QUOTE(David83 @ Jan 19 2013, 10:22 PM)
The equity market is pretty hot lately IMHO.
I'm planning to lock profit and/or repurchase some funds.
What you guys think?
David-san, have your net profits for those transactions/entries hit > 50% in less than 1 year's holding?
OR
25%pa if more than 1 year's holding?
If it's just like 10% like the other fellow forumer's posting before yours, no biggie mar.
In, out, in, out susah leh (to me lar) for mutual funds.
I mean, in the sense that it's a basket of stocks and sometimes, don't even know from exactly which country heheh
VS
direct stocks / REITs, which we'll know exactly and where the ups/downs are directly tied to one stock/REITs
BTW, just to share:
a. My PFEPRF entries for early 2009 hit net profit of about 70% in less than a year.
I SWITCH out all my costs & left profits to run.
I noticed that after that crazy 70% run up, it tapered off and up till Nov last year, was "only" 21.71%pa compounded.
b. My Public Bank + LPI bought early 2009 - ran & ran until 2011.
i sold when it plateaued - simple net profit of about 130%+/- or about 43%pa compounded
c. PRE-2008, i noticed mutual funds that i bought in 1990s hitting 25%pa to 29%pa compounded and plateaued awhile until 2008 whammy came.
Note that, based on PM's PIX and older equity funds, in a long run (10 or more years), the CAGR of better funds ranges only 7%+ to 9%+
Thus, based on the above + other transactions i've tracked:
There seems to be a threshold of "abnormally high" runs when certain amount should be locked-in or to use for better buys/values.
Haven't crunched the numbers yet as i'm unsure where/how to start heheh
Just a thought