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 EPF DIVIDEND, EPF

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plumberly
post Oct 25 2020, 08:17 PM

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Dont like giving an unclear, half story here. So tried to simulate as close as possible to the proposed 2 tier scheme. I used RM500k as the 2 tier cut-off, instead of RM600k as I do not have that data.

Attached Image

The impact on the >RM500k holders in EPF can be quite painful, losing RM43k for every RM1 million if <RM500k group's dividend is increased by 1% above the current 1 tier method.

P/S In doing this calculation, I think the average >RM1000000 group has RM1.5 million. If yours is more than RM1.5 million, then you are better than the average in this group!
plumberly
post Oct 26 2020, 09:06 AM

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QUOTE(backspace66 @ Oct 25 2020, 08:52 PM)
Yes, exactly. Hopefully it can be targeted where it matter the most with negligible effect on other contrbuter. I have the following info on total contributor that fall within a certain amount of saving and the total value but no info on how many is actually making minimum wage.
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Thanks. Got similar data earlier.
plumberly
post Oct 27 2020, 02:27 PM

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QUOTE(backspace66 @ Oct 26 2020, 09:18 AM)
My rough calculation using data from end of 2018, the additional value on top of 600k consitute around 8-9 % of the total saving. This is after deducting the value of 600k for each individual that exceed this amount.

So roughly for every 1% less dividend on amount greater than 600k , will lead to a meagre gain of just 0.1% of those with value less than 600k. Sorry i am not sure how they are going to make this worthwhile.
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On my first look at this, I was against the 2 tier. My RM1 is the same as anyone's else RM1. People work and save hard for retirement and now face unfair discrimination.

On the second look, maybe if the 2 tier is split as <RM200k and >RM200k, helping the <RM200k with a bigger base in >RM200k, then I will not mind as much.

But then again, is EPF a charity body in the first place? Its core mission is ???

I question whether it can legally do this 2 tier thing.

Cheerio.
plumberly
post Nov 21 2020, 09:52 AM

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QUOTE(zacknistelrooy @ Nov 20 2020, 11:10 PM)

If there is one thing that one should have complaints about and looked at is the ROI of EPF investment assets which has been going down in the past 5 years and their questionable purchases by the fund managers selected by them.
Are we going to forget the fund mangers selling the glove stocks at the start of the year towards the end of April and only in the past 2 to 3 months repurchasing them back.

What about their non involvement in UWC, MI and Supermax?
One may argue those aren't going to be substantial enough which is fair and then lets take a look EPF's Top 3 Equity Holdings which are MBSB, RHB and MRCB.

Have a look at their performance over the past 6 years even before Covid.
If it wasn't for their foreign investment holdings then the slack in some of these investment would have trickled down to the dividend and ultimately future expected returns.

I haven't even went down the road of Sapura Energy and in the end of the day all these investment mishaps add up and the those in the future will have to face the consequences of it.
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I share your view, frustration and disappointment. Looking through the Stock Performance Guide some years back (Dynaquest has stopped publishing the hard copy), saw a few companies with EPF as the big holder. Wondered why while the companies were not doing well. Eg Shell Refinery etc. I am no share expert and yet I would not have bought them with a 10 km pole.

Feel that EPF has other added/hidden missions besides helping holders with their retirement funds. Eg political influence to paint a nicer economy front by buying into some of the major but poor performing companies. Yes, they might perform better later and that was their strategy?

Asked that before, some friends said that was because EPF has many fund managers (local and overseas) and they buy and sell independently. They cannot discuss and align their strategy to avoid share manipulation (forgot the right word here). Why not? Say I am a billionaire and I have 10 fund managers, surely I have a say to avoid fund manager A selling while fund manager B buying the SAME shares on the SAME day. A waste of money for the fees etc. etc. And not just once but saw a few occurrences in some companies.

Wake up, stand up and shake up the performance!!! But I guess that is only wishful thinking on my side.





plumberly
post Nov 22 2020, 10:00 AM

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QUOTE(zacknistelrooy @ Nov 22 2020, 12:12 AM)

There isn't even one pure Tech company in their top 30 equity holdings except for Globetronics and even then that is a semiconductor company.

*** What about MyEG? I have not checked that one. Lots of stainless steel chains to use during Ahjib & Z period. Surprised that it is still going strong despite the govt change. Impractical to change due to the software and hardware constraint?

They always seem more interested in buying dividend counters which some are solid but some even when they return 5% in div yet go down 20% in some years are quite questionable.
The best part of all of this is their annual report for last year hasn't been released since it requires parliament approval.

*** Really, the latest EPF annual report not yet approved? Wonder why? What are they trying to cover with sand? Maybe something related to 1mdb?
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plumberly
post Nov 24 2020, 10:03 AM

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QUOTE(zacknistelrooy @ Nov 23 2020, 11:41 PM)
Thanks.

Dont know whether to be happy or sad to see this list! So dominant in Msian shares. OK if it has no political hands in there.
plumberly
post Feb 5 2021, 02:08 PM

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My guesses on the timing of EPF dividend's announcement,

* before CNY = good news (add some more joy to the celebration)
* after CNY = bad news (better dont spoil the festive season with bad news)

Ha.

plumberly
post Feb 16 2021, 06:33 PM

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Most likely it will be announced this Sat!

