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 ASN, ASN2, ASN3, ASG, ASB, ASW2020, ASM, ASD, AS1M, AMANAH SAHAM NASIONAL BERHAD V4

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lucifah
post Oct 10 2013, 12:36 PM

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QUOTE(MGM @ Oct 10 2013, 12:31 PM)
Maybe what he is trying to say is govt. no money to pay interest on these, and since election is over no need to create feel good enviroment, so lower dividend, No??
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that's what is being pointed out here.

the ASB dividends are not paid by the govt.

instead, the govt makes it easier for ASB to derive the dividends from their investment, which again, i have no liberty to discuss here. maybe over a nice cup of coffee. but not online.


plumberly
post Oct 10 2013, 01:42 PM

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QUOTE(lucifah @ Oct 10 2013, 12:36 PM)
that's what is being pointed out here.

the ASB dividends are not paid by the govt.

instead, the govt makes it easier for ASB to derive the dividends from their investment, which again, i have no liberty to discuss here. maybe over a nice cup of coffee. but not online.
*
Very interesting inside story!

Few cups of kopi kau kau on me then.


davinz18
post Oct 10 2013, 02:30 PM

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I don't care where the fund get the money or where they invest it (shariah or non-shariah, Malaysia or overseas). Main point is they pay my dividend above 6% p.a on time every year. I'm happy if they open-up more units for subscription. Just my opinion icon_rolleyes.gif


cybermaster98
post Oct 10 2013, 02:46 PM

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QUOTE(hyelbaine @ Oct 10 2013, 12:00 PM)
Goodness, what ever gave you that impression that PNB's dividends are provided by the government? Or if PNB is like Petronas and has to provide direct funds to the government for its operational use that eats into dividends that's supposed to be given to the investors? PNB is not like other GLIC's like Khazanah or Ekuinas which uses the government money and invests which then returns profits back to the government. PNB is a GLIC that pool's money from investors and providing profits it obtains back to the investors in dividend.

PNB's funds are not guaranteed by the government or is it insured by institutions like PIDM, the same goes with other unit trust products in Malaysia. I would understand if you say it is quite a challenge to continue providing good dividends due to the sheer size of ASB itself or because PNB is only allowed to invest in local equities that yields are at a pinch but equating/assuming as you did it just boggles me. Even for PNB's funds that invest in government bonds or MGS, the returns on these structured products are fixed for as long as the government can honor payments at maturity. We may be in debt but it's nowhere near what the US govt is facing having to default entirely.

I'm sorry for the retort but it get's tiring having to repeat the same stuff over and over and over and over and over again.....  rclxub.gif
The point im trying to make is that the dividends this year will NOT be as good as last year regardless where the profits come from and if its only paper dividends.
lucifah
post Oct 10 2013, 03:06 PM

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QUOTE(cybermaster98 @ Oct 10 2013, 02:46 PM)
The point im trying to make is that the dividends this year will NOT be as good as last year regardless where the profits come from and if its only paper dividends.
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history has shown that ASB dividend is always in tandem with BLR rate. but let's not use past performance to predict the future smile.gif
hyelbaine
post Oct 10 2013, 04:04 PM

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QUOTE(lucifah @ Oct 10 2013, 03:06 PM)
history has shown that ASB dividend is always in tandem with BLR rate. but let's not use past performance to predict the future  smile.gif
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True that. When measuring the spread between dividends (ex-bonus) and BLR, the average since 1990 till 2012 is 0.8%. It even went negative during the early 90's and of course during 1998 of course.

Again I've excluded bonus in the equation as it's not an absolute figure but taken over 120 months or 10 years. Food for thought for those thinking of taking ASB loans, don't fall for the "selling" tactic used by banks who always quote bonus as though it is absolute when it isn't.


lucifah
post Oct 10 2013, 04:08 PM

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QUOTE(hyelbaine @ Oct 10 2013, 04:04 PM)
True that. When measuring the spread between dividends (ex-bonus) and BLR, the average since 1990 till 2012 is 0.8%. It even went negative during the early 90's and of course during 1998 of course.

