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 Car Resale Values, Fact or Myth?

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sevendogz
post Mar 8 2013, 10:29 AM

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I agreed with the calculation, from my experience:
CRV cost around 150k at 2009, now around 100k or lower
Sportage around 100k at 2009, now around 50k or lower

CRV lose value by around 33 percent,
Sportage lose by around 50 percent

but both lose 50k, but the interest bites you more for CRV

edison1437
post Mar 8 2013, 10:31 AM

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QUOTE(FlyWheel @ Mar 8 2013, 10:26 AM)
407 is D segment then 508 is E segment lar !  tongue.gif
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http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peugeot_407
some how they put 508 fall in both categories hmm.gif
s@ni
post Mar 8 2013, 10:31 AM

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QUOTE(FlyWheel @ Mar 8 2013, 10:26 AM)
I'm a bit bias to woengx2 statement that if buying the car by cash the calculation is going to be different. For me, personally I'm choose to buy car by cash as well if my cashflow is not so tight.  tongue.gif
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i would rather buy house in cash... car loan interest is very low... cry.gif

however if i collect money now, the house price will increase each year oso... f*** cry.gif
gheyfriend
post Mar 8 2013, 10:32 AM

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y when ppl question the statement and u end up calling ppl calculate then? y cant u accept something even when u know it's wrong? some ppl just don have the knowledge like u to come out with those graph...

back to the topic, it's just a myth...i choose camry even if it's more expensive....coz chinamen mentality mar.....


QUOTE(cybermaster98 @ Mar 8 2013, 10:20 AM)
Isnt the 407 a D segment? Well, why dont u provide the calculations then?
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EnergyAnalyst
post Mar 8 2013, 10:32 AM

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QUOTE(FlyWheel @ Mar 8 2013, 10:26 AM)
407 is D segment then 508 is E segment lar !  tongue.gif
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Hello People, 407 is older/former version D segment from Peugeot . 508 is the new & current D segment from Peugeot.

read all about it

http://www.livelifedrive.com/malaysia/news...hed-in-malaysia

This post has been edited by EnergyAnalyst: Mar 8 2013, 10:34 AM
edison1437
post Mar 8 2013, 10:33 AM

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QUOTE(gheyfriend @ Mar 8 2013, 10:32 AM)
y when ppl question the statement and u end up calling ppl calculate then? y cant u accept something even when u know it's wrong? some ppl just don have the knowledge like u to come out with those graph...

back to the topic, it's just a myth...i choose camry even if it's more expensive....coz chinamen mentality mar.....
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u still live in stone age is it?? rclxub.gif rclxub.gif
nowadays people will go for safety and also money worth brows.gif
s@ni
post Mar 8 2013, 10:34 AM

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QUOTE(edison1437 @ Mar 8 2013, 10:05 AM)

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in this case, preve win lor... laugh.gif eventhough the resale value is lot lower, but the price already low at the first place tongue.gif

edison1437
post Mar 8 2013, 10:47 AM

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QUOTE(s@ni @ Mar 8 2013, 10:34 AM)
in this case, preve win lor... laugh.gif eventhough the resale value is lot lower, but the price already low  at the first place tongue.gif
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there is also another comparison even more hard card with inspira 2.0 brows.gif brows.gif
azfamy
post Mar 8 2013, 11:00 AM

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By the way, I think the original post/calculation was made by me, in a Mazda6 thread. I was just trying make a simple illustration on how poor resale vale can be offset by lower purchase price, from a financial point of view. There were a few assumptions though e.g. comparison should be cars of the same segment (in the example, both are d-segments), should be of same age, no change in new price (e.g. change in tax structure, etc.) bla bla... I was doing it out of boredom as I like playing with numbers.
kadajawi
post Mar 8 2013, 11:02 AM

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The REAL 407 was a D segment car, but IIRC the one sold here was a 307 (C segment) with boot.
azfamy
post Mar 8 2013, 11:17 AM

