but the return has still been better than my local funds. 8% truly satisfied. Keeps my entire portfolio up at 6%, weigh down by KGF. Maybe at the right time. I will let go of KGF in the near future. Just not sure where to invest next.

Regret not going for more china exposure. Haha.
*
Why do you say the Ap income fund is dragged down by MYR weakness. I would think the opposite no? When you buy 0.25USD per 1MYR, later it becomes 1.2MYR per 0.25USD.

What you lose is purchasing power as the same 1.2MYR can only buy the same amount of 0.25USD shares / candy / whatever. But that only happens when you or CIMB management cash out.

Yeah. I stopped fresh funds from going into KGF, AP Income, small cap for a few years now. Pretty sure I gotten better returns elsewhere for the time being. The question is what do I think going forward which is still negative for them.


lee82gx
post Dec 11 2020, 12:08 PM

I guess I'm special
*******
Senior Member
3,117 posts

Joined: Jul 2005
From: Penang


https://www.barrons.com/articles/cathie-woo...ent-51605699000

In chinese "An unplughed land is not wanted, but when the farm has been ploughed, many people will fight for it"

This post has been edited by lee82gx: Dec 11 2020, 12:10 PM
lee82gx
post Dec 11 2020, 01:17 PM

I guess I'm special
*******
Senior Member
3,117 posts

Joined: Jul 2005
From: Penang


QUOTE(polarzbearz @ Dec 11 2020, 01:05 PM)
Not just the upfront sales fees tongue.gif

Sales charge 1.5% vs USD 1.50
Recurring Annual Mgmt Fee 1.8% (no double charge but still...) vs. Expense Ratio 0.75%
Minimum Initial investment 5k++ vs. as low as 1 unit (market price today @ 127usd)

Seriously if the fund is listed as Active-ETF on stock exchange, just go for it directly rather than feeder funds via unit trusts sweat.gif
*
yeah, so much fees to buy ETF....what the hell and initial and subsequent investments all so high figures.
lee82gx
post Dec 11 2020, 05:10 PM

I guess I'm special
*******
Senior Member
3,117 posts

Joined: Jul 2005
From: Penang


QUOTE(polarzbearz @ Dec 11 2020, 02:44 PM)
Thanks keenauto!

ironman16 here you go. Basically just open foreign brokerage to buy oversea listed stocks / ETF. Personally I'm holding a few different ETF's from NYSE, LSE, and HKEX exchanges respectively.

Step-by-step to getting started via TradeStation Global (Interactive Brokers)
*
sifu,
just to confirm you are holding the etf's through TSG / IBKR? The cons of not supporting fractional shares, does it mean the dividends cannot be automatically reinvested into fractional shares?

For ETF, does it actually pay back in dividends for the components or are they automatically reinvested? For those that reinvest, will I not be entitled to the dividend? Or will they just automatically convert to cash holdings?
lee82gx
post Dec 11 2020, 10:07 PM

I guess I'm special
*******
Senior Member
3,117 posts

Joined: Jul 2005
From: Penang


QUOTE(polarzbearz @ Dec 11 2020, 05:39 PM)
There's a few type of ETF.

"Accumulating" basically reinvest at fund level without even requiring actions on your brokerage.
While "Distributing" will distribute dividends to you.

At brokerage side, some provides "auto reinvest" feature like trading212 / ibkr tsg. But with tsg(ibkr) you don't have access to fractional shares so I don't think it'll be worthwhile, given that you're charged min 1.5usd for commission.

Better off choosing accumulating funds if possible, else just keep in your cash account and use in your next larger trades.
*
This tsg not bad. I left an enquiry on their website about the fractional shares etc. At 5pm.
Got a call (!) From them to explain. So they do have dividend reinvesting. But if your amount in currency value does not exceed the single share it will not reinvest but drop back to cash. If your dividend is exceeding single share in value it can reinvest whole units and leave you with spare change in cash.

But they cannot accept transfer in of holdings with fractional shares which is inconvenient.

This post has been edited by lee82gx: Dec 11 2020, 10:09 PM
lee82gx
post Dec 17 2020, 09:47 AM

I guess I'm special
*******
Senior Member
3,117 posts

Joined: Jul 2005
From: Penang


QUOTE(WhitE LighteR @ Dec 17 2020, 09:01 AM)
I remembered economist said same thing for 2020 too at the end of 2019, then wham covid! Such is the nature of a black swan event.. laugh.gif
*
I'm with a more pessimistic view that as long as politics is not settled in Malaysia, our great EPF will be castrated, quartered and hung and swayed from end to end. (I can't believe I'm gonna say this, rindu zaman Bijan). Even in the days of the stable PH, policies can be worked out, strategies by Nobita and co. can be given chance to see out their designs and flaws. Not to mention the GLC blue chips will doubly be affected by Government of the day flip flop policies.

This in turn, gives no momentum to the general market - I think funds like KAF Tactical Fund, short term funds have potential plays but not the broad market funds. In other words, you can chase short term returns with volatile funds but requires plenty of homework, timing and luck. By the time you done your homework, boat has sailed, or might as well go directly into the market. As my bro-in-law cum KLSE char koay teow cook also say, waste gas, waste koay teow, waste energy.

This is just my 0.02, as I have exited Malaysia index investing almost completely....

For those with <1year horizons, goreng away!



11 Pages < 1 2 3 4 5 > » Top
 

Change to:
| Lo-Fi Version
0.0557sec    0.62    7 queries    GZIP Disabled
Time is now: 5th December 2025 - 10:09 AM