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 Fundsupermart.com v9, QE feeds the bull. Ride along...

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cybermaster98
post Apr 14 2015, 11:20 AM

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QUOTE(aurora97 @ Apr 14 2015, 10:57 AM)
I ter-exited almost everything except left with jap fund and sif (hwang ponzi fund) coz I need money for pre gst sapu spree. Am a bit rusty... I think to buy any funds now when markets r rallying (looking at overall portfolio roi) is a bit expensive. Either hold or look for gems. There are past performers that performed very poorly during this market cycle. They have track record but their manager wrong footed. Those r the funds should be picked up.

Am re-building my cash hoard again. Am standing firm that FED will raise interest in July 2015 (though there are suggestion that FED will raise interest in Sept 2015), to me it’s a matter of exiting and it makes no difference to me.

Portfolio should be bias 60% on AsiaPac (Indonesia, Singapore, Australia/NZ, Japan, China/HK, Thailand)
Portfolio should overtime reduce on India related funds overtime as deadline comes closer to July or Sept. India is especially vulnerable to external shock.
Portfolio should maintain or reduce Malaysian exposure to around 20-30% of portfolio. (side note: My portfolio actually heavy on Malaysia Funds but mainly EPF)
So if I base your advise for my portfolio above, I should:

1) Reduce my KGF and Eastsprings from current 75% to max 30%?
2) Divert the excess 45% funds to Asia Pac funds?
3) Reduce or sell off Manulife India completely by June 2015

What about Aberdeen which is heavily exposed to Europe (47%) and US (20%), Asia (20%)?
cybermaster98
post Apr 14 2015, 11:26 AM

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QUOTE(xuzen @ Apr 14 2015, 11:23 AM)
Retain Small Cap, you may divorce Lee Sook Yee fund in favour of Ponzi 2.0.

Keep Sexy Fund as it is. As for Aberdeen, since it is only 10%, just maintain status quo.

Next crystal ball prediction will be in 15 days, 12 hrs, 47 mins, 20 secs.... and counting...

Xuzen]
Wah u still strongly in favour of Eastsprings Small Cap eh? Why I wonder? From the time I bought end July last year till now, my profit only 0.5%.
cybermaster98
post Apr 14 2015, 11:35 AM

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Why does CIMB Principle Asia Pac Dynamic Income Fund show that a dividend is due on 7 May 2015?
cybermaster98
post Apr 14 2015, 11:39 AM

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QUOTE(yklooi @ Apr 14 2015, 11:37 AM)
hmm.gif how do you "feel" when yr small cap are in "RED"?
hmm.gif just imagine if this fund were to be in RED for the next 1 or 2 years....how do you feel.
if the feeling is "so-so"...then stay,....if the feeling is  vmad.gif  mad.gif ...then sell and shift to a lower risk fund or reduce the exposure....
hmm.gif Manulife India is a Single country focused fund at 15% of portfolio...risky-lor.....what if.....???? how?
If Manulife is risky, then having 75% of funds focused in Malaysia is much more risky rite?
cybermaster98
post Apr 14 2015, 11:40 AM

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QUOTE(yklooi @ Apr 14 2015, 11:38 AM)
means that the fund is going to do distribution
So best to go in after the distribution rite?
cybermaster98
post Apr 14 2015, 11:44 AM

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QUOTE(Kaka23 @ Apr 14 2015, 11:42 AM)
nono.. cannot look it this way. Look at where they invest and the underlying assets.
Isnt it better to go in after the distribution since NAV prices drop?
cybermaster98
post Apr 14 2015, 11:48 AM

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QUOTE(Kaka23 @ Apr 14 2015, 11:45 AM)
no la bro.. you got the concept of UT wrong. End of day, right to left pocket. You will see total RM value before and after is the same, only change is your units more and NAV become less.
Ah yes. Ure right. I did understand when it was explained before. Not sure why I went back to that line of thought. Thanks for the reminder.
cybermaster98
post Apr 14 2015, 01:56 PM

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QUOTE(jerk @ Apr 14 2015, 01:52 PM)
RHB-OSK Big Cap China Enterprise Fund - more than 90% invested in china. no need hide hide.
at the end of the day, i still prefer maggie mee answer and we worship the "crystal" ball..