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plumberly
post Feb 22 2021, 10:04 AM

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QUOTE(jorgsacul @ Feb 22 2021, 09:29 AM)
Delay announcement ... ada audit issue ke?
Takut macam tabung haji now
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Feeling worried too. I am quick to add 1 and 1 together to get 11.

As it is late and after CNY, sensing that it might be lower than expected (expecting at least 5%) AND also the implementation of the tiered dividend.

Waiting for the new top guy before the announcement?
plumberly
post Feb 25 2021, 08:37 AM

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QUOTE(xander83 @ Feb 24 2021, 09:15 PM)
Sure waiting until 1st week of March to cover up the bad returns with some good news overshadowing it  rclxms.gif
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My guess is this Sat and using the weekend to update the balances.

I may be 100% wrong here, expect bad news on the % and/or change to tiered rates, top guy doesnt agree, waiting for new guy who agrees before rolling this out? If I were in his shoes, I might do the same, fight or leave on disagreement on core objectives.

Nonetheless, hoping for some good news. javascript:emoticon(':hyper:')
plumberly
post Feb 25 2021, 08:50 AM

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QUOTE(prophetjul @ Feb 25 2021, 08:43 AM)
can we as shareholders sue EPF for taking out a unilateral decision on a tiered rate award?
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That is what I plan to do if they implemented the tiered rates (if less than 0.3%, I am ok), write to the CEO and question the legality of that change. Hope many friends here will also do the same.
plumberly
post Feb 25 2021, 09:04 AM

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QUOTE(GrumpyNooby @ Feb 25 2021, 08:52 AM)
Everything is protected by and provisioned in the EPF Act 1991

If going to implement tiered dividend rate payout, do they need to amend the act?
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No idea whether the present act allows that or not. Just ask the CEO on the legality (let him do the work) and if that is allowed in the present act, the fallback will be via MP to change that act.



plumberly
post Feb 25 2021, 11:28 AM

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QUOTE(plc255 @ Feb 25 2021, 11:22 AM)


user posted image

source : https://ourworldindata.org/cheap-renewables-growth
But I am not defending EPF decision to hire a non-finance guy, non fund management veteran to helm the post of ceo.

However, if I may say so, it look like there is no choice.

using a /k term, is EPF answering only to CCP dictator?
Useful trend to know, interested in the energy industry. Thanks.
plumberly
post Feb 26 2021, 08:44 AM

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QUOTE(Human Nature @ Feb 25 2021, 05:45 PM)
Chap Goh Mei cheer  cheers.gif
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Happy Chap Goh Mei to you too.

If that is related to the EPF % announcement tomorrow, my cynical inclination is that political and corporations tend to delay announcing bad news, if good news, much much faster than Pos Laju!

Fear that this delay bad news announcement becoming a reality tomorrow, i.e., AFTER CNY. Well, at least they are mindful of the festive season.

Yes, cynical me. Ha.
plumberly
post Feb 27 2021, 10:26 AM

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Any reporter at EPF HQ now for the announcement? Ha.

plumberly
post Feb 27 2021, 11:50 AM

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5.2% check your ac

plumberly
post Feb 27 2021, 01:16 PM

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Did a check and got a -0.01% difference, my calculated vs EPF given dividend. Acceptable error.


plumberly
post Feb 27 2021, 03:26 PM

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QUOTE(TheEquatorian @ Feb 27 2021, 02:58 PM)
Nice return! I thought I would share an article of why it is important to be vigilant on management of provident funds. It’s from another oil nation.

https://gulfnews.com/uae/bahrains-pension-f...llapse-1.353671
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That was in 2003. Yes, it can happen to any fund and at any time.
plumberly
post Mar 2 2021, 03:14 PM

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Thinking aloud, will iSinar affect 2021 EPF dividend %?

If can, how and by how much?
plumberly
post Jul 7 2021, 10:33 AM

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QUOTE(j.passing.by @ Jul 5 2021, 03:34 PM)
Sorry, no idea at all whether it is okay or not to buy some shares in the bursa.

I would be more cautious as the economy could go into a depression in the coming months and could take several more years to recover. Don't forget that those listed companies are big companies, not the unlisted small companies and family businesses that could recover and turn around very quickly once the pandemic is over.

You will need to ask your accountant friends how the companies will be charging the profits made in the next several years back to the bad years. Similarly, would you expect any bonuses at the end of the year and next year?

The special withdrawals were for urgent financial needs; especially to those who previously thought their emergency fund was adequate and could last at least 6 months if they are jobless and will be employed again fairly soon.
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We are on the same brain wave frequency! Ha.

Most markets follow the same path as the big brother USA. And their PE are just ridiculous. Artificially elevated from their money printing habit. That will not last forever. Just hope for a new global currency to replace the US$ in the coming 3 years.

Some bursa companies may be worth investing in now but which ones? Need some study rather than just a gut feel to filter out the really solid ones from the rest.

From EPF Q1 results, it has done pretty well, especially in this chaotic period. So, I would restrain diverting EPF money to XYZ trying to get a 1-2% higher return, especially in this volatile environment. May get the extra 1-2% but can also lose a lot if the global market takes a deep dive. So soon, another dive after the recent Mar 2020 dive?

My 2 cents.


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