QUOTE(DoomCognition @ Nov 18 2013, 11:55 PM)
A fair assessment, with very valid points. However, please allow me to point out some facts to support the BBB camp (there's no fun if I agree 100% with you, no?
).
Cost push inflation due to
1. GST effective starting 2015
2. Recent petrol price hike, expected to continue to increase as subsidy is reduced
3. Increase in sugar price, and other basic food items, again due to reduction in subsidy
4. Foreseeable weakening of MYR, due to US pulling back its money.
Also, do note the following facts:
1. Authorities are cautious in implementing draconian measures in curbing property price increase, due to the precedent set by US (the effects of a quick decline in property prices is very evident in the housing bubble)
2. Growth trumps inflation, in almost all macro economic management.
Any comments?
Your 4 points above are correct for escalating inflation but it doesn't mean that property prices will rise in tandem. Actually it would mean the opposite. If ppl's salaries are spent on paying for inflationary increases in living costs, where will the money come from for buying expensive properties? Cost push inflation due to
1. GST effective starting 2015
2. Recent petrol price hike, expected to continue to increase as subsidy is reduced
3. Increase in sugar price, and other basic food items, again due to reduction in subsidy
4. Foreseeable weakening of MYR, due to US pulling back its money.
Also, do note the following facts:
1. Authorities are cautious in implementing draconian measures in curbing property price increase, due to the precedent set by US (the effects of a quick decline in property prices is very evident in the housing bubble)
2. Growth trumps inflation, in almost all macro economic management.
Any comments?
Don't forget that when inflation goes up, salaries are still stagnant so that decreases purchasing power. If you have limited finances, you would prioritize your spending thus putting expensive overpriced properties out of reach of the general public. And when you have a slump in prices, even those who can afford to buy will treat cautiously and refrain from making purchases unless they are absolutely certain of its future value.
Nov 19 2013, 09:06 AM
Quote
0.0503sec
0.53
7 queries
GZIP Disabled