RHB china india dynamic growth looks tempting? this one got sexy or not
Is RHB-OSK Big Cap China Enterprise Fund worth going into now? Returns to date for this year already 23.15%.
cybermaster98
post Apr 14 2015, 02:19 PM

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I guess the question here is it still worth while investing in China / HK / India focused funds?

Double digit growth for most of these funds in the last 3 months:

1) RHB-OSK Big Cap China Enterprise Fund – 23.15%
2) CIMB Greater China Equity – 22.75%
3) Manulife China Value Fund – 21.32%
4) RHB-OSK China-India Dynamic Growth Fund – 19.06%
5) Am BRIC Equity – 18.96%
6) RHB-OSK Asian Real Estate Fund – 15.04%
7) Manulife India Equity – 14.66%

cybermaster98
post Apr 14 2015, 02:51 PM

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If I dilute my holdings in KGF and Eastsprings Small Cap, which of the following funds should I focus on:

1) RHB-OSK Big Cap China Enterprise Fund – 23.15%
2) CIMB Greater China Equity – 22.75%
3) Manulife China Value Fund – 21.32%
4) RHB-OSK China-India Dynamic Growth Fund – 19.06%
5) Kenanga Asia Pacific Total Return Fund – 15.26%
6) CIMB Principle Asia Pac Dynamic Income Fund - 14.33%

The percentages are the returns for this year until 13 April 2015.

FSM article on Chinese H shares indicate that we should focus on funds which more exposure to H Shares?

This post has been edited by cybermaster98: Apr 14 2015, 03:02 PM
cybermaster98
post Apr 14 2015, 03:13 PM

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QUOTE(David83 @ Apr 14 2015, 03:09 PM)
If you want H shares, then go for RHB-OSK Big Cap China Enterprise Fund since it has 93% exposure in Hong Kong.

(5) and (6) are not meant for short term game.

(4) will give you lower adjusted risk
Actually, what's all this H share thing about anyway? I didn't quite understand the article.

Do I need to focus on funds with high H share exposure?
cybermaster98
post Apr 14 2015, 04:56 PM

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My current portfolio:

Kenanga Growth - 60%
Eastsprings Small Cap - 15%
Manulife India Equity - 15%
Aberdeen Islamic World Equity - 10%

My proposed portfolio:


Kenanga Growth - 30%
Eastsprings Small Cap - 15%
Manulife India Equity - 15%
CIMB Principle Asia Pac Dynamic Income - 15%
CIMB Principle Greater China Equity - 15%
Aberdeen Islamic World Equity - 10%

Thoughts / comments?

Should I go for CIMB Principle Greater China Equity or RHB-OSK Big Cap China Enterprise?
cybermaster98
post Apr 14 2015, 05:08 PM

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QUOTE(T231H @ Apr 14 2015, 05:06 PM)
hmm.gif
CIMB Principle Asia Pac Dynamic Income - 15% (41.83% of this 15% is in HK/CHINA/TAIWAN=6.27%)
CIMB Principle Greater China Equity - 15% + 6.27% = 21.27% = Total Greater China region.....
just a note.
Please ignore my ignorance but I don't get it. Care to explain?
cybermaster98
post Apr 14 2015, 05:27 PM

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QUOTE(T231H @ Apr 14 2015, 05:10 PM)
see the respective fund fact sheet to get the latest % of allocation for each country....then add them up.
Yes I understand the difference between the % of exposure to the Greater China region of the 2 funds. But what is your point? I shouldn't invest in both and choose one instead?
cybermaster98
post Apr 14 2015, 05:35 PM

