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 EPF DIVIDEND, EPF

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Hansel
post Feb 22 2017, 03:18 PM

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QUOTE(prophetjul @ Feb 22 2017, 08:32 AM)
Weighted average will be
Asset................ Invested Sum...................Returns(%)

Gold....................1mil.............................23

Gold Miners..........0.5mil......................150
Weighted average = 1 x 23 +0.5x150/(1+0.5) = 65.33%
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OK, bro,... using formula,.. No, I don't have this,...
Hansel
post Feb 26 2017, 07:26 PM

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QUOTE(jorgsacul @ Feb 26 2017, 06:12 PM)
Can go higher if ringgit devalue more...
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This is a good opinion,... I sensed something along this line too. Why do you say this ?
Hansel
post Mar 14 2017, 07:59 AM

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For yr reading pleasure. Events from a few years ago :-

NEW YORK – Quietly, as the looming possibility of a U.S. military attack on Syria dominated news internationally, the government of Poland announced a decision to confiscate half of the nation’s pension funds in an attempt to delay an impending government debt crisis.

While details remain hazy, Reuters reported Sept. 4 that Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk announced a government decision to transfer to ZUS, the government pension system, all bond investments in privately owned pension funds within the state-guaranteed system.

Read more at http://www.wnd.com/2013/09/government-conf...BJA4kvAhCCVU.99
Hansel
post Mar 14 2017, 06:54 PM

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Best is to diversify,...
Hansel
post Mar 15 2017, 02:11 PM

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QUOTE(familyfirst @ Mar 15 2017, 11:13 AM)
Maybe people already diversified and still have axcess to invest leh ...
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Yeah,... highly possible.
Hansel
post Mar 15 2017, 02:33 PM

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QUOTE(wu ming @ Mar 15 2017, 01:06 PM)
Most of them are above retirement age. That means they can suka-suka withdrawal anytime they want.
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This would be after 55 yo, right ? But a person is allowed to withdraw at a maximum of only 1 time per month, right ?
Hansel
post Jan 26 2018, 02:31 PM

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I believed prophetjul has a personal experience here in his successful gold investment,... I suspect he DID make this CAGR,... let him provide his points,...
Hansel
post Jan 26 2018, 03:37 PM

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QUOTE(plumberly @ Jan 26 2018, 02:39 PM)
I don't invest in gold as I do not believe it is really a good investment commodity. Bet there will be many coming back to me saying otherwise. Ha.

Below is the gold price graph. Yes, if invested in gold in 2001 till 2012, one would have made a very high return!
[attachmentid=9547289]
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That's what I suspected,...I think bro prophet entered in 2000,...
Hansel
post Jan 27 2018, 12:02 PM

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Guys,....

I don't want to read al the postings above,...

Look,... for absolute gain as a Malaysian, any investment should be, at the end of the day, be evaluated in the currency that you need to SPEND the money in,...hence, in this country, in MYR.

Of course, if you are going to spend your money in SG or in Aus, then you will evaluate your returns in any investment based on the currency of that country where you are going to spend in,....

What's the point of having investment gains, or maing more money from money ? For spending, right ?

I wouldaccept, mathematically, then evaluate in the currency designated. And if we say this,... I would have an even revolutionary idea - I don't think gold investment is great. I think the USD is lousy, that's why gold investment becomes good because with the USD dropping, we require MORE USD to buy the same ounce of gold. That's the reason.

It's almost similar in concept with the bs when we said the RM was strong (before the BNM rate hike). The RM was strong ONLY against the USD because the USD was weak. That's the reason !!!!

Not our bs RM was strong, back then,....
Hansel
post Jan 27 2018, 12:22 PM

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QUOTE(Showtime747 @ Jan 27 2018, 10:08 AM)
Yes, different country will have different CAGR, based on the home currency. Why must it be all quoted in USD ?

All companies take into account of forex gain/loss in accordance to accounting standard. That's why those companies earn in forex their share price shoot up like mad during RM depreciation. Do you deduct the share price because of currency gain ?

EPF takes into account the forex gain/loss for their overseas investment - cos they pay dvds to pencarum in RM. Same concept with Petronas. Pencarum in Msia buys in RM.

Funds sold in RM take into account of forex gain/loss when they report their CAGR - cos they payout coupons in RM, and redemptions in RM. Investors in Msia buy in RM.

Our imported food experience inflation because we buy in RM - cos we buy in RM.

Those Zimbabwe people if they have foresight, they would have gain in forex because they can convert their USD back to buy a lot of stuff.

You may personally view it differently, but all others do take into account forex gain/loss in terms of base currency
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I invest everywhere, directly into the country concerned... but in Msia - I take my total returns in the RM,....
Hansel
post Jun 19 2018, 09:35 AM

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QUOTE(prophetjul @ Jun 19 2018, 08:28 AM)
That's the result of supporting CRONY companies.
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Yeah,... but no choice-lar back then,...it was all abt cronyism,... prb is today, things are changing, will our EPF dividend be affected next February ?
Hansel
post Jun 19 2018, 03:06 PM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Jun 19 2018, 11:34 AM)
How low we talking about here hmm.gif
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QUOTE(zstan @ Jun 19 2018, 12:27 PM)
Won't be lower than 2.5% don't worry
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That's right - won't be lower than 2.5%.

In SG's CPF :-

1) Ordinary Acct - won't be lower than 2.5%.

2) Special Acct - won;t be lower than 4.0%.

Short-term pains are needed for long term gains. Short-term pains will be felt by this generation, and perhaps the next, but the following generation after that will (most probably) enjoy the fruits of this election,... the issue is : how do we, in this generation are going to overcome the current pain.....

