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 Buying Gold As Investment V3 - $1950?, Gold rush brings windfalls and warnings

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Quinn
post Sep 26 2011, 01:29 AM

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Gold chart updated.

Until price breaks above H2 kumo, i will not even look to buy. Every time the price retraces back to H2 kijun or tekan, i will look for a reversal candlestick to sell..


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spikyz
post Sep 26 2011, 01:29 AM

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QUOTE(buysell @ Sep 26 2011, 12:35 AM)
The time will tell, very soon. I am having much fun already.
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sure. do belanja me when u be a millionaire k. so sifu, u predict d gold price will be 800usd/oz really soon right?

how soon is soon? do tell us d time line, so we can sell and save money in d process. thanks sifu

give some time line la, dont later after 8 years den u quote back ur comment and say "i told ya!".
eXTaTine
post Sep 26 2011, 06:41 AM

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I don't think options expiry matters that much, Gold has often gone up during options expiry. The biggest negative influence on Gold right now is the margin hikes. Gold and Silver should start to go up by Monday night or Tuesday.
hongchai888
post Sep 26 2011, 06:57 AM

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Walao goldprice.org gave wrong price info lar, the closing price on Friday should be on 1639.8
prophetjul
post Sep 26 2011, 07:57 AM

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QUOTE(Quinn @ Sep 26 2011, 01:23 AM)
What Does Risk Management Mean?
The process of identification, analysis and either acceptance or mitigation of uncertainty in investment decision-making. Essentially, risk management occurs anytime an investor or fund manager analyzes and attempts to quantify the potential for losses in an investment and then takes the appropriate action (or inaction) given their investment objectives and risk tolerance. Inadequate risk management can result in severe consequences for companies as well as individuals. For example, the recession that began in 2008 was largely caused by the loose credit risk management of financial firms.

Read more: http://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/riskmanagement.asp

Now, I believe many of the investor here do not look at charts. Thus, I'm going to share with you a very simple method to manage your risk by just looking at price.

1. Every time the gold price makes a daily new high, take note of the price. (eg: $1800/oz)
2. I have decided to use my risk factor of 5% (please determine your own factor) to determine my cut off point (eg: $1800 x 5% = $90/oz). This means if the price does drop below $1710/oz, I am going take what ever profit/losses I have.

This method will help you to ...
i) cut loss when you are wrong (cut loss can means profits or losses)
ii) maximize profits when you are right

This method weakness ...
i) This will work very well if you bought gold at a very good position.
ii) If market is going to move sideways such as in 2008, you will loss a lot of money instead.

My disclaimer ...
i) Trade at your own risk using the method i just shared.
ii) Read i) again!

Thus, I still suggest to learn a little bit of technical analysis. Even simple moving average can help to make a good trading decision.

If you want to be successful in the business of trading, you have to take the time to gain the education and experience and make your own decisions. Sounds like every other business doesn’t it?
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good points on risk management.

This depends on whther you are a short term trader on the asset class that you are looking at.
This again depends on your character....whether you are emotional or rational type.

As for me i have not traded my physical gold since i first bought in 2002. i have accumulated along the
way during weaknesses.
Albeit some of the accumulations may not always be the perfect timing, my basis of this
is that i Believe that gold is in a long term bull trend till the basic fundamentals of gold changes,
that belief will remain.

However, i do trades on my paper gold occasionally.
Maybe once every six months or so as gold tend to hit a periodic high within those periods.
So in this case, you do need some technical skills, not that i am very good at that!
Some knowledge on RSI,MACD, bollinger or Fibonacci will help some.