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QUOTE(T231H @ Apr 14 2015, 05:29 PM)
hmm.gif you can choose 1 or more if you like...just take note of its total allocation in the portfolio...
Well if I compare the exposure to Hong Kong, China and Taiwan for 3 funds:

1) CIMB Asia Pac Dynamic Income
2) CIMB Greater China Equity
3) RHB-OSK Big Cap China Enterprise

Its as follows:

1) 19.95+18.05+3.86 = 41.86%
2) 16.30+61.40+17.70 = 95.40%
3) 93.06+1.79+0 = 94.85%

Should I go for a fund that has more exposure to Hong Kong or China? CIMB Greater China or RHB-OSK Big Cap China?

cybermaster98
post Apr 14 2015, 05:52 PM

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QUOTE(T231H @ Apr 14 2015, 05:47 PM)
it depends on how much % you want that region to be in yr portfolio.
ex, RM 10000 ( if equal to 10% of the portfolio) invested in
fund 1) wil have only abt RM 4200 in that region (or 4.2% in the portfolio)
fund 2) or 3) will have abt RM 10000 in it. (or 10% in the portfolio)
Im prepared to have 30% of my portfolio in the Greater China region now.

My dilemma now is do I choose a fund that's focused in Hong Kong to take advantage of the H shares or do I choose a fund focused in China?
cybermaster98
post Apr 15 2015, 08:24 AM

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Ive now tweaked my proposed portfolio. Appreciate comments / thoughts:

My current portfolio:

Kenanga Growth - 60%
Eastsprings Small Cap - 15%
Manulife India Equity - 15%
Aberdeen Islamic World Equity - 10%

My proposed portfolio:

Kenanga Growth - 30%
RHB-OSK Big Cap China Enterprise - 30%
Eastsprings Small Cap - 15%
Manulife India Equity - 15%
Aberdeen Islamic World Equity - 10%

Im planning to dilute half my holdings in KGF and go into RHB-OSK Big Cap China mainly to focus on the HK H Shares future sentiment.

Do I need to allocate some funds for CIMB Principle Asia Pac Dynamic Income as a 'buffer' or just focus on RHB-OSK Big Cap China?
cybermaster98
post Apr 15 2015, 08:52 AM

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QUOTE(yklooi @ Apr 15 2015, 08:29 AM)
YEs,...get some Asia Pac Dynamic....

why didn't get some Cimb Global Titan too?..It cover Europe, US and Japan.
But CIMB Global Titans has equity focus of almost 80% in US and Europe. Isn't that too high when the main growth is in Greater China now?
cybermaster98
post Apr 15 2015, 09:01 AM

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QUOTE(David83 @ Apr 15 2015, 08:54 AM)
Wrong!

China has not much growth now as they're re-balancing their economy and restructure internally. What you want to say is potential upside from re-valuation of H-share and further stimulus hope.

US market is downgraded to neutral and Europe is slightly above neutral with the hope of ECB current QE.
So what does that mean? Going into RHB-OSK Big Cap China isn't the right move at the moment?
cybermaster98
post Apr 15 2015, 09:19 AM

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QUOTE(David83 @ Apr 15 2015, 09:06 AM)
I didn't mean that.

What is the current GDP for China now? Why are you saying that China is growing? Current GDP estimate by China government itself is in the range of 7% to 7.5%.

What China government is doing to avoid deflation and tried to jump start some growth while transform into domestic consumption based economy.

Today's China is not the same as China in the past decades.

What are you betting now?

1. Appreciation of H-share to track closely to A-share
2. A-share has hit all time high and potentially will be corrected; thus closing the gap with H-share
3. Influx of mainland fund into HSI
4. Influx of foreign funds into HSI and also China
Yes that's what I meant. Not really the growth of China. My bad.

So the question here is:

1) Should I go for a 30% exposure to a HK focused fund (RHB-OSK Big Cap China)?
2) Or limit my exposure to just 20% and include another 20% in Ponzi 2.0?

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