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@kadajawi: They are so many other domains that I did not factor in, like whether a car is true of its segment, rebate offers, free service offers, car reliability, spare parts costs, intangible costs (e.g. comfort, convenience, satisfaction, etc.)
monocle
post Mar 8 2013, 11:29 AM

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Not to mention tire maintenance. . Some with up to 18 inch rims..
zenix
post Mar 8 2013, 11:39 AM

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QUOTE(cybermaster98 @ Mar 8 2013, 09:27 AM)
On a pure math equation it looks pretty nice however the big assumptions:
1. from the calculation is that the depreciation is only 49% within 5 years
2. maintenance cost is equal
3. total hours wasted in service center is zero

Whats the reason behind it?

1. Resale value is market force driven thus it is a benefit/factor from each individual buyer in the market that creates this value.

Why is a Vios J when new cost about RM70k and after 5 years its resale value is about RM50-65k, where else a better spec Ford Fiesta when new cost about RM90k and after 5 years its resale value is about RM55-70k which is quite near the Vios. Vios normally fetches a higher resale value because the man on the street gives Toyota cars a reputation for being frugal on fuel, maintenance is cheap, parts new/old/recon widely available, service network is huge plus also any workshop can also work with their cars so for a less hassle car they willing to pay the premium even for a used car. Where else the Fiesta although a better car the after sales support Malaysia is weaker compared to Toyota, also because there isn't significant numbers on the road not many stockist would have parts for it especially uncommon ones thus for those rare few that keep stock they want to make money from it because there isn't economics of scale, or getting from SC which is confirmed new and original but at a higher price.

You'll also notice the popular trading price for cars is around 45-75k, this I guess is considered an affordable price range for Malaysians and the used car wouldn't be too old at this point - around 3-5 years depending on brand. So the average Joe can finally buy an imported car after it being used 3-5 years at the price of lets say RM60k, deposit RM10k, 3.5% interest rate for 7 years it is at a manageable RM750 per month.


2. Continental cars service frequency is different from Asian cars, so that 10,000kms before service requires better quality parts and lubricants. That equates to higher cost already for the parts and lubricants. Of course a benefit would be less frequent visits to service centers which is also good since they are few and far apart.



Although from my experience resale value is only an issue if you're planning to change car every 5-7 years.
Once the car is above 9 years old most cars of the same segment would depreciate to similar levels unless that particular model is popular then it would retain its value for a long time.
Case in point the Honda Civic EG and EK they hold their value well for a very long time, they would probably become too old physically and technologically once Honda comes out with their next generation of Vtec engines, the current is the i-Vtec as opposed to the Vtec in the Honda's of the 90's.
zweimmk
post Mar 8 2013, 11:39 AM

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QUOTE(EnergyAnalyst @ Mar 8 2013, 10:19 AM)
using your argument,

407 's higher total lost of $9,454 can actually be smaller due to 9.5k  5 years later is actually not worth the 9.5k of TODAY, in real calculation, it 'll be may be 9k only or even lesser depends on inflation rate

407 has LOWER start-up cost
$15,499 (camry) - $13,688 (407) = $1,811
since this is calculated in present day value, so this part is ok

407 has HIGHER monthly positive cash flow through lower installments
$2,673 (camry) - $2,361 (407) x 60 months = $ 18,720


again this need to factor in the yearly cost of fund, so the value of 18.7 k could be higher slightly and may well be over RM20k (of Today cash )

So conclusion is taking Pug 407 is better since

20+1.8 -9 = 12.8k

Money wise it looks right (as long as the maintenance cost is the same, but if they are not and IF Pug costing more than Toyota tallo maintain and repair, than the difference will be smaller, nevetheless 12.8k is a very good buffer.

Overall, nice piece of work there thumbup.gif
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Eh, no need to look at the issue with so much complexity by talking about inflation. Truth is, if you actually throw in cost of maintenance, the P407 will probably suffer another additional 1.5k conservatively in losses. We've already proven that Japanese cars tend to be cheaper to maintain compared to the continental equivalents as long as the service interval is set at every 10,000km.