Again I've excluded bonus in the equation as it's not an absolute figure but taken over 120 months or 10 years. Food for thought for those thinking of taking ASB loans, don't fall for the "selling" tactic used by banks who always quote bonus as though it is absolute when it isn't.
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i agree many people got duped by ASB return = dividend + bonus = 7.75 + 1.15 = 8.9%

that is why most of my example calculations here exclude the bonus calculations.

and since i fvcked up my ASB records (depleting almost zero balance during my dark years), my bonus is affected. in fact, my effective bonus for 2012 is actually just a mere 0.2% of my current ASB balance, which is pathetic.


hyelbaine
post Oct 10 2013, 04:59 PM

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QUOTE(lucifah @ Oct 10 2013, 04:08 PM)
i agree many people got duped by ASB return = dividend + bonus = 7.75 + 1.15 = 8.9%

that is why most of my example calculations here exclude the bonus calculations.

and since i fvcked up my ASB records (depleting almost zero balance during my dark years), my bonus is affected. in fact, my effective bonus for 2012 is actually just a mere 0.2% of my current ASB balance, which is pathetic.
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For everyone's benefit (especially those silent readers who may be contemplating ASB loan due to the rumor that ASB loan tenure would be capped at 10 years) here's the image of the ASB dividend vs BLR spread. Again, don't fall for the bank's sweet talk.

The margin is smaller than you think wink.gif

Attached Image
navink
post Oct 10 2013, 05:01 PM

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QUOTE(hyelbaine @ Oct 10 2013, 04:59 PM)
For everyone's benefit (especially those silent readers who may be contemplating ASB loan due to the rumor that ASB loan tenure would be capped at 10 years) here's the image of the ASB dividend vs BLR spread. Again, don't fall for the bank's sweet talk.

The margin is smaller than you think wink.gif

Attached Image
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sometimes i was wondering this loan thingy actually memperkasakan bank instead of memperkasakan bumiputera..


lucifah
post Oct 10 2013, 05:07 PM

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QUOTE(hyelbaine @ Oct 10 2013, 04:59 PM)
For everyone's benefit (especially those silent readers who may be contemplating ASB loan due to the rumor that ASB loan tenure would be capped at 10 years) here's the image of the ASB dividend vs BLR spread. Again, don't fall for the bank's sweet talk.

The margin is smaller than you think wink.gif

Attached Image
*
but still, a +1.15% over the BLR (based on 2012 returns), is still acceptable...

and if you include the BLR -1.65% offered, then it will be 1.15% + 1.65% = 2.8% above the interest charged?

correct me if i'm wrong

This post has been edited by lucifah: Oct 10 2013, 05:09 PM
hyelbaine
post Oct 10 2013, 05:11 PM

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QUOTE(navink @ Oct 10 2013, 05:01 PM)
sometimes i was wondering this loan thingy actually memperkasakan bank instead of memperkasakan bumiputera..
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Of course it's beneficial to the banks, it's their product (although many people still think it's PNB's product). Loans which brings interest with it never benefits anyone else other than the party giving out the loan wink.gif

It's only beneficial to the person borrowing if the margins stay healthy. But still, it depends on whether the interest that one pays year after year during the loan tenure outweighs the benefit of constantly putting their own money for saving. For that calculation, I'll leave that to the other experts/sifus here wink.gif
davinz18
post Oct 10 2013, 05:14 PM

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QUOTE(hyelbaine @ Oct 10 2013, 04:59 PM)
For everyone's benefit (especially those silent readers who may be contemplating ASB loan due to the rumor that ASB loan tenure would be capped at 10 years) here's the image of the ASB dividend vs BLR spread. Again, don't fall for the bank's sweet talk.

