QUOTE(AVFAN @ Jun 3 2020, 01:31 PM)
this period has been a very tricky one for everybody.
too bullish, mistakes; too conservative, may miss all.
if someone had held on tightly, did nothing, i dun think it is a favorable position now.
becos most counters are still 20-30% down.
u gotta to be dem clever and lucky to sell all at the right time and bought back at right time!!
i dumped ALL my SGreits and US stocks in the middle of the pandemic... not at the best prices.
to my surprise, and to many... the SGreit counters i had recovered so quickly.
and the US counters rushed back up so quickly too, no coming back down!
it is only last few days when SG was open to reopen after CB that i thought may be worth getting in then.
after 3 days, result for SIA and DBS excellent... at least now i dun complain "i missed it"!
and i think still got some way to go higher.
Tq bro,....
For myself,.. on REITs and Stocks worldwide,... how I have played the game in the current pandemic is with four actions :-
1) I average down counters which I bought expensive and for which I believe the
dpu will return after recovery.
2) I leave alone counters under my ownership to continue earning the dpu, and which I think
will recover to their former prices after recovery.
3) I continue to search the universe for NEW REITs and stocks (which I have not held before) to buy, since there was a strong mis-pricing on Mar 23rd., 2020.
4) I cutloss on counters which I think will be risky and whose dpu may not be growing and/or which may not provide capital growth.
I provide below some examples of counters that I have acted on with the above 4 tactics :-
1) Prime US REIT and Sasseur REIT listed in the SGX.
2) KIT and FLCT in the SGX.
3) UOB, OCBC in the SGX and Slate REIT in the TSX.
4) Lendlease REIT and Netlink NBN Trust.
As we speak,... I still have some counters which are still in the red,.. a big eg would be MNACT, still in 22% red.
The mkt has certainly decoupled itself from earnings this time,... and has runaway,... as the mkt runs, the opportunity for investors to go in will be smaller and smaller,.. but I say this too,... there's nothing wrong to keep cash. Don't worry abt earning FD interest or bond coupons whatever,... we know the direction that these rates are heading in. I am wondering how long will the interest rate stay low.
I believed the mkt bounced up fast because investors the world over have learnt from previous crises, and secondly,... the monetary stimulus flowed down from many central banks truly did its work. Hence,... those analysts who kept referring to previous events of meltdowns to gauge how the recovery will be like will most likely be wrong this time round. But nothing wrong with being wrong, though,... you just miss the boat this time.
Just wait for the next crisis !
My portfolio is 25.21% green at this moment.