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 EPF DIVIDEND, EPF

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Wedchar2912
post Jan 28 2023, 05:30 PM

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QUOTE(touristking @ Jan 28 2023, 05:17 PM)
When talking of taxation system, GST favors the poor and disadvantage the rich.
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Yes and no.

On the surface, it appears to help with tax collection and the rich will contribute more to the taxes as the rich naturally tends to spend more.

But gst taxes spending and by virtue that the poor don't have enough to spend, it means the poor spends all their income. So all the income after tax get taxed one more round.

Ie not all the rich's after tax income will kena gst but the poor's sure all kena.
Wedchar2912
post Jan 29 2023, 12:03 PM

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QUOTE(CommodoreAmiga @ Jan 29 2023, 07:43 AM)
Can trust Utushit....Female pigs can climb trees.

See this professor right or CommodoreAmiga is right. I say 5.3% max. If I am right, I will take his title as "Purfesser".
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of cos cannot trust Utusan....

but hei... we need to wonder why the sudden bullishness? is it to force PH's hand to give say 6.8% div? could it be a trick to allow UMNO to claim if they are in charge, it will not be 5.x%....

if it did become 6.8% pa or more, I sure will vote the current gov again into power if election is held this year (super early election)... and buy utusan newspaper for 1 month....

tongue.gif tongue.gif
Wedchar2912
post Jan 29 2023, 02:37 PM

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QUOTE(Human Nature @ Jan 29 2023, 12:15 PM)
Maybe to entice more people to self contribute? I recall the CEO calling for more contribution. And also to show those who withdraw, what they lost. Shrug, I for once hope Utusan prediction is correct.
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There is a sure fire way to get more funds into EPF... but many won't like what I am suggesting.

implement tiering, but pay more div % to those with more balances in EPF. I can guarantee you, money will flood in.

say those with balance between 500 to 1 million, get extra 1%
those 1 million to 5 million, get extra 2%

btw, this is one reason why banks offer higher rates for larger FD sizes. and not for small FD size.

edit:
I forgot to add that this is a lot more logical than the tiering to reward smaller balances.
Simply because the ones with low balances already shouting like mad they want to withdraw their funds... Anyone think these group can throw in extra say 100K rm inside???

This post has been edited by Wedchar2912: Jan 29 2023, 02:56 PM
Wedchar2912
post Jan 29 2023, 04:29 PM

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QUOTE(magika @ Jan 29 2023, 03:52 PM)
So whats next ... create another class of citizens, haves and haves not ? In cases like this we must remember the saying ... there but for the grace of the almighty goes I.
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EPF did not create any class of any citizens.... EPF is just a tool...

if say we follow the US system where contribution into any retirement funds is optional, we won't be having this discussion at all...

majority of those with low balances in EPF did not have low balances because of dividend yield.
Wedchar2912
post Jan 29 2023, 04:33 PM

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QUOTE(Unkerpanjang @ Jan 29 2023, 03:48 PM)
Such a thought provoking subject on a Sunday afternoon. High respects to forum Seniors. Unker smallhat thinking :

1. If kwsp allows a 1 time unlimited deposit. Unker will exit ASNB,  SSPN, Bursa, FD & dump into KWSP.
    KWSP becomes my Private Banking.

2. Unker cannot fathom the unintended consequences to market liquidity and monetary policy.
    KWSP will cannibalize Bank FD, Bursa n ASNB VP n ASM2,3.

3. Further widen wealth gap.
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well, my proposal is just in response to the concern that EPF as an entity is running out of funds... Not in response to solving poverty (if it is even true majority of the 6.6 million members are poor) or why 6.6 million members have low balances.

Wah... uncle, you have so many different cash or near cash assets... I basically have only 10K rm in my savings account and rest in EPF. No FD at all. But when FD rates become like 6%, then my reallocation out will start.
Wedchar2912
post Jan 29 2023, 06:21 PM

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QUOTE(Unkerpanjang @ Jan 29 2023, 05:13 PM)
Bro Wedchar,

You provided a very compelling proposal to alleviate impasse, as the status quo negatively impacting dividend performance.

KWSP is claiming insufficient funds (due to withdrawals) and yet limiting the annual self top ups. (They cannot have it both ways.)

Lets hope DSAI got an influx of bright guys/gals in the MOF.
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unfortunately, in Malaysia's context and due to our population's behavior, no politician will dare to propose this. Our people is just too used to sedekah, until basically election bribes can also be spinned as sedekah.