But it still is an easier car to buy because the initial cost of purchase is lower.
zenix
post Mar 8 2013, 11:45 AM

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IMHO if you need to calculate so much then you're not ready for it, just buy a cheap used car or new local car and be contented.
TScybermaster98
post Mar 8 2013, 11:54 AM

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QUOTE(gheyfriend @ Mar 8 2013, 10:32 AM)
y when ppl question the statement and u end up calling ppl calculate then? y cant u accept something even when u know it's wrong? some ppl just don have the knowledge like u to come out with those graph...

back to the topic, it's just a myth...i choose camry even if it's more expensive....coz chinamen mentality mar.....
Ru born stupid or just acting? I asked him to provide the calculations not because i dont believe but because i dont have the figures myself la. So if he has it then he's most welcome to share and enlighten us. Maybe there really is a difference. U think im gonna go do research for every damn car price ah? Anyway, that calculation was provided by another forumer (which ive clearly mentioned). Im sharing this with everybody to encourage a mature discussion. If u dont think u can offer mature comments then kindly stay out of this thread. And what is that i know which is wrong? I dont see anything wrong in that calculation.

Next time dont just make blind wild accusations. If ure not sure, then by all means ASK!

This post has been edited by cybermaster98: Mar 8 2013, 12:04 PM
zweimmk
post Mar 8 2013, 11:59 AM

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QUOTE(azfamy @ Mar 8 2013, 11:00 AM)
By the way, I think the original post/calculation was made by me, in a Mazda6 thread. I was just trying make a simple illustration on how poor resale vale can be offset by lower purchase price, from a financial point of view. There were a few assumptions though e.g. comparison should be cars of the same segment (in the example, both are d-segments), should be of same age, no change in new price (e.g. change in tax structure, etc.) bla bla... I was doing it out of boredom as I like playing with numbers.
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Yes it is. We talked about this in the M6 thread.

Actually I'm rather interested in knowing how much resale value the 308THP/VTI can fetch. Any former owners can share how much they managed to sell the car for?

I bought my Corolla Altis 1.8G in 2008 for RM116,900 (OTR). I sold the car last year for RM81,000

On Mudah, the listing price for the 2009 Altis is around 76k on average. So 2nd hand dealers will probably give you around 72k give or take a few.

A full spec P308THP model 2009 is selling on mudah for RM64,000 on average. The 2010 model is only doing around 72k on average. So if you take off 5k on average when dealing with 2nd hand dealers, that number drops to about 62k ~ 67k.

Why is the difference so big? Back when it first launched in 2008, the 308 was one of the best equipped cars in the market. Is there any reason why the gap is so big?




monocle
post Mar 8 2013, 12:00 PM

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Ladies and gentlemen. .. start your engines and ready for popcorn
TScybermaster98
post Mar 8 2013, 12:02 PM

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QUOTE(azfamy @ Mar 8 2013, 11:00 AM)
By the way, I think the original post/calculation was made by me, in a Mazda6 thread. I was just trying make a simple illustration on how poor resale vale can be offset by lower purchase price, from a financial point of view. There were a few assumptions though e.g. comparison should be cars of the same segment (in the example, both are d-segments), should be of same age, no change in new price (e.g. change in tax structure, etc.) bla bla... I was doing it out of boredom as I like playing with numbers.
Yes i didnt remember who said it first. But i thought it was a good sharing and calculation. Thats why i thought id share it for everyone to take note especially those who keep harping on resale value.
edison1437
post Mar 8 2013, 12:13 PM

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QUOTE(azfamy @ Jan 19 2013, 01:39 PM)
Excellent. rclxms.gif
Please allow me to illustrate, based on your figure examples and using some crude calculations.