We share in the fruits of the neighboring successful gov't.... biggrin.gif
Hansel
post Jun 20 2018, 09:13 AM

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QUOTE(zstan @ Jun 19 2018, 03:31 PM)
That is if Malaysia doesn't go bankrupt by then with all the investors pulling out biggrin.gif
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I don't think the new gov't will just let all the big institutions move out of the country, and secondly,.. I think our institutions will not be brave and intelligent enough to invest outside,... the quality of our people is not there yet.
Hansel
post Jun 20 2018, 03:27 PM

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QUOTE(prophetjul @ Jun 20 2018, 10:36 AM)
zstan is just baiting. 

I beg to differ. Look at our EPF. I think they did well to change their stance on investing overseas a few years ago.
Think they did pretty well in their property venture into London.
And their foreign income increased substantially which propped up the dividends from 2010 onwards when the KLSE was pretty stagnant then.
And also when MYR took the hit.
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Bro prophet,.. don't know-lar,... the EPF gained from currency appreciation a few years ago, I know,... they sold their London props,... but don't know-lar,.. I would prefer that the EPF is able to make returns from dividends earned from those foreign entities as majority shareholders, or from profit-sharing of the earnings,... rather than from currency-appreciation by divesting,...

Making from currency-appreciation from divesting is more for REITs and retail investors,... EPF is like a wealth-sovereign fund, though it's a pension fund.

QUOTE(zstan @ Jun 20 2018, 10:38 AM)
What? Majority of the investments made by EPF is OUTSIDE of the country. If they had invested in KLSE then there is nothing left for local investors. Don't equate to people in EPF to your own intelligence.
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How many EPFs do we have ? I invest outside of the country,... so, don't equate my intelligence to your presumptions.

And what ??? Majority of the EPF's investments is outside of the country ???? How many percent ?????


Hansel
post Jun 20 2018, 03:51 PM

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QUOTE(MeToo @ Jun 20 2018, 03:32 PM)
As per the Annual Report for 2017 goes, EPF only invested 28% of their funds in GLOBAL ASSET. The rest being for DOMESTIC market.
How do you arrive at the majority of EPF investment is outside the country?
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Hehe,... I'm wondering too,... let him reply,... perhaps he has a different yardstick in his measurement,...

I also did not know the figure, but I was hypothesizing that there was NO WAY that the EPF could have made a big percentage from their funds investing outside ! The EPF would need to be very careful,... even PNB has not moved out to overseas mkts....

Just a personal experience here. I was chatting with a senior EPF Officer two years ago. I just asked,... how is the dividend performance going to be this year, with the mkt so weak. He told me : Tak apa. Kita akan untung forex !!

This signals to me that the EPF has no intention to hold-on to their assets for long. Their intention is to buy and sell and make from forex,... err,.. well, if the board is okay with this, I have no comments,...

I observed when Temasek of Singapore bought overseas assets, they will put in their fullest effort onto those assets and manage those assets,... but okay,.. even Temasek lost money, I will go with that,.. but net'net,.. Temasek made more than lost !
Hansel
post Jun 20 2018, 04:13 PM

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QUOTE(MeToo @ Jun 20 2018, 03:57 PM)
Well, out of 2017 EPF total income 40% came from overseas investment, which only makes up 28% of their portfolio. This means EPF could have made more money but they are crippled by being forced to invest locally to support crony companies and prop up the local market....

Regardless I suspect that zstan fella spouting without real basis...
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smile.gif

Hehe,...

I think even if the EPF is not forced to invest locally, they will still not be able to invest profitable outside,... it's not easy,... I think there are lots of landmines out there. For a sovereign wealth fund to invest out there, they can't do like us. Even I myself also,... when I first invested into the capital and debt assets in Singapore, Australia and Canada, I had to read lots and lots, and tried out here and there, and looked for the most cost-effective platforms, etc,...

I really don't think there are many people out there who would do what I have done.

The easiest way to make money from outside is by forex gains - because our Ringgit is weak. If your native currency is the SGD, then susah,.. every minute, your native currency's strength will outgun your investment returns from another country...

Another eg : If you invested into a REIT denominated in the SGD but has assets in a different ctry, there will be currency risk because your dividend might be lower after the distributable income from the assets is converted into the SGD to pay you the dividend.

In short : it is really not easy to invest outside. Well, of course, the EPF can always pay a consultant to do this for them, but the consultant's price will not be cheap. And how about the trust level ?

Jho Low was an international investment consultant for the famous 1MXX.
Hansel
post Jun 20 2018, 04:21 PM

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QUOTE(MeToo @ Jun 20 2018, 04:15 PM)
EPF cannot bet on making money due to RM weakening... thats just not very patriotic..

Anyway likely they invest via numerous funds, the figure is big enough to qualify for those top rated/exclusive funds
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Yes.
Hansel
post Jul 4 2018, 06:08 PM

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QUOTE(TSOM @ Jul 3 2018, 06:19 AM)
eh??? but RM is already so weak, shouldn't it be better to invest in local market?

or did I understand you wrongly?
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In that writeup, the context I was referring to were properties that have been bought earlier by The EPF, not by EPF buying properties now to earn forex,...

Hansel
post Apr 21 2019, 03:14 PM

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Someone got a contract to do the layout.

They purposely wanted to hide information from contributors.

BUT : let's give then a chance to reply. IF they don't reply within the next 21 Days,... then we'll understand !!!
Hansel
post Sep 8 2019, 09:49 PM

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Bros,... interest rates all over the world are dropping,.. we need to prepare for this !

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