As big American hedge funds begin their speculative attack on China Yuan and the Hong Kong dollar, another group of short-sellers have slipped into Southeast Asia, targeting Singapore, the region's financial hub. These short-sellers have Singapore stocks in their sights as the market struggles to find its footing after being hit hard by the commodity rout. The SGX saw its total short selling surge from 3.2 billion Singapore dollars (US$2.24 billion) in December to 5.6 billion Singapore dollars in January, representing 25 percent of total volume, the highest since data became available, Credit Suisse said in a note Tuesday. Short-selling refers to borrowing shares to sell in hopes of buying them back at a lower price later.
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After Soros reveals he is shorting Asia, big American hedge funds descend upon the region
That comes as the exchange is also facing headwinds from a concentration of listings in hard-hit sectors, including commodities, oil services and shipping as well as a hit from China's economic slowdown. Out of a total 776 listings at the end of December, the SGX had 63 listings in the basic materials sector, 40 in oil and gas and 267 classified as industrials. That compares with 26 healthcare listings and 59 technology listings. After the rout since the start of the year, the Straits Times Index is down nearly 12 percent year-to-date.
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25% of Singapore's stock market volume is now shorting
Among the stocks with the highest percentage of volume related to short-selling were agri-businesses Wilmar and Golden-Agri Resources and oil-rig-builders SembCorp Industries and Keppel Corp., Credit Suisse said. It comes at the time Singapore's financial market is already facing difficulty competing, particularly due to its relatively small size. The Singapore exchange's market capitalization, Southeast Asia's biggest, was at 904.77 billion Singapore dollars (US$632.26 billion) at the end of December, compared with Hong Kong's HKEx at 24.425 trillion Hong Kong dollars (US$3.13 trillion) at the end of December.
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Singapore's stocks have fallen 12% last month, speculators seek to crash it further
At the same time, the daily average turnover has been shrinking, with December's 774 million Singapore dollars' worth of average daily volume down 22 percent from the year-earlier month. The small size makes it tough for Singapore to attract institutional investors to its market. "One of the challenges for the Singapore market is that sometimes the criticism there is that there are not (enough) companies to invest in," Daryl Liew, head of portfolio management at asset manager Reyl Singapore, said at an SGX-CNBC summit last week in Singapore.
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Weakness revealed as Singapore's exports went down 7.2% in December
"We tend to invest only in companies with a minimum $1 billion market cap. Obviously there are some that we can put in there, but there are certain limitations to what we can actually allocate money to," he said. Another criticism comes from a perceived focus on stodgier industries, such as commodities and shipbuilding. "Where the market is a little bit weak at the moment is in growth stories, credible structural growth stories that you can invest in over a three-to-five-year time frame," Conrad Werner, head of equity research for Singapore at Macquarie, said at the panel. "They are there, selectively, but as a block, for example, I would like to see the technology sector represented within the index, which we don't have."
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Hong Kong monetary chief: short-sellers will not win, we defeated them in 1997 and we will again
In Hong Kong, the territory's monetary chief warned that speculators are wasting their time trying to short the Hong Kong dollar. But now instead of the currency they are moving into one of Hong Kong's weak spots, the property market. Hong Kong's property slump has begin to worry investors. Home prices have slumped almost 10 percent since September and monthly sales in January fell to the lowest since at least 1991, according to Centaline Property Agency Ltd. "The danger is that when sentiment turns negative, it's very hard to turn things around," Michael Spencer, Deutsche Bank AG's Hong Kong-based Asian chief economist, said. Real estate developer made up a vital component in the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.
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Speculators diverted their attention, from currency to targeting Hong Kong's property stocks, who are now at their weakest since 1991
Norman Chan, the monetary chief, reminded speculators that Hong Kong government used its sizable foreign-exchange reserves to aggressively buy the stock market and ultimately defeated them back in 1997, saying Hong Kong is in a much stronger position to defend itself from a similar attack. He points to foreign reserves at HK$422 billion, 5.2 times higher than the HK$67.6 billion in 1997. This, he says, means the same strategies in 1997 to short sell the Hong Kong dollar to try to push the interest rate up and benefit from falling stock markets would be less effective and too expensive.
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China: We will use all means to defend the stability of our currency
In China, the People's Bank of China launched a two-pronged attack on short-sellers by mopping up the currency overseas and choking supply of yuan from the mainland. The assault pushed the offshore rate to a premium that week, before it swung the other way again. "Bears are not giving up on shorting the yuan simply because of the PBOC's attacks, and they are preparing to return to the game," said Kenix Lai, a foreign-exchange analyst at Bank of East Asia Ltd. in Hong Kong. "There will be a very intense confrontation between short-sellers and China in the near term. While the market strongly believes there's room for further declines, the central bank will try its best to keep the yuan stable."
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Japan moves towards negative interest rates, indirectly helping speculators in their battle against China
Speculators who short Asia were helped by Japan last week. Thanks to the Bank of Japan's surprise move to a negative interest rates on a portion of bank reserves, the Japanese yen has renewed its downward spiral. This move by the world's third largest economy effectively put Japan in a currency war with its Asian neighbors. With the market already view the yuan as overvalued as seen in accelerating foreign currency outflows, the move to weaken yen just adds to the yuan's perceived overvaluation.
http://www.cnbc.com/2016/02/02/short-selle...ock-market.htmlhttp://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/201...-to-25-year-lowhttp://www.marketwatch.com/story/hong-kong...tate-2016-02-01