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 Investors Club V9, Previously known as Traders Kopitiam

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gark
post Mar 22 2016, 03:11 PM

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QUOTE(Pink Spider @ Mar 22 2016, 03:05 PM)
Btw, USD1 below RM4.00 liao shocking.gif
*
SGD no drop much pon.. tongue.gif
gark
post Mar 22 2016, 03:16 PM

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QUOTE(Pink Spider @ Mar 22 2016, 03:09 PM)
but...but...but...my girl friends like that place...convenient brows.gif
*
Then buy 1 right away lar..950 sqft @ RM 340 K only nia .. CHEAP!

Got more than 140 units for sale.. devil.gif

http://www.propertyguru.com.my/property-li...f=ls|normal|3|1

This post has been edited by gark: Mar 22 2016, 03:19 PM
gark
post Mar 22 2016, 04:40 PM

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QUOTE(Pink Spider @ Mar 22 2016, 04:01 PM)
Any counters that imports raw materials?

I think of Carlsberg hmm.gif
*
Nestle.. tongue.gif (wheat flour)

Brewers (Hops & Barley)

milk, sugar... rice...

Basically you see those who crash when USD up that time lah. laugh.gif

This post has been edited by gark: Mar 22 2016, 04:44 PM
gark
post Mar 22 2016, 04:42 PM

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QUOTE(Pink Spider @ Mar 22 2016, 04:24 PM)
1+1-1=1

So, neutral on Ta Ann? laugh.gif
*
RM up.. not good for CPO and timber business

CPO because fighting soybean oil denominated in USD

and timber sell in USD tongue.gif

So more like 1-1-1 = -2 blink.gif

This post has been edited by gark: Mar 22 2016, 04:42 PM
gark
post Mar 22 2016, 04:45 PM

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QUOTE(Pink Spider @ Mar 22 2016, 04:44 PM)
LOLOLOLOLOLOLOL laugh.gif
Unker, kau ni engineer? I dare not stay in a structure built by u icon_question.gif
Nestle Carlsberg already at peak of their recent chart yawn.gif
*
Oops.. 1-1-1 = -1 blush.gif
gark
post Mar 22 2016, 04:47 PM

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Oh yeah electrical power too.. cause coal/gas price is in USD .. higher RM = cheaper electricity. brows.gif

This post has been edited by gark: Mar 22 2016, 04:49 PM
gark
post Mar 22 2016, 04:56 PM

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QUOTE(foofoosasa @ Mar 22 2016, 04:53 PM)
actually i was thinking this is true since last time during 2007, USD climb to 3.7.. CPO price soar like crazy.

But last year until now, 1 USD reach to RM 4, oil price crashed causing soya bean price crashed too, which cause CPO drop in price since it is highly correlated to soya bean.

Guess it is all about crude price oil then tongue.gifwub.gif

more like 1+0-1 to me  icon_idea.gif
*
2007 oil price is at super high lar.. so equation terbalik.. tongue.gif

Now 2016 oil price still at record low.. tongue.gif

I always have CPO stocks in my portfolio.. because I believe there will be one day MY and ID will run out of plant able land. devil.gif devil.gif devil.gif

Malaysia is more or less full, Indonesia will be soon ... after that will left africa and south america, each which has it's host of problems.

This post has been edited by gark: Mar 22 2016, 05:01 PM
gark
post Mar 22 2016, 05:14 PM

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QUOTE(holybo @ Mar 22 2016, 05:11 PM)
What do you think about waseong planting palm oil trees in congo?
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Its a new area, and is full of problems and infra is even worse than Indonesia. Felda tried it, Sime Darby tried it, wilmar tried it.. all still not making money there.

Maybe in another 10-20 years lah. IF.. no civil war, genocide or disease outbreak happens.. rolleyes.gif

This post has been edited by gark: Mar 22 2016, 05:26 PM
gark
post Mar 22 2016, 05:43 PM

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QUOTE(CP88 @ Mar 22 2016, 05:38 PM)
Aiya. After it rallied and the 1st on the top gainers only you mentioned.  doh.gif

[attachmentid=6220843]
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Haha.. no one ask the question leh.. tongue.gif
gark
post Mar 22 2016, 05:52 PM

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QUOTE(TC-Titan @ Mar 22 2016, 05:48 PM)
Actually, just wondering how much time and do you spend on analysing your current and new/prospective stocks in MY, SG, ID and in US plus all the other ETFs, Bonds, FDs and other instruments that u invest in plus keeping up to-date on the status of your overall investment portfolio.

