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 Fund Investment Corner v3, Funds101

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birdman13200
post Feb 1 2013, 06:23 PM

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QUOTE(Pink Spider @ Feb 1 2013, 01:08 AM)
Remember the football team analogy?

Having a 100% bond portfolio is like playing a football match with 10 defenders. Yes, u may manage to keep the scoreline at 0-0 for 90 minutes and earn 1 point for a draw, but WHAT IF the opposition managed to sneak a goal? Now, you're 0-1 down, and you've got no Messi, Ronaldo or Van Persie for the much-needed flair to score a goal.

Even in the most pessimistic of situation, u should have at least a bit of equity exposure. Let's say 80% bonds 20% equities - in a boom, bonds deliver the incomes, equities provide some capital gains; in a crash, u may lose up to 10% (assuming equities crash up to 50%, your 20% will go down 50%, thus the portfolio as a whole drops 10%), but your bonds will rise due to yield compression.

Putting the above in a boom scenario, everyone is selling bonds and move into equities in an extended bull market, your bonds will keep losing valuation-wise, and you've got no equity exposure to ride along the boom. doh.gif

No hard and fast rules, just my opinion. Caveat emptor icon_rolleyes.gif
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Pinky, to be clear, i am go into FSM with bond fund first. I hv "a lot" equity fund in PM that balance up my portfolio.

SUSPink Spider
post Feb 1 2013, 06:26 PM

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QUOTE(birdman13200 @ Feb 1 2013, 06:23 PM)
Pinky, to be clear, i am go into FSM with bond fund first. I hv "a lot" equity fund in PM that balance up my portfolio.
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Cakaplah awal doh.gif
birdman13200
post Feb 1 2013, 07:22 PM

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QUOTE(Pink Spider @ Feb 1 2013, 06:26 PM)
Cakaplah awal doh.gif
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my mistake to make u confuse.
I have striker now, but looking for for midfield and defender. thinking of sold some striker to allocate fund for defender.
Kaka23
post Feb 1 2013, 07:52 PM

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QUOTE(birdman13200 @ Feb 1 2013, 07:23 PM)
Pinky, to be clear, i am go into FSM with bond fund first. I hv "a lot" equity fund in PM that balance up my portfolio.
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Hwang select bond? Ambond?
birdman13200
post Feb 1 2013, 07:56 PM

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QUOTE(Kaka23 @ Feb 1 2013, 07:52 PM)
Hwang select bond? Ambond?
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Ya, Hwang Select bond is one of shortlisted. I shortlisted OSK-UOB Emerging Markets Bond Fund as well. No plan for Ambond as it is Malaysia bond, i hv one in PM already.
tox
post Feb 2 2013, 11:23 AM

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QUOTE(wongmunkeong @ Jan 31 2013, 07:22 PM)
IMHO, it IS generally too hot, except for a few markets.
However, having said that, since i've no crystal balls:
I'm spacing my "chunks" to be in bit by bit every 4 months (to rebalance lar, have a wee bit too much Fixed Income assets)
WHILE continuing my planned quarterly DCA+VCA.
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wong seefu or someone can help enlighten me on what is DCA+VCA? icon_question.gif
SUSPink Spider
post Feb 2 2013, 12:02 PM

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QUOTE(tox @ Feb 2 2013, 11:23 AM)
wong seefu or someone can help enlighten me on what is DCA+VCA?  icon_question.gif
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Dollar Cost Average
E.g. every month top up RM100 regardless of fund performance

Value Cost Average
E.g. every month INCREASE VALUE of RM100, Dec-12 fund value RM5,900, Jan-13 fund value RM5,850 (i.e. dropped RM50), u top up RM150
yenforyen
post Feb 2 2013, 04:03 PM

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QUOTE(Pink Spider @ Feb 1 2013, 06:14 PM)
Yield more invertly to bond prices.

Bond price go up = yield go down
Bond price go down - yield go up

Sorry I've never really studied about the theory behind yield curve tongue.gif

Simply said, e.g. RM1mil 3% bond. If today price fall to RM900,000, the yield would be 3.33%. That's yield compression for you.

IF u buy today, u pay RM900,000 and u get RM30,000 income per year, thus 3.33% yield.
BUT if u bought it at RM1mil, u will get a fair value loss (i.e. paper loss) of RM100,000.

