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 STOCK MARKET DISCUSSION V150

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HereToLearn
post Feb 9 2021, 09:49 AM

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Hahaha, this is very worrying. Feels like a distribution, those sectors with a lot of retailers paritcipation it is best to avoid now
HereToLearn
post Feb 9 2021, 09:54 AM

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Energy index continues looking good, financial index looks like going to breakout, but again wait for clear confirmation signal
HereToLearn
post Feb 9 2021, 10:18 AM

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QUOTE(ChAOoz @ Feb 9 2021, 09:30 AM)
Interest rate is like gravity for stocks and bonds. Bringing the rocket ship back to earth. Since you are inversing good for you.

The most funny thing is now almost everyone is expecting the 1.9T stimulus to inflate all stock, it could actually inflate interest rate even faster lol.

That would be quite a pleasant surprise. I am not sure which way it will go so 50/50.
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I think it is going to inflate stocks in the short run,

In the long run,
Its going to inflate commodities, gold, bitcoin (if it somehow still has more room for upside) and silver most prolly.
HereToLearn
post Feb 9 2021, 03:28 PM

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QUOTE(joeblow @ Feb 9 2021, 03:24 PM)
This market is strange.

Genting Malaysia is up for 2 days, despite it being closed down until 18th Feb, CNY rush no more. Not sure what's the catch here. TM also up 3% plus, not sure for why. 5G news or just plain stable cash cow? I guess people complain about electricity bill but not broadband. Our broadband still remains one of the slowest and most expensive in the region.
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Big fund collect finish liao release news
https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/mala...t-revive-travel
https://www.freemalaysiatoday.com/category/...tions-for-free/
https://www.malaymail.com/news/malaysia/202...cientis/1948051

End of Feb start cucuk people already, riding the cucuk wave, but logically speaking can only finish cucuk everyone in Feb 2022

This post has been edited by HereToLearn: Feb 9 2021, 03:33 PM
HereToLearn
post Feb 9 2021, 05:49 PM

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QUOTE(1tanmee @ Feb 9 2021, 05:31 PM)
Not sure why property sector is still lagging, since the recovery plan theme is in play? Fundamental still weak for a foreseeable future, or no big news to jack the price higher?
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Oversupply. Until next year price wont rebound
HereToLearn
post Feb 10 2021, 09:55 AM

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QUOTE(andrekua2 @ Feb 10 2021, 09:49 AM)
Supermax turn to shutdown due to covid19. Expect the covid19 numbers to surge in the next few days.

They dont even dare to announce the number. Just close 3 days.
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Wowow insider news.

Dispose supermax now before too late
HereToLearn
post Feb 10 2021, 02:58 PM

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Finance index looking good, carrying KLCI.
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post Feb 10 2021, 03:03 PM

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QUOTE(lauwenhan @ Feb 10 2021, 03:02 PM)
Today all retailers goreng. No foreign buying. Be careful Malaysian retailers always betray each other and dump on strength.
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After pump one sector, they will dump it and rotate to the next sector

Need local institutions to start buying to show confidence

This post has been edited by HereToLearn: Feb 10 2021, 03:03 PM
HereToLearn
post Feb 10 2021, 03:16 PM

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QUOTE(Rinth @ Feb 10 2021, 03:14 PM)
oh Kenanga up liao hehe...can eat haidilao with my wife liao hehe
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Congrats rclxm9.gif
HereToLearn
post Feb 10 2021, 03:34 PM

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KLFI reaches 15000, looks like a breakout to me.

LETS GO!!
HereToLearn
post Feb 10 2021, 05:03 PM

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KLFI broke out, time to buy at dip. QRs will be better than most expected
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post Feb 11 2021, 12:27 PM

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QUOTE(lauwenhan @ Feb 11 2021, 12:10 PM)
Let’s gooooooo Stage 4 FOMO is right now

user posted image
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Wowow 3% today, congrats
HereToLearn
post Feb 11 2021, 01:07 PM

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Tesla dropped 5%, Elon musk's brother sold off a bit

This post has been edited by HereToLearn: Feb 11 2021, 01:07 PM
HereToLearn
post Feb 13 2021, 01:08 PM

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QUOTE(greyPJ @ Feb 13 2021, 06:39 AM)
short sell
What Is Short Selling?
Short selling is an investment or trading strategy that speculates on the decline in a stock or other security's price.

taming the virus

i dont understand, if taming the virus, we should long buy arent we?
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I think he meant short sell counters that are covid-related/highly inflated stay-at-home counters because of covid cases dropping rapidly.
Funds might rotate out of the these counters to recovery/get-out-home counters like restaurants, malls, casino, banks. Rally in these counters will come sooner than most expected.

user posted image

Just compare the cases in UK and US with worldwide chart. I think it is pretty convincing to say that the vaccines are effective.
user posted image
user posted image

Vaccinating roughly 70% to 85% of a country’s population would enable a return to normalcy
In the U.S., the latest vaccination rate is 1,656,452 doses per day, on average. At this rate, it will take an estimated 8 months to cover 75%
https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/covid-va...l-distribution/
HereToLearn
post Feb 13 2021, 04:32 PM

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QUOTE(greyPJ @ Feb 13 2021, 02:51 PM)
ok thank you that makes sense liao.

vaccine is one thing, what i worry is 18th feb mco, it cannot end coz mydin needs darurat to stay in power, darurat needs mco and high covid cases. so mydin most likely extend mco again with most businesses allow to run like now, and recovery stocks will drop like flies again once mydin make the announcement, he loves announcement.

and mydin said once covid under control, we ll have election, klci gg again.

current bull is a bull trap, imho.
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Political darurat ends on 1 Aug 2021, hence doesnt need darurat to stay in power.
https://www.pmo.gov.my/2021/01/teks-ucapan-...n-khas-darurat/

But the MCO extension part might be true. But as long as business is allowed to run even under "MCO" condition. It is good enough.
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post Feb 15 2021, 09:37 AM

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Energy Index damn strong, strong evidence of early adoption of cyclical rotation
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post Feb 15 2021, 09:49 AM

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QUOTE(ChAOoz @ Feb 15 2021, 09:43 AM)
Everyone is talking about the chip shortage during cny i guess haha. Mainstream news now keep going on and on about a shortage in chip with high demand recently, with Biden prioritizing semicon / foundry industry. Most are all lagging data points and stories.

Anyway this goes to show you narrative drive markets not actual fact. The actual fact is that on the ground there is already a chip demand / supply crunch on may last years, and on nov last year there is an industry wide supply chain impact hampering productions.

Retailer will chase anything that goes up not knowing they might be chasing a tail end.

For current I'm going to stay in bear camp for awhile, until i see a resilient Q1/Q2 FY21 report out on all those hardware giants like Apple/Intel/AMD/Nvidia etc. The dec / year end shopping season is over, this is a new year lets see is demand for consumer electronics still strong after everyone bought their fill on last year.

If story has not change and demand continue to be resilient throughout the entire year then tech index 100 is not a dream.
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Not considering other sectors?

HereToLearn
post Feb 15 2021, 10:39 AM

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Institutions have been throwing since 7 Jan, while retailers have been buying.

So the question is what are they throwing to the retailers?
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post Feb 15 2021, 10:51 AM

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KLCI breaking out
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post Feb 15 2021, 11:58 AM

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QUOTE(pinksapphire @ Feb 15 2021, 11:56 AM)
Thanks for sharing, Uncle. Surprised uncle re-entered JFTech, I think you sold them off before this?
What gives the projection to RM2, may I know? Purely wanting to understand.
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If there are more buyers than sellers (when there's more demand than supply)

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