The margin is smaller than you think wink.gif

Attached Image
*
Some of the year the total dividend is 14% shocking.gif

Very2 lucky those holding big amount those time nod.gif
hyelbaine
post Oct 10 2013, 05:15 PM

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QUOTE(lucifah @ Oct 10 2013, 05:07 PM)
but still, a +1.15% over the BLR (based on 2012 returns), is still acceptable...

and if you include the BLR -1.65% offered, then it will be 1.15% + 1.65% = 2.8% above the interest charged?

correct me if i'm wrong
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You're correct but I never bothered with the BLR-x.xx% portion of the equation because not everybody is guaranteed to get that rate. It would depend on the applicant's existing commitments, exposure and credit history/profile.

It's the same logic I apply in terms of ASB bonuses too. Not everyone gets the absolute value and the same applies to the discount rate one may get from the base lending rate wink.gif
lucifah
post Oct 10 2013, 05:16 PM

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QUOTE(davinz18 @ Oct 10 2013, 05:14 PM)
Some of the year the total dividend is 14%  shocking.gif

Very2 lucky those holding big amount those time  nod.gif
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during that time, BLR is 11%...

and no, u got it wrong. it's NOT the dividend, but the BONUS that is high (3%)

like mentioned previously, BONUS = fake percentage
hyelbaine
post Oct 10 2013, 05:18 PM

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QUOTE(davinz18 @ Oct 10 2013, 05:14 PM)
Some of the year the total dividend is 14%  shocking.gif

Very2 lucky those holding big amount those time  nod.gif
*
Hahahaha... I knew it tongue.gif Before someone starts screaming "where's the 1Malaysia spirit" bla bla bla crap, it's good to note that the savings rate has gone considerably down since those double-digit dividend hey-days. In an environment of high savings rate and high coupon rates, it's very easy to give high dividends when even FD would give you very good returns wink.gif
lucifah
post Oct 10 2013, 05:20 PM

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QUOTE(hyelbaine @ Oct 10 2013, 05:15 PM)
You're correct but I never bothered with the BLR-x.xx% portion of the equation because not everybody is guaranteed to get that rate. It would depend on the applicant's existing commitments, exposure and credit history/profile.

It's the same logic I apply in terms of ASB bonuses too. Not everyone gets the absolute value and the same applies to the discount rate one may get from the base lending rate wink.gif
*
yup. you're right about the variables. they can change anytime, and is not absolute nor fixed.

can you teach me how you get the effective rate based on the dividend, bonus and BLR, as per your table? smile.gif
davinz18
post Oct 10 2013, 05:49 PM

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QUOTE(lucifah @ Oct 10 2013, 05:16 PM)
during that time, BLR is 11%...

and no, u got it wrong. it's NOT the dividend, but the BONUS that is high (3%)

like mentioned previously, BONUS = fake percentage
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I was mentioning year 1990 & 1994. The BLR those year are 7 & 8.25 respectively.
Anyway Yes, Bonus keep reducing from those "good" years nod.gif

Excluding Bonus, Year 1996 & 1997 is the BEST nod.gif
davinz18
post Oct 10 2013, 05:54 PM

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QUOTE(hyelbaine @ Oct 10 2013, 05:18 PM)
Hahahaha... I knew it tongue.gif Before someone starts screaming "where's the 1Malaysia spirit" bla bla bla crap, it's good to note that the savings rate has gone considerably down since those double-digit dividend hey-days. In an environment of high savings rate and high coupon rates, it's very easy to give high dividends when even FD would give you very good returns wink.gif
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I just telling those holding that time are very lucky. If I remember correctly, those days FD gave 10% p.a shakehead.gif . Less people invested in ASx. ASW2020 when launch in 1996 have very few takers among Non-bumi. Now if launch any Fixed Price fund, confirm sold-out if no quota nod.gif
wil-i-am
post Oct 10 2013, 06:02 PM

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Noted PNB consistently paying Bonus to ASB holders since year 1990
Is there any obligation for PNB to do so?
davinz18
post Oct 10 2013, 06:07 PM

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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Oct 10 2013, 06:02 PM)
Noted PNB consistently paying Bonus to ASB holders since year 1990
Is there any obligation for PNB to do so?
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Helping the "needy" one biggrin.gif

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