Typically, in a recession, investors flee to bonds.

supply < demand
Price go up = yield go down

In a boom, investors sell bonds and move to equities.

supply > demand
Price go down = yield go up
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Thanks!
hafiez
post Feb 4 2013, 08:49 AM

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QUOTE(Pink Spider @ Feb 2 2013, 12:02 PM)
Dollar Cost Average
E.g. every month top up RM100 regardless of fund performance

Value Cost Average
E.g. every month INCREASE VALUE of RM100, Dec-12 fund value RM5,900, Jan-13 fund value RM5,850 (i.e. dropped RM50), u top up RM150
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Might want to try this 'VCA'. Only tried DCA before.

If want to use it, is it depends on situation or what?
SUSPink Spider
post Feb 4 2013, 09:47 AM

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QUOTE(hafiez @ Feb 4 2013, 08:49 AM)
Might want to try this 'VCA'. Only tried DCA before.

If want to use it, is it depends on situation or what?
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I personally think that VCA is superior to DCA. For the exact theory and pros and cons, perhaps u as a full-time UT consultant should read up more on it? wink.gif
SUSDavid83
post Feb 5 2013, 09:08 AM

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Templeton's new fund to 'maximise returns'

KUALA LUMPUR: Franklin Templeton Asset Management (Malaysia) Sdn Bhd recently launched the Templeton Asian Bond Fund (TABF), offering qualified local investors the opportunity to tap an award-winning and actively managed fixed-income portfolio.

Read more: Templeton's new fund to 'maximise returns' http://www.btimes.com.my/Current_News/BTIM.../#ixzz2Jyz4wnZb
yeapwei
post Feb 5 2013, 01:05 PM

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just some food for thought.

A lot of us uses XIRR/CAGR to evaluate the investments performance.
I have wondering for quite some time,
why no one mentioned TWRR (Time-weighted rate of return)?

Especially for fund investments, where we are constantly topping up and receiving dividends. Shouldn't TWRR a more appropriate tool to evaluate the fund performance?


SUSPink Spider
post Feb 5 2013, 01:16 PM

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QUOTE(yeapwei @ Feb 5 2013, 01:05 PM)
just some food for thought.

A lot of us uses XIRR/CAGR to evaluate the investments performance.
I have wondering for quite some time,
why no one mentioned TWRR (Time-weighted rate of return)?

Especially for fund investments, where we are constantly topping up and receiving dividends. Shouldn't TWRR a more appropriate tool to evaluate the fund performance?
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XIRR is the MS Excel formula for TWRR wink.gif
yeapwei
post Feb 5 2013, 01:33 PM

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QUOTE(Pink Spider @ Feb 5 2013, 01:16 PM)
XIRR is the MS Excel formula for TWRR wink.gif
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hmm..

from my own understanding, XIRR in excel is different with TWRR.
XIRR calculate IRR, or more accurately, MWRR (money-weighted rate of return).

Extracted from lecture notes,

"TWRR focused more on "growth factors",
Reflecting the changes in the value of the fund between the times of consecutive cash flows.
Combining these growth factors comes up with an overall RR for the period."

Of course, I do realise that TWRR lack the concept of "time value of money".

I am not promoting which method is superior.
Just asking out of curiousity + on the way to find a better evaluation tool.
SUSPink Spider
post Feb 5 2013, 01:39 PM

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QUOTE(yeapwei @ Feb 5 2013, 01:33 PM)
hmm..

from my own understanding, XIRR in excel is different with TWRR.
XIRR calculate IRR, or more accurately, MWRR (money-weighted rate of return).

Extracted from lecture notes,

"TWRR focused more on "growth factors",
Reflecting the changes in the value of the fund between the times of consecutive cash flows.
Combining these growth factors comes up with an overall RR for the period."

Of course, I do realise that TWRR lack the concept of "time value of money".

I am not promoting which method is superior.
Just asking out of curiousity + on the way to find a better evaluation tool.
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XIRR takes into account 2 variables - money and time

the formula takes into account the timing of the cash flows

perhaps u should open your Excel and try to play around with the XIRR formula to get a clearer picture icon_idea.gif
yeapwei
post Feb 5 2013, 01:48 PM

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QUOTE(Pink Spider @ Feb 5 2013, 01:39 PM)
XIRR takes into account 2 variables - money and time

the formula takes into account the timing of the cash flows

perhaps u should open your Excel and try to play around with the XIRR formula to get a clearer picture icon_idea.gif
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Yes I know that. Which is why I said XIRR is more like MWRR.
I did linear interpolation for a set of arbitary cash flow manually and I got almost the same answer as XIRR in excel, with few decimals differences. That why I am pretty sure XIRR mimics MWRR.

I am currently using XIRR to evaluate my investments performance.