Really curious to know as I'm considering investing in SG and US stocks later this year or next. But MY stocks already quite a handful. Currently covering about 32 stocks, planning to increase it to  say 60 by end of this year. Monitoring on the price movement for some stocks prolly about 100.

For me the tough part is:
a. doing the initial ground work - research and familiarising with the industry. Depending on how detail I go, can take a full day to a couple of days.
b. updating the overall portfolio and watchlist - on news, fundamentals, charts etc. Can take a few days to wrap up everything. @_@
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Takes really long.. not enough time. When I started to invest in IDX and SGX... i end up ignore my MY stocks.. doh.gif

For me I can only manage about 20-30 stocks at most. tongue.gif
gark
post Mar 23 2016, 10:57 AM

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Short analysis for Eagle High Plantations (BWPT)

Pro
- Landbank is 450,000 ha (if fully planted will be world No 1)
- Total planted area is 150,000 ha, in which 68% is immature and less than 7 years old.
- Average palm oil age is <5 years old.
- from FY2017-FY2019 onwards about 68,000 ha of young trees will reach prime age, which will double CPO production
- Currently selling price values the company @ $4.4k / PLANTED ha (excluding landbank)
- Contrast this to Wah Seong wanted to invest in Ghana for $4k per ha (before planting) innocent.gif

Con
- Currently loss making for last 2Q due to low palm oil price and very high interest expenses
- Very high debt, very low cash reserve (need to keep borrow to service interest)
- HIGH risk of loan default
- Stopped planting activities since last year due to cashflow problem
- Felda is interested to buy doh.gif

Disclosure : I have shares in BWPT bought during the downturn late last year devil.gif devil.gif devil.gif

This post has been edited by gark: Mar 23 2016, 11:02 AM
gark
post Mar 23 2016, 12:48 PM

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QUOTE(zDarkForceSz @ Mar 23 2016, 12:27 PM)
unker gark long time no see~

BEST BWPT PGAS INCO all nice nice  brows.gif
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PGAS, INCO, INDF already dumped previously brows.gif

Holding AISA and BWPT.. bought recently. biggrin.gif
gark
post Mar 23 2016, 03:00 PM

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QUOTE(ken_ng @ Mar 23 2016, 01:44 PM)
dear sifus, if i'm interested to buy CLIQ, i assume it is worth to buy the warrant since the premium is -26.81% now. am i correct to say that?
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SPAC warrant will be useless if they fail to get the QA, it will worth exactly 0.00

Dun fall into this trick. devil.gif devil.gif devil.gif devil.gif
gark
post Mar 23 2016, 03:01 PM

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QUOTE(knight @ Mar 23 2016, 02:22 PM)
Hi Guys,

I'm a newbie here and decided to open an account for e trading.

https://www.imoney.my/share-trading

From this website it seems like this company Jupiter offering quite a good deal. 0.20% and a minimum brokerage fee of RM10.

But why still many I saw would prefer those company like OSK (currenlyt is RHB if I'm not mistaken), Kenanga and etc?

Brief about myself, I'm a low risk appetite and the type would go for more dividend instead of those share that is active.

Can give any advise what should I look for?
*
Get M+ cash upfront account.. brokerage only 0.05%, RM 8 min. devil.gif

Or. Amivest cash upfront .. 0.035%.. but heard got admin fees.

Newbie better play with cash upfront account, less chance of 'mistake' and kena force sell.. innocent.gif

This post has been edited by gark: Mar 23 2016, 03:04 PM
gark
post Mar 23 2016, 03:22 PM

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QUOTE(Pink Spider @ Mar 23 2016, 03:16 PM)
Gonna hold til after the next results announcement

Generally my required rate of return (paper gain) is 30-33% before considering to exit
*
What this tetek company do? brows.gif

Hmm lets go look see first.. whistling.gif


...