Peugeot 407 Premium 2.0L
Purchase price (2008) = $136888
Downpayment = $13688 (10%)
Interest rate = 3%
Tenure = 60 months (5 years)
Monthly loan payment = $2361
Total loan paid  = $2361 x 60 = $141679
Total paid for car = $141679 (loan) + $13688 (dp)= $155367
Resell car 2013 (after 5 years) for $74k (45% loss)
Total loss (after 5 years) = $74000 (what you get) - $155367 (what you paid for) = -$81367

Toyota Camry 2.0L
Purchase price (2008) = $154990
Downpayment = $15499
Interest rate = 3%
Tenure = 60 months (5 years)
Monthly payment = $2673
Total loan paid = $2673 x 60 = $160414
Total paid for car = $160414 + $15499 = $175913
Resell car 2013 (after 5 years) for $94k (39% loss)
Total loss (after 5 years) = $94000 (what you get) - $175913 (what you paid for) = -$76408

For simplicity, let's assume service/maintainance costs, FC, intangible costs are equal or negligible.
Thus, after 5 years, 407 vs, camry:

407 have HIGHER total lost (bad)
$76408 (camry) -  $81367 (407) = -$4959 difference

407 have LOWER start-up cost (good)
$15499 (camry) - $13688 (407) = $1811 difference

407 have HIGHER monthly cash flow (good)
$2673 (camry) - $2361 (407) =  $312 difference

So i guess we can safely say 407 trades-off (poorer) total loss for better cash flow & lower start-up cost.
Or to put in perspective, buying cars with lower resale value can be justified by lower purchase price.
Whether the amount is significant or not will depend on individuals needs and actual purchase price & resale value.
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QUOTE(cybermaster98 @ Mar 8 2013, 09:21 AM)
This calculation was shared by a LYN forumer some time back which ive tweaked to suit.

Very often, we always focus on the resale value of a particular model while ignoring the start up costs and monthly loan repayment costs. This tabulation will show you why cars with lower resale value may actually be a cheaper. This is of course assuming maintenance costs are similar.

Peugeot 407 Premium 2.0L

Purchase price (2008) = $136,888
Downpayment = $13,688 (10%)
Interest rate = 3%
Tenure = 60 months (5 years)
Monthly loan payment = $2,361
Total loan paid = $2361 x 60 = $141679
Total paid for car = $141679 (loan) + $13688 (dp)= $155,367
Resell car 2013 (after 5 years) for $70k (49% loss)
Total loss (after 5 years) = $155,367 (what you paid for) - $70,000 (what you get) = $85,367
Toyota Camry 2.0L

Purchase price (2008) = $154,990
Downpayment = $15,499
Interest rate = 3%
Tenure = 60 months (5 years)
Monthly payment = $2,673
Total loan paid = $2,673 x 60 = $160,414
Total paid for car = $160,414 + $15,499 = $175,913
Resell car 2013 (after 5 years) for $100k (35% loss)
Total loss (after 5 years) = $175913 (what you paid for) - $100,000 (what you get) = $75,913

For simplicity, let's assume service/maintenance costs are equal. Thus, after 5 years, a Peugeot 407 vs Toyota Camry:

407 has HIGHER total loss
$85,367 (407) - $75,913 (Camry) = $9,454

407 has LOWER start-up cost
$15,499 (camry) - $13,688 (407) = $1,811

407 has HIGHER monthly positive cash flow through lower installments
$2,673 (camry) - $2,361 (407) x 60 months = $ 18,720
SUMMARY

This clearly shows that although the Peugeot 407 has RM 9,454 lower trade in value after 5 years but it gains a total of RM 20,531 from lower start up costs and lower monthly loan installments.

Thus, buying cars with lower resale value isnt actually a poor financial decision. So i think with this, we should not allow resale values to govern our choice of vehicles. Safety, value for money, specifications and maintenance costs should take precedence.

What do you think?
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not remembering who mentioned but you able to come out such similar quotes notworthy.gif notworthy.gif

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