And I still stick to my belief that TWRR is different with XIRR.
Unless my lecturer gave me false knowledge.
SUSPink Spider
post Feb 5 2013, 01:50 PM

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QUOTE(yeapwei @ Feb 5 2013, 01:48 PM)
Yes I know that. Which is why I said XIRR is more like MWRR.
I did linear interpolation for a set of arbitary cash flow manually and I got almost the same answer as XIRR in excel, with few decimals differences. That why I am pretty sure XIRR mimics MWRR.

I am currently using XIRR to evaluate my investments performance.

And I still stick to my belief that TWRR is different with XIRR.
Unless my lecturer gave me false knowledge.
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I also studied TWRR before, and my brain tells me that XIRR = TWRR blush.gif

Correct me if I'm wrong notworthy.gif
aronteh
post Feb 5 2013, 01:58 PM

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QUOTE(yeapwei @ Feb 5 2013, 01:48 PM)
Yes I know that. Which is why I said XIRR is more like MWRR.
I did linear interpolation for a set of arbitary cash flow manually and I got almost the same answer as XIRR in excel, with few decimals differences. That why I am pretty sure XIRR mimics MWRR.

I am currently using XIRR to evaluate my investments performance.

And I still stick to my belief that TWRR is different with XIRR.
Unless my lecturer gave me false knowledge.
*
Perhap this will help you understand better.

Internal Rate of Return and Time Weighted Return. If your portfolio has cash flows, i.e. you deposit or withdraw money, then you need to use either internal rate of return, IRR, or time weighted return, TWR, also called TWRR time weighted rate of return and TWIRR time weighted internal rate of return. The difference between the two is that TWR ignores the timing of the cash flows while IRR accounts for the timing of the cash flows. Rather than explaining each in depth, I’ve created a example for each in this spreadsheet. In summary, to calculate IRR use the XIRR function in Excel, while TWR calculates returns from one cash flow to the next and sums those ignoring the cash flows.

Which of the two should you use? That question never seems to get old. If you’re a fund manager or reading the returns of a fund manager then you’re most likely using TWR. That’s because fund managers don’t have control over the cash flows, so they shouldn’t receive any benefit or penalty for the cash flows.

Individual investors should use the method they deem most appropriate. The important question is, do you have control of the cash flows. If the answer is no then use TWR, if yes then IRR is the best choice. If you are attempting to calculate your past performance then there is another important question. Do you know the account balances at the date of the cash flows? If not then you have to use IRR as TWR requires balances at the time of cash flows.

This post has been edited by aronteh: Feb 5 2013, 02:02 PM


Attached File(s)
Attached File  XIRR_TWRR_sample.xls.zip ( 8.15k ) Number of downloads: 62
yeapwei
post Feb 5 2013, 03:35 PM

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QUOTE(Pink Spider @ Feb 5 2013, 01:50 PM)
I also studied TWRR before, and my brain tells me that XIRR = TWRR blush.gif

Correct me if I'm wrong notworthy.gif
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Chill bro I'm not trying to prove that I am correct.
Just wanna get some opinions from sifus around.

QUOTE(aronteh @ Feb 5 2013, 01:58 PM)
Perhap this will help you understand better.

Internal Rate of Return and Time Weighted Return. If your portfolio has cash flows, i.e. you deposit or withdraw money, then you need to use either internal rate of return, IRR, or time weighted return, TWR, also called TWRR time weighted rate of return and TWIRR time weighted internal rate of return. The difference between the two is that TWR ignores the timing of the cash flows while IRR accounts for the timing of the cash flows. Rather than explaining each in depth, I’ve created a example for each in this spreadsheet. In summary, to calculate IRR use the XIRR function in Excel, while TWR calculates returns from one cash flow to the next and sums those ignoring the cash flows.

Which of the two should you use? That question never seems to get old. If you’re a fund manager or reading the returns of a fund manager then you’re most likely using TWR. That’s because fund managers don’t have control over the cash flows, so they shouldn’t receive any benefit or penalty for the cash flows.

Individual investors should use the method they deem most appropriate. The important question is, do you have control of the cash flows. If the answer is no then use TWR, if yes then IRR is the best choice. If you are attempting to calculate your past performance then there is another important question. Do you know the account balances at the date of the cash flows? If not then you have to use IRR as TWR requires balances at the time of cash flows.
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Thank you for the feedback.
Impressive modelling skill you have there.
The sentences in bold is really enlightening.

Edited,

Further question is out of topic.
I'll leave it here for now.

This post has been edited by yeapwei: Feb 5 2013, 03:38 PM
Kaka23
post Feb 5 2013, 08:30 PM

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Interesting.. though I am quite blur. tongue.gif

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