...


Goreng stock.. negative earnings.. dun want.. tongue.gif

This post has been edited by gark: Mar 23 2016, 03:25 PM
gark
post Mar 23 2016, 04:02 PM

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QUOTE(TC-Titan @ Mar 23 2016, 03:34 PM)
GARK Did u tambah lori/container for your SKPet a few rounds ago when the price was around 1.50 to 1.80? Or u have more than enuf d and still waiting for 2018?
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Got enough OnG already.. now waiting for price up only.. tongue.gif
gark
post Mar 23 2016, 04:16 PM

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QUOTE(Pink Spider @ Mar 23 2016, 03:30 PM)
Look deeper into the financials whistling.gif
*
What this mean mr accountant.. lazy to search .. tongue.gif

QUOTE
Share of loss of equity accounted investees


looks like this..

QUOTE
mainly due  to share  of  loss of  jointly  controlled  entity  of  RM50.21millionin  the  reporting quarter. The jointly  controlled  entity’s  losses  were  due  to  unrealised  foreign exchange  loss  arising  from  USD  denominated  shareholders’ loan and the higher costs associated with trial production. To minimise its losses, the jointly controlled entity has temporarily suspended its trial production in October 2015.


The highlighted part does not sound too favorable. hmm.gif

If exclude this, ok lah the performance $14 mil before tax.

But I see although NAV is high, but most in fixed assets and stocks. Debt is quite high compared to cash holding too.

A lot of steel factories already lingkup in Indonesia, it is cheaper to buy from china rather than manufacture themselves. Maybe malaysian got protection lah.. sweat.gif

This post has been edited by gark: Mar 23 2016, 04:19 PM
gark
post Mar 23 2016, 04:17 PM

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QUOTE(TC-Titan @ Mar 23 2016, 04:08 PM)
But... if u believe u are right... then shouldn't u buy MOARRRR??  biggrin.gif  brows.gif

What's the % for O&G for your overall investment portfolio?
*
Always need to balance the portfolio mar.. cannot all dump into 1 basket.

OnG about 20% lar.. devil.gif
gark
post Mar 23 2016, 04:27 PM

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QUOTE(TC-Titan @ Mar 23 2016, 04:23 PM)
Ya betul~!

Tetapi, I know some Unkers super ganas wan with their investment plan...

Let's say they identified a "situational" stock with an interesting story behind it and thinks that the stock is a "compelling buy". As long as they are convinced the stock is undervalued and should be at X price instead of current market price, they don't mind topping up and averaging down/up further until they have a massive amount. This strategy can go on for say a few months to a few years.

When the price reverses and heads towards or close to their TP, they make a massive killing from this strategy.

But, yeah , not everyone has the bullets and the discipline to do this.
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I have a set rule.. ANY 1 stock must not exceed 10% of TOTAL holdings. No matter how good the story, how good the potential profits.

This is a protection against, IF you are wrong, a concentrated bet will destroy your portfolio.

Of course, many time got 'sam yuk yuk' damm why did not buy more when price shoot up. But I have see the opposite as well, 'lucky did not buy more, whew'. So it has served me well over the years. nod.gif

This post has been edited by gark: Mar 23 2016, 04:30 PM
gark
post Mar 23 2016, 04:34 PM

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QUOTE(Pink Spider @ Mar 23 2016, 04:21 PM)
This is what my stocks partner shared with me...

global steel prices =/= china steel prices
china prices are USUALLY more forward-looking
and bear in mind, china is the biggest consumer of such materials

china commodities prices are rallying

consumption is on the upward trend too
so, china exports of materials gonna slow down
so, local players gonna have bigger share of the pie going forward
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Sure kah.. last i heard china is still dumping steel... sweat.gif sweat.gif sweat.gif

As Yuan devalue more, the dumping will be even more ganas..

Steel price chart.. no rebound yet..

http://www.tradingeconomics.com/commodity/steel

Iron ore chart, some rebound since Jan.. which means higher demand. But you look at 2015.. is still range bound

http://www.tradingeconomics.com/commodity/steel

More info on china steel..

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/201...n-steel-exports

This post has been edited by gark: Mar 23 2016, 04:40 PM

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