Also, by allowing this, EPF really will be abused by those who are truly rich, and that defeats the purpose of this establishment.
Wedchar2912
post Jan 29 2023, 06:29 PM

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QUOTE(gooroojee @ Jan 29 2023, 05:29 PM)
I think when listening to what Nurhisham said verbatim, what I am hearing is that the withdrawals resulted in a missed opportunity but it did not affect EPF's performance, which was more affected by market developments.
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well... sometimes it is hard to read the real story from a politically corrected statement from EPF.

but what I know is that based on the 2021 annual report, for the year 2021,
contribution in was 73 billion rm (+)
"normal" withdrawals 45 billion rm (-)
special withdrawals 86 billion rm (-)

so, net net is 58 billion outflow. Around 6% of its asset. Not that bad....

if the question is whether that affects anything... ask oneself this. If one's networth is 10 million ringgit, suddenly one is forced by one's spouse to take out 600K rm to spend, does it hurt? Don't know... but does it kill you? of course not.
(this is my lame attempt to make it more relatable to us at a human level... If we start talking about trillions, also pening kepala).


Wedchar2912
post Jan 30 2023, 01:40 PM

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QUOTE(McMatt @ Jan 30 2023, 12:44 PM)
I believe historical data will show EPF dividends has always been higher than FDs. It rises and falls in tandem to EPF, for as long as I can recall without checking. When interest was at 7.x%, EPF div was at 8.x%. I'm guessing your funds are in other form of investments which can be liquidated quickly to provide need cash, when necessary, hence 10k in savings is sufficient as it is.

Logically, no abuse in my opinion. Say a B40 has RM50k in KWSP. A M40 or T20 has RM500k in KWSP. If EPF dividends pays 5%, each gets a fair share of their investment worth, RM2,500 and RM25,000 respectively. In fact, if the M40 or T20 voluntarily deposit a further RM500k, technically, it provides EPF more money to diversify their investment. If the returns improve in subsequent years with higher dividends, the B40 will benefit in terms of % returns, even though he/she has the same amount with no additional deposits. The pie is shared proportionately as there isn't a tiered dividend payout ratio, which I agree should not be discriminatorily implemented, to punish those who are prudent with their lives.
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In historical past, prior to EPF being allowed to invest overseas, the bulk of EPF's holdings is in MGS. So it makes sense that FD rates and EPF's div rate move in tandem... highly correlated.
So, knowing this behavior, and 1 more fact that EPF has a minimum 2.5% guarantee, there is no reason for me to keep FDs around.

Only problem left is cashflow problem... dividends from my Malaysia equities do not come in smoothly... ie lumpy. so I needed the 10K to smooth out my need to withdraw from EPF for monthly expenditures. (so far, I did this 2 times last year I think)
I contemplated to have like 30K rm in savings, as that will be enough buffer. But why leave 20K x 5%pa = 1K rm on the table for banks to earn rite? I give that to hospice instead... smile.gif

edit: There could be a more productive way to manage one's liquid cash, but all things considered, keeping inside EPF for me is the most efficient, safest with minimum effort. As I get older, safety and min effort are high priorities.

This post has been edited by Wedchar2912: Jan 30 2023, 01:54 PM
Wedchar2912
post Jan 30 2023, 01:44 PM

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QUOTE(beLIEve @ Jan 30 2023, 08:49 AM)
This will make the govt of the day to lose votes in the next election. Will never be considered.

What the grassroots who withdrew their EPF want is govt to replenish the withdrawn amount.
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That's why I think if PMX follow's Zahid's proposal of implementing UBI of min 2208rm, he will definitely be PMX for a while...

Gov of Malaysia definitely can afford this... it is by household some more... remove petrol subsidies & then tax petrol somemore, implement GST and increase income tax across the board...
(if PN gov can simply make between 100 billion to 600 billion disappear, I am sure gov can afford UBI)

This post has been edited by Wedchar2912: Jan 30 2023, 02:31 PM
Wedchar2912
post Jan 31 2023, 11:51 AM

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QUOTE(Cubalagi @ Jan 31 2023, 10:00 AM)
U have data to back what u say?
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EPF has paid out more than it earned before... unfortunately I cannot recall which year...

i did the exercise (a while back before covid even ... the office was so boring that I entertained myself with silly work) just to find it out, but had to go through the annual reports of each year.
There were also articles previous from EPF that literally said they smooth out the payoff to pay for a rainy day.

