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Hansel
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Nov 12 2016, 01:10 PM
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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Nov 12 2016, 12:22 PM) Myr depreciated from 1.0 to >3.0 speak for itself. Yes,.... But looking at it this way is not enough, because if we say,... look at the USD now, it has appreciated against the RM, this is also true. What we need to understand is that the USD too dropped to 2.80% against the RM years ago, which says that the USD is still volatile. The SGD, on the other hand,... has always been on an appreciative trend against the RM,... hence, there is stability, compared to many other currencies of the world.
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Hansel
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Nov 13 2016, 12:06 PM
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QUOTE(xpmm @ Nov 12 2016, 04:54 PM) reading now 
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Hansel
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Nov 13 2016, 12:09 PM
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So,... gents,.. what will happen tomorrow when the mkt opens ?
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Hansel
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Nov 13 2016, 12:20 PM
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When mkt becomes more rational, and people can think clearly, the RM will recover,...and strengthen a bit.
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Hansel
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Nov 13 2016, 11:18 PM
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When we say RM5 or any rate that we desire for that matter, we are effectively saying that we are keen to 'act' on that rate, be it to buy or to sell the USD at the desired rate.
But now, BNM has stopped us from taking actions on that rate, so,... we are literally stuck with USDs that can't be used in conjunction with our livelihood in the country.
Secondly, even if they do let us act on that rate, the spread will be so big that it becomes nonsensical to act on it.
This experience has taught us a lesson in that if we keep foreign currencies in the country, it is still not safe.
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Hansel
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Nov 14 2016, 11:06 AM
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QUOTE(Chinoz @ Nov 14 2016, 08:44 AM) I'm with icemanfx on this. If you have USD FCA with a local FI, it's easier for BNM to control what the FI can or cannot do. Whereas if you're holding physical currency, you have the option of traveling out of the country to exchange. NO bro,... you have to declare if you are bringing out more than USD10K equivalent through outward Customs. Unless, of course,... you think that they would not check,..
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Hansel
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Nov 14 2016, 11:13 AM
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The idea is : it is safest to hold your foreign currencies in overseas banks,... merely holding foreign currencies is NOT ENOUGH.
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Hansel
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Nov 14 2016, 05:03 PM
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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Nov 14 2016, 04:21 PM) Not sure reform referendum in Italy on 4/12 can shake MYR or not  Good point, William,.. this would be another one,....
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Hansel
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Nov 15 2016, 09:17 AM
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I saw in the SG REITs thread this morning that Stanchart Sgp may need a work permit in order to open accounts,... better move fast,....
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Hansel
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Nov 16 2016, 09:55 AM
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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Nov 16 2016, 09:38 AM) pegging is dangerous biz. by pegging, say at 4.0 u PROMISE everyone u WILL have $1 everytime someone hands over RM4. foreigners hold hundreds of billions in gomen RM bonds, where to find all that $ if they rush out? it could be done in 1998 becos there wasn't much debt then, can borrow to hold the peg. now, debt level very high, very dangerous to borrow more to do that. think about it, if it is easy to peg, every poor country will do that, peg 1:1 to $ or euro, everyone is rich!! many pegs have failed with terrible consequences, incl egypt 2 weeks ago:If a peg fails, the gov't will probably enact an emergency-like resolution, which could possibly stop all outward movement of funds from Msia. Logically, this is what I would do,...
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Hansel
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Nov 16 2016, 04:27 PM
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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Nov 16 2016, 03:50 PM) good also. better slow and steady even if falling. less disruptive, more time to buy or sell. 4.36. Agreed,... more time to exit too,...
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Hansel
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Nov 16 2016, 04:38 PM
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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Nov 16 2016, 04:28 PM) well most of us are waiting for him to do some crazy comments.. hoping USD become weaker  QUOTE(Ramjade @ Nov 16 2016, 04:31 PM) Hopefully he does that. Then it will be buying time. Unless he learns to hold his tongue... I'm waiting too,... this time, should the RM strengthen,... I think many will convert 'out' already,... but somehow, I have a feeling hidden hands are making the RM weak in order to shut us in,...see how long they can do this !
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Hansel
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Nov 17 2016, 11:44 AM
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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Nov 17 2016, 11:36 AM) they believe they are the masters of the universe, can't go wrong. if it goes wrong, it's 100% others' fault. yellen tonite: Bro,.. I think they are more like just follow the flow, they themselves would have taken the initiative to prepare and to protect themselves and their assets in the background already. I heard ALL of our ministers and DGs, politicians, etc, etc, have accounts overseas,.... So, to these people, whatever is to happen can happen lar,.. I'll just leave,...
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Hansel
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Nov 17 2016, 03:44 PM
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Channels News Asia said fears of capital controls by BNM is now in the air,...
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Hansel
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Nov 17 2016, 07:25 PM
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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Nov 17 2016, 06:26 PM) new one... this is BAD. BNM has a lot to explain to avoid panic. Maybe by tomorrow morning, full capital controls already...
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Hansel
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Nov 18 2016, 09:08 AM
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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Nov 17 2016, 10:22 PM) if i need USD, Euro, GBP, SGD or AUD for sure in the next 3 months in meaningful amounts, i will buy now. Sometimes, I wonder,...the currency that is under deliberation here is the USD. If the MYR is pitched against the Euro and the AUD, it should be more favourable because the Euro and the AUD would be weakening against the USD too,... in tandem with the MYR. Why should the MYR be suffering 'alone' against all the other currencies, when the USD is clearly winning against all, not only the MYR ?
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Hansel
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Nov 18 2016, 09:10 AM
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QUOTE(prophetjul @ Nov 18 2016, 08:58 AM) http://smr.theedgemarkets.com/article/fore...ffca1e-87346249"There's a massive back and forth going on between banks and Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) now," said a banker at a foreign bank in Malaysia that deals in foreign currency transactions. "This is a type of indirect capital control ... I see a flood of people exiting Malaysia." Bro,...the prb here is that in future, nobody would want to lend to Msia anymore, after this fiasco. Nobody would dare to buy Msian MGS anymore, and the yield has to be very, very high for these banks to absorb the risks. NO more cheap loans for Msia,...
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Hansel
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Nov 18 2016, 09:25 AM
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QUOTE(prophetjul @ Nov 18 2016, 09:03 AM) Wow! You are good! Full hedging? Even so, bro,... why must we throw away whatever value we have attained in our natural currency, the Ringgit ? This is how I feel,... even though I have multiple currency investments and holdings abroad !
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Hansel
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Nov 18 2016, 09:47 AM
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QUOTE(prophetjul @ Nov 18 2016, 09:17 AM) Yeah. Hyperinflation scenario coming soon to Malaysia. Yes, bro,... things will become very expensive for us, consumers in Msia, first direct effect for us.
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Hansel
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Nov 18 2016, 09:53 AM
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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Nov 18 2016, 09:25 AM) 10 yrs MGS yield reached 4.33% ytday  If this keeps going, nobody wants to chg with our RM soon !
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