QUOTE(AVFAN @ Jul 27 2020, 07:56 AM)
no. i was just thinking...
that commentary was written after fri, cited bloomberg using a TG eps that gives a p/e ratio of 48.
it was then pointed out that bloomberg has since used an eps of 1.242 which will now give p/e of 20.
20 is low compared to the nos. quoted for supermax and harta.
my thought was bloomberg must have gotten fresh info for the 12m fwd earnings and started to use a new eps.
if that is the case, this may have an impact on their clients this week as it implies renewed bullishness.
as pointed out by boon, this is the game all analysts play...
forecasting is at best mathematical statistics, not an exact science.we shall see this morning is this observation is relevant or not.
note also while FY2021E is very rosy, FY2022E is not.
this is the same for several other forecasts that i have seen.
i wud take that to mean they see 2021 as the peak yr for gloves in terms of revenues and margins while some vaccine, new capacity or other development will curtail it by yr beginning 2022 - a reasonable underlying assumption, i suppose.
lastly, if such a forecast will come true, what might other development emerge for TG?
what is the chief and his lieutenants thinking now?
with a few billion rm in cash at hand by mid 2021, what might they want to do?
pay all out in dividend? invest all into new gloves capacity?
or buy out some competitor? buy out some related biz co., e.g. mask, PPE, pharma?
just something to think about...
The bolded part... in theory, that is true.
But from my observation, this is that one area which is utterly abused...
in which, it's more like tembak numbers...
give it a few quarters...
i have saved who said what...
once all these hype is over...
you can see who is utterly tembak here and tembak there
and I will say again...
the forecasts numbers for Superman and TogGun is rather very high....
that's my view, in which I could be wrong.
TopGun has a history of acquiring plants...
Most recent was Aspion....
lol... so many questions/issues/theories... I posted b4.