History repeats itself....

I did tell you before...
that I do know people...
who have such strategies....
they bet for certain patterns every couple of months.....

whether it works or not....
you better run some sample stocks....

Look at this other sample...

http://www.malaysiastock.biz/Corporate-Inf...curityCode=2615

What do you see?

Next quarter, throw first

ok i got you finally! thanks for clarification

you no scare got trend breaker?

This post has been edited by spring onion: Apr 29 2014, 05:08 PM

target continue melt down buy in

ta kenanga, asiapac tomorrow sure huat

Spillover impacts..... sadly....rather crucial.

Our market not very matured...
when things like this happen...
punters ALWAYS, ALWAYS get very nervous......
sentiments turns negative....
and such incidents, which should not impact any fundamental stocks, simply causes uneasiness in our tiny market....
fundamentals strangely is thrown into the longkang... lol

and then you have those remisers... you have those aunties.. uncles.... punters.... all suddenly becoming experts...
they start adding vinegar... salt....

you do understand the risks involved with Homer, right?

there is no broker coverage (stock is still unknown, except for that half baked Kenanga report the other day)
no news coverage...
not attracting funds .....

and then the USD impact...

this recent quarter is for the period Dec to Feb.

Next quarter is for Mar to May....

USD is said to be a big plus booster ....

you can actually have a sneak peep...

compare current Mar and Apr's USD rates versus last year....
what you see?

Chat Look Chat Look...on anyone's radar?

it will head downwards(MYR, not USD ) if according to chart. but is chart always right still remains a question

so when MYR is down, supposedly export volume increases, this causes large order for export company

if buyers pays exporter in debt, this would probably increase the company profit. lets see how this company goes

This post has been edited by spring onion: Apr 29 2014, 05:30 PM

Coma counter.

Poor earnings... growth...

This post has been edited by gark: Apr 29 2014, 06:32 PM

Errr.... my England not good enough.

Maybe that chart is not easy to see as a whole.



Let's begin again and let me shoot you a long posting.....
please note I am only explaining it as it is....
not a sell and not a buy....

If you read the earnings result, in fact the past few months, it is said that the HIGHER USD helped boost its profits.

homer's main business is its exports.

Yes exports.

Most of it, is sold in USD.

Higher USD translates to more ringgit, which means more profit.

Ok so far?

Yesterday result is for Dec 2013 to Feb 2014.

I dared to guess the result should be good.

This is because the USD multiple impact would be positive.

let show you...

This is the USD chart, from Dec 2013 to Feb 2014...



As you can say low USD was about 3.15, high was about 3.35....
and rough eye estimate is about 3.27 or so.... around there la...

Now compare to previous year period, ie Dec 2012 to Feb 2013...
yes compare against the previous year same period....

this is last year chart of that period...



low is about 2.94, high only 3.10
mostly... my rough eye estimate would say 3.05 or so.

Now if say Homer export sales is USD 2 million.
That USD 2 million, a year ago, using 3.05 would translate to around 6.1 million ringgit only.

Compare to this period, where the USD is around roughly 3.27.
That same USD 2 million translates to 6.54 million..

Same export figure but more ringgit back.

Ok so far?

please if I am wrong so far, say so la.
I also learn learn one....
boh tak chik one. (where did I read that from? )


Now this is where we get to GUESS the coming Q3 figures...
with the help of the USD current prices.

Next Q3 is for the period MARCH 2014 to MAY 2014.

First we get last year chart first...

This is how the USD traded last year for the period March 2013 to May 2013.



rough eye estimate? I would say 3.05.

Ok we only have March 2014 and Apr 2014 figures... May 2014 not here yet...

anyway this is where we are at....



my rough eye estimate.... maybe so far 3.25...

comparing 3.25 and 3.05....
I can safely guess we should see positive USD multiplier impact again for Homer....

which means.... would you guess that the next quarter, Homer should also report much better earnings?

ok so far?

ok. i did take a while to digest this. high conversion means higher profit, because buyers buy in USD. i think way out from this statement liao. took so you long to reply my 3 line. paiseh paiseh. thanks

I bought at 9.60
Hope June got good news.
One of it is the New York license

Still go for growth meh?

Small mid cap all lausai.. End of small cap stock era?

On my bos geh radar

No pain no gain. But this week so far made me grateful that I'm a chicken when it comes to stock trading.

hello! i'm really new with stock trading so may i ask if there any books that u recommend me to read? did u guys went for any seminar regarding stock exchange? i really wanna learn it so bad, but i dont really know where to start. ur respond is highly appreciated!

No problem la.

The same can be used for a company like AirAsia.

We know for a fact that AirAsia borrowing is really big and the most crucial fact is that the borrowings are mostly in USD.

So given the comparisons of where the USD are now versus last year, we know for a fact AirAsia will be hit by forex losses.

Yes, AirAsia does hedge a portion (around 40% iinm) of its loans (last I recall reading, it hedged at 3.22) but that's enough.

Borrowing costs will increase and the difference in the USD will translates to losses.

wow, V5 already?!!

Surprise that this thread still alive

Have not been in the market for quite a long time already. just park my money in UZMA and TM, don't know what else to do.

Heard some penny stocks did bungee jumping yesterday and monday. punters already pull out money for world cup meh? haha

LOL!

Apa macam bro?

I am a psychopath stock forumer, don't you remeember?

This thread only created yesterday.

The penny stocks bungee happened Monday but you must understand what kind of utterly garbage penny stocks we are talking about. (Posted charts on post #2)

Nah.. I copy and paste just for you again...

Candidate one..



Candidate two..



Candidate three..



Candidate four....



Outsider ......






Now tell me.... what kind of rubbish stocks are these in the first place?

Look at how they orchestrated the volumes!

Doh!

And now the media highlighting these stocks....

and what does it achieve?

the perfect dumping ground!!!

LOL!


and next thing you know... yesterday... we get all the negative spillover effects....