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 USD/MYR drop, V2

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prophetjul
post Nov 26 2015, 09:41 AM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Nov 26 2015, 09:38 AM)
I beg to differ for the period of the whole last week. The SGD has been WEAKENING against the MYR. Now contemplating heavily to convert into the SGD........
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Think SG averted twice in the last 2 qtrs now. Should be 2.5 to the MYR ! biggrin.gif
TSOM
post Nov 26 2015, 12:03 PM

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regret didn't buy USD when it was cheaper. sad.gif

now want to travel to US but so expensive. cry.gif
TSwil-i-am
post Nov 26 2015, 12:04 PM

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QUOTE(TSOM @ Nov 26 2015, 12:03 PM)
regret didn't buy USD when it was cheaper. sad.gif

now want to travel to US but so expensive. cry.gif
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Nvr too late to buy now
TSOM
post Nov 26 2015, 12:12 PM

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now?? feel so painful to buy now. sad.gif

but FED is expected to raise rate right? so USD/MYR will go even higher?
TSwil-i-am
post Nov 26 2015, 12:15 PM

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QUOTE(TSOM @ Nov 26 2015, 12:12 PM)
now?? feel so painful to buy now. sad.gif

but FED is expected to raise rate right? so USD/MYR will go even higher?
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Shld goes higher once int rate is raise
Having said tat, there could b other factors tat determine the movement
nexona88
post Nov 26 2015, 12:17 PM

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USD/MYR close: 4.21063 low: 4.19503 high: 4.22327

TSOM
post Nov 26 2015, 12:21 PM

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do you ppl hold physical cash (i.e. foreign currency account) or do you open a FOREX trading account?
AVFAN
post Nov 26 2015, 12:46 PM

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QUOTE
Credit Suisse expects the currency may be the big gainer, with the asset sale positive both for potential inflows and lower perceived political risks.

"The receipt of 9.8 billion ringgit is quite sizeable for capital account flows, at around a third of net financial outflows in the third quarter of this year," Credit Suisse said in a note Wednesday. "This will likely provide some support to the currency if the funds come after February."

The bank now expects the dollar will fetch 4.20 ringgit in three months and 4.40 ringgit in 12 months
, down from its previous forecasts of 4.50 and 4.60 ringgit respectively. At midday Thursday, the dollar was fetching 4.210 ringgit.
http://www.cnbc.com/2015/11/25/1mdb-asset-...out-stocks.html

TSwil-i-am
post Nov 26 2015, 02:56 PM

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Malaysian Bonds Rise as Default Risk Drops on 1MDB Asset Sales
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/201...mdb-asset-sales

Despite gud news, MYR hardly appreciate
AVFAN
post Nov 26 2015, 03:12 PM

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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Nov 26 2015, 02:56 PM)
Despite gud news, MYR hardly appreciate
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all that news should be all factored in by now.

mgs yield also dropped to 4.18%.

so, maybe that's the best it can do without further positive news - 4.20 thereabout.

i suppose it's back to the fed and oil.
chengcheng
post Nov 26 2015, 05:34 PM

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Will MYR goes up if interest rates goes up?
nexona88
post Nov 26 2015, 06:02 PM

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QUOTE(chengcheng @ Nov 26 2015, 05:34 PM)
Will MYR goes up if interest rates goes up?
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sadly yes blush.gif
AVFAN
post Nov 26 2015, 08:13 PM

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QUOTE(chengcheng @ Nov 26 2015, 05:34 PM)
Will MYR goes up if interest rates goes up?
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if you mean msia rates and not us rates... yes, of course.

question is if you think there is a higher chance for rate hike or rate cut in next year or so.

or no change year after year.
Hansel
post Nov 26 2015, 08:22 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Nov 26 2015, 08:13 PM)
if you mean msia rates and not us rates... yes, of course.

question is if you think there is a higher chance for rate hike or rate cut in next year or so.

or no change year after year.
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I opine that even if BNM int rates go up, the MYR will not strengthen that much. The price of oil and other factors will still prevail over the MYR.
prody
post Nov 26 2015, 08:37 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Nov 26 2015, 12:46 PM)

*
Forecasters biggrin.gif
AVFAN
post Nov 26 2015, 08:59 PM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Nov 26 2015, 08:22 PM)
I opine that even if BNM int rates go up, the MYR will not strengthen that much. The price of oil and other factors will still prevail over the MYR.
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that, of course.

rate hike when everything else remains constant will boost the rm, like any currency anywhere.

i actually a see a rate cut in the next 6-12 months. biggrin.gif

i am forecasting poor gdp figures for the next 2-3 qtrs.

becos of what many retailers said.

and me... still same old car, same old tv... laugh.gif

This post has been edited by AVFAN: Nov 26 2015, 09:01 PM
TSwil-i-am
post Nov 26 2015, 09:35 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Nov 26 2015, 08:59 PM)
that, of course.

rate hike when everything else remains constant will boost the rm, like any currency anywhere.

i actually a see a rate cut in the next 6-12 months. biggrin.gif

i am forecasting poor gdp figures for the next 2-3 qtrs.

becos of what many retailers said.

and me... still same old car, same old tv... laugh.gif
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Can start to short USD now tongue.gif
AVFAN
post Nov 27 2015, 01:20 AM

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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Nov 26 2015, 09:35 PM)
Can start to short USD now  tongue.gif
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you just bought usd la... biggrin.gif



anyway, for interested parties... fed meeting is wed dec 16 which is early thu dec 17 here.

market now priced in 74% of rate hike.
hazard_puppet
post Nov 27 2015, 06:12 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Nov 27 2015, 01:20 AM)
you just bought usd la... biggrin.gif
anyway, for interested parties... fed meeting is wed dec 16 which is early thu dec 17 here.

market now priced in 74% of rate hike.
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what if no rate hike? usd drop kaw kaw? tongue.gif
TSwil-i-am
post Nov 27 2015, 06:58 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Nov 27 2015, 01:20 AM)
you just bought usd la... biggrin.gif
anyway, for interested parties... fed meeting is wed dec 16 which is early thu dec 17 here.

market now priced in 74% of rate hike.
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It will b a non event if Janet hike int rate

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