This post has been edited by Wedchar2912: Jan 31 2023, 12:01 PM
Wedchar2912
post Jan 31 2023, 12:05 PM

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QUOTE(jasontoh @ Jan 31 2023, 08:36 AM)
Btw, what is UBI?
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generic concept as a basic human rights that every human being should have a min income regardless of anything. stands for Universal Basic Income.

there are many times... the one Zahid mentioned was the top up version if the household earns less than 2208 (to make it until 2208).
But I think we can do the every household gets 2208 regardless, and then to be fair, the income tax bracket has to be increased drastically so that the M40 should be paying on average net zero diff, while the T20 should be paying more.

something like that....
Wedchar2912
post Jan 31 2023, 12:09 PM

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QUOTE(prophetjul @ Jan 31 2023, 09:20 AM)
Those who think EPF's performance is proportional to the dividend better RETHINK.
It has never been like that.
New government will want to invoke a feel good start for the rakyat.
What better way?
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Maybe this year we can really see them tap into the reserves.... if any indication, it has been rainy days the past week... tongue.gif
Wedchar2912
post Jan 31 2023, 12:41 PM

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QUOTE(Cubalagi @ Jan 31 2023, 12:27 PM)
Its quite confirmed that they normally pay less than they earn. If we can identify when they actually pay more than that would be an interesting data point.

Just calculating based on info shared 2019-2021 (3 years)where Malaysia had 2 govts PH and PN.

Year      Profits (RM)  Div Payout (RM) Payout ratio %

2019  50.3              45.82        91
2020    61                  47.64      78.1
2021    67.05            56.7        84.6
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Oooo... they kept 28 billion of reserve just from these 3 years? oooo....

now my hope is going up... PMX will be stupid not to give 7% div now. hmm.gif brows.gif

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(too early to day-dream? haha)
Wedchar2912
post Jan 31 2023, 01:41 PM

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QUOTE(prophetjul @ Jan 31 2023, 12:51 PM)
i hope they do not make 10% !    icon_question.gif  sweat.gif  Unkerpanjang
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just because to preserve your dignity, 9.48% lar....

you happy, I happy...

chinese happy cos got 9 and 8, and malay happy cos got 4...

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Wedchar2912
post Jan 31 2023, 02:10 PM

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QUOTE(Unkerpanjang @ Jan 31 2023, 01:55 PM)
Since schooling days, Unker not the brightest....but always attention seeker.

Unker say 4.89%, can?
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unker can be politician lor... you got all the right numbers, just wrong priorities in arrangement of said numbers...

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Wedchar2912
post Jan 31 2023, 04:26 PM

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QUOTE(xander2k8 @ Jan 31 2023, 04:22 PM)
28billion is to cover expenses and dry powder to buy when the markets dropped 🤦‍♀️
Won’t be so soon as all eyes on budget 1st then only 🤦‍♀️
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28 billion to cover expenses???? shocking.gif

div declared are all just accounting.... the powder, dry or wet, is still with EPF. only when the funds are withdrawn by members does it count.
Wedchar2912
post Jan 31 2023, 07:15 PM

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QUOTE(Unkerpanjang @ Jan 31 2023, 05:41 PM)
Hello Bro Wedchar n Xander.

Excuse me for asking, both of you got register for klcc running wor?

Bro Prophetjul now panic already, 0.02% to target....more people participate, share body warmth.

Bottom line, we happy together lah...great learning for me, thanks to our well-read forumers. Whether 5%, 6%, 8,,,%, well supported thoughts n explanation.
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haha... why would I want to pollute the scenic area of KLCC with the view of my voluptuous natural body (all natural fat... may not be organic)?

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Wedchar2912
post Feb 1 2023, 07:19 PM

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QUOTE(Ankle @ Feb 1 2023, 07:09 PM)
How much further will political sentiment elevate this figure ??
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The earliest ever announcement date of recent history was back in 2007, on 5th Feb 2007 for 2006 div.
2017 div was announced on 10 Feb 2018 and that rate was 6.90% by BN....

So who knows... we may know the answer as early as next week....

Lets see if utusan's 6.X% claim comes true or not... tongue.gif
Wedchar2912
post Feb 1 2023, 07:22 PM

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QUOTE(CommodoreAmiga @ Feb 1 2023, 07:18 PM)
5% - PM until next year
5.5% - PM another 2 years
6% - PM full term
7% - PM full term + I luv PM figurines
8% - Best PM
10% and more - PM Emperor Forever, Man Man Sui, Hail Anwar

< 4.5% - PM best price and sell
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but but if give 10%, I sure withdraw 5% out and spend a small portion to stay at the most expensive hotel room facing klcc...
to witness the race... :-P
the 5% go throw into crypto for one round of big small....
Wedchar2912
post Feb 3 2023, 06:01 PM

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QUOTE(MGM @ Feb 3 2023, 05:13 PM)
EPF announced 6.9% dividend for conventional savings, 6.4% for shariah savings on 9-2-2018.
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that's why I was hoping for earlier announce this time around also...

that was the final farewell gift by PM VI.... which I will forever be grateful cos that was one juicy passive income...
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