So far its been quite rewarding helping me with some 27% yearly returns.


mcdkfc
post Sep 26 2011, 08:59 AM

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Today price MBB - 173.41/g. Good to buy?
Nidz
post Sep 26 2011, 09:14 AM

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QUOTE(mcdkfc @ Sep 26 2011, 08:59 AM)
Today price MBB - 173.41/g. Good to buy?
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if it can average down ur cost, why not?? thumbup.gif
SUSsoundsyst64
post Sep 26 2011, 09:17 AM

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QUOTE(mcdkfc @ Sep 26 2011, 08:59 AM)
Today price MBB - 173.41/g. Good to buy?
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RM 10 /g loss since my last purchase early this month. tongue.gif

I keep on waiting for more drops.
xproc
post Sep 26 2011, 09:17 AM

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QUOTE(Nidz @ Sep 26 2011, 09:14 AM)
if it can average down ur cost, why not?? thumbup.gif
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hmm.gif hmm.gif will down some more...
mcdkfc
post Sep 26 2011, 09:23 AM

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keep looking the pattern, hopefully goes down more & more...
eXTaTine
post Sep 26 2011, 09:32 AM

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When Gold price go down, you say wait some more, when it goes up, you say buy before it goes through the roof! No wonder so many ppl lose money..haha..
Alexdino
post Sep 26 2011, 09:52 AM

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QUOTE(mcdkfc @ Sep 26 2011, 08:59 AM)
Today price MBB - 173.41/g. Good to buy?
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It depends how long you would like to invest on it,

If is shortterm within 1 year, dont buy, we dont know will it drop more or when will it rise again

If is longterm 1 year and above, then if this cost affordable for you? if so then buy and wait for long term return.


Added on September 26, 2011, 9:54 am
QUOTE(soundsyst64 @ Sep 26 2011, 09:17 AM)
RM 10 /g loss since my last purchase early this month. tongue.gif

I keep on waiting for more drops.
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but still expensive than my last month buy at RM168.5/g tongue.gif

This post has been edited by Alexdino: Sep 26 2011, 09:56 AM
vincentwmh
post Sep 26 2011, 10:03 AM

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QUOTE(vincentwmh @ Sep 20 2011, 03:10 PM)
was told, major sell down currently underway... how true, not too sure but tipoff by ppl in investment industry.
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to those who IGNORE this when posted on 20 Sep...its still not too late to sell down, cut lost and buy back at a lower rate.. my side of tipoff received is gold will touch new low within 2 weeks..

just to share
cybermaster98
post Sep 26 2011, 10:05 AM

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Maybank rates at RM172.07 now. US$1,646. We'll get a better indication when European markets open later in the afternoon. But my guess is that gold will go down further. But in Malaysia, prices dont drop as rapidly as the USD keeps on rising. USD now at 3.19
mcdkfc
post Sep 26 2011, 10:17 AM

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QUOTE(cybermaster98 @ Sep 26 2011, 10:05 AM)
Maybank rates at RM172.07 now. US$1,646. We'll get a better indication when European markets open later in the afternoon. But my guess is that gold will go down further. But in Malaysia, prices dont drop as rapidly as the USD keeps on rising. USD now at 3.19
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yeahhh... price drop - USD up, M'sia price not much different...
hongchai888
post Sep 26 2011, 10:32 AM

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It seem Asia investor also become panic already. This is consider a great buy in time compare with RM 183/gm 2 weeks ago, but what I can see is the price continue dropping.....
bearbearhong
post Sep 26 2011, 10:33 AM

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QUOTE(cybermaster98 @ Sep 26 2011, 10:05 AM)
Maybank rates at RM172.07 now. US$1,646. We'll get a better indication when European markets open later in the afternoon. But my guess is that gold will go down further. But in Malaysia, prices dont drop as rapidly as the USD keeps on rising. USD now at 3.19
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should i top up my cimb gold account? bought it at RM150+
teikwing
post Sep 26 2011, 10:34 AM

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QUOTE(mcdkfc @ Sep 26 2011, 08:59 AM)
Today price MBB - 173.41/g. Good to buy?
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UOB offering 170.90. wonder should i go in now. hmm.gif
SUSbuysell
post Sep 26 2011, 10:41 AM

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Nice dip, enjoy the ride. This two week don't top up, who dare to top up straight die! Hopefully miracle happen on this coming Deepavali.
quackpack
post Sep 26 2011, 10:45 AM

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haha should topic change from 1